2012 MLB Season

Nothing from Jose on his Ms being on the losing end of perfection?

I was at both Tigers' games on Saturday.  I am still thawing out, it was so frickin' cold.  The Tigers were losing 8 - 0 in the top of the 1st inning.  After 3 innings they had no baserunners, and I commented that the only thing that we had to look forward too was Harrison pitching a perfect game.  I had no clue that one had actually been thrown until I read about it on Sunday.

All the games that I go to, the only no-hitter/perfect game that I have seen pitched was the Galarraga one from two years ago that wasn't because the umpire blew the call on the 27th out, so Galarraga had to get 28 outs instead, so it was 1 more than perfect.  I was in attendance in Toronto in Doc Halladay's rookie season when he took a no-hitter into the 9th inning against the Tigers.  Bobby Higginson hit a pinch-hit home run to put the Tigers back into the game; they only lost 8 to 1 (or something like that). 

Catcher10 wrote: One of my co-workers was there with his father and he said nobody really was getting excited till about the 8th....by the 9th the place was screaming! What are the odds to throw the 21st perfect game on the 21st day of the month?? Need a supercomputer to figure that one I think

I typed a long response here. Then I went to add one sentence and accidentally removed the whole post. In summary, it's approximately 3.26%. It's actual very reasonable.


Edited by Equality 7-2521 - April 23 2012 at 15:06

I've always been a Tigers' fan, but the Reds have always been my favorite National League team; goes back to the days of the Big Red Machine with Pete Rose, Joe Morgan, Johnny Bench, Ken Griffey, George Foster, etc.... 

Catcher10 wrote: Equality 7-2521 wrote: Catcher10 wrote: One of my co-workers was there with his father and he said nobody really was getting excited till about the 8th....by the 9th the place was screaming! What are the odds to throw the 21st perfect game on the 21st day of the month?? Need a supercomputer to figure that one I think I typed a long response here. Then I went to add one sentence and accidentally removed the whole post. In summary, it's approximately 3.26%. It's actual very reasonable.   So what are the odds of the 22nd perfect game happening on the 22nd day fo the month.....same?

Give or take, yes. It's actually irrelevant that it's the 22nd game probabilistically. It's really just a question of saying, what's the chance of a perfect game being thrown on the 22nd of the month? This technically varies a bit because seasons start and end on different days every year. Also, certain dates are slightly more likely to fall on certain days of the week. However, none of that greatly affects anything so the 3.26% is a good estimate.

I didn't do the calculations for the entire year. I only included the year. For example, the number estimate I gave came from me taking the numbers of days over the span of the season (not the number of days with a game played on it) and dividing by the number of 21sts. 

Probably will not win this one as I expected to get swept by the Tigers.....but we might actually have a chance in game 1

Cardnials wooooo!

Chipper Jones just turned 40 years old yesterday.  He's still the heart and soul of the Braves, and a genuinely good guy.  We're lucky to have someone like him.