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IVNORD View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2009 at 20:00
Originally posted by birdwithteeth11 birdwithteeth11 wrote:


President Obama says that "economists from across the political spectrum agree" on the need for massive government spending to stimulate the economy.

 In fact, many economists disagree. Hundreds of them, including Nobel laureates and other prominent scholars, have signed the statement that appears in the Cato Institute's ad in the New York Times and in other national publications.

http://www.cato.org/

They are libertarians. Some of their ideas are weird. If we don't spend now, the pain will be much worse.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2009 at 20:04
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by limeyrob limeyrob wrote:

Have you seen The World Factbook produced by the CIA. Assuming that the stats are fairly accurate (even though some, understandably, are a bit out of date) it makes for some thought-churning reading. Hit on the bar chart icon for country comparisons. US and UK account for nearly half of the world external debt.  Shocked
 
Concerned by this information I went to the Wikipedia for checking the ratio debt vs GDP and I was really surprised:
 
Almost all the so-called "1st World" countries have galactic ratios while BRIC and other emergent countries apparently have reasonable debts.
 
It looks like that the richness of many countries is somewhat artificial and for a fast recovery of the world economy some global reassessment must be made (although I know that other variables count too). 
The rich countries have to support their welfare states. That's why they are totally in debt. The developing countries would have been too but they don't have too many lenders. Most of their debt has been originated by the IMF and the likes. From time to time their debts are forgiven.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2009 at 20:06
Originally posted by Finnforest Finnforest wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Good reading:

Published on Monday, January 26, 2009 by CommonDreams.org

Two Santa Clauses or How The Republican Party Has Conned America for Thirty Years

by Thom Hartmann

There are so many twisted facts and so much nonsense in this article.....


Both sides are equally adept in "twisted facts and nonsense..."Wink
 Absolutey. Unfortunately more often twisted than not
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2009 at 20:33
Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by limeyrob limeyrob wrote:

Have you seen The World Factbook produced by the CIA. Assuming that the stats are fairly accurate (even though some, understandably, are a bit out of date) it makes for some thought-churning reading. Hit on the bar chart icon for country comparisons. US and UK account for nearly half of the world external debt.  Shocked
 
Concerned by this information I went to the Wikipedia for checking the ratio debt vs GDP and I was really surprised:
 
Almost all the so-called "1st World" countries have galactic ratios while BRIC and other emergent countries apparently have reasonable debts.
 
It looks like that the richness of many countries is somewhat artificial and for a fast recovery of the world economy some global reassessment must be made (although I know that other variables count too). 
The rich countries have to support their welfare states. That's why they are totally in debt. The developing countries would have been too but they don't have too many lenders. Most of their debt has been originated by the IMF and the likes. From time to time their debts are forgiven.
 
As long as I can recall forgiven debts only happened for very poor countries but not for the emerging countries and specially the B-R-I-C.
 
Anyway, the welfare state is good in paper but needs to have some consistent foundation to work properly. Probably some nations started their welfare era too soon or based on wrong principles - believing the world economy should grow continuously or not considering the fast ageing of the population, ect. Issues to be better studied/researched since many people will lose their welfare status in the years to come.
Guigo

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2009 at 20:42
Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Originally posted by Finnforest Finnforest wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Good reading:

Published on Monday, January 26, 2009 by CommonDreams.org

Two Santa Clauses or How The Republican Party Has Conned America for Thirty Years

by Thom Hartmann

There are so many twisted facts and so much nonsense in this article.....


Both sides are equally adept in "twisted facts and nonsense..."Wink


But you must admit Ivnord did an excellent point by point rebuttal. LOL
Kinda expected this from you... not point by point -- too big of an article -- but a couple of things.
 
The guy conveniently starts his review of modern history with the end of the Carter presidency. If you're surprised he didn't mention Nixon, that's because it would lead straight to Kennedy-Johnson who bloated the deficit with the Vietnam war and the Great society programs. BTW, the $1 trillion deficit in '79 is an equivatent of $4-5 trillion today, nothing to sneeze at.
 
Greenspan became the chairman in '87 and up until '95 he was pretty much an inflation hawk. He lowered the rates after the stock market crash in '87 but raised them in '89 by 1%. Bush the father was begging him on his knees to lower the rates to no avail. He brought it down to 3.25% after the country plunged into recession. Because of that Clinton came to power.
 
Clinton spent his first 2 years in office pushing for his health care reform, all in vain. He did raise taxes though. No advice from Greenspan or Rubin. By the end of '94 it was clear he would never get a second term if things stayed the same. He hired Rubin in '95 and that's when it all began. Most likely Rubin was instrumental in talking Greenspan into lowering interest rates and increasing the money supply. THe economy took off and Clinton got re-elected. In 1999 the wreckage around Clinton was not because of the economy, it was his personal life. The wreckage of the Democratic Party began with the bubble bursting in 2000, and even then Gore nearly won.
 
Just a few things....
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 29 2009 at 20:46
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by limeyrob limeyrob wrote:

Have you seen The World Factbook produced by the CIA. Assuming that the stats are fairly accurate (even though some, understandably, are a bit out of date) it makes for some thought-churning reading. Hit on the bar chart icon for country comparisons. US and UK account for nearly half of the world external debt.  Shocked
 
Concerned by this information I went to the Wikipedia for checking the ratio debt vs GDP and I was really surprised:
 
Almost all the so-called "1st World" countries have galactic ratios while BRIC and other emergent countries apparently have reasonable debts.
 
It looks like that the richness of many countries is somewhat artificial and for a fast recovery of the world economy some global reassessment must be made (although I know that other variables count too). 
The rich countries have to support their welfare states. That's why they are totally in debt. The developing countries would have been too but they don't have too many lenders. Most of their debt has been originated by the IMF and the likes. From time to time their debts are forgiven.
 
As long as I can recall forgiven debts only happened for very poor countries but not for the emerging countries and specially the B-R-I-C.
 
Anyway, the welfare state is good in paper but needs to have some consistent foundation to work properly. Probably some nations started their welfare era too soon or based on wrong principles - believing the world economy should grow continuously or not considering the fast ageing of the population, ect. Issues to be better studied/researched since many people will lose their welfare status in the years to come.
You are correct. Poor countries like Ivory Coast.
 
THe inefficiency and abuse of the system played a big role in the failure of the welfare state.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 02 2009 at 16:04


Edited by Slartibartfast - February 05 2009 at 20:17
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 04 2009 at 22:07

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090204/ap_on_go_co/congress_stimulus

Senate OKs $15,000 tax break for homebuyers (AP)

WASHINGTON – The Senate voted Wednesday night to give a tax break of up to $15,000 to homebuyers in hopes of revitalizing the housing industry, a victory for Republicans eager to leave their mark on a mammoth economic stimulus bill at the heart of President Barack Obama's recovery plan.

The proposal would allow a tax credit of 10 percent of the value of new or existing residences, up to a $15,000 limit.
 
 
This is like revitalizing a dead horse. The real estate market can't expand forever. There are just so many houses people need. Besides, with the median sales price around $180K, most people who can afford to buy either have bought already or will buy anyway. For those who can't, the $15K tax break on a $40K income is useless. But even if the measure increases home sales for a year or two, it's just a temporary relief. Why not spend the money on public works. Two birds with one stone - would provide income for workers which would eventually trickle up into the economy, and improve the infrastructure and public buildings on the cheap.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 05 2009 at 18:36



Edited by Slartibartfast - February 05 2009 at 20:17
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 05 2009 at 19:33
Now that is awesome - I will always applaud a Calvin & Hobbes cartoon Clap
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 05 2009 at 20:18
Lio kind of fills the Calvin and Hobbes void these days.




Edited by Slartibartfast - February 07 2009 at 17:16
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2009 at 06:55
Bush overpaid banks in bailout, watchdog says (AP)
 
Financially ailing insurance giant American International Group, deemed by the Treasury Department to be too big to be allowed to fail, received $40 billion from the Treasury for assets valued at $14.8 billion, the oversight panel found.
 
 
This is what happens when the government takes charge of something big
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 06 2009 at 16:20

Peter Schiff: Stimulus Bill Will Lead to "Unmitigated Disaster"

 
 
 
I don't want to scare the hell out of you guys.... Peter Schiff is a libertarian, so I disagree with  a lot of what he says here. Although he has expressed much more moderate  views in the past. One thing for sure - the stimulus package is too-o-o-o-o big. We need a much smaller one, maybe a few smaller packages over a period of time depending on the conditions, but the main objective should be public works. It will help the most-in-need and eventually will spread throufghout the economic lanscape. All this partisan bullsh*t with tax breaks and mortgage handouts makes it blown out of proportion. They just increased it by a hundred billion $$ in the past several days, form $800 to $900, who counts!!! If it continues at the same pace, Schiff might be right
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2009 at 11:30
Got this in an e-mail. I thought it was kind of a funny, yet sad truth.

Stimulus package explained

"Sometime this year, taxpayers will receive an Economic Stimulus
Payment.. This is a very exciting new program that I will explain using the
Q and A format:

"Q.. What is an Economic Stimulus Payment?
 "A. It is money that the federal government will send to taxpayers.

"Q. Where will the government get this money?
"A. From taxpayers.

"Q. So the government is giving me back my own money?
 "A. No, they are borrowing it from China.  Your children are expected
to repay the Chinese.

"Q. What is the purpose of this payment?
"A. The plan is that you will use the money to purchase a
high-definition TV set, thus stimulating the economy.

"Q. But isn't that stimulating the economy of China?
"A.  Shut up."

Below is some helpful advice on how to best help the US economy by
spending your stimulus check wisely:

If you spend that money at Wal-Mart, all the money will go to China.

If you spend it on gasoline it will go to Hugo Chavez, the Arabs and
Al Queda

If you purchase a computer it will go to Taiwan.

If you purchase fruit and vegetables it will go to Mexico, Honduras,
Chile, and Guatemala.

If you buy a car it will go to Japan and Korea.

If you purchase prescription drugs it will go to India

If you purchase heroin it will go to the Taliban in Afghanistan

If you give it to a charitable cause, it will go to Nigeria.

And none of it will help the American economy.

We need to keep that money here in America. You can keep the money in
America by spending it at yard sales, going to a baseball game, or spend it
on prostitutes, beer (domestic ONLY), or  tattoos, since those are the only
businesses still in the US.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2009 at 12:37
How very true. I suppose one could substitute US with UK and have the same scenario. Mind you - what would Christmas be like without China? Wink
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2009 at 12:45
It appears that now is the time for increases in scams of all sorts. Today an article on the news highlighted a scam where if you send off £35 to this address you will get a home based job stuffing envelopes. That seems OK one might think until you read the headline of the ad which reads - earn up to £300 per day!. Needless to say that is the last that person saw of their money. Now I have nothing against home working but if you do some quick sums that equates to an income approaching £70,000 pa. For stuffing envelopes! I know that for a lot of people times are getting harder and more desperate but I reckon some people were put on this earth just to get ripped off!! If it sounds too good to be true - it usually is.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 07 2009 at 17:14
Originally posted by limeyrob limeyrob wrote:

It appears that now is the time for increases in scams of all sorts. Today an article on the news highlighted a scam where if you send off £35 to this address you will get a home based job stuffing envelopes. That seems OK one might think until you read the headline of the ad which reads - earn up to £300 per day!. Needless to say that is the last that person saw of their money. Now I have nothing against home working but if you do some quick sums that equates to an income approaching £70,000 pa. For stuffing envelopes! I know that for a lot of people times are getting harder and more desperate but I reckon some people were put on this earth just to get ripped off!! If it sounds too good to be true - it usually is.


If you have some pounds to spare I swear I'd love to take them, no charge or scam involved.  I'd only spend it on prog, c'mon, please? Cry LOL


Edited by Slartibartfast - February 09 2009 at 18:57
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2009 at 18:57
Crmlu090206
Crjsh090206
Tmdwa090205



Edited by Slartibartfast - February 12 2009 at 16:57
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 12 2009 at 16:57


Edited by Slartibartfast - February 14 2009 at 07:54
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 13 2009 at 09:34
Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Originally posted by limeyrob limeyrob wrote:

Have you seen The World Factbook produced by the CIA. Assuming that the stats are fairly accurate (even though some, understandably, are a bit out of date) it makes for some thought-churning reading. Hit on the bar chart icon for country comparisons. US and UK account for nearly half of the world external debt.  Shocked
 
Concerned by this information I went to the Wikipedia for checking the ratio debt vs GDP and I was really surprised:
 
Almost all the so-called "1st World" countries have galactic ratios while BRIC and other emergent countries apparently have reasonable debts.
 
It looks like that the richness of many countries is somewhat artificial and for a fast recovery of the world economy some global reassessment must be made (although I know that other variables count too). 
The rich countries have to support their welfare states. That's why they are totally in debt. The developing countries would have been too but they don't have too many lenders. Most of their debt has been originated by the IMF and the likes. From time to time their debts are forgiven.
 
As long as I can recall forgiven debts only happened for very poor countries but not for the emerging countries and specially the B-R-I-C.
 
Anyway, the welfare state is good in paper but needs to have some consistent foundation to work properly. Probably some nations started their welfare era too soon or based on wrong principles - believing the world economy should grow continuously or not considering the fast ageing of the population, ect. Issues to be better studied/researched since many people will lose their welfare status in the years to come.
You are correct. Poor countries like Ivory Coast.
 
THe inefficiency and abuse of the system played a big role in the failure of the welfare state.


I don't agree that the 'welfare state' is the big contributor to a high debt-to-GDP ratio. In fact, the US spends more on health care as a percentage of GDP now and its health care program is comparably worse than other developed countries. And the US health care system isn't as much of a 'welfare state' as those other developed countries.

Look at China, basking in surplus, but they are still a really poor country. Surplus/deficit isn't the best statistic to determine how "rich" a country is. GDP size and growth is more important. Just as it's not always good to have a balance on your credit card, it's obviously not always good to be in debt. But often, the US economy grows at a faster rate than the interest on the loans, so at those times it's not bad to be in debt.

I'm not sure about the specifics of this, but I believe America has been in debt for a lot of its history. It has traditionally been viewed as a place for smart investment that pays off, and hopefully that tradition hasn't been permanently tarnished by the recent crisis.
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