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marktheshark View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:57
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by marktheshark marktheshark wrote:

Here's an interesting article on why leaders are reluctant to go the distance in war in the past decades. I don't entirely agree with the white guilt aspect of it, but it's still an interesting viewpoint coming from an African/American.     link

 

I click the link and return to PA forum... [IMG]height=17 alt=Confused src="http://www.progarchives.com/forum/smileys/smiley5.gif" width=17 align=absMiddle> or Page Not Found!

I don't know what happened, but it works now. Go ahead but click on the original post.
    
    

Edited by marktheshark - May 07 2006 at 11:58
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:54
Originally posted by marktheshark marktheshark wrote:

Here's an interesting article on why leaders are reluctant to go the distance in war in the past decades. I don't entirely agree with the white guilt aspect of it, but it's still an interesting viewpoint coming from an African/American.

    link
 
I click the link and return to PA forum... Confused or Page Not Found!


Edited by Atkingani - May 07 2006 at 11:56
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:51
Here's an interesting article on why leaders are reluctant to go the distance in war in the past decades. I don't entirely agree with the white guilt aspect of it, but it's still an interesting viewpoint coming from an African/American.

link

Edited by marktheshark - May 07 2006 at 11:56
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 11:29
From BBC website today. Iran threatens to withdraw from the NPT (Non proliferation Treaty) if the west increases pressure on them. This would mean the IAEA would no longer be allowed to inspect their facilities.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4981940.stm
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 09:36
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

OK, then it's decided: BOMB IRAN!!! A bunch of bearded Muslims with hidden  women (they must be ugly, ahem) obviously do not deserve to live.
 
Yes, let's repeat what Dubya said before invading Mesopotamia (Irak): "Now, we're gonna show them what is Seevilysachion."
 
 
Quoting myself to let things clear (probably the lack of emoticons and my poor English couldn't have shown the irony of what I wrote) Confused
 
I TOTALLY OPPOSE THIS INTENDED WAR AGAINST IRAN... IN FACT I TOTALLY OPPOSE ANY WAR - it should be decided centuries ago to remove beligerant actions from the Human features, but at least we should have learned with WWII (and finish with all wars then). Cry
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 08:25
Originally posted by the man machine the man machine wrote:

Originally posted by Tony R Tony R wrote:

It's the same media attack that was used so successfully to bamboozle the public over Iraq.The screw will be turned and turned until the public demands action and another moslem state will become the enemy-at-large.


Given,therefore,that some kind of conflict with Iran is inevitable,can I predict the following?


1. Nuclear Inspectors will try unsuccessfully to gain admission to the Nuclear Plants and decide that this means that Iran is developing weapons of mass distruction.2. Atrocities carried out around the world that were previously not connected to Iran suddenly will be.3.Terrorists will blow something up in either Europe or America and "Al Jazeirah" will claim to have a tape stating that the atrocity was in retaliation for the threats to Iran.4.Tony Blair/The PM will align himself with Bush/USA Pres to maintain "world security"5. Intelligence will link Iran with Osama Bin Laden and indeed they might be harbouring him.6. Reports will detail that Iraq "Now has Nuclear Capability"7. Iran will be attacked because "they might be about to blow us all up".Some kind of near miss will be reported,where but for intelligence a nuclear assault could have been attempted.8. Some commentators will be shouted down for suggesting that a) Its all about Iran's oil and b) that there is no proof that Iran has nuclear weapons.9.Iran will be crushed,hundreds of thousands of Iranian civilians will be killed,and a few thousand Allied troops (mainly Americans)10. A relative of G.Bush will be linked to a firm overseeing oil production in Iran.11. A commisiion will be set up that eventually discovers what everyone knew: there are no nuclear weapons in Iran and Osama Bin Laden is more than likely hiding in Pakistan/Kurdistan/Florida.12. Someone on this forum will declare that he doesnt care how many Iranians are killed because so many American troops have lost their lives in the defence of their country.13.MTS will be hounded off the forum ()


Seriously.



sounds about right to me!

i dont know if it has allready been said but iran although it has large oil reserves it also has the largest natural gas reserves of any country in the world (27.5 trillion cubic metres). gas is playing an increasing role in energy production as oil prices and availiability are worsened .

if they are so worried about nuclear weapons then what are they going to do about north korea?
    


Probably try to improve relations; offer them trade deals in return for suspending its nuclear program. As you suggest, NK has the bomb, so wer'e not going to mess with them. Although they couldn't win an outright war with the US, they could certainly kick her arse all over the pacifc, and neither the US or her allies have enough body bags ready for a conflict with NK.
     

Basically, they're safe for now. They do, after all have a nuclear deterrent, unlike Iran who are fair game and full to the gills with oil and gas.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 07:22
another thing that i find scary:

recently i read a book about climate change wherein there was a bit about how blair said to bush if he did not take action on climate change then bush would not get "unconditional" support in wars. i find the notion of allies supporting each other because they are allies scary . yukkkk

this kind of relationship where if you scratch my back i will scratch yours is not a healthy way of deciding policy on such global issues. it sickens me to think what deals go unheard of.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 07:01
Originally posted by Tony R Tony R wrote:

It's the same media attack that was used so successfully to bamboozle the public over Iraq.The screw will be turned and turned until the public demands action and another moslem state will become the enemy-at-large.


Given,therefore,that some kind of conflict with Iran is inevitable,can I predict the following?


1. Nuclear Inspectors will try unsuccessfully to gain admission to the Nuclear Plants and decide that this means that Iran is developing weapons of mass distruction.2. Atrocities carried out around the world that were previously not connected to Iran suddenly will be.3.Terrorists will blow something up in either Europe or America and "Al Jazeirah" will claim to have a tape stating that the atrocity was in retaliation for the threats to Iran.4.Tony Blair/The PM will align himself with Bush/USA Pres to maintain "world security"5. Intelligence will link Iran with Osama Bin Laden and indeed they might be harbouring him.6. Reports will detail that Iraq "Now has Nuclear Capability"7. Iran will be attacked because "they might be about to blow us all up".Some kind of near miss will be reported,where but for intelligence a nuclear assault could have been attempted.8. Some commentators will be shouted down for suggesting that a) Its all about Iran's oil and b) that there is no proof that Iran has nuclear weapons.9.Iran will be crushed,hundreds of thousands of Iranian civilians will be killed,and a few thousand Allied troops (mainly Americans)10. A relative of G.Bush will be linked to a firm overseeing oil production in Iran.11. A commisiion will be set up that eventually discovers what everyone knew: there are no nuclear weapons in Iran and Osama Bin Laden is more than likely hiding in Pakistan/Kurdistan/Florida.12. Someone on this forum will declare that he doesnt care how many Iranians are killed because so many American troops have lost their lives in the defence of their country.13.MTS will be hounded off the forum ()


Seriously.



sounds about right to me!

i dont know if it has allready been said but iran although it has large oil reserves it also has the largest natural gas reserves of any country in the world (27.5 trillion cubic metres). gas is playing an increasing role in energy production as oil prices and availiability are worsened .

if they are so worried about nuclear weapons then what are they going to do about north korea?
    
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 06:29
Originally posted by James Lee James Lee wrote:

just an observation: extremists don't need to be provoked. The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need....and comparisons with Hitler are inevitable when the topic of appeasement is raised.When I think of the Bush presidency, I can't help remembering that the people got sick of the boy who cried wolf just before the actual wolf appeared. But that may be an indictment of the people as much as it is of one troublemaking boy.


    The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need

I guess thats all the provocation we've needed to invade Iraq, and Afghanistan, so you may be right, althuogh I dont think thats quite what you meant.

My point is, james that Bush & co are extremists in the eyes of those we call extremists. This is where the line between good and evil is blurred, and what side you come down on purely depends on what side of the geographical fence you sit on.

It's worth remembering also, that we only have the word of our leaders that what happened on 9/11 (for instance) was carried out by the extremists we fight against. Lets face it, our leaders record for telling us the truth is questionable.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 06:18
just an observation: extremists don't need to be provoked. The mere existence of the perceived enemy is all the provocation they need.

...and comparisons with Hitler are inevitable when the topic of appeasement is raised.

When I think of the Bush presidency, I can't help remembering that the people got sick of the boy who cried wolf just before the actual wolf appeared. But that may be an indictment of the people as much as it is of one troublemaking boy.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 05:51
Originally posted by marktheshark marktheshark wrote:

When was the last time we've heard a peep out of Gadafi?

I don't see the need to use nukes ourselves. I know it's been mentioned, but it's highly doubtful we would. And if Bush were to, even I would label him a criminal. To me nukes are a coward's weapon and the only nukes I can see being used are the ones from Iran if they get them!
    


I see no need for it either. In terms of busting 'bunkers' the current generation of these nukes would not serve that purpose, as they only burrow 20 feet before detonation, so the force of the blast and the fall out generated would be above land. The bunkers would not be scratched - depending on their depth - and the casualties would be above ground. It's clear though, that the option is under consideration, and the US, rance and the UK have all said they would consider using nukes of some kind in the ME if the operational need arose. What that need actually is, is a subjective issue. Thats what worries me.
    
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 05:44
When was the last time we've heard a peep out of Gadafi?

I don't see the need to use nukes ourselves. I know it's been mentioned, but it's highly doubtful we would. And if Bush were to, even I would label him a criminal. To me nukes are a coward's weapon and the only nukes I can see being used are the ones from Iran if they get them!
    

Edited by marktheshark - May 07 2006 at 05:45
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 05:23
Skillfully, the pro war contingent on this forum avoids the real issue. This is not about the EU not playing ball with the US, it's about the prospect of a very serious war that has the potential of directictly affecting all of our lives. There is perhaps an unspoken assumption that bombing countries 'in case' they ever attack us, will have only positive consequences. The implications of attacking Iran - especially with nuclear weapons - is going to set a new precedent. After the bombs were dropped on Japan we have seen a doctrine of deterence, rather than pre-emption. Arguably, that maintained peace for so long between the west and the Soviets.

If the US or Israel uses these weapons in a conflict in Iran it will send a signal to the rest of the non nuclear world that they are fair game for the US. In order to counter that, we would see a large number of countries 'tooling up' Regional conflicts could go nuclear very quickly. The world would cease to recognise nuclear weapons as being anything than just another weapon for open use in any battle. The Russians would panic and re-start their weapons development program - if they haven't already - and before we know it, the prospect of global nuclear war would be more real than EVER before.

And, what for?? Control of oil? Establishing a 'new world order'? eliminating a terror threat? Would it be worth it? To live in a world where war is constant, and nuclearvwar ultimately likely, where recession is the norm due to problems with countries fighting over resources. Where one nation dominates with fear?

People dont seem to appreciate the gravity of this situation. People seem to think that attacking Iran, or hitting them with sanctions is going to lessen the risk of terror on the US and her allies. It wont. They think a war will solve a problem and everything will be great for the free world thereafter. It wont. Seriously, has nothing been learnt about the ethos of terrorism at all since time began? Terrorism may never win out, but it will certainly never end. The more provoke the disenchanted and the extrememists, the more we must expect them to attack us.

References have been made hear to 'good and evil' and how pacifists would have turned a blind eye to Hitler. These are huge and unfair generalisations about those who oppose military action on Iran. If folk can seriously not make the distinction between the need to crush the Nazis, and the insanity of attacking Iran, then maybe there is no hope. Perhaps we should look more closely at the paralells between Hitlers manipulation of the media in his rise to power, and the way the Bush administration has spun news, lied about terror threats, foreign weapons capability in order to push through his Patriot Act, justify the illegal detention of terror suspects without charge, and bolster cases for war in violation of international law.


    

Edited by Blacksword - May 07 2006 at 05:33
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 07 2006 at 00:19
Sadly I have to agree with Nets on this (no insult to you Nets). But the reality of this is, many of these problems we're facing could be put to rest if even half the countries in the European Continent were to side with us in these efforts instead of displaying the amount of indifference that's been shown recently. I'm getting a bit tired of the US being left with it's dick in the wind and stuck with doing the dirty work.

Sorry folks, but it IS getting a bit old.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2006 at 23:14
Here in the Netherlands it's only sideline news.
I feel that this is a typical case of the US going it alone. If allmost half of the world is capable of enriching Uranium (I could do it for you with enough funds & infrastructure when needed!) why should not Iran be doing that?
The ghost is already out of the bottle a long time ago. (see Pakistan, India, Israel, China, South Africa etc...)
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2006 at 23:11
OK, then it's decided: BOMB IRAN!!! A bunch of bearded Muslims with hidden  women (they must be ugly, ahem) obviously do not deserve to live.
 
Yes, let's repeat what Dubya said before invading Mesopotamia (Irak): "Now, we're gonna show them what is Seevilysachion."
 


Edited by Atkingani - May 06 2006 at 23:30
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2006 at 23:06
The simple concept here is that the US can't go to war without a draft. There are simply not enough troops. Bush would be insane to propose a draft. So what's the other option? That's right, long range bombing and possible..............nuclear strikes. Ever wonder why that option, however insane it is, was not taken off the table? That's why.
 
Bottom Line: The day we attack Iran unilaterally, without UN approval, is the day I am no longer an American. I hope that day never comes, but if it does, then I know that my country has failed me and gone against my personal beliefs.


Edited by stonebeard - May 06 2006 at 23:08
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2006 at 22:50
Dip them all in liquid plastic, as an example to future generations of man's folly!
 
 
It's...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
THE VINYL SOLUTION!!!!Evil Smile


Edited by Peter Rideout - May 06 2006 at 22:51
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Come to my arms, my beamish boy!
O frabjous day! Callooh! Callay!'
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2006 at 22:40
^ It may not be news in GB but its just about the #1 news story here in the states.
 
I can't believe people in England are already railing against a possible war in Iran.....jeez.  These people wouldn't approve of war with Hitler either.  Pacifists are lucky, since there will always be people to fight for them and protect them.

I hate Ronald Reagan, horrible president, but the man was right, sometimes it does come down to good vs. evil.


Edited by NetsNJFan - May 06 2006 at 22:43
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: May 06 2006 at 10:46
The next predictable phase. The Russians and Chinese criticise the resolution tabled by the UN. The use of the UN's 'Chapter 7'protocol allows for sanctions OR military action in the event of non compliance. The text of the draft is still under discussion, but it's clear that agreement will not be forthcoming. It's also clear than Iran has no intention of ceasing Uranium enrichment.

The next step of course will be the US and EU acting outside of the UN, when the resolution is either vetoed by Russia/China, or ignored by Iran. Both seem likely. The war drums are beating once again. The difference this time is that it's not headline news. It's clear they dont want this to catch too many peoples attention. Millions of people on anti war marches is not good propoganda for either Bush or Blair, both leaders potentially on their last political legs.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4979832.stm
    
There is apparently a day of protest against the looming conflict, taking place in London TODAY. Unlike the protests over the Iraq war, these demonstrations are not mentioned in our mainstream news media AT ALL. Why?


    http://www.stopwar.org.uk/StoptheWar-Iran.htm
    

Edited by Blacksword - May 06 2006 at 12:42
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