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Topic ClosedCD format abandoned in 2012?

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 03:55
I believe physical editions will always be made, albeit in limited runs for serious fans only, and only of albums from more specialist bands or on the other extreme, massively popular acts like Lady Gaga. Those in between will probably go digital only.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 03:58
this thread is in its 7th page (and almost over) in Prog Ears...
 
This is mostly a hoax IMHO
 
CDs still represent over 50% of revenues to the music industry, so they'd be stuuuuuuupid to shoot a bullet in the own foot
 
 
 
 
 
 
let's just stay above the moral melee
prefer the sink to the gutter
keep our sand-castle virtues
content to be a doer
as well as a thinker,
prefer lifting our pen
rather than un-sheath our sword
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 04:03
other graphs
let's just stay above the moral melee
prefer the sink to the gutter
keep our sand-castle virtues
content to be a doer
as well as a thinker,
prefer lifting our pen
rather than un-sheath our sword
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 04:39
Originally posted by Warthur Warthur wrote:

Could this turn into a boon for smaller labels? I can foresee the circumstances going like this:

Major labels abandon CDs -> Brick and mortar stores realise that devoting themselves to mainstream CD sales is a loser's game, and turn to independent labels to acquire stock, reasoning that they can survive by catering to niche/connoisseur markets instead -> Independent labels suddenly find it easier to get their CDs into stores where previously major label releases crowded them out.

The upshot of this would be a market where mainstream music is sold on a song by song basis on the internet, whilst CDs/albums are the purview of particular musical scenes (the indie/hipster crowd, the metal crowd, classical fans, jazz fans, us). When you want to acquire the hit song you just heard on the radio, you hit up Google, when you want to discover new music from outside of your comfort zone you stroll down to the CD store and use the listening booths to check out artists you wouldn't normally hear on the radio.

I could live with that.

This is the future, no doubts whatsoever.


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 05:39
Originally posted by rushfan4 rushfan4 wrote:

Originally posted by darkshade darkshade wrote:

Originally posted by rushfan4 rushfan4 wrote:

You're SOL unless you've backed it all up on a Cloud or something.


Right, but if you had a physical format, you wouldn't really have to worry.

What if, hypothetically, the internet fails? (well I guess there would be more to worry about than just your music collection), but still.

Maybe it's the cynic in me, but I honestly feel like something could happen in the next 20 years where people are going to wish they had that hard copy of music because all the internet is down or programs on your computer are not working, like how iTunes may run with "cloud", meaning you could only listen to your music if you're connected to the internet.
I'm with you on this.  I'm not a techy and really don't understand this Cloud-thing, but it is the new most amazing thing and apparently between your iPads and your iPhones and your iComputers you will be able to access anything, everywhere on the Cloud.    Beats me what prevents this Cloud from being hacked or deleted or temporarily down for maintenance or down due to an electrical storm or sun spots or from being unaccessible because you are camping in the middle of nowhere or in my case driving in the middle of the most technology based city in the state of Michigan but not able to get a signal because there is too much electronic equipment with magnets running blocking any signals from actually being received.
The "Cloud" is the biggest con-job of the 21st Century so far. This is the first step to not actually owning anything you buy. With current downloads you can copy the file elsewhere or even burn it to CDR, with Cloud based files you are effectlvely renting the file, be that music, video, a program or even an operating system. "Microsoft Update" is essentilly just that - you no longer "own" a copy of your operating system since it can be "updated" (read "changed" or "removed") by Microsoft - it's becoming harder to actually buy hardcopy instalation discs of Microsoft operating systems - I suspect Apple is not that different, certainly a iTunes installation is essentially controlled (ie "owned") by Apple, not the user.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 05:46
^ but there are some software products where you buy a license to use only, are you saying that these are a con job?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 06:59
Originally posted by Nightfly Nightfly wrote:

Well if the major labels stop producing Cd's they won't see any more of my money. never paid for a download, never will.
 
Hopefully the independants will continue to produce them or it may have to be vinyl.


Bang on! I only buy cd's and I still have vinyl. I never download and won't.
PS: I have heard vinyl is on the increase? I recently went to watch It Bites and they are releasing an actual vinyl album.......!


Edited by clarkpegasus4001 - November 05 2011 at 07:02
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 12:59
Originally posted by ExittheLemming ExittheLemming wrote:

^ but there are some software products where you buy a license to use only, are you saying that these are a con job?

The point is the fact that you technically only bought a license to play Diablo 2 is a legal sleight of hand: you have a CD to install it from and you can play it offline without Blizzard ever being aware of your existence. But Diablo 3 requires you to be connected to the internet constantly, so you have to tell them what you're doing all the time, and they have the power to take away your ability to play the game at all if they wanted to (hax don't count for the purposes of this discussion). Similarly, with the Cloud, you are putting your data in the hands of Google or Microsoft for all time. Why anyone would get one of those Chromebooks is completely beyond me.

Although I would point out to Dean that you don't have to run Windows update. ;-)
Originally posted by clarkpegasus4001 clarkpegasus4001 wrote:

PS: I have heard vinyl is on the increase?

It's not really a significant number of people, it's just increased from zero. Personally, I am planning to live my entire life without owning a turntable, and if someone wants to release a vinyl only album with no digital download then I just won't listen to it.


Edited by Henry Plainview - November 05 2011 at 13:00
if you own a sodastream i hate you
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 13:15
I'm a bit doubtful about the veracity of this information: would major labels really ask their consumers to drastically change their habits of buying and listening in the gap of a sole year?
After all, this article just quotes the declaration of one person, based on HIS habits of buying (and it sounds like one of these great prophecies which is called to be a miss).
Talking about a five-years plan is maybe more realistic, although I would rather predict a ten-years plan... And I already feel like I'm talking a bit too much audaciously.

Moreover, I wonder how the musicians would realize if such an idea was suggested: speaking of the EMI rooster, would Kate Bush or Iron Maiden agree with this new strategy? Would younger bands and artists be ready for such a change?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 13:32

Another thing which is becoming apparant now is that the top seller lists is a joke now. Vera Lynn got a top 1 album by selling 60 000 copies in a week. Susan Boyle is releasing her new album on Monday and is a sure candidate for the top 1 for a long while without selling even a fraction of what a chart topper sold 20 years ago.  

And here is the whole point.

Buyers of Vera Lynn and Susan Boyle is not likely to illegally or even legally downloading their albums. There is no hit lists on piracy, but I would guess the new Justin Bieber or even the new Metallica/Lou Reed album is illegally downloaded twenty - fifty times more than Susan Boyle's new album. That is not even a guess. That is an almost certainty. What does this tell the bean counters in the multi national companies ? That the CD/LP paying customers are middle aged and pensioneers in the age group 45 to 105 years old. Those are the ones paying your bills now. The youth market from 10 to 45 years old are thieves which you cannot trust to buy your stuff/pay your bills. 

This is going to dawn on the Warner bosses and the new owners of EMI who are taking over a sinking ship and somehow have to stop the ship from going under. Where are the labels going to invest their money again ? Take a guess. 

 

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 13:37
Originally posted by Henry Plainview Henry Plainview wrote:


Although I would point out to Dean that you don't have to run Windows update. ;-)
For the moment, and only while Microsoft let you not run it. :-þ
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 14:01
Originally posted by ExittheLemming ExittheLemming wrote:

^ but there are some software products where you buy a license to use only, are you saying that these are a con job?
No - if you know you are buying a licence then that isn't a con. But if you buy a download Kindle eBook for example many people are unaware that they are buying a licence to read the book, not to own it (http://www.law.yale.edu/news/10288.htm) - now extrapolate that to download mp3s from Amazon or iTunes, for the moment we "own" what we download, but in the future when your hardware (iPad) is tied to one piece of software (iTunes) and only one store/storage (iTunes Store/iCloud) then who can really say tht they "own" what they buy.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 14:16
If you really want to kill music place onerous restrictions on how you enjoy it once you've paid for it.

Edited by Slartibartfast - November 05 2011 at 14:17
Released date are often when it it impacted you but recorded dates are when it really happened...

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 14:26
Originally posted by Sean Trane Sean Trane wrote:

this thread is in its 7th page (and almost over) in Prog Ears...
 
This is mostly a hoax IMHO
 
CDs still represent over 50% of revenues to the music industry, so they'd be stuuuuuuupid to shoot a bullet in the own foot
 
 



Interesting graph, a drop from 71$ to 26$ per head in just 10 years. No wonder these majors are running around in panic.
And just 26$ per head per year, I must be crazy buying at least 50 cds per year.


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 14:44
All very interesting reading. It's a sh*thole, this digital world. I am old enough to remember when I bought a Dave Clark Five album, I owned it. When I got tired of listening to Bits and Pieces, I traded it to a friend for Rubber Soul (score!). These were physical objects I could do with as I wished. If John Lennon said something offensive, I could burn the damned thing. Ha, I just realized burning had a different meaning in the '60s. 

I'm not aware of any software company that now provides physical media, at least for OS's, the difference being, the consumer never owned a copy of the software anyway, only a license to use it. My wife's iMac (Snow Leopard) came with installation disks. My MacBook (Lion) did not. Not that it matters. In the digital age, THEY know your machine. I think registration is required. 

All kinds of content providers (whether they provide music, movies, books, magazines, you name it) are desperately trying to come up with ways to sell content without distributing it on an own-able physical copy. The music industry in particular has been fighting this for the better part of my life. Remember when the music labels wanted to impose a "tax" on blank cassettes, claiming use of said cassettes was hurting sales? Remember when a pre-recorded VHS movie cost $80? 

I realize I'm not exactly making sense here, other than to say, the battle has been ongoing for years. Analog to digital has been a bitch for all involved, and will continue to be. 

That said, I just bought a few albums from iTunes. I don't know if I'm renting or owning. I suppose I could burn a DVD though I don't know what digital rights are attached to those purchases. That I even mention "digital rights" is disturbing. 

In the meantime, play on.  
Can you tell me where we're headin'?
Lincoln County Road or Armageddon.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 16:43
Originally posted by Mr ProgFreak Mr ProgFreak wrote:

Originally posted by stonebeard stonebeard wrote:

As long as they provide .wav or .flac files. I'm not going to pay for lossy crap.

The "lossy crap" is virtually indistinguishable from the original. If you keep ignoring it it may in fact be your loss.Wink

1) It can be distinguishable if the bit rate is low enough, but rather lossless music fatigues the ears less and provides for more dynamic range.

2) if I'm going to own music, I'm going to own it in it's best possible fidelity. That's just the way it is.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 19:09
Originally posted by stonebeard stonebeard wrote:

Originally posted by Mr ProgFreak Mr ProgFreak wrote:

Originally posted by stonebeard stonebeard wrote:

As long as they provide .wav or .flac files. I'm not going to pay for lossy crap.

The "lossy crap" is virtually indistinguishable from the original. If you keep ignoring it it may in fact be your loss.Wink

1) It can be distinguishable if the bit rate is low enough, but rather lossless music fatigues the ears less and provides for more dynamic range.
Oliverstonedbeard?
 
Mike's point is it is indistinguishable if the bitrate is high enough. The dynamic range is unaffected by lossy encoding techniques and the "provision" within the two systems is the same. Listener fatique is subjective and would not pass an ABX test.
 
Originally posted by stonebeard stonebeard wrote:


2) if I'm going to own music, I'm going to own it in it's best possible fidelity. That's just the way it is.
And that is how it should be, but bear in mind that CD, and thus ".wav" files, are not the best possible fidelity.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 19:13
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

s ".wav" files, are not the best possible fidelity.


How so?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 19:17
Originally posted by Polo Polo wrote:

Oh hell no, the indie folks and hipsters and real music fans will keep physical releases alive.


for one welcome our new iTunes overlords will keep buying CDs (and maybe even vinyl) as long as I can, and will resort to buying used if by any chance even the indie labels stop releasing physical albums.



I'm not happy at all to see that them big labels trying to get Amazon to monopolize the CD/vinyl market.

This.

The world is really coming to an end in 2012.OuchWink
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 05 2011 at 19:18
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:


Originally posted by stonebeard stonebeard wrote:


2) if I'm going to own music, I'm going to own it in it's best possible fidelity. That's just the way it is.
And that is how it should be, but bear in mind that CD, and thus ".wav" files, are not the best possible fidelity.

I suppose that's correct, but very little past 44.1 KHz is going to be noticeable, while it gets much more noticeable below that.
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