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micky View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 10:19
good question.. as you know... the Saudi's aren't exactly on our X-mas card lists here.  Who knows.. we'd probably throw in a complementary smart bomb.

Saudi Oil?  we have have plenty here... and an ascendent political movement that would have an orgasm at the chance to go green.

in all seriousness.. who knows... this isn't the cold war anymore. That applies to us.. and to the Russians. There are those.. who think regime changes in teh middle east are fundamental to solving the existential problem of radical Islam. It's hate is directed at us.. it's causes are rooted in the 1%'rs there.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:13
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

good question.. as you know... the Saudi's aren't exactly on our X-mas card lists here.  Who knows.. we'd probably throw in a complementary smart bomb.

Saudi Oil?  we have have plenty here... and an ascendent political movement that would have an orgasm at the chance to go green.

in all seriousness.. who knows... this isn't the cold war anymore. That applies to us.. and to the Russians. There are those.. who think regime changes in teh middle east are fundamental to solving the existential problem of radical Islam. It's hate is directed at us.. it's causes are rooted in the 1%'rs there.


It's not all about oil though. The point is the strategic relationship between Saudi and the US in containing Iran, and their biggest ally Syria who happen to be strategic allies of Russia.

In short we are already at war with Russia, by proxy.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:21
no.. I don't see that at all.  Thanks (for better or worse) due to Obama's policies.  While it has lengthened the bloodshed and horror in Syria it has kept us out of burning Assad to the ground.. which yes.. either by proxy or directly has kept us from engaging Russian interests there. Our problem to this point is Russia targeting the Syrian rebels and not ISIL which we are targeting. The rebels.. on their f**king own for all intents and purposes against Assad and Russia.

the point is whether we should.. and how if we chose to (which again.. I think the Clinton administration will do).. not whether we already are.  Obama is fixated on removing ISIL through a very indirect... though effective but long term strangulation strategy. For what good that will do.. but it still has to be done.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:42
^^^ If you choose to believe that the so called 'moderate' rebels are a clearly defined fighting force with one goal in mind; removing Assad then yes that is the state of play. In reality the situation is more complex. There are no clean hands in this fight, and loyalties are split across the board, and various rebel factions also oppose each other. We also know that weapons sent to 'moderate' forces have fallen into the hands of ISIS and that rebel fighters have also deserted the FSA and joined the ranks of ISIS and Al Nusra. Lets not forget that Al Nusra are the Syrian wing of Al Queada and up until very recently we were arming them too.

It is a complete mess and a dangerous one. Russia's sole mission aim is to keep Assad in power. The west want him gone and so do ISIS, so I suspect Putin beieves the best way to tackle ISIS in Syria and prevent them from making their way to Russia to carry out attacks is to confront them with Syrian forces rather than let the 'moderates' deal with them. Moderates who also want Assad gone, so by definition have to be Russia's enemy and will be dealt with accordingly. I don't see Obama having any coherant strategy here. Washington is out of its depth. You only have to watch the senate hearings in recent weeks of top military generals being challenged on why we can't impose no fly zones over Syria and they are telling the committee that to do so would mean actual direct war with Russia and Syria and should therefore be avoided. Politicians need to listen the more level headed in the military and take note.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:51
no doubt.. I'm not disagreeing with you on any of that. Incredibly complex.. especially it ones figures in Turkey's involvement hahaha.

My point is.. a proxy war with Russia?  That is not what I see we are fighting.. to this point our 'problem' with the Russians is not supporting us against ISIL and making that fight more difficult than it is already.  Two completely different wars being fought here... where it is complex is obviously how they are intertwined and interrelated.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:51
.....Is this supposed to be a shocking/new headline? LOL

Edited by JJLehto - October 09 2016 at 11:56
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:53
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

.....Is this supposed a shocking/new headline? LOL


Beer though it should have been...  Putin has gone insane... god bless the Russians. but that is a WHOLE other ball of discussion wax....
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 11:56
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

.....Is this supposed to be a shocking/new headline? LOL


Beer though it should have been...  Putin has gone insane... god bless the Russians. but that is a WHOLE other ball of discussion wax....

Putin has gone insane

....is this supposed to be a shocking/new headline?LOL



Sorry to be snarky, but yeah Putin is clearly a madman and I have no qualms saying a horrible human being
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:02
Don't ISIS and Obama both work for Israel?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:02
LOLBeer
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:03
Originally posted by Blacksword Blacksword wrote:

Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

good question.. as you know... the Saudi's aren't exactly on our X-mas card lists here.  Who knows.. we'd probably throw in a complementary smart bomb.

Saudi Oil?  we have have plenty here... and an ascendent political movement that would have an orgasm at the chance to go green.

in all seriousness.. who knows... this isn't the cold war anymore. That applies to us.. and to the Russians. There are those.. who think regime changes in teh middle east are fundamental to solving the existential problem of radical Islam. It's hate is directed at us.. it's causes are rooted in the 1%'rs there.


It's not all about oil though. The point is the strategic relationship between Saudi and the US in containing Iran, and their biggest ally Syria who happen to be strategic allies of Russia.

In short we are already at war with Russia, by proxy.

That is true. From all I've read from sources I trust/written by people who know, that does sound like our current Mid East policy has basically been alliance with Saudi Arabia to help contain Iran. 
Matters not we dont actually like the Saudi's...of course we don't but oil politics has wed us together and ya know, after so many decades can't just end it overnightLOL Besides, we've long viewed Saudi Arabia as a stable, albeit unlikeable, force in the mid east,especially against Iran which no one really likes. 

It's true, the cold war has kind of frozen back over. I mean Russia has been doing it for ages. All the elections they kept their hand in. The shenanigans in Ukraine (I dont believe for a second that Russia didnt have plants in there to stir up trouble). 

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:12
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

no doubt.. I'm not disagreeing with you on any of that. Incredibly complex.. especially it ones figures in Turkey's involvement hahaha.

My point is.. a proxy war with Russia?  That is not what I see we are fighting.. to this point our 'problem' with the Russians is not supporting us against ISIL and making that fight more difficult than it is already.  Two completely different wars being fought here... where it is complex is obviously how they are intertwined and interrelated.

Hate to be so simplistic, but look at the wiki page for Syrian Civil WarLOL
One one side: Assad, Iran, Russia. 
The other: US, Saudi Arabia. 

This is very much a proxy war. Of course ISIS is part of it, but that's the thing with any proxy war, there's always a legitimate other aspect to it, doesn't mean the major chess players still aren't at it. 

It's known Saudi Arabia wanted Assad out, they and Iran are rivals, we have long been (very) uncomfortably teamed with the Saudis and also want to contain Iran, and our already not so great relationship with Russia has gone to sh*t after Ukraine, and Russia is absolutely trying to rebuild its strength. I think when you piece it all together, can't be denied a proxy war with Russia is absolutely an essential aspect. Since Russia and Iran are buddies, our wanting to contain Iran is also linked with Russia, and all are linked with the Saudi's. 

I have a love/hate (mostly hate) feeling on intl relationsLOL Fascinating yet sickening. Anyway, it's a complex mess but seems proxy war with Russia is a legitimate claim to me
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:26
taken from a semi-pro historian.. let me tell you what the general reputation of the accuracy of of wikipedia is among historians.  It sucks... granted the QC has improved... but still.

I see the omission of Turkey and anything wiki says is lost in the ether...

wanting Assad to go down is not the same as being an active participant by proxy..

Ignore me.. but have seen NO evidence we are flighting the Rusians there.. by proxy or otherwise.  We have done nothing to facilitate Assad's removal.. other than perhaps encouraging Turkey to support... then again.. don't we feel the same for the Turks as we do the Russians... they are dithering around with Assad while ignoring the fight against ISIL.  Perhaps I'm just dense.. but see this as 2 conflicts distinct as far as objectives.. but obviously intertwined and related. That is where it is comlex. All the powers.. have their own specific objectives.  Ours and the Russians.. are not the same.. thus the confict.. diverges.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:31
As for the OP, yeah I have feared the storm clouds have been gathering for years. 
Russia's assertion of itself over the old USSR, especially for those who try to break free (georgia, ukraine) then it's direct annexation attempt of Ukraine (and like I said, I dont believe they had no influence in triggering the entire mess as justification to invade) 
I have long believed Putin had hopes of restoring the Russian empire, and when I learned a couple years ago he was influence by this madman: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aleksandr_Dugin I knew it wasn't good. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:34
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As for the OP, yeah I have feared the storm clouds have been gathering for years. 
Russia's assertion of itself over the old USSR, especially for those who try to break free (georgia, ukraine) then it's direct annexation attempt of Ukraine (and like I said, I dont believe they had no influence in triggering the entire mess as justification to invade) 
I have long believed Putin had hopes of restoring the Russian empire, and when I learned a couple years ago he was influence by this madman: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aleksandr_Dugin I knew it wasn't good. 


Clap I know you are more financially minded then myself. What is your take on the Russian financial troubles and the state of its economy. I figured this latest stunt was perhaps just something to keep the masses distracted...
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:35
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

taken from a semi-pro historian.. let me tell you what the general reputation of the accuracy of of wikipedia is among historians.  It sucks... granted the QC has improved... but still.

I see the omission of Turkey and anything wiki says is lost in the ether...

wanting Assad to go down is not the same as being an active participant by proxy..

Ignore me.. but have seen NO evidence we are flighting the Rusians there.. by proxy or otherwise.  We have done nothing to facilitate Assad's removal.. other than perhaps encouraging Turkey to support... then again.. don't we feel the same for the Turks as we do the Russians... they are dithering around with Assad while ignoring the fight against ISIL.  Perhaps I'm just dense.. but see this as 2 conflicts distinct as far as objectives.. but obviously intertwined and related. That is where it is comlex. All the powers.. have their own specific objectives.  Ours and the Russians.. are not the same.. thus the confict.. diverges.


That was indeed the point...all one needs is a wiki articleLOL the two sides, and the web of them all is all one needs. 
Nah, I think we all agree there are 2 conflicts, Isis is obviously part of it and we DO want to stop them. Like I said, there's always legitimate other aspects. But given the web of relationships laid out and who's on what side...also think it's fair to say geopolitics is as much a factor as Isis. Containing Iran, thwarting Russian influence, our Saudi ties. It's complex but in a way it all relates to one overarching web
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:39
that makes more sense to me than calling it a proxy war...it is a mess and there is a lot of geopolitics going on among many nations all with differing objectives.... perhaps I"m old school.. but that brings up some very specific examples and this is nothing like them.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:42
And I don't usually use language like this for rulers/other countries. It's known I have no issue directly criticizing the US, Germany for their imperialistic moves, but that's the thing....it's done today by economics. 
It's so shocking to see Putin believe in old school conquest and literal empire restoration. Also I think he's a regressive, disturbing person. No issue with the Russian people. 

Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As for the OP, yeah I have feared the storm clouds have been gathering for years. 
Russia's assertion of itself over the old USSR, especially for those who try to break free (georgia, ukraine) then it's direct annexation attempt of Ukraine (and like I said, I dont believe they had no influence in triggering the entire mess as justification to invade) 
I have long believed Putin had hopes of restoring the Russian empire, and when I learned a couple years ago he was influence by this madman: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aleksandr_Dugin I knew it wasn't good. 


Clap I know you are more financially minded then myself. What is your take on the Russian financial troubles and the state of its economy. I figured this latest stunt was perhaps just something to keep the masses distracted...

Sadly been super busy with school and work, haven't been very current but I have no doubt some of Russia's actions have been to distract/look tough in the wake of its financial woes. That's very reasonable, and it's not like other places do it. Though like I mentioned above, we are a step more civilizedLOL When we need a distraction from poor economics/want to drum up some nationalism we invade Grenada, or the Falklands. Russia invades a major country that they've not so secretly wanted "back" for decades.






Edited by JJLehto - October 09 2016 at 12:43
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 09 2016 at 12:47
I was sort of curious if they are as bad as I seem to be lead to believe they are.  Seems the plunges in oil prices have proven near catastrophic for them. I think I've read they've burned through half of their captial reserves and would burn through the rest in the next two years and when that happened... the crash 1930's America might look like child's play.. in 2020's Russia.  I was curious if you had any thought on that.  Finanical matters are not my strong suit.. ask Raff LOLLOL

Add in a power mad despot...  then.. the sh*t gets real... desperate despots tend to do whatever it takes to hang on to power .. looking at you Ukraine...
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