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The Dawkins' Scale

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Lewian View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Lewian Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2022 at 17:53
Originally posted by Hugh Manatee Hugh Manatee wrote:

Originally posted by Lewian Lewian wrote:

... but even then subjective probability doesn't work with an infinite payout, as Pascal had in mind.)

I'm not sure I understand what you are getting at here, i.e. your insistence that some kind of payout is necessary in order to formulate an opinion based on subjective probability. 

I wonder if you would mind expanding on this particular assertion.

Roughly stated, according to de Finetti, if you say that your personal probability for something is, say 30%, it means you are willing to pay up to 30$ for winning 100$ in case that this something later occurs, but you'd also pay up to 100-30=70$ for winning 100$ in case that this something does not occur. There is no probability in Pascal's wager; Pascal basically says you're better off siding with God because the payout will be infinite, regardless what the probability is. 

Of course nobody needs to be a de Finettian, one doesn't need to conceive subjective probabilities like this.

What is really my point here is that it is pointless to talk about the probability of an existence or non-existence that can never be checked.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hugh Manatee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2022 at 18:02
Originally posted by Lewian Lewian wrote:

Roughly stated, according to de Finetti, if you say that your personal probability for something is, say 30%, it means you are willing to pay up to 30$ for winning 100$ in case that this something later occurs, but you'd also pay up to 100-30=70$ for winning 100$ in case that this something does not occur. There is no probability in Pascal's wager; Pascal basically says you're better off siding with God because the payout will be infinite, regardless what the probability is. 

Of course nobody needs to be a de Finettian, one doesn't need to conceive subjective probabilities like this.

What is really my point here is that it is pointless to talk about the probability of an existence or non-existence that can never be checked.

Thank you for that.

I fear that this argument has become a bit circular and therefore indeed somewhat pointless.

Suffice it to say on my part that as far as I am concerned there is intrinsically nothing wrong with believing in whatever one choses to believe in unless that belief is utilized to manipulate or control others or to excuse otherwise unacceptable behavior.


Edited by Hugh Manatee - March 08 2022 at 19:36
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote CosmicVibration Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2022 at 19:14

A judgmental and vindictive tyrant as depicted in ancient texts - hell no

A singularity of unconditional love as pronounced in the same texts – yes

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote CosmicVibration Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2022 at 19:19
Originally posted by moshkito moshkito wrote:

Originally posted by SteveG SteveG wrote:

I'm agnostic. And it makes no difference to me if God exits or not. The world is what it is either way.

Hi,

I just find it strange that we have ideas about this and that, and don't look at the "sky" and realize that it could all be gone in a second without a thought or worry about anything mankind has thought about or worried about for thousands of years ... how unimportant and worthless a lot of that gibberish would all of a sudden be ... but we have this idea that we are bigger than the universe!


The truth forever unfolds itself… Deep down inside everyone has the notion that they are bigger than the universe. The Soul experiences the entire universe as self, and immeasurably more.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 08 2022 at 21:58
Have you ever been wronged? Treated unfairly? Has anyone ever shown compassion or empathy towards you? If you said yes to any of those questions, then you probably have some moral compass. That is, you probably have some idea of what is good versus what is evil. If so, then how do you rationalize that? That is a conundrum for the human mind. Because, once you admit that there is good and evil in the world, then you immediately have a logic problem. That is, what is your basis for that? Or, you can try to ignore it, but at some point I’m guessing that it’s going to gnaw at you. Humans are inherently different from other creatures on this planet in part for this very reason. So, no, I don’t particularly like this scale. It turns complex questions of the heart that people should consider into an overly simplistic and shallow multiple choice survey.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hugh Manatee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 15:33
Originally posted by Jaketejas Jaketejas wrote:

...I don’t particularly like this scale. It turns complex questions of the heart that people should consider into an overly simplistic and shallow multiple choice survey.

Oh, I don't know about that. Perhaps because these questions are complex some would prefer not to consider them at all and this sort of "simplification" begins that consideration for them.

It's the beginning of a conversation, not the be all and end all.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 16:54
^ Yeah, I probably overreacted. For some reason, it reminded me of a consumer goods survey put together by a bot.

Do you believe you use fluoride in your toothpaste?

A. Yes, I know I use fluoride in my toothpaste
B. Doesn’t all toothpaste have fluoride in it?
C. I think my toothpaste has fluoride in it, but I’m not sure.
D. Etc.

It is obviously slanted to a particular view. I think there are more interesting questions, but I guess we live in this sort of society now. On a scale of 1 to 10, blah blah blah

If life starts getting reduced to this sort of bean counting treatment, might want to hug a koala or write a song or something to give a juice kick to the spirit.

Edited by Jaketejas - March 09 2022 at 17:30
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hugh Manatee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 17:43
^ Yes, well if you're after an in depth discussion of these "deep and meaningful" topics a (prog) forum is probably not the ideal place to go looking for it.Smile
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 17:58
Especially if we don’t want TapFret to come in and lock it down. Politics and religion! Have to tread more lightly.

I think a more interesting discussion is, after selecting where you stand on this scale, what then is a person’s basis for right and wrong, good versus evil, morality, etc.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Hugh Manatee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 18:14
Originally posted by Jaketejas Jaketejas wrote:

... what then is a person’s basis for right and wrong, good versus evil, morality, etc.

Wow. I guess it comes down to the question "Is there an objective "good" and "evil". Otherwise it might well just boil down to a matter of upbringing and conditioning with a little bit of brain chemistry thrown in.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Logan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 18:34
My wife is two on this scale (Pentecostal) and I am a six (born into the Anglican church) and we both seem to share the same basic moral values (we have differences, such as I tend to see Veganism as more morally virtuous if one is not reliant on meat). We both have empathy, and its based on the kind of world that we would like for ourselves, for our family, for our friends and for people generally. It has to do with how we would like to be treated and would like to see others treated. No doubt some of our shared mores come from religious thinkers, from non-religious philosophers and so on. I work on the assumption that a world where suffering is minimised and well-being is maximised is better.   I loosely fall into the Humanist camp and would call myself a moral situationalist. Different people within greater religions (meaning not the sects within it) as well as from different religions have different values on all sorts of things, For instance, I've known many Christians who are pro death penalty, but I am against it in principle (one could find exceptions), And I know Anglicans who are anti-death penalty. To me it's not that interesting a question as I see all moral codes as coming from "man", and having some basis in nature and nurture.

As for the scale, I think it can be a useful starting point for some to think about spectrums of belief even if it is simplistic. It is a chart that is part of a much greater text, and one can think of it as an illustration of a concept in much the same that one might add some graphs to an academic paper. The God assertion is not something that this agnostic atheist would or could assign a probability to, and then it would also depend on the God claims (the qualities of the God or Gods). If one's God is nature as some say, well, I believe in nature, but I don't just define God as nature, and am not certain of anything (I am reasonably sure of many things).

Edited by Logan - March 09 2022 at 18:38
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Hugh Manatee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 18:46
^The question for me is not so much "What are your moral values?" (as commendable as they are) but more "How did you arrive at your moral values?".

Further, what gives you the belief (certainty) that your moral values are "right"?


Edited by Hugh Manatee - March 09 2022 at 18:48
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Logan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 18:52
I think it's largely based in nature and nurture, upbringing and conditioning and being exposed to and thinking about ideas. I have empathy and think about the kind of world that I would like and how how would I like to be treated, and what values would support that and extend that to others. I work on the base assumption that well-being is better than suffering, and how can we maximise well-being and minimise suffering. A sado-masochist might hate the kind of world I would like. And I have no certainty, I have levels of confidence depending on desired outcomes and the like.

Edited by Logan - March 09 2022 at 18:55
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 18:54
Well, Hugh… the discussion is open. The moral relativists can certainly share their views, too. I’m just curious about the basis for what people think constitutes morality. Honestly, I’m very curious about the different views people espouse on this.

If I’m not mistaken, Dawkins is the well known evolutionary biologist, right? Survival of the fittest, natural selection, DNA mutations, etc., etc. That may explain the rather clinical nature of this chart. If another DNA expert, Francis Collins, wrote it, it would probably look very different, as he calls DNA the Language of God. That’s the title of his book. Interesting that these two science-types would hold such different views. Of the two, Collins always seems so happy while Dawkins seems kind of like a gloomy-Gus.



Edited by Jaketejas - March 09 2022 at 18:58
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 18:56
Thanks Logan. When you say "moral codes come from man," do you mean that laws come from man? I kind of see laws as being the lowest bar situation. For example, you might be obeying the laws, but that doesn't mean that what you are doing is of good moral character.

Edited by Jaketejas - March 09 2022 at 20:25
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 19:18
I wonder. If we could stack and arrange identical atoms to mimic your molecular makeup, do you think that being would be just like you, with the same memories, thoughts, beliefs, and identity? My buddy says yes. I can’t put my finger on it, but I really don’t think so. Maybe one could call it soul or spirit or what-have-you, but I think evolutionary biology can only take one so far down this path.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Hugh Manatee Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 19:54
Originally posted by Jaketejas Jaketejas wrote:

 Of the two, Collins always seems so happy while Dawkins seems kind of like a gloomy-Gus.


I'm wondering if your characterisation has anything to do with the fact that Collins became a devout Christian while Dawkins is an avowed atheist.


Edited by Hugh Manatee - March 09 2022 at 19:57
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Grumpyprogfan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 20:21
Originally posted by Jaketejas Jaketejas wrote:

I wonder. If we could stack and arrange identical atoms to mimic your molecular makeup, do you think that being would be just like you, with the same memories, thoughts, beliefs, and identity? My buddy says yes. I can’t put my finger on it, but I really don’t think so. Maybe one could call it soul or spirit or what-have-you, but I think evolutionary biology can only take one so far down this path.
Only a brain can process memories, thoughts beliefs, and identity. When the brain dies all those things are lost. Atoms are cosmic dust junk of the universe. Like oxygen, atoms have not thought, atoms only exist.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 20:29
^^ It was merely an observation. I've listened to both of them speak, and I have enjoyed listening to their views. They are both very well respected in their fields. But, if you listen to them, Collins always seems so cheerful. Dawkins not so much. Have you ever noticed that?

Edited by Jaketejas - March 09 2022 at 20:30
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Jaketejas Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 09 2022 at 20:37
Originally posted by Grumpyprogfan Grumpyprogfan wrote:

Originally posted by Jaketejas Jaketejas wrote:

I wonder. If we could stack and arrange identical atoms to mimic your molecular makeup, do you think that being would be just like you, with the same memories, thoughts, beliefs, and identity? My buddy says yes. I can’t put my finger on it, but I really don’t think so. Maybe one could call it soul or spirit or what-have-you, but I think evolutionary biology can only take one so far down this path.
Only a brain can process memories, thoughts beliefs, and identity. When the brain dies all those things are lost. Atoms are cosmic dust junk of the universe. Like oxygen, atoms have not thought, atoms only exist.


Yes, but do you think that if you arranged the atoms in just the way that you are made, that being would automatically have all your memories, thoughts, views, experiences, morals, etc.? Do you think that this arrangement of identical atoms would actually be you? I don't believe so. I think each person has a spirit or whatever you want to call it that cannot be mimicked simply through molecular arrangement.
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