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the man machine View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 07:01
Originally posted by Tony R Tony R wrote:

It's the same media attack that was used so successfully to bamboozle the public over Iraq.The screw will be turned and turned until the public demands action and another moslem state will become the enemy-at-large.


Given,therefore,that some kind of conflict with Iran is inevitable,can I predict the following?


1. Nuclear Inspectors will try unsuccessfully to gain admission to the Nuclear Plants and decide that this means that Iran is developing weapons of mass distruction.2. Atrocities carried out around the world that were previously not connected to Iran suddenly will be.3.Terrorists will blow something up in either Europe or America and "Al Jazeirah" will claim to have a tape stating that the atrocity was in retaliation for the threats to Iran.4.Tony Blair/The PM will align himself with Bush/USA Pres to maintain "world security"5. Intelligence will link Iran with Osama Bin Laden and indeed they might be harbouring him.6. Reports will detail that Iraq "Now has Nuclear Capability"7. Iran will be attacked because "they might be about to blow us all up".Some kind of near miss will be reported,where but for intelligence a nuclear assault could have been attempted.8. Some commentators will be shouted down for suggesting that a) Its all about Iran's oil and b) that there is no proof that Iran has nuclear weapons.9.Iran will be crushed,hundreds of thousands of Iranian civilians will be killed,and a few thousand Allied troops (mainly Americans)10. A relative of G.Bush will be linked to a firm overseeing oil production in Iran.11. A commisiion will be set up that eventually discovers what everyone knew: there are no nuclear weapons in Iran and Osama Bin Laden is more than likely hiding in Pakistan/Kurdistan/Florida.12. Someone on this forum will declare that he doesnt care how many Iranians are killed because so many American troops have lost their lives in the defence of their country.13.MTS will be hounded off the forum ()


Seriously.



sounds about right to me!

i dont know if it has allready been said but iran although it has large oil reserves it also has the largest natural gas reserves of any country in the world (27.5 trillion cubic metres). gas is playing an increasing role in energy production as oil prices and availiability are worsened .

if they are so worried about nuclear weapons then what are they going to do about north korea?
    
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 07:22
another thing that i find scary:

recently i read a book about climate change wherein there was a bit about how blair said to bush if he did not take action on climate change then bush would not get "unconditional" support in wars. i find the notion of allies supporting each other because they are allies scary . yukkkk

this kind of relationship where if you scratch my back i will scratch yours is not a healthy way of deciding policy on such global issues. it sickens me to think what deals go unheard of.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 08:25
Originally posted by the man machine the man machine wrote:

Originally posted by Tony R Tony R wrote:

It's the same media attack that was used so successfully to bamboozle the public over Iraq.The screw will be turned and turned until the public demands action and another moslem state will become the enemy-at-large.


Given,therefore,that some kind of conflict with Iran is inevitable,can I predict the following?


1. Nuclear Inspectors will try unsuccessfully to gain admission to the Nuclear Plants and decide that this means that Iran is developing weapons of mass distruction.2. Atrocities carried out around the world that were previously not connected to Iran suddenly will be.3.Terrorists will blow something up in either Europe or America and "Al Jazeirah" will claim to have a tape stating that the atrocity was in retaliation for the threats to Iran.4.Tony Blair/The PM will align himself with Bush/USA Pres to maintain "world security"5. Intelligence will link Iran with Osama Bin Laden and indeed they might be harbouring him.6. Reports will detail that Iraq "Now has Nuclear Capability"7. Iran will be attacked because "they might be about to blow us all up".Some kind of near miss will be reported,where but for intelligence a nuclear assault could have been attempted.8. Some commentators will be shouted down for suggesting that a) Its all about Iran's oil and b) that there is no proof that Iran has nuclear weapons.9.Iran will be crushed,hundreds of thousands of Iranian civilians will be killed,and a few thousand Allied troops (mainly Americans)10. A relative of G.Bush will be linked to a firm overseeing oil production in Iran.11. A commisiion will be set up that eventually discovers what everyone knew: there are no nuclear weapons in Iran and Osama Bin Laden is more than likely hiding in Pakistan/Kurdistan/Florida.12. Someone on this forum will declare that he doesnt care how many Iranians are killed because so many American troops have lost their lives in the defence of their country.13.MTS will be hounded off the forum ()


Seriously.



sounds about right to me!

i dont know if it has allready been said but iran although it has large oil reserves it also has the largest natural gas reserves of any country in the world (27.5 trillion cubic metres). gas is playing an increasing role in energy production as oil prices and availiability are worsened .

if they are so worried about nuclear weapons then what are they going to do about north korea?
    


Probably try to improve relations; offer them trade deals in return for suspending its nuclear program. As you suggest, NK has the bomb, so wer'e not going to mess with them. Although they couldn't win an outright war with the US, they could certainly kick her arse all over the pacifc, and neither the US or her allies have enough body bags ready for a conflict with NK.
     

Basically, they're safe for now. They do, after all have a nuclear deterrent, unlike Iran who are fair game and full to the gills with oil and gas.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 09:36
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

OK, then it's decided: BOMB IRAN!!! A bunch of bearded Muslims with hidden  women (they must be ugly, ahem) obviously do not deserve to live.
 
Yes, let's repeat what Dubya said before invading Mesopotamia (Irak): "Now, we're gonna show them what is Seevilysachion."
 
 
Quoting myself to let things clear (probably the lack of emoticons and my poor English couldn't have shown the irony of what I wrote) Confused
 
I TOTALLY OPPOSE THIS INTENDED WAR AGAINST IRAN... IN FACT I TOTALLY OPPOSE ANY WAR - it should be decided centuries ago to remove beligerant actions from the Human features, but at least we should have learned with WWII (and finish with all wars then). Cry
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:29
From BBC website today. Iran threatens to withdraw from the NPT (Non proliferation Treaty) if the west increases pressure on them. This would mean the IAEA would no longer be allowed to inspect their facilities.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4981940.stm
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:51
Here's an interesting article on why leaders are reluctant to go the distance in war in the past decades. I don't entirely agree with the white guilt aspect of it, but it's still an interesting viewpoint coming from an African/American.

link

Edited by marktheshark - May 07 2006 at 11:56
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:54
Originally posted by marktheshark marktheshark wrote:

Here's an interesting article on why leaders are reluctant to go the distance in war in the past decades. I don't entirely agree with the white guilt aspect of it, but it's still an interesting viewpoint coming from an African/American.

    link
 
I click the link and return to PA forum... Confused or Page Not Found!


Edited by Atkingani - May 07 2006 at 11:56
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:57
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by marktheshark marktheshark wrote:

Here's an interesting article on why leaders are reluctant to go the distance in war in the past decades. I don't entirely agree with the white guilt aspect of it, but it's still an interesting viewpoint coming from an African/American.     link

 

I click the link and return to PA forum... [IMG]height=17 alt=Confused src="http://www.progarchives.com/forum/smileys/smiley5.gif" width=17 align=absMiddle> or Page Not Found!

I don't know what happened, but it works now. Go ahead but click on the original post.
    
    

Edited by marktheshark - May 07 2006 at 11:58
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 12:18
Worked now... Smile
 
Very interesting article, indeed. I'm not a US citizen and don't live there but I always say that USA are the summary of 2000 years of the so-called "Western Civilization" with the good, the bad and the average things. American citizens and inhabitants will have to live with those issues for a long time ahead.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 14:38
Ive never been happy with the idea that "we" can bomb or otherwise attack Iran, on the grounds that "we" fear an attack from them, because from their point of view, they then (justifiably) fear an attack from "us" - and then, surely, are equally justified in attacking us first? (Unless, of course, one wishes to have double standards....)
 
The start of the proces sis the erroneous fear of an attack from (in this case) Iran, the country. (9/11, remember, was the work of rogue elements.) And this fear is untruthfully manufactured & nurtured  by people with a vested interest in having a fearful (and thus easily manipulated) population. Stop the crooks fomenting fear, and we have a much better chance of sorting out the situation peacefully.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 17:01
When a President says Israel should be wiped off the map and that the holocaust didnīt really happen, it is damn worrying though.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 17:04
Originally posted by sigod sigod wrote:

It's a throny issue to be sure but I guess you can always say, how many countries in the world have nuclear power but NO nuclear weapons?

I can sense another middle east 'conflict' coming on.
 
They've been in conflict since Moses went up the mountain.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 23:06
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Worked now... Smile
 
Very interesting article, indeed. I'm not a US citizen and don't live there but I always say that USA are the summary of 2000 years of the so-called "Western Civilization" with the good, the bad and the average things. American citizens and inhabitants will have to live with those issues for a long time ahead.
 
I'll be able to live with those "issues" just fine. Guilt free, actually.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 01:36
HAHAHA!

How many times has China and North Korea threatened to blow the US to smithereens?!
How many millions of illegal "immigrants" have entered the US?
(I have a video of Bush waving the Mexican flag so I doubt we will see anything done on the border)
Just how high are gas prices going to go? 4? 5$?

But here we are pissing in our pants because Iran - (MIGHT HAVE NUCLEAR BOMBS?!)
WHAT A SURPRISE!

Did we forget how the Islamic extremist government came into power?
Who removed Mossadegh in the CIA coup in 1953 and implanted the Shah into power? Only to be overthrown by Islamic extremists and replaced by the Islamic Republic...

How many more "wars" are we going to fight before we call the war on terror a day?
Bush himself (or was it cheney - same person anyway), said the war on terror would last 50 years - oh joy!

And who exactly are going to fight half a century's worth of wars? ME and YOU of course. Aren't you guys excited? No?


Smile




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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 05:23
Originally posted by Hierophant Hierophant wrote:

HAHAHA!

How many times has China and North Korea threatened to blow the US to smithereens?!
How many millions of illegal "immigrants" have entered the US?
(I have a video of Bush waving the Mexican flag so I doubt we will see anything done on the border)
Just how high are gas prices going to go? 4? 5$?

But here we are pissing in our pants because Iran - (MIGHT HAVE NUCLEAR BOMBS?!)
WHAT A SURPRISE!

Did we forget how the Islamic extremist government came into power?
Who removed Mossadegh in the CIA coup in 1953 and implanted the Shah
into power? Only to be overthrown by Islamic extremists and replaced by
the Islamic Republic...

How many more "wars" are we going to fight before we call the war on terror a day?
Bush himself (or was it cheney - same person anyway), said the war on terror would last 50 years - oh joy!

And who exactly are going to fight half a century's worth of wars? ME and YOU of course. Aren't you guys excited? No?










Only 50 years, thats not bad, but then thats a conservative estimate...so to speak. I think you'll find that the state of war will be eternal from now on. I would say thats the plan.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 05:45
Originally posted by Blacksword Blacksword wrote:


Only 50 years, thats not bad, but then thats a conservative estimate...so to speak. I think you'll find that the state of war will be eternal from now on. I would say thats the plan.
 
Yes. Very Orwellian as we said before.
 
I don't think there has ever been a time in history when there weren't wars on earth. Probably the only time that humanity would all unite together would be if we were attacked by aliens.


Edited by Bob Greece - May 08 2006 at 05:47
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 06:03
Originally posted by Blacksword Blacksword wrote:

Originally posted by James Lee James Lee wrote:

just an observation: extremists don't need to be provoked. The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need....and comparisons with Hitler are inevitable when the topic of appeasement is raised.When I think of the Bush presidency, I can't help remembering that the people got sick of the boy who cried wolf just before the actual wolf appeared. But that may be an indictment of the people as much as it is of one troublemaking boy.


    The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need

I guess thats all the provocation we've needed to invade Iraq, and Afghanistan, so you may be right, althuogh I dont think thats quite what you meant.

My point is, james that Bush & co are extremists in the eyes of those we call extremists. This is where the line between good and evil is blurred, and what side you come down on purely depends on what side of the geographical fence you sit on.

It's worth remembering also, that we only have the word of our leaders that what happened on 9/11 (for instance) was carried out by the extremists we fight against. Lets face it, our leaders record for telling us the truth is questionable.


Fair enough. I personally don't trust Bush's motives or methods...but that doesn't mean I'm going to sit in a burning building simply because I don't trust the person who's telling me about the fire.

People in general and politicians certainly will always reduce the complexities of any issue down to terms of right and wrong- you don't win support by laying out all the details of your opposition's case. In that sense, all leaders of specific interests are extremists. But when I think of extremists, I think of people like Theo van Gogh's murderers. The filmmaker didn't have the option to sit down with them and debate his position. There was no talk of economic sanctions. How can the US, though flawed it certainly is, be compared to that?

For me, the prime question was whether Iran had demonstrated the responsibility or need for nuclear technology (apart from the question of whether we have the responsibility, which is definitely worthy of debate). I am fairly satisfied that the answer is no; Iran is one of several nations who rose to international prominence simply because of proximity and control of an international resource. Though I'm not satisfied of our right to intervene, and I abhor the suffering that a war would cause, I am reasonably convinced that Iran does not need and cannot be trusted with nuclear technology.

I accept that I'm running the risk of being cast in a pro-war role simply because I'm unwilling to settle into the usual knee-jerk Western self-loathing position. The West can still do much more good than evil, and the proof is all around us. The Gulf nations have yet to fully demonstrate that they are ready to be part of a civilized modern society.

"It may be that Western culture will indeed go: The lack of conviction of many of those who should be its defenders and the passionate intensity of its accusers may well join to complete its destruction. But if it does go, the men and women of all the continents will thereby be impoverished and endangered." - Bernard Lewis






Edited by James Lee - May 08 2006 at 06:23
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 08:06
Originally posted by James Lee James Lee wrote:



Originally posted by Blacksword Blacksword wrote:

Originally posted by James Lee James Lee wrote:

just an observation: extremists don't need to be provoked. The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need....and comparisons with Hitler are inevitable when the topic of appeasement is raised.When I think of the Bush presidency, I can't help remembering that the people got sick of the boy who cried wolf just before the actual wolf appeared. But that may be an indictment of the people as much as it is of one troublemaking boy.


    The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need

I guess thats all the provocation we've needed to invade Iraq, and Afghanistan, so you may be right, althuogh I dont think thats quite what you meant.

My point is, james that Bush & co are extremists in the eyes of those we call extremists. This is where the line between good and evil is blurred, and what side you come down on purely depends on what side of the geographical fence you sit on.

It's worth remembering also, that we only have the word of our leaders that what happened on 9/11 (for instance) was carried out by the extremists we fight against. Lets face it, our leaders record for telling us the truth is questionable.
Fair enough. I personally don't trust Bush's motives or methods...but that doesn't mean I'm going to sit in a burning building simply because I don't trust the person who's telling me about the fire.People in general and politicians certainly will always reduce the complexities of any issue down to
terms of right and wrong- you don't win support by laying out all the
details of your opposition's case. In that sense, all leaders of
specific interests are extremists. But when I think of extremists, I think of people like Theo van Gogh's murderers. The filmmaker didn't have the option to sit down with them and debate his position. There was no talk of economic sanctions. How can the US, though flawed it certainly is, be compared to that? For me, the prime question was whether Iran had demonstrated the responsibility or need for nuclear technology (apart from the question of whether we have the responsibility, which is definitely worthy of debate). I am fairly satisfied that the answer is no; Iran is one of several nations who rose to international prominence simply because of proximity and control of an international resource. Though I'm not satisfied of our right to intervene, and I abhor the suffering that a war would cause, I am reasonably convinced that Iran does not need and cannot be trusted with nuclear technology.I accept that I'm running the risk of being cast in a pro-war role
simply because I'm unwilling to settle into the usual knee-jerk Western
self-loathing position. The West can still do much more good than evil, and the proof is all around us. The Gulf nations have yet to fully demonstrate that they are ready to be part of a civilized modern society.<font face="Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><font face="Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">"It may be that Western culture
will indeed go: The lack of conviction of many of those who should be
its defenders and the passionate intensity of its accusers may well
join to complete its destruction. But if it does go, the men and women
of all the continents will thereby be impoverished and endangered." - Bernard Lewis


Well, Iran wouldn't be my first choice of places to live, but this is because I have, to some degree fallen for the wests demonisation of the Arab world too. There are a few things we should understand about Iran. It's one of the worlds oldest democracies. Compared to Iraq it is a socially advanced country. Many of its citizens prefer democracy over theocracy, and the democractic processes that landed this current lunatic in charge, can easily be used to get rid of him. The election was hardly a landslide. In short, Iran as a nation is not the Neanderthal monster our media and our leaders portray it as. It's also worth remembering that their nuclear energy program started back in 1975. If Iran really is the threat Bush & Co claim it to be, perhaps we should have bombed them into the stone age back then. What stopped us? The Soviet threat? The absence of the 'Neo Conservative' lobby, pushing for a 'New World Order' ??

With respect James, the whole issue of whether or not Iran can be trusted with nuclear power is neither here nor there. With the right leaderership they can, and with the wrong leadership they cant. Just like the US, Russia, China, Britain, Israel, France, Pakistan and India. Under current conditions I'm more concerned about Israels weapons arsenal. My point being, if we initiate a war with Iran that spirals out of control, engulfs the ME, and possibly goes nuclear, who will have been in the wrong...ultimately? Us of course. Not Iran.

I still hold the belief that Iran can be handled by the IAEA with success. If they are genuine about their intentions to create energy only, then this will be easily verified by IAEA inspections. As it is they are threatening to withdraw from the NPT, which will mean an end to IAEA inspections. Lets face it, they are baitng America into action, knowing that the consequences will be far reaching for the global economy. Bush shouldn't rise to it, but the fact that he is, indicates to me there is more to all this than thwarting Irans possibly mythical weapons program.     
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 08:15
Iranian president writes letter to President Bush:

Iranian president writes letter to President Bush

The specifics of the letter will be published once the US president has read it (says Bush)

This is significant as it is the first high level contact between the leaders of the two countries since 1979. It's thought that the Iranian leader is saying he will negotiate with 'anyone' in order to avoid conflict over Irans weapon program, which he still claims is non existent.
    

Edited by Blacksword - May 08 2006 at 08:16
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 08 2006 at 09:03
Originally posted by Greg W Greg W wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Worked now... Smile
 
Very interesting article, indeed. I'm not a US citizen and don't live there but I always say that USA are the summary of 2000 years of the so-called "Western Civilization" with the good, the bad and the average things. American citizens and inhabitants will have to live with those issues for a long time ahead.
 
I'll be able to live with those "issues" just fine. Guilt free, actually.
 
Fine but I did not use the word "guilt" and the issues are related to the article Mark suggested us to read. Smile
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