Brexit: A change of heart?? |
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Sean Trane
Special Collaborator Prog Folk Joined: April 29 2004 Location: Heart of Europe Status: Online Points: 20239 |
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Or discovered the use of rubber |
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Lewian
Prog Reviewer Joined: August 09 2015 Location: Italy Status: Offline Points: 14679 |
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So that was that then. I'd have loved to believe in what you wrote, lazland, but alas...
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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Read somewhere that in the last 70 years, Harold Wilson and Tony Blair were the only Labour PMs that got elected. So the outcome was fairly predictable, I guess, with a socialist leading the Labour campaign. |
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The Dark Elf
Forum Senior Member VIP Member Joined: February 01 2011 Location: Michigan Status: Online Points: 13048 |
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On the bright side, it will more than likely lead to the independence of Scotland and the reunification of Ireland. Great Britain will become Ain't Britain.
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...a vigorous circular motion hitherto unknown to the people of this area, but destined
to take the place of the mud shark in your mythology... |
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ExittheLemming
Forum Senior Member Joined: October 19 2007 Location: Penal Colony Status: Offline Points: 11415 |
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Given that it was either a pedigree malamute puppy shaved and squeezed into a suit or an unshaven Marxist disguised as a supply teacher, the UK electorate must have felt their choice was a toss up between being strangled or drowned. The one weird thing I've never got about 'comrade' Corbyn: why was this throwback to mid 70's trade union paranoia and leather elbow patches so popular with the yoof innit? For me, the SNP and Lib Dems, as the only two parties sending out an unambiguous 'Remain' message, merely conspired to split the Labour vote. Corbyn was always a lukewarm remainer but a committed reformer of the EU and I suspect this ambivalence ultimately cost his party an election. It also seems abundantly clear that in Europe, they are moving inexorably closer with every passing year towards a bipartite political landscape where the only credible choices will become centrist social democracy or far right conservatism. Doesn't that sound a bit like...the USA? |
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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Fully agree. I don't know if pre poll alliances are allowed in UK the way they are in India, but if they are, an alliance between Lib Dems, Labour and SNP could have consolidated the Remain vote. The first past the post system always rewards a committed minority over an ambivalent and confused majority and this is yet another example.
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ExittheLemming
Forum Senior Member Joined: October 19 2007 Location: Penal Colony Status: Offline Points: 11415 |
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As Scotland has already voted in an independence referendum in 2014 with a 55% majority to remain in the UK, I'm not convinced this will happen as it smacks of a gerrymandered sequel: Brexit (Back to the Future Part 2) It was 52% of the whole of the UK that voted to leave the EU and it would clearly be an affront to any accepted version of democracy we have if both Northern Ireland and Scotland were not subject to this outcome. Reductio ad absurdum: You can slice the UK into progressively smaller and smaller sample sizes but that still won't result in an exemption from the referendum outcome for a Yorkshire, Armagh, Powys, Leeds, Lurgan, Llandrindod Wells etc which may have voted remain.
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The Dark Elf
Forum Senior Member VIP Member Joined: February 01 2011 Location: Michigan Status: Online Points: 13048 |
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I believe one needs to look at things in context. The Scottish independence referendum was held a full two years prior to the Brexit vote. It would seem that vote would not necessarily be the same due to Brexit. 62% of Scots voted to remain in the EU, and 55.8% of Northern Ireland voted to remain. Once again, England proper controlled a vote that runs contrary to the will of its long-subjugated appendages. |
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...a vigorous circular motion hitherto unknown to the people of this area, but destined
to take the place of the mud shark in your mythology... |
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ExittheLemming
Forum Senior Member Joined: October 19 2007 Location: Penal Colony Status: Offline Points: 11415 |
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The uncertainty over continued EU membership for Scotland is often cited
as a pivotal reason the independence referendum result in 2014 was 'NO' (Scotland should NOT be an independent country) This for me is disingenuous. If Alex Salmond and the SNP exercised due diligence on this issue after the Edinburgh Agreement in Oct 2012 had been reached with the UK Government, they would have been able to provide the electorate with the sort of assurances they were seeking with regards the ramifications of a 'Yes' vote and the possibility of having to apply to become a new EU member i.e. would the provisions of articles 48 or 49 of the Treaties of the European Union hold sway for an independent Scotland?. Without this prior knowledge it was like asking the Scots to agree to climb a ladder but that the possibility it may subsequently lead to a reptile petting zoo could not be entirely discounted. 62% of Scots and 55.8% of Northern Irish does not represent a majority of UK voters who elected to leave the EU on 23/6/16 although the advisory nature of such referendums maybe makes this a moot point. The question posed was unequivocal although the emphasis is mine: Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? Why would the First Ministers of Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales agree to the all encompassing format of the question and why would such 'long-subjugated appendages' choose to remain part of the UK contrary to their will? Like all UK referendums, the EU referendum in 2016 was not legally binding so there was no requirement for the Government to implement its findings. It was however, one of the dirtiest and dishonest smear campaigns by competing sides in living memory with the outcome now inevitably tainted beyond repair. The Electoral Commission cited numerous law and data breaches by both sides with fines being administered for a total in the region of $170,000 and Facebook alone being fined $500,000 for breaking the Data Protection Act. Misinformation and downright lies proliferated and were reported from both the political class and the media to the extent that it's unlikely that a significant portion of voters would vote the same way now. Despite my acknowledgement of the Government having met their ethical mandated duty here, they will regret doing so for many generations to come.
Edited by ExittheLemming - December 15 2019 at 01:44 |
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lazland
Prog Reviewer Joined: October 28 2008 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 13626 |
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Well, the hung parliament bit was ever so slightly off of the mark To be fair, I don’t think anybody really saw that coming, certainly not in the decisive manner of victory he got. I should have done, though. I have written here before about the disconnect between Metropolitan Liberal cities and the rest of England (and most of Wales). It was a primary reason for the referendum result in the first place, and it is this which is now the real division in our society, not traditional left/right wing, something which the obsessive loons around Corbyn singularly failed to appreciate, and, in addition, the bonkers pledge by the Lib Dem’s to revoke Article 50 without so much as a confirmatory vote plus a not very good leader. It’s the arrogance of these people which pisses their fellow citizens off, and Johnson’s election, masterminded by the likes of Cummins, is a final repudiation of the politics and attitude of Blair, Brown, Cameron, and Clegg. Bloody good riddance too, imo. I might also add here something which I have also said many times here, much to the dismay of friends on the site. Whilst the concept of a united Europe might be popular, the EU itself most certainly is not, and this is the case in many parts of Europe, not just in the U.K. It is an incredibly undemocratic, bureaucratic, and bullying institution. I did not vote for this “new dawn”. I voted Plaid as usual, although without much enthusiasm, as that lot are turning into a bunch of Metropolitan Liberals, excepting the bollocks they come out with is in Welsh, rather than English. I am becoming somewhat politically homeless really, unless the Labour Party can get its act together, expel the Trots and various Loons, and reconnect with normal people. However, I do think that a period of relatively stable government might be a good thing now after the chaos of the past couple of years, certainly from the perspective of my work.
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Now also broadcasting on www.progzilla.com Every Saturday, 4.00 p.m. UK time! |
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Dean
Special Collaborator Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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3½ years ago I opined on this forum that the 52% of British people who voted to leave the EU would not be able to make it work without the help, support and expertise of 48% of us who voted to remain. Since then we have been subjected to childish name-calling (Remoaners) and we have been ignored and kept out of the leave negotiations with the EU. We were then blamed for the May's "Deal" failing to get through Parliament when it was the DUP and members of the fascist ERG who blocked it on every occasion, even the shaved pedigree malamute puppy in a suit voted against May's "Deal" (because he will do anything to grasp power and that was a political move not an ideological one). The 48% played no part in any of this fiasco apart from signing pointless online petitions and having a nice day out or two in London fruitlessly waving Bollocks to Brexit placards.
What we saw from Leavers post referendum was esprit de l'escalier without the charm or wit. Having won the vote they then scrabbled around looking for justification for that vote that wasn't based upon knee-jerk racism and alt-wrong nationalism because if they haven't had that Naked Lunch moment when it has dawned on them that they would have lost without the support of racist nationalists then, frankly, that can only be because they're either too pig-ignorant to care or are in truth, racist nationalists. I can never (and will never) accept that the end justifies the means. I've had Leavers tell me point-blank that Brexit was not about immigration when every single Leave campaign leaflet had immigration front and centre. I've had Leavers inform me that Brexit means we are taking back control of our borders when we've never not been in control of our borders because the UK never signed up to Schengen agreement. I've had Leavers tell me that a soft-border between NI and Eire is possible outside the EU when it was only ever made possible because both sides were members of the EU. The less brazen of them simply claim that despite all that, they voted to leave for completely different reasons, that for them at least, it wasn't about immigration. I'd imagine there are some who believe that the allies won WW2 because Churchill was a better painter than Hitler. Sometimes you have to look at who shares your views and make a choice about whether you want to stand alongside them or not. If I was a leaver (which I am not) I could no more share the same views as Rees Moog, Gove, Fartrage and Johnson than I would voluntarily listen to a whole Toto album for the first time (I would have written Kansas there but I have recently listen to Leftoverture [and hated it]). So now Johnson has "a mandate from the people" to "get Brexit done". Fine. We lost. Now go and do it. We will now hold every single person who wants the British Isles to leave the EU to account. We will hold you all to every single promise you have made or believed in. We want the golden unicorn that farts diamonds and emeralds out of its arse: We want beneficial trade deals with every major trading country in the World, and we want them without having to give away the Crown Jewels, the Elgin Marbles or the NHS; We want to see that extra £350million given to the NHS every week. We want you to recruit more Doctors and Nurses to replace those from foreign climes who are no longer welcome; We want you to keep the Union together just like you promised; We want to see you keep the border between NI and Eire exactly as it was; We want you to sort out the Scottish problem, and the Northern Irish problem, and the Welsh problem, and the Cornish problem, and every other parochial issue that will arise as a result of this; We want to see our wages increase, and we want to see them increase significantly to compensate for all this mess; We want so see the whole country prosper and grow, (and not just those who will profit from the ensuing chaos); And most of all, you've got to win us back because we're more than just a little pissed off with you at the moment, this rift is going to take a lot of healing and we're in no mood to hold out a friendly hand to help you. As the saying goes, you had your chance and you blew it. What we don't want to see is a return to how it was before we joined the EEC in 1973, because I was there and it was crap, apart from Progressive Rock and girls in short skirts the 70s were dire. The world is a vastly different place now than it was back then, and Britain is not the same country either and never can be (nor would we ever want it to be). We were never a "once proud nation", we were a bunch of arrogant colonialists cheered on by a propaganda-fed rabble. [On last year's University Challenge xmas special Paxman introduced the University of Bristol as being founded on the fortunes made from chocolate and tobacco, conveniently omitting the slave trade]. Sure there are things to be proud of in our history, but there is much we'd rather forget. The rose-tinted vision of Merry England was a fantasy back then just as it is now (remember that the Psychedelic 60s were fuelled by nostalgia of pre-war Victorian/Georgian romanticism that never actually existed); by 1973 the Empire was spent (literally, figuratively and metaphorically), the Commonwealth were glad to see the back of us and the economy was in steep decline. Every generation wishes it had been born in an earlier time, every era has revivals and resurgences, each one a romantic pastiche of an idealised vision of the past that never existed. Life was as crap back then as it is now, it was just a different kind of crap, with less gadgets and only three channels on the telly. So now all those turkeys in Northern England who voted for Xmas have to get off their arses and go out in the fields to pick turnips and sprouts for £5/hr or wash the grime off my Jaguar using freezing cold water for £10 now that the Eastern European immigrants are no longer welcome. Those people have to make good on their battle-cry of "them immigrants coming over here stealing our jobs" when they are no longer coming over here. We in the comfortable South where the streets really are paved with gold would expect nothing less from you now you've stooped to vote for the same bunch of feckless, over-privileged, upper-middle-class gonks that all my feckless, over-privileged, lower-middle-class southern neighbours vote for despite every one of them having to work for a living. At 62 years old I've gave up on the old "yeah, we disagree but we're still mates thou'" attitude a long time ago because it doesn't fing work; on this forum I've never accepted a "let's agreed to differ" plea in an argument because those arguments and debates were never 50:50/'either of us could be right' dichotomies; I never argued subjective opinion, I only ever debated objective fact and the same is true here. Brexit was an argument between subjective opinion (and believing in golden unicorns) and objective facts (and researching the truth). Some people get emotional about subjective things and things they believe to be true while others get emotional about objective realities and things that are proven to be factual. These are not equal and they do not balance each other out. A lot of what people believed to be true about Europe were shown to be wrong, or poorly understood but that didn't matter to them, it wasn't cognitive dissonance or any of that psychological bollocks, it was merely that they needed something to blame for things that were way beyond their control. Yes the EU is far from perfect, and yes every seat of government should be subject to reassessment and reform when situations change but in the EU we were a big fish in a medium pond, outside the EU we are a small fish in a mahoosive pond.
Oh, and Scotland... well, The English are not their auld enemy, the sassenachs (saxons) were lowland (Caledonian) Scots, not English. The border is a line drawn on a map by Kings and politicians. The English did not invade or conquer the Scottish, despite there being several minor skirmishes prior (and one post) to the Scots begging Queen Anne to bail them out of debt. Like the Brexit view of Europe, the English are a convenient scapegoat... I saw a comment of FB last week stating that post Brexit not only would there be a unification of Ireland, this could also include Scotland in some romanticised union of Celtic nations... as if 500 years of sectarian divide can be brushed aside in an instance... which is more byronic than brythonic. |
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What?
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer Joined: June 22 2004 Location: England Status: Offline Points: 16130 |
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Sh!**ing hell!
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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Davesax1965
Forum Senior Member Joined: May 23 2013 Location: UK Status: Offline Points: 2839 |
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Factoid.
Tony Blair is the only Labour PM to have been born in the last 100 years. God help us. |
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Davesax1965
Forum Senior Member Joined: May 23 2013 Location: UK Status: Offline Points: 2839 |
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PS That's an excellent post from Dean, cheers.
I would point out, though, that, being a Northerner by genetics who's lived in the South of England (and incidentally been a European expat twice) that the map of Southern England contains just as much blue as the map of Northern England, now. ;-) |
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someone_else
Forum Senior Member VIP Member Joined: May 02 2008 Location: Going Bananas Status: Offline Points: 24287 |
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Congratulations !
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Davesax1965
Forum Senior Member Joined: May 23 2013 Location: UK Status: Offline Points: 2839 |
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Congratulations my ar$e.
I live in one of the highest points of the UK. From my bedroom window, I can see over thirty miles. There wasn't one firework to celebrate. Not one. Edited by Davesax1965 - February 02 2020 at 04:42 |
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siLLy puPPy
Special Collaborator PSIKE, JRF/Canterbury, P Metal, Eclectic Joined: October 05 2013 Location: SFcaUsA Status: Offline Points: 15239 |
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No political stance on this, just think this is freekin hilarious! |
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https://rateyourmusic.com/~siLLy_puPPy |
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer Joined: June 22 2004 Location: England Status: Offline Points: 16130 |
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There were fireworks going off near where I live. I think it's sad that small numbers of people were behaving like it was some great unifying event, like the reunification of Germany. I'm kind of done with it all now. The sh*t's been sh&t. It's over now, and there's nothing we can really do about it.
I sincerely hope all us 'remoaners' were wrong all along, and it all turns out great, and of course, it's early days, but for now at least, I can't see how it can be a success. |
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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Sean Trane
Special Collaborator Prog Folk Joined: April 29 2004 Location: Heart of Europe Status: Online Points: 20239 |
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TBH, ever since the advanced election and BoJo's victory, I've got no qualms anymore about the issue.
Let's hope Scotland and North Ireland can escape this disaster soon enough (I doubt Wales will escape the English stranglehold) Theoretically it could be simpler for NI, since all they would have to do is reunite wityh the real Ireland. Not sure whether Westminster will give the Scots a second independance referendum, after conning them, by hodling the Brexit one after it. |
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Chaser
Forum Senior Member Joined: April 18 2018 Location: Nottingham Status: Offline Points: 1202 |
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I don't know exactly what will happen, but I'm not convinced by the claim that Brexit means the inevitable break up of the UK. Unionists in Northern Ireland are no more inclined towards the idea of a united Ireland than they were before. Their whole issue with the Theresa may deal was that it pushed NI closer to the Republic and they didn't want that. And, whilst Brexit increases the case for Scottish independence politically, it makes it a much worse proposition economically. Bearing in mind that 80% of Scotland's trade is with the rest of the UK, it's impossible to believe that the creation of a hard border between Scotland and their main market will improve Scotland's economic position. The Scots can't have it both ways on this one. If they're saying that Brexit is bad because trade barriers between the UK are the EU are economically damaging, then that must also be the case for trade barriers between Scotland and the rest of the UK. |
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Songs cast a light on you
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