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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: June 14 2017 at 19:54 |
ExittheLemming wrote:
So where does this burgeoning tide of dissent against the hitherto prevalent liberalism in the west come from? I'm thinking of Le Pen in France, Wilders in the Netherlands, Hofer in Austria, Kaczynski in Poland, Orban in Hungary, Petry in Germany, Farage in the UK and Erdogan in Turkey etc. (Throw in Trump from the US as well, let's build a wall around him) You can't just blame austerity measures and a compliant media as if this were sufficient to stifle social mobility (You need hefty tuition fees to do that). I'm not even convinced there is a credible right wing media platform in the UK from which the aforementioned can voice their dubious and frankly abhorrent agenda e.g. Television and Radio have pursued a largely liberal agenda since as long as I can remember in both the US and UK. (I'm 55) Newspapers in Britain have usually been owned by a small coterie of right wing media barons but let's face it, the printed press in 2017 is a quaint anachronism. I guess I'm trying to say that the broad rump of any electorate are considerably less malleable and supine than you seem to give them credit for. Both Brexit and the UK General Election were considered a foregone conclusion before the voters returned from the polling booths. I think people are just heartily sick of the 'political class' and billionaire liberals denouncing consumerism and inequality from the confines of their own sponsored chat show
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Well to be fair.....liberals, (ahem mainstream liberals) in much of the world has accepted austerity or some degree of it. It's been our last two Democratic President's that agreed to fiscal restraint after all, and heck all these "socialist" and "labor" parties seem to embrace it as well. Thus the rise of anti liberal left wing populism  As for the right wing populism and specifically a rejection of liberalism, I DO think bad times are one source. People turn to extremes when times are bad, they entrench, as Obama said here "people cling to guns and religion" we turn on each other and form tribes. Part is people are naturally reactionary. Some police shootings, terrorist attacks, people start turning anger that at other groups, or subdued racial feelings get unleashed.
I do agree, people are tired of the political class. I sure as hell am. Just it's not all liberal ya know....I am kinda confused why there's the insistence on "people are rejecting liberalism" or "the liberal elite". Both here and in some other countries, mainstream conservative parties are under as much internal fire as the left. The political class, as a whole, is under attack. Part is their arrogance, their ignoring masses of people and....neoliberalism/austerity lol I tell ya, that was the big beef until 2-3 years ago when immigration became the hot button. Same here....it was all bailouts, big gov, $ in politics etc from the tea party until a few years and they shifted to culture war type stuff.
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
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Posted: June 16 2017 at 10:23 |
Re the anti-liberal elite sentiment, some of it is language. There's a passage in J D Vance's Hillbilly Elegy (haven't read but the excerpt was quoted in an article) where he describes having to go to court as a child because his mother was being tried for a crime and found that most of the other undertrials spoke like his family whereas the judge and the lawyers had 'TV accents'. Likewise, it may be that those living in the UK heartland despise RP accents. Metropolitan people speaking in a refined way seems to come across as talking down to those from the heartland. In times past, liberals were still connected enough to the heartland culture to not appear alien. Best example is M K Gandhi who had practiced as a lawyer in South Africa but was able to also connect to the Indian masses by the millions and like no other Indian leader since. I cannot comment on how it is in the US or UK but I have noticed here in India that upper/upper-middle class urbanites often struggle to speak Hindi or say some other Indian language in a way that the working class would relate to. It's too polished and anglicised; for instance TV journalists who hail from Northern India (where Hindi is the most widely used language) struggle to speak a full sentence without using an English word. This may seem trivial on the face of it but it seems there is a lot of baggage attached to language and how it is used in the cities vis a vis the heartland. With social values also moving in a progressive direction much more rapidly in the cities, the gap has only widened. Mainstream Hindi cinema has gone from mocking gay people to celebrating them in just the space of 10-12 years. But has society also really moved that fast? I am afraid not. Whether or not it leads to Brexit/Trump, I think it will continue to create problems for the next few/several years.
Edited by rogerthat - June 17 2017 at 01:13
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: June 17 2017 at 00:54 |
That sounds about right. I'd agree accent, or in the case of the US....tone, inflection, way of carrying etc is a part of it. The arrogant and snooty coastal urban elites, and there is a very clear urban vs rural divide that's always present in US politics but really was driven in 2016. From what I can tell this is the case in the UK, France, Netherlands and I'm sure other countries. India as well it seems. Even though the conservatives in some of these places may be more open to economic leftism...socially/culturally seems the urban/rural divide exists everywhere. Yeah I've realized part of Trump's appeal is simply a counter reaction to progress. His fans are so...enigmatic, vague, all over the place and never seem to really care about his flip flops or policy at all. They just love him, and I could never get why. Even economically these people sometimes sound like rabid gov hating tea partiers. I think overall, Trump vents the frustration of the "heartland" to progress.
In a very short span, gay marriage went from accepted in a few blue states to nation wide. A new state here and there, then it felt like a new one every week, then boom suddenly it's made legal across the country. I mean 2004 an election was won largely on the premise of not allowing gay marriage, 2015 its now law for the US. Oh and the police shootings/rise of BLM. That opened up the nasty race problem that is always lingering in the US just under the surface. Seriously that has brought alot of darkness up to the surface. Isis has sprouted up, and there's been a few lone wolf events in the US. Gay marriage, racial tensions reopened, isis/terrorism that's alot of rapid change in a short span, and people have knee jerked because of it. As always cruddy economy too.
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ExittheLemming
Forum Senior Member
Joined: October 19 2007
Location: Penal Colony
Status: Offline
Points: 11420
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Posted: June 17 2017 at 01:15 |
rogerthat wrote:
Re the anti-liberal elite sentiment, some of it is language. There's a passage in J D Vance's Hillbilly Elegy (haven't read but the excerpt was quoted in an article) where he describes having to go to court as a child because his mother was being tried for a crime and found that most of the other undertrials spoke like his family whereas the judge and the lawyers had 'TV accents'. Likewise, it may be that those living in the UK heartland despise RP accents. Metropolitan people speaking in a refined way seems to come across as talking down to those from the heartland. In times past, liberals were still connected enough to the heartland culture to not appear alien. Best example is M K Gandhi who had practiced as a lawyer in South Africa but was able to also connect to the Indian masses by the millions and like no other Indian leader since. I cannot comment on how it is in the US or UK but I have noticed here in India that upper/upper-middle class urbanites often struggle to speak Hindi or say some other Indian language in a way that the working class would relate to. It's too polished and anglicised; for instance TV journalists who hail from Northern India (where Hindi is the most widely used language) struggle to speak a full sentence without using an English word. This may seem trivial on the face of it but it seems there is a lot of baggage attached to language and how it is used in the cities vis a vis the heartland. With social values also moving in a progressive direction much more rapidly in the cities, the gap has only widened. Mainstream Hindi cinema has gone from mocking gay people to celebrating him in just the space of 10-12 years. But has society also really moved that fast? I am afraid not. Whether or not it leads to Brexit/Trump, I think it will continue to create problems for the next few/several years. |
That's interesting and perhaps has parallels with the so-called class system in the UK (which isn't a system at all of course) The demarcation isn't quite as clear-cut between cities v heartland/regions as you describe it in India. The working class origins of English people is often betrayed by their pronunciation habits. Their dropping of the 'h' at the beginning of a word e.g. 'if it's got an 'aitch in it' and substituting an 'f' or a 'v' for 'th' e.g. 'I live in norf London' and 'we were just like bruvvers' is heard very strongly from London cockneys for instance. Similarly, it took until the 1980's before 'regional' accents became acceptable on the BBC from its employees. I do agree strongly that language is most definitely not a trivial matter when it comes to measuring social mobility, stratification or status. Case in point: the England football team was manged by Sir Alf Ramsay for 11 years. Alf spoke in a voice that sounded like Terry Thomas impersonating Noel Coward as if the latter had graduated from Sandhurst. In reality, he was the dirt poor son of a labourer from Dagenham in Essex and started life with an accent like Ray Winstone before a spell in the army and elocution lessons had him resembling a plummy Sergeant Major. That said, we appear to have veered off topic a tad...
Edited by ExittheLemming - June 17 2017 at 01:20
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
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Posted: June 17 2017 at 01:37 |
ExittheLemming wrote:
That's interesting and perhaps has parallels with the so-called class system in the UK (which isn't a system at all of course) The demarcation isn't quite as clear-cut between cities v heartland/regions as you describe it in India. The working class origins of English people is often betrayed by their pronunciation habits. Their dropping of the 'h' at the beginning of a word e.g. 'if it's got an 'aitch in it' and substituting an 'f' or a 'v' for 'th' e.g. 'I live in norf London' and 'we were just like bruvvers' is heard very strongly from London cockneys for instance. Similarly, it took until the 1980's before 'regional' accents became acceptable on the BBC from its employees. I do agree strongly that language is most definitely not a trivial matter when it comes to measuring social mobility, stratification or status. Case in point: the England football team was manged by Sir Alf Ramsay for 11 years. Alf spoke in a voice that sounded like Terry Thomas impersonating Noel Coward as if the latter had graduated from Sandhurst. In reality, he was the dirt poor son of a labourer from Dagenham in Essex and started life with an accent like Ray Winstone before a spell in the army and elocution lessons had him resembling a plummy Sergeant Major. That said, we appear to have veered off topic a tad...
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It isn't necessarily always clear cut in India either; much depends on the background. I am not so disconnected because I grew up in a far flung suburb. But there are those who grew up in downtown Mumbai and can barely speak Hindi at all, to the point where their pronunciation of Hindi names is no better than, excuse me, a foreigner. I see the latter class growing as the middle/upper class grows in prosperity and moves in ever higher social circles. The frightening backlash to this gave us Modi. Though...there is also this thing called jingoism so you'd even find those among aforementioned rarefied Mumbai elites who fervently admire him. As I am sure there are wealthy people who admire Trump.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: June 19 2017 at 22:59 |
The urban/rural divide seems most pronounced in the US. It's a night and day difference. From what I can tell, in the UK and some other Euro countries, there are rural ares that will vote leftist. People who may be conservative socially/in nature but still get the concept of ya know, voting in their own self benefit Unlike here in the states where decades of kool aid, erm I mean mythology,(culture??) has brainwashed people to vote against their own benefit. Though I guess there is the case of Wales, which gets $ from the EU, votes to leave the EU.
But yeah, it's pretty clear cut. Language is a major factor more I think about it. Trump "tells it like it is" "is a straight shooter" "doesn't BS around" "says what he means" "isn't worried about PC" or my favorite "he has balls" Personally I think all of this is total crap (well except being PC that he really isn't worried about) but yeah, people eat it up. Same with our other favorite strong man populist, Duterte who is famous for "street talk" and common person lingo. I've read that many find him refreshing or at the least: real. "You know what you get". It can cut either way. A big part of Sanders' appeal was I think his realness. He was not polished, not a great debater, and while he could convey lots of sometimes complex ideas intelligently, and when sitting down in a quiet interview he was quite calm and smart, he was famous for his manic preacher like fire spitting. He bumbled and stumbled sometimes, I'd shake my head or cringe but it never impacted him. In a very different but similar way, I read many found Corbyn refreshing. His lack of polish, sometimes errors and oddities were: human. Guess yeah, I agree ha In today's politics people are striving for language of the people and realness, not lines that feel planned and vetted by teams of lawyers and PR consultants.
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Richey Edwards
Forum Groupie
Joined: March 31 2016
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 72
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Posted: September 28 2017 at 07:34 |
JJLehto wrote:
SNP taken quite a hit apparently to both labour and tories. Can anyone explain why? I thought they owned Scotland basically. |
Sorry to resurrect an old topic, but as a Scotsman I thought I would answer your question. Until 2007 the Scottish parliament in Edinburgh was ran by Labour, and until the 2015 General Election Labour used to always win the majority of the Scottish seats for the Westminster government. In fact, there was a commonly used saying in Scotland that Labour could pin a red rosette on a monkey and would still get elected here.
However, Labour gradually stagnated in power and were eventually ousted by the pro-independence Scottish National Party in 2007. The SNP were re-elected for a second term in 2011, and their 2011 manifesto included a promise to hold a referendum on Scottish Independence during their second term in office if they were re-elected. The referendum eventually took place in 2014, with No winning with 55% of the vote. The 2015 General Election saw the SNP win 56 out of 59 seats in Scotland, effectively wiping out Labour in Scotland. Many saw this as a reaction to the independence referendum result, and an indication of a hunger for a second referendum in the future. Some saw it as an indication that the SNP had replaced Labour as the party of the working class in Scotland, with many citing the fact that Labour and the Conservatives were not really different from each other at the time. At the 2017 General Election, Labour won back some seats from the SNP and the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats also took seats from the SNP, reducing the number of SNP seats from 56 to 35. In my opinion, the SNP campaign during the 2017 election was very weak. I never really saw any campaigning going on, which was strange as the constituency where I live is formerly a Labour stronghold but was controlled by the SNP between 2015 and 2017 but is now a Conservative seat. I think that the SNP took it for granted that they would repeat their success of 2015 and underestimated the opposition to their proposal to hold a second independence referendum. Also, the "Corbyn effect" attracted left-wing voters from the SNP to Labour and many people who oppose a second independence referendum voted tactically in the election to ensure that pro-independence candidates were defeated by candidates from pro-UK parties.
I hope I've explained that alright. If you have any questions about anything else just ask.
Edited by Richey Edwards - September 28 2017 at 11:02
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
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Posted: September 29 2017 at 06:07 |
I think the backlash against the liberalista is quite funny, and thinking about it, was also inevitable. If you want someone to blame for Brexit/Trump etc then look no further than the likes of Tony Blair. The liberalista had a choice; to make their peoples wealthier by globally reforming taxation and wealth distribution, but failed to do so and instead, stated perilous wars, and squandered trillions bailing out their friends in the banks, while all the while pretending to be the caring, sharing pro gay rights liberals they actually were not!
People got f***ed off with them, and went back to base tribal politcs of far right and loony left. As the worlds slides towards facsism and probable world war, the history books - if there are any - will recount the patterns and parallels in economic and political conditions in the run up to the last two world wars and there will be a great debate about how unbelievable it was tha no one saw it all coming.
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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Quinino
Forum Senior Member
Joined: June 26 2011
Location: Portugal
Status: Offline
Points: 3654
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Posted: September 29 2017 at 07:38 |
^ I'm afraid you (probably) are quite right
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lazland
Prog Reviewer
Joined: October 28 2008
Location: Wales
Status: Offline
Points: 13800
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Posted: September 29 2017 at 10:04 |
Quinino wrote:
^ I'm afraid you (probably) are quite right 
| There is no probably about it. Andy articulates very well the precise problem, and I have been saying much the same for a very long time.
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Enhance your life. Get down to www.lazland.org
Now also broadcasting on www.progzilla.com Every Saturday, 4.00 p.m. UK time!
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
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Posted: September 30 2017 at 09:51 |
lazland wrote:
Quinino wrote:
^ I'm afraid you (probably) are quite right 
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There is no probably about it. Andy articulates very well the precise problem, and I have been saying much the same for a very long time. |
Thank you. I just hope I'm wrong, but the world appears in a dire state right now. It's easy to say it'd always been that way, it's just more obvious now because of 24 hour news, the internet etc etc, but it seems that numerous more experienced commentators than I are saying we're in more danger now than during the Cuban missile crisis. If it's any measure, the Institute of atomic scientists have set the 'Doomsday clock' to 2.5 mins to midnight, which is closer than at anytime during the cold war, including Cuba. Normalcy bias could be the death of many.
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: October 01 2017 at 14:46 |
Richey Edwards wrote:
JJLehto wrote:
SNP taken quite a hit apparently to both labour and tories. Can anyone explain why? I thought they owned Scotland basically. |
Sorry to resurrect an old topic, but as a Scotsman I thought I would answer your question. Until 2007 the Scottish parliament in Edinburgh was ran by Labour, and until the 2015 General Election Labour used to always win the majority of the Scottish seats for the Westminster government. In fact, there was a commonly used saying in Scotland that Labour could pin a red rosette on a monkey and would still get elected here.
However, Labour gradually stagnated in power and were eventually ousted by the pro-independence Scottish National Party in 2007. The SNP were re-elected for a second term in 2011, and their 2011 manifesto included a promise to hold a referendum on Scottish Independence during their second term in office if they were re-elected. The referendum eventually took place in 2014, with No winning with 55% of the vote. The 2015 General Election saw the SNP win 56 out of 59 seats in Scotland, effectively wiping out Labour in Scotland. Many saw this as a reaction to the independence referendum result, and an indication of a hunger for a second referendum in the future. Some saw it as an indication that the SNP had replaced Labour as the party of the working class in Scotland, with many citing the fact that Labour and the Conservatives were not really different from each other at the time. At the 2017 General Election, Labour won back some seats from the SNP and the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats also took seats from the SNP, reducing the number of SNP seats from 56 to 35. In my opinion, the SNP campaign during the 2017 election was very weak. I never really saw any campaigning going on, which was strange as the constituency where I live is formerly a Labour stronghold but was controlled by the SNP between 2015 and 2017 but is now a Conservative seat. I think that the SNP took it for granted that they would repeat their success of 2015 and underestimated the opposition to their proposal to hold a second independence referendum. Also, the "Corbyn effect" attracted left-wing voters from the SNP to Labour and many people who oppose a second independence referendum voted tactically in the election to ensure that pro-independence candidates were defeated by candidates from pro-UK parties.
I hope I've explained that alright. If you have any questions about anything else just ask. |
Sounds about right, with what I've heard but I guess my question was more why did the SNP lose so bad. You seem to think it was poor campaigning and just assuming they stay in power (which makes total sense, it plagued the Democratic Party last year). Never in politics can ya just kinda assume you will remain in power/will win and not try that hard (again, lesson to some older Democrats here who seem to think if we just wait in 20 years we'll run the nation forever)
However, I am always curious about what parties support austerity and what the backlash is (tis my pet project ha) and from what I gather the SNP either pursued austerity or vocally supported it/didn't sound very convincing in their opposition so I wondered if that helped as well.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: October 01 2017 at 15:05 |
Blacksword wrote:
I think the backlash against the liberalista is quite funny, and thinking about it, was also inevitable. If you want someone to blame for Brexit/Trump etc then look no further than the likes of Tony Blair. The liberalista had a choice; to make their peoples wealthier by globally reforming taxation and wealth distribution, but failed to do so and instead, stated perilous wars, and squandered trillions bailing out their friends in the banks, while all the while pretending to be the caring, sharing pro gay rights liberals they actually were not!
People got f***ed off with them, and went back to base tribal politcs of far right and loony left. As the worlds slides towards facsism and probable world war, the history books - if there are any - will recount the patterns and parallels in economic and political conditions in the run up to the last two world wars and there will be a great debate about how unbelievable it was tha no one saw it all coming. |
It's happening all over. I know all across Europe their leftist parties have drifted to the center and in general all their parties are occupying a vaguely centrist realm and taking mostly the same positions. With both left and right options being taken away, and the feeling that politics doesnt work for you...this is just plain ol history. You called it there. This all, quite literally, happened before.
Same here in the US (well in our case the left party drifted center and the right party has venture into nihilistic-ally right) and without a true liberal option, and with conservatives who feel they are being left behind (aka things change and they are grasping for the old ways) yeah makes sense we get Sanders and Trump. Though even the Republicans now are becoming anti trade in rhetoric and talk about jobs and wages and etc Basically left and right, globally, are rejecting the FriedmanThatcherReagan revolution. BUT all us silly angsty lefties whining about labor and globalization and inequality and "hey maybe this isnt working out quite like yall say" were mocked and ignored all those years.
Shame is this all indeed has happened before...
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
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Posted: October 02 2017 at 02:50 |
JJLehto wrote:
Blacksword wrote:
I think the backlash against the liberalista is quite funny, and thinking about it, was also inevitable. If you want someone to blame for Brexit/Trump etc then look no further than the likes of Tony Blair. The liberalista had a choice; to make their peoples wealthier by globally reforming taxation and wealth distribution, but failed to do so and instead, stated perilous wars, and squandered trillions bailing out their friends in the banks, while all the while pretending to be the caring, sharing pro gay rights liberals they actually were not!
People got f***ed off with them, and went back to base tribal politcs of far right and loony left. As the worlds slides towards facsism and probable world war, the history books - if there are any - will recount the patterns and parallels in economic and political conditions in the run up to the last two world wars and there will be a great debate about how unbelievable it was tha no one saw it all coming. |
It's happening all over. I know all across Europe their leftist parties have drifted to the center and in general all their parties are occupying a vaguely centrist realm and taking mostly the same positions. With both left and right options being taken away, and the feeling that politics doesnt work for you...this is just plain ol history. You called it there. This all, quite literally, happened before.
Same here in the US (well in our case the left party drifted center and the right party has venture into nihilistic-ally right) and without a true liberal option, and with conservatives who feel they are being left behind (aka things change and they are grasping for the old ways) yeah makes sense we get Sanders and Trump. Though even the Republicans now are becoming anti trade in rhetoric and talk about jobs and wages and etc Basically left and right, globally, are rejecting the FriedmanThatcherReagan revolution. BUT all us silly angsty lefties whining about labor and globalization and inequality and "hey maybe this isnt working out quite like yall say" were mocked and ignored all those years.
Shame is this all indeed has happened before... | Indeed, although another way of looking at it is that actually it IS working, because it's architechts are wealthier than ever. Maybe it was always only supposed to work for the speculators. The banking crisis consolidated wealth in the hands of the very few, inflicted austerity on the poor, and started the taking down of the middle classes. The endgame; one serf class and a ruling elite.
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: October 02 2017 at 23:00 |
Oh yes, neoliberalism is absolutely working as intended. I'm sure some truly believed their words, and as it got rolled out it became divine law, but no doubt many of its architects knew what would happen, and didn't care. They were motivated by ideology or self benefit. Problem with the EU btw at its core is that is was built on these ideals.
Yup, that is the end game of it all. People always scoff or think it's hyperbole but it's just knowledge of history and observation of what's happening (plus some logical thought). Taken to its conclusion a largely 2 class society is all that really can emerge. And we're heading there. People seemed to be waking up to this, but yup...fear of immigrants (that they are rarely ever gunna interact with) distracted em all. Add to it a knee jerk reaction to intellectuals (aka evidence and rational discourse) and "liberalism" (aka the improvement of women, non whites, LGBT rights, trying to save the planet and fear from white males losing their standing) and here we are. The ultimate blow to maximum free market woooooo! mythology: People are often irrational, short sighted, easily swayed and miss the mark entirely  
Since this has been restarted, news here is sorely lacking and I have been busy. How exactly are things going across the pond? How are Brexit talks going and I guess the world hasn't ended from the Tory-DUP alliance.
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
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Points: 16130
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Posted: October 03 2017 at 06:20 |
There has been no progress in the Brexit talks as far as I'm aware.
No one really knows what the government wants from Brexit, or the opposition, to be fair, because they've never made it clear, and probably don't really know themselves. One thing is for sure, the UK doesn't have any trump cards to play.
The referendum was the biggest political miscalculation in history. Asking the people to vote on someting they haven't got the first clue about is clearly insane. David Cameron was banking on a remain landslide, but was clearly very out of touch with the zeitgeist.
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
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Points: 34550
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Posted: October 03 2017 at 14:20 |
Sincere question: is there likely to be ANY brexit progress? I kind of imagined there being so much infighting and external fighting and its such a big thing with so many details and with politics in the way, I could see by the end the UK just leaves with literally no plan on either side hammered out. Will the UK even leave?? I'm actually wondering if there's any chance in the end yall just dont do it.
It does seem that that no one has any idea yeah. I got the feeling, and you seem to confirm this, that no one (even supporters) actually expected Yes to win, so never bothered. So now literally everyone is caught with their pants down running around trying to figure it out on the fly. I have indeed read that even Labour seems to have no idea what they want with Corbyn being vague and taking the "I just want jobs for the UK regardless of what we do" which I am for but thats certainly not a very concrete plan. What a mess.
That's for sure, everyone everywhere has missed the zeitgeist it seems, and people are clearly not equipped to make these populist decisions. And that's not a slight at the UK, look at our mess. When there is a backlash against intellectualism....I reckon that's what is gunna happen. People can gripe about elites and the power and etc and sure there's some validity but it's mostly bullsh*t, and the result is all this mess. Yikes.
Edited by JJLehto - October 03 2017 at 14:21
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
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Posted: October 03 2017 at 23:44 |
JJLehto wrote:
Sincere question: is there likely to be ANY brexit progress? I kind of imagined there being so much infighting and external fighting and its such a big thing with so many details and with politics in the way, I could see by the end the UK just leaves with literally no plan on either side hammered out. Will the UK even leave?? I'm actually wondering if there's any chance in the end yall just dont do it.
It does seem that that no one has any idea yeah. I got the feeling, and you seem to confirm this, that no one (even supporters) actually expected Yes to win, so never bothered. So now literally everyone is caught with their pants down running around trying to figure it out on the fly. I have indeed read that even Labour seems to have no idea what they want with Corbyn being vague and taking the "I just want jobs for the UK regardless of what we do" which I am for but thats certainly not a very concrete plan. What a mess.
That's for sure, everyone everywhere has missed the zeitgeist it seems, and people are clearly not equipped to make these populist decisions. And that's not a slight at the UK, look at our mess. When there is a backlash against intellectualism....I reckon that's what is gunna happen. People can gripe about elites and the power and etc and sure there's some validity but it's mostly bullsh*t, and the result is all this mess. Yikes.
| I've no idea how it will turn out, in terms of a deal, but it will take many years to finalise, and I would expect years of economic uncertainty, and unless there's a labour victory at the next election in the UK, I would also expect our domestic politics to move ever further to the right without the EU's protection. As there is an obnoxious and nasty arrogance on the right, their is also authoritarian sanctimosity and pomposity on the liberal left which has pushed people this way, and they can't even see it.
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: October 06 2017 at 12:03 |
The nasty arrogance is absolutely on both sides, it's like I've said elsewhere: People gripe about this populism, but I think they fail to see the real problem (because they're part of it) if populism like this is so popular it's because the mainstream has screwed up so bad. Not like all this magically appeared out of nowhere.
Ah yes, if the Tory led government pushes more austerity, it will indeed drag down/harm the economy long run...but this time people would actually have to turn their anger inward and wouldn't be able to blame the EU anymore. No idea what the overall sentiment on social issues is in the UK, but immigration is likely gunna be on trial yeah
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