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rogerthat View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 17 2014 at 07:22
^^^  We are trying to move to inflation targeting now (yeah, because we are always 50 years behind the West, right?).  And the Central Bank head said it should be the responsibility of the govt to fix the inflation target.  I am not sure that approach would work in countries where inflation is already very low. But for developing nations, price rise is a hot issue so it makes govts accountable if they try to force central banks to keep easy money going too long.  We've had situations where govts bear down on the central bank to maintain easy money and when the price rise gets unbearable, they sack the poor guy.  So, as usual, there are downsides to govt oversight as well. LOL  Raghuram Rajan's idea of making the govt accountable to the electorate for inflation is a good one, IF govts do buy it.

Back here, we have always understood reducing regulation as more of a policy issue.  You know, of reducing barriers to entry and allowing more competition.  When I first learnt that de-regulation in the financial sector context (of NY/London) included reducing the amount of watching over done by govt over banks and basically taking their word on important numbers, I was dumbstruck.  I couldn't believe such an argument had been made and even bought.  As William Black puts it, it's a race to the bottom.  You do not trust people that much, and especially not financial crooks.  


Edited by rogerthat - March 17 2014 at 07:24
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 10:51
Well, only 30 some years behindLOL
Maybe you could elaborate better, the whole endogenous money thing had me confused...but what I get is basically, the CB can't really "control" it, not in any significant way at least. Something how money is created by banks and central gov, (as they make loans or spend fiat money) and the supply is largely determined by demand, which I can see. 
Enlighten me if you can but yeah, seems like in the early 80s controlling money was abandoned, for inflation targeting instead. 

Indeed, inflation is not a concern in many Western countries, esp here in the US. There's TONS of concern, but it doesn't seem to happen much. Right now I know demand is very lacking so inflationary pressures are low, if not negative! I read somewhere that the ONLY areas in the US that are facing inflationary pressure are food, oil, and stocks...and all those are out of our hands, or the result of speculation. 

Yeah man, the more I learned about the crises and how all this stuff works, it blew my mind. LIBOR has been rigged since at latest 1991, Goldman Sachs and co here speculate on food and oil, (I've heard mixed reports on if thise drives up price but it must a bit) and how apparently everyone in the West knew the deal behind these bubbles and didn't care. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 11:05
I think the term easy money simply refers to the ease with which private consumers can obtain money, not money that the CB creates.  How the CB manipulates that (I mean in the sense of controlling, not like fraud or stuff) is by maintaining a low interest rate and keeping reserve requirements for banks low (so that there's more liquidity in the system).  The theory is that by making money easily available, you spur spending and generate demand and in turn growth.  But what happens is as increasing demand is generated, it constrains the fixed plant and equipment in the economy, the supply of which does not increase anywhere near as fast as that of money.  So while money remains in the hands of consumers, producers run into supply constraints and hike their prices to balance the high demand.  And there you have it: inflation. Ideally, the CB should start tightening in a timely manner to avoid overheating in the economy.  And that is where inflation targeting could be useful.  Because once you say inflation is not a flexible function of a desirable growth rate figure LOL and fix a ceiling for how high it can get to, you keep booms in control and hopefully set the economy on a somewhat slower but steadier course.

Edited by rogerthat - March 18 2014 at 19:38
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 11:32
Ah I see. That is one thing I do disagree with these "post-Keynesians" about. Many seem to support permanent zero interest rate policy. Like...actually 0 and forever. The justification seems to be based off Japan and the current US situation, but this is a recessed state. Eventually the economy will recover (esp since they support such pro labor/growth policies) and I really can't see maintaining ZIRP during a boom as a good idea. Even if they feel impacts are less than we believe, it DOES fuel finance and speculation, seems dangerous to me. Input? 

BTW this talk is largely financial related, when it comes to de regulation and gov I'd still consider myself pretty much a free market guy, in fact probably more so than our government! (Farm subsidies and etc etc) I don't want the 19th century or Hobbesian competitionLOL to the chagrin of our libertarian friends (if they even exist, appears they've all left this place) but yeah, free markets and competition and all that is good. 

I've even written papers in my current class against gov flood insurances (despite my state being HUGE on beach tourism) and how file sharing is good for music, using economic theory and all so I still like markets and capitalismLOL


Edited by JJLehto - March 18 2014 at 11:33
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 19:43
I think we can all agree that competition is good and subsidies are bad.  When it comes to proposing that even laws should be self-determined, is where I think most people get off.  Actually, financial sector of the 80s and onwards is a good demonstration of what can happen if you trust business too much.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 19:46
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

I think we can all agree that competition is good and subsidies are bad.  When it comes to proposing that even laws should be self-determined, is where I think most people get off.  Actually, financial sector of the 80s and onwards is a good demonstration of what can happen if you trust business too much.  


Yeah, because that was a time of totally unfettered capitalism,, wasn't it? No. No it wasn't. Business without government has no power whatsoever. They can only exist if people buy their products.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 19:50
And people wouldn't buy their products because?  It would actually be much easier for a large business unit to buy out the smaller ones and monopolise the market.  And hey, I am talking about real world happenings, not one where everybody abides by non aggression.  In the real word, dominant businesses go to the extent of extorting transporters not to supply raw material to competitors so that they are bled to death.  I see no reason to believe this did not happen in the 19th century either; only that it's too far back in time for anybody to remember.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 19:53
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

The justification seems to be based off Japan


I don't know why anyone would use Japan (of the past 20 years or so) as a justification for anything.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 19:58
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

And people wouldn't buy their products because?  It would actually be much easier for a large business unit to buy out the smaller ones and monopolise the market.  And hey, I am talking about real world happenings, not one where everybody abides by non aggression.  In the real word, dominant businesses go to the extent of extorting transporters not to supply raw material to competitors so that they are bled to death.  I see no reason to believe this did not happen in the 19th century either; only that it's too far back in time for anybody to remember.


Businesses do abide by non-aggression. No business coerces people into buying its product. You say you are talking about the real world: how about a real world example of a monopoly of the kind you are talking about? They don't happen, and they don't persist. Extortion is not coercion.

Why would they not buy the product? Because they don't like it or want it or can afford it, among about a million other reasons.


Edited by thellama73 - March 18 2014 at 19:59
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 20:53
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

And people wouldn't buy their products because?  It would actually be much easier for a large business unit to buy out the smaller ones and monopolise the market.  And hey, I am talking about real world happenings, not one where everybody abides by non aggression.  In the real word, dominant businesses go to the extent of extorting transporters not to supply raw material to competitors so that they are bled to death.  I see no reason to believe this did not happen in the 19th century either; only that it's too far back in time for anybody to remember.


Businesses do abide by non-aggression. No business coerces people into buying its product. You say you are talking about the real world: how about a real world example of a monopoly of the kind you are talking about? They don't happen, and they don't persist. Extortion is not coercion.

Why would they not buy the product? Because they don't like it or want it or can afford it, among about a million other reasons.

And what if it was an essential product that they can't do without?  Wouldn't they need to buy it irrespective of price or quality.  

And, er, ok, if you say extortion is not coercion Shocked, then I am sorry to say that I don't understand what you mean by non aggression and from what angle you find it non-aggressive.  I do not see the point then of carrying on this discussion.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 21:07
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:


And what if it was an essential product that they can't do without?  Wouldn't they need to buy it irrespective of price or quality.  


Buy from a competitor, r produce it yourslef. You're going to say "what if there are no competitors?" to which I again respond, name a time when that has ever happened without the government using force to stifle competition.

Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:


And, er, ok, if you say extortion is not coercion Shocked, then I am sorry to say that I don't understand what you mean by non aggression and from what angle you find it non-aggressive.  I do not see the point then of carrying on this discussion.


Coercion is force or the threat of force. The example you gave did not involve those. It involved private companies (and the individuals who run them) declining to engage in voluntary activity. How do you not see a difference?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 21:51
Amazing, I ask where they've all gone and llama pops in. 
Magic! 
Or he's in with the NSA

LOL that is a good point snow pat, but in that case they say "See Japan has had ZIRP for" I forget how many years now "and they're not on the road to Wiemar" but as I said, that's due to lack of demand. I'd see a permaZIRP as pretty bad if growth really got spurred. 

Anyway, glad we can have debate again! Was pretty sick of us all agreeing! 
I know the argument by now, llama, is "Well cmon that wasn't TRUE free markets...we have a CB and these laws and etc etc" which I guess can't be debated...but I don't know man, again it's a matter of being a realist vs idealist. 
I saw a BRILLIANT video by Larry White discussing Free Banking, made a damn convincing case. Problem is, that would not only require us to take a major step back in time, but it's never existed here in the US! I just think, even IF many of your ideas are correct, it is asking of such a radically, absolutely unprecedented shift to get there. 


Yes, there are no documented cases of a true blue monopoly in a free market that I know if (did Rockefeller and Carnegie and those fellows actually reach that state?), but I DO think there is a tendency towards Oligopoly. I know this may not necessarily be "bad"... but have to admit there can be some issues here. 
On the flip side: Has there ever been a true blue "free market?" like what you would want?
We know the answer, I'll go one better now: Is it honestly possible? Isn't a firm, technically, a violation of "true" free market principles? What about families? Mergers? How is that competition and consumers voting with their wallets?   Markets are the best way to go, and they work absolutely in a general sense, but I just see an issue with adhering to STRICT super duper free market all the ways ideas, when I don't see one ever have existed. 

Good to cya again llama! 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 21:57
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

Amazing, I ask where they've all gone and llama pops in. 
Magic! 

I was in the mood to berate someone for being stupid.


Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


On the flip side: Has there ever been a true blue "free market?" like what you would want?

Nope, but ancient Iceland and Ireland come close.

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


We know the answer, I'll go one better now: Is it honestly possible?

I believe so and I see no reason not to try.

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


Isn't a firm, technically, a violation of "true" free market principles? What about families? Mergers? How is that competition and consumers voting with their wallets?

None of those things are violations in the slightest, because they are voluntary, not the product of force.

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


Good to cya again llama!


You too!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 22:41
How long ago are you talking? I read that book by David Friedman where he cited Medieval Iceland as an example of his ideas being possible...I thought citing the 1880s was far back! He's going 900 years! Not quite a good representation of society and economics today.

That is true, they are voluntary, but isn't a free market supposed to be, in theory, individuals? I could be wrong, but I thought a "pure" free market would not have firms. I know we've actually discussed mergers, you are 100% right about what you say, but that's the problem in my book. Consumers have no choice in the matter, firms are not competing via better prices/products/or even marketing. Families are kind of like a hoarding of money and resources, (which is of course necessary). 
Point is, seems to me in real life a lot of action happens outside the theoretical competitive market...so the want to take it as far as you do seems problematic. 

Watcha been up to? 
I'm in the process of taking pre req classes for a Masters in Economics, (least I hope) reading, writing, and selling my labor to a firm to be used as an input for a product, to be bought (in this case by the firm itself as client service) so life's been a bit boring Clown


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 18 2014 at 23:01
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

That is true, they are voluntary, but isn't a free market supposed to be, in theory, individuals? I could be wrong, but I thought a "pure" free market would not have firms. I know we've actually discussed mergers, you are 100% right about what you say, but that's the problem in my book. Consumers have no choice in the matter, firms are not competing via better prices/products/or even marketing. Families are kind of like a hoarding of money and resources, (which is of course necessary). 

I don't think I have ever heard anyone allege such a thing. No libertarian, or indeed, anarchist, that I know says cooperation is a bad thing. Cooperation is self-evidently a good thing and should be highly praised. The organization of a firm, or a merger of firms is nothing more than cooperation.

The difference between voluntary cooperation and coercive action is that no one has a reason to cooperate unless all parties involved benefit. If someone would not benefit, they would simply decline to cooperate. Therefore all cooperative action results in a net benefit to all parties involved, or in other words to use a term I dislike, to society.

I don't understand your point about families hoarding money and resources. Do they not spend? Do they not invest?

Regarding mergers depriving consumers of choice and competition: it is a valid concern but it is simply not supported by the evidence, and there is good theory to explain why. In the absence of government barriers to entry, it is relatively easy for an upstart firm to arise and steal customers from the monopolist, if he has been abusing his market power. The greater the abuse, the greater the incentive for the entrepreneur to jump into the market.

The myth of the megacorporation that owns everything and buys up all competitors is punctured by the fact that as firms pass a certain size they become less and less efficient. Coordination becomes more difficult, and it takes much longer to react to changing circumstances. In most cases, a young, lean firm can outmaneuver an old behemoth (as we have seen with companies like Google supplanting Microsoft.) I just don't think the claim that unregulated markets will devolve into huge monopolies is accurate.

In all of the least regulated markets now, we see vast amounts of competition (For example, I have about three dozen options for lunch every single day. By your logic, shouldn't McDonald's have acquired them by now?)

In fact, regulations tend to help incumbents maintain their power and shut out competition, since they are in a better position to comply than new firms just starting out. Before the deregulation of the American beer market, there were only a handful of breweries in the entire company and they were all terrible. Now we have thousands, many of them among the best in the world. This was due to deregulation. So I just don't think your claim is supported by as much evidence as my claim.

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


Watcha been up to? 
I'm in the process of taking pre req classes for a Masters in Economics, (least I hope) reading, writing, and selling my labor to a firm to be used as an input for a product, to be bought (in this case by the firm itself as client service) so life's been a bit boring Clown


Been fighting the good fight in Washington, D.C. and loving every minute of it!

Congrats on the econ degree. Don't let them fill your head with Keynesian nonsense.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 00:20
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

I'm in the process of taking pre req classes for a Masters in Economics, (least I hope) reading, writing, and selling my labor to a firm to be used as an input for a product, to be bought (in this case by the firm itself as client service) so life's been a bit boring Clown


Just remember the rap:
"The economy’s not a class you can master in college,
To think otherwise is the pretense of knowledge."


Time always wins.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 00:25
By the way, libertarian historian Tom Woods is a prog head:

Have to shutter over his love of The Final Cut, though


Time always wins.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 07:23
Originally posted by manofmystery manofmystery wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

I'm in the process of taking pre req classes for a Masters in Economics, (least I hope) reading, writing, and selling my labor to a firm to be used as an input for a product, to be bought (in this case by the firm itself as client service) so life's been a bit boring Clown


Just remember the rap:
"The economy’s not a class you can master in college,
To think otherwise is the pretense of knowledge."

Shame is, to go anywhere...they kinda wanna see stuff and won't accept "I know those rap videos and have read a lot on the internet" LOL

Well, I'm still Keynesian llama (sorry, I flirted and even fooled around with Austrian thought but that's a no go) but I'm into a strand of Keynesian thought that's a bit off the beaten path. 


DC!? Man, are you in the belly of the beast itself? 
How so? Lobbying? Education? 


Edited by JJLehto - March 19 2014 at 07:25
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 08:11
How'd you fall back into a school of economic thought that's collapsing the western world around us?


Time always wins.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 09:34
I didn't know the western world was collapsing. 


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