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Man With Hat
Collaborator
Jazz-Rock/Fusion/Canterbury Team
Joined: March 12 2005
Location: Neurotica
Status: Offline
Points: 166183
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 02:42 |
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Dig me...But don't...Bury me I'm running still, I shall until, one day, I hope that I'll arrive Warning: Listening to jazz excessively can cause a laxative effect.
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 08:14 |
First round picks: Houston over Cincy - lock of the week Indy over Baltimore - the inspiring story over the team that stumbled its way into the playoffs on the back of a terrible division Seattle over Washington - I'd like to see the Skins win but I think the Seabirds defense shuts RGIII down (the Steelers did it so how hard can it be?) Minnesota over Green Bay - upset special. If we've learned anything over the last few years it's go with the hot teams.
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Time always wins.
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horsewithteeth11
Prog Reviewer
Joined: January 09 2008
Location: Kentucky
Status: Offline
Points: 24598
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 09:01 |
manofmystery wrote:
First round picks:Houston over Cincy - lock of the week Indy over Baltimore - the inspiring story over the team that stumbled its way into the playoffs on the back of a terrible division Seattle over Washington - I'd like to see the Skins win but I think the Seabirds defense shuts RGIII down (the Steelers did it so how hard can it be?) Minnesota over Green Bay - upset special. If we've learned anything over the last few years it's go with the hot teams. |
I'm just going to go in order here.
1) Lol really? I'll take a team that's 7-1 in the last 8 weeks and has improved greatly in form since going 3-5 against the team that's lost their last 4 games, has a much more questionable defense (outside of JJ Watt I'm not sure the Texans have a defense), and a really banged-up O-line. Not to mention I think the Bungles actually have a better defense overall, even with out linebacker and corner issues.
2) I agree with this one, but I wasn't aware the AFC North was a terrible division. Maybe average or mediocre, but I wouldn't call it terrible If it's such a terrible division, why didn't the Steelers make the playoffs?
3) Agree totally with this one.
4) No, there is no such thing as "hot" and "cold" teams. Especially not at the professional level. Those are just buzzwords that get thrown around instead of talking about substance (statistics, team makeup, etc.). You can't look at a team's record to determine their proficiency or inefficiencies. Not to mention that winning at home in a dome is one thing, but going to Lambeau in January can be an entirely different beast.
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rdtprog
Special Collaborator
Heavy, RPI, Symph, JR/F Canterbury Teams
Joined: April 04 2009
Location: Mtl, QC
Status: Offline
Points: 5309
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 09:40 |
My picks are : Houston, Indianapolis, Seattle and Green Bay. The Pats against the 49ers in the Super Bowl, but i have the right to change my predictions in the second round...
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Music is the refuge of souls ulcerated by happiness.
Emile M. Cioran
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Finnforest
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator
Joined: February 03 2007
Location: The Heartland
Status: Online
Points: 16920
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 10:02 |
I just can't get over the AP season when you consider the major surgery just prior......I'm curious....how many of the greatest rushing seasons have occurred after a knee reconstruction?
I think his surgeon deserves an MVP award too.
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...that moment you realize "Mob Rules" is better than "Heaven and Hell"
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rdtprog
Special Collaborator
Heavy, RPI, Symph, JR/F Canterbury Teams
Joined: April 04 2009
Location: Mtl, QC
Status: Offline
Points: 5309
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 10:11 |
Finnforest wrote:
I just can't get over the AP season when you consider the major surgery just prior......I'm curious....how many of the greatest rushing seasons have occurred after a knee reconstruction?
I think his surgeon deserves an MVP award too.
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I know that in some case, like the Tommy Jones surgery in baseball, the player has a stronger arm after the operation and some players have great career after that operation, maybe it's the case with AP.
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Music is the refuge of souls ulcerated by happiness.
Emile M. Cioran
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 10:27 |
horsewithteeth11 wrote:
manofmystery wrote:
First round picks:Houston over Cincy - lock of the week Indy over Baltimore - the inspiring story over the team that stumbled its way into the playoffs on the back of a terrible division Seattle over Washington - I'd like to see the Skins win but I think the Seabirds defense shuts RGIII down (the Steelers did it so how hard can it be?) Minnesota over Green Bay - upset special. If we've learned anything over the last few years it's go with the hot teams. |
I'm just going to go in order here.
1) Lol really? I'll take a team that's 7-1 in the last 8 weeks and has improved greatly in form since going 3-5 against the team that's lost their last 4 games, has a much more questionable defense (outside of JJ Watt I'm not sure the Texans have a defense), and a really banged-up O-line. Not to mention I think the Bungles actually have a better defense overall, even with out linebacker and corner issues.
2) I agree with this one, but I wasn't aware the AFC North was a terrible division. Maybe average or mediocre, but I wouldn't call it terrible If it's such a terrible division, why didn't the Steelers make the playoffs?
3) Agree totally with this one.
4) No, there is no such thing as "hot" and "cold" teams. Especially not at the professional level. Those are just buzzwords that get thrown around instead of talking about substance (statistics, team makeup, etc.). You can't look at a team's record to determine their proficiency or inefficiencies. Not to mention that winning at home in a dome is one thing, but going to Lambeau in January can be an entirely different beast. |
1. I think you're heart is clouding your judgement. Cincy is a bad team and showed it in the last few games, despite being gifted victories. Houston struggled down the stretch but they got the best possible draw in the AFC. 2. AFC North is awful. Did you watch these teams play? I sure did and, yeesh. 3. Wise of you 4. Haven't been paying attention the last few years? Teams do get on a roll and carry momentum. Lambeau isn't a big deal, anymore, as seen in last year's game against New York. In fact, their last 3 playoff loses are at Lambeau. I don't care about the records when picking playoff games (wouldn't I have picked Green Bay in this game if I did?). Green Bay is not the team everyone seems to think they are. Minnesota isn't a special team, either, and this is the pick I'm least confident about but in a close matchup I'll take momentum, a running game, and a decent defense over no mo, no running game, and a poor defense (I seriously don't get the love for a Green Bay team that's 1/2 of one-sided.).
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Time always wins.
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Equality 7-2521
Forum Senior Member
Joined: August 11 2005
Location: Philly
Status: Offline
Points: 15784
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 10:48 |
rdtprog wrote:
Finnforest wrote:
I just can't get over the AP season when you consider the major surgery just prior......I'm curious....how many of the greatest rushing seasons have occurred after a knee reconstruction?
I think his surgeon deserves an MVP award too.
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I know that in some case, like the Tommy Jones surgery in baseball, the player has a stronger arm after the operation and some players have great career after that operation, maybe it's the case with AP.
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That's definitely not the case with ACL surgery.
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"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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rdtprog
Special Collaborator
Heavy, RPI, Symph, JR/F Canterbury Teams
Joined: April 04 2009
Location: Mtl, QC
Status: Offline
Points: 5309
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 11:07 |
Equality 7-2521 wrote:
rdtprog wrote:
Finnforest wrote:
I just can't get over the AP season when you consider the major surgery just prior......I'm curious....how many of the greatest rushing seasons have occurred after a knee reconstruction?
I think his surgeon deserves an MVP award too.
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I know that in some case, like the Tommy Jones surgery in baseball, the player has a stronger arm after the operation and some players have great career after that operation, maybe it's the case with AP.
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That's definitely not the case with ACL surgery.
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ESPN give a chart of what time recovery for this ACL operation in the past for some players : http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcnorth/post/_/id/48583/adrian-peterson-best-acl-recovery-ever
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Music is the refuge of souls ulcerated by happiness.
Emile M. Cioran
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 12:26 |
With my 1st round playoff predictions now out I suppose it's time to review the regular season predictions I made way back on 07 September 2012. I certainly didn't have the year I did last year.
manofmystery wrote:
All hail M.o.M.'s 2012 NFL Predictions:
AFC EAST:
Buffalo Bills: 7-9 6-10 - Same record they had last year when I nailed this prediction. Shame on me for believing in a one game imporvement
Miami Dolphins: 4-12 7-9 - Certainly didn't see that level of improvement coming considering their QB situation.
NE Cheatriots: 11-5 (hate to do it but the rest of the division sucks) 12-4 - close
NY Jets: 8-8 6-10 - Sanchez more awful than originally thought
AFC NORTH Baltimore Birdies: 9-7 10-6 - microscopic difference when you look at the games
Cincy Bungles: 8-8 10-6 - thought giving them credit for .500 was generous at the time. Still trying to figure out how this happened.
Cleve Brownies: 3-13 5-11 - actually looked like a team with some potential, at times
Pittsburgh Steelers: 12-4 (again, I'm biased but I see the Birdies D fading fast this year and Rice finally getting hurt) 8-8 - with the schedule they were handed there is no excuse for this record
AFC SOUTH
Houston Texans: 12-4 12-4 - ding ding ding, we have a winner
Indy Lucks: 6-10 11-5 - amazing year for a team that had absolutely nothing going for it last year. All hail Luck.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 2-14 2-14 - ding ding ding, another winner
Tenn Titans: 4-12 6-10 - it's hard to say that a 6-10 was worse than it's record indicates but...
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos: 8-8 13-3 - swing and a miss. Thought there'd be an adjustment period for Peyton coming off the injury and moving outside.
KC Chiefs: 4-12 2-14 - for some reason my most controversial prediction. Where are you Equality? Never underestimate the importance of the head coach (this will come up again later).
Oakland Raiders: 9-7 4-12 - giant miss. Looked to me to be a team on the rise with a real QB for the first time in ages but... nope.
SD Chargers: 7-9 7-9 - bold prediction, considering the teams talent (on paper), pays off. Norv is an anchor.
NFC EAST
Dallas Cowboys: 9-7 8-8 - this one came down to the wire and I'm happy to be wrong
NY Giants: 7-9 9-7 - I think JJ would agree that they played more like a 7-9 team .
Philly Iggles: 9-7 4-12 - being too spineless to go with my true feelings about this team cost me big. Damn you, "experts".
Wash Deadskins: 4-12 10-6 - "and that's a bad miss". RGIII and the overlooked Alfred Morris carry this team to a shocking record, even in a division that figured to be weak. Figures this would be the one year I'm not too high on the Redskins.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears: 10-6 10-6 - he shoots, he scores
Detroit Lions: 10-6 4-12 - what the hell happened here? seriously, wtf?
GB Packers: 13-3 11-5 - got the division winner part right but gave them just a tad too much credit overall
Minn Vikings: 3-13 10-6 - another shocker. Couldn't see anyone coming off of such a major injury to carry an entire team to the playoffs. If Peterson doesn't get the MVP award then the award is meaningless.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons: 12-4 13-3 - close, and they did win the division as predicted
Carolina Panthers: 6-10 7-9 - one game off, yet again
NO Saints: 11-5 7-9 - the team that GODell killed. Never underestimate the importance of the head coach.
TB Bucs: 2-14 7-9 - miss
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals: 2-14 5-11 - a disaster on offense, as expected, but somewhat of a pleasant surprise defensively
SF 49ers: 13-3 11-4-1 - not sure what to make of this team. completely unpredictible from week to week.
Seattle Seabirds: 4-12 11-5 - huge miss. where did this come from? shocked
St. Louis Rams: 5-11 7-8-1 - Fiscer does more than expect with the nothing he has.
The last two teams were the hardest to predict because, while they both stink, they stink in such a way that they could take advantage of better teams letting their guard down. As it applied to the Rams this statement is exactly right. The Seabirds seem legit. |
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Time always wins.
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horsewithteeth11
Prog Reviewer
Joined: January 09 2008
Location: Kentucky
Status: Offline
Points: 24598
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 12:54 |
manofmystery wrote:
horsewithteeth11 wrote:
manofmystery wrote:
First round picks:Houston over Cincy - lock of the week Indy over Baltimore - the inspiring story over the team that stumbled its way into the playoffs on the back of a terrible division Seattle over Washington - I'd like to see the Skins win but I think the Seabirds defense shuts RGIII down (the Steelers did it so how hard can it be?) Minnesota over Green Bay - upset special. If we've learned anything over the last few years it's go with the hot teams. |
I'm just going to go in order here.
1) Lol really? I'll take a team that's 7-1 in the last 8 weeks and has improved greatly in form since going 3-5 against the team that's lost their last 4 games, has a much more questionable defense (outside of JJ Watt I'm not sure the Texans have a defense), and a really banged-up O-line. Not to mention I think the Bungles actually have a better defense overall, even with out linebacker and corner issues.
2) I agree with this one, but I wasn't aware the AFC North was a terrible division. Maybe average or mediocre, but I wouldn't call it terrible If it's such a terrible division, why didn't the Steelers make the playoffs?
3) Agree totally with this one.
4) No, there is no such thing as "hot" and "cold" teams. Especially not at the professional level. Those are just buzzwords that get thrown around instead of talking about substance (statistics, team makeup, etc.). You can't look at a team's record to determine their proficiency or inefficiencies. Not to mention that winning at home in a dome is one thing, but going to Lambeau in January can be an entirely different beast. |
1. I think you're heart is clouding your judgement. Cincy is a bad team and showed it in the last few games, despite being gifted victories. Houston struggled down the stretch but they got the best possible draw in the AFC. I will admit, there is probably a bit of bias here on my part. I'm optimistic, but cautiously. I don't expect us to be favorites by any means and like I said, I don't expect my Bungles to win either. I think the Texans will do a good job of exploiting the middle of our defense, where we are weakest. If they do it well enough, then we have no shot. 2. AFC North is awful. Did you watch these teams play? I sure did and, yeesh. I'd still say it's mediocre. Not great but not terrible. If you want an awful division, look at the AFC West. 3. Wise of you 4. Haven't been paying attention the last few years? Teams do get on a roll and carry momentum. Lambeau isn't a big deal, anymore, as seen in last year's game against New York. In fact, their last 3 playoff loses are at Lambeau. I don't care about the records when picking playoff games (wouldn't I have picked Green Bay in this game if I did?). Green Bay is not the team everyone seems to think they are. Minnesota isn't a special team, either, and this is the pick I'm least confident about but in a close matchup I'll take momentum, a running game, and a decent defense over no mo, no running game, and a poor defense (I seriously don't get the love for a Green Bay team that's 1/2 of one-sided.). Alright. Since you went ahead and explained it, then I'm okay. I just didn't like that you didn't give more reasons other than "because they're a hot team" originally is all. I get tired of hearing supposedly "qualified" football people on ESPN throw words around like that, and I know you're far more intelligent than most other people out there. |
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horsewithteeth11
Prog Reviewer
Joined: January 09 2008
Location: Kentucky
Status: Offline
Points: 24598
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 12:57 |
That's why I couldn't make such detailed predictions at the beginning of the season. I'd be too ashamed to go back and see how many I got wrong. Kudos to you fine sir for being so bold.
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 13:02 |
At least the AFC West has a good team in it. I can't say the same for our sorry AFC North. Even at that, though, the AFC is so weak, overall, that two sorry AFC North teams made the playoffs. And GODell wants to expand the playoffs?
Edited by manofmystery - December 31 2012 at 13:03
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Time always wins.
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Man With Hat
Collaborator
Jazz-Rock/Fusion/Canterbury Team
Joined: March 12 2005
Location: Neurotica
Status: Offline
Points: 166183
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 15:03 |
Them axes sure are falling...
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Dig me...But don't...Bury me I'm running still, I shall until, one day, I hope that I'll arrive Warning: Listening to jazz excessively can cause a laxative effect.
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ProgMetaller2112
Forum Senior Member
Joined: December 08 2012
Location: Pacoima,CA,USA
Status: Offline
Points: 3145
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 15:06 |
I don't care for the NFL give me those chicks manofmystery
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“War is peace.
Freedom is slavery.
Ignorance is strength.”
― George Orwell, Nineteen Eighty-Four
"Ignorance and Prejudice and Fear walk Hand in Hand"- Neil Peart
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 17:16 |
MillsLayne wrote:
Yeah, I want to see Cincy go far, but I just don't know with that offense. Dalton is great, but it doesn't seem like he gets a lot of help from his O line. And yes, the Texans are done. They look bad right now.
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Well...the wonderful nerds at PFF actually ranked the Bengals as the #1 pass blocking O line. They look purely at the linemen and the number of pressures they surrender. See, the Texans offense just doesn't look the same without a run game, which has been kinda lacking this whole year. All they have is Schaub and Johnson, no matter hoe good you can't win with just a 2 player offense The D has no one outside JJ Watt, I think they were never quite as good as they seemed
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 17:25 |
As for AP, I didn't see it but I heard his rehab was like...a thing of torture. He wanted to come back from this, and not just come back but be better than before, and he made it happen.
Yeah...I wouldn't bet $$ on the Bengals but lock of the week? Your crazed Stiller fanhood blinding you a bit, I'd say far from a lock. You yourself MoM acknowledged how momentum is important and the Texans ended with 3 losses out of the last 4, and really their whole second half has been kind of lackluster and sliding downward... Bengals aren't great but they are playing tough and eeking out those wins. Can't help but notice when a team like the Steelers for example, win in the same fashion everyone raves how they "do what they need" and "just find ways to win" naturally for the Bengals it's back to "gifts" and "luck" and "swamp gas reflecting off Venus got in the eyes of the opponent" ; )
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: December 31 2012 at 18:26 |
JJLehto wrote:
Yeah...I wouldn't bet $$ on the Bengals but lock of the week? Your crazed Stiller fanhood blinding you a bit, I'd say far from a lock. You yourself MoM acknowledged how momentum is important and the Texans ended with 3 losses out of the last 4, and really their whole second half has been kind of lackluster and sliding downward... Bengals aren't great but they are playing tough and eeking out those wins. Can't help but notice when a team like the Steelers for example, win in the same fashion everyone raves how they "do what they need" and "just find ways to win" naturally for the Bengals it's back to "gifts" and "luck" and "swamp gas reflecting off Venus got in the eyes of the opponent" ; )
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They aren't playing tough, they are playing bad with their opponents playing worse. You ever stop to consider that I actually watch these teams play? Also, I'd really like to know when I've used any of those phrases you mentioned in relation to Steelers' victories. If you went back to the NFL thread the year they last made the Super Bowl I almost 100% sure you'll find my posts to be coming from the position of shock that they made it so far with no secondary and one of the dumbest offenses in the league. I'm guessing I've called the team lucky here before because I know I've done it a ton outside this forum. Your complete knee-jerk reactionary bullsh*t arguments are spewed with no backing. I will say at least my awful team beat your awful team this year with no luck required.
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Time always wins.
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TheProgtologist
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator / Retired Admin
Joined: May 23 2005
Location: Baltimore,Md US
Status: Offline
Points: 27802
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Posted: January 03 2013 at 06:46 |
Any thoughts on Ray Lewis' retirement announcement yesterday?
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: January 03 2013 at 08:47 |
Good riddance, though I don't think he'll actually do it. He'll pull an ed reed and decide to come back as next season approaches. Was trying to find a clip of my favorite ray lewis moment but youtube doesn't seem to have the clip of Dan Kreider absolutely crushing him on a block that helped lead to a 90 yard Steelers' TD pass.
Edited by manofmystery - January 03 2013 at 08:47
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Time always wins.
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