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Snicolette View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 10:23
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

^ and color me fabulously curious for who the blacks as a voting block.. ie the southern primaries will break for in the coming campaign. They have in the past coalesced around one candidate as a block.. but is the year they fragment? One can see it happening. Those whose innate conservatism lead them to go centrist as they did Hillary in 2016 thus going Biden (or Sherrod Brown who is widely expected to run if Biden does't run and take the center while Warren and Harris fight a death match to claim the left of the party)

Warren's policies as I have sort of explained are perhaps their best path forward to start breaking the cycle of prepetuating racism and that through ending economic/education systematic racism.. but will they see it.. can she make a case for it to them? We shall see...

and what about Harris.. other than being a woman of color.. what is she really about politically..  the path to winning in 2020 is playing to the issues not playing identity politics.. so will be extremely curous to see how her campaign emerges and what she is really for...

will be interesting to see...

I agree that Warren's policies are great and she has stood up so well to the rampant greed etc etc.
Harris, I am not so sure about at all, either, for the same reason of vagueness around her.

I do worry that a female candidate may not fly with so much misogyny still abounding, or at least so much of the country seeming to want a male at the helm of the ship.


Edited by Snicolette - February 09 2019 at 10:24
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 16:18
it is hard to say how misogyny may play out in 2020..   I am greatly.. and highly encouraged by what we saw in 2018 but it is hard to see.   To be perfectly honest.. I do wonder how much of 2016 was misogyny and how much was simply Hillary herself and the result of having been a target of the right wing character assasination squads for several decades and having her issues with likeability become cemented.  I supported her, voted for her, even had a bit of a perverse fantasy about meeting her in a dark alley and being abused by her before suffering a heart attack with a big ass smile on my face..

but to say or really think she was a likable or ran a good campaign is sort of stretching it...  she did represent a part of the party that is not exactly loved by many..  definitely not Republicans nor a substantial and now ascendant wing of the party to the left.

Biden/Brown or perhaps Klobuchar in the middle..   Warren on the left..  where Harris goes (or is already) I really don't know. Trying to claim the centrist area or enter into a dogfight with Warren on the left. She is the wild card in my much too early 2020 crystal ball about who will emerge and face Trump.




Edited by micky - February 09 2019 at 16:20
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 16:26
speaking of and sort of touched on this earlier in terms of the black vote ... the difficulties a moderate Democrat is going to have winning the nomination. Not even factoring in the reverse Trump factor..

populsim is a very sharp sword and primaries and caucus's rely on one thing in particular .. energy and passion.  ask ol' Jeb Bush what centrism, big money, and name recognition means when faced with an angry motivated and most certainly non centrist group hell bent on taking over and remaking their party.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 16:54
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:




I don't think in any case the Kavanaugh case and Northam are comparable. Kavanaugh was at least alleged to have done something that if true would have been a crime.  Northam isn't.  I am quite concerned about the obsession in the Democratic Party with moral character as demonstrated by choice of words and not from whom you accept campaign funding, to who all you give private speeches for money and whether you quietly support gentrification in your backyard anyway.  From everything I have read, FDR was deeply flawed.  So was JFK and so was Lincoln.  So was Gandhi who I mentioned upthread.  And all of these leaders provided REAL leadership in difficult times when the world most needed it.  William Jefferson Clinton may not have been a leader of the stature of the aforementioned folks but he did a lot of good stuff, left the economy and balance sheet in a healthy shape and knew how to win elections.  This is politics; people can't be losing sight of the big picture.

If the Democratic Party wants candidates that it can at least pretend are perfect, it won't get it or it will think it does until the GOP trumps up (pun intended) some story to stick onto the candidate anyway.  If the accusation isn't at least of criminal conduct, it ideally ought to be let go of.  Now if Northam said something offensive TODAY, that would obviously be a hot potato and not a fight worth fighting for the party but all these years back?  Why?  And what, do people who vote Democrat really think they are so amazing and unimpeachable as to hold the leaders they want to such lofty standards? It's a choice between four more years of Agent Orange or a possibly flawed but more reliable President who might be able to repair and restore America's reputation.  It's a choice that needs to be carefully and wisely exercised.  IMHO.

ummm. brother.. 

I was comparing the Lt. Governor's problems with Kavanaugh.. not the Governors Smile

Now your 2nd paragraph is quite another thing.  It is a hard thing to generalize. what is acceptable what is not.  What matters .. or should matter I suppose is the context and thus are dealt with individually as these things pop up.  Race?  Can often be a grey area, especially as we are seeing with older politicians and things done decades past in their youth.   The Me Too ... sexual assault... again.. all jokes aside.. only survivable if you are Republican and have to answer to Republicans haha. Thus my opinion the Lt. Governor here can not survive this.. unlike the Governor .. if Fairfax doesn't do the right thing and resign.. they'll impeach his ass. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 16:59
now is that right... or fair? Who knows...  all I know is the Mickprincipal.. life is a bitch.. and often not fair.

ask the millions of nameless faceless women that are sexually assaulted and the men who get away with it how fair life is..

if the cost of a heightened awareness and the movement for the victims to come out is a few innocents who get their lives trashed.. oh well..  being a public figure has it's upsides .. and downsides.

as I was telling Raff at lunch (we had a long passionate talk over this very subject) 

if you have any chance of having allegations like this come out.. then perhaps politics and entering the public life is not where you need to be.  


Edited by micky - February 09 2019 at 17:00
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 18:01
not sure if this is really a topic worthy of discussion but it sure as hell is of thought... and I'm feeling a bit philosophical this evening. So I wax away...

oh poor politicians... having to face the specter of unprovable 'he said/she said' allegations.   It is fair.. no I suppose not. But as i noted and suppose is no secret to most other than the kiddies around here...life is not fair..  and that .. that is the price that public figures have to pay for a correction to the long standing norms of hush hushing sexual abuse of women and men in general being the savage unthinking unfeeling pigs that can often be.

while that is particularly the domain of the public figure.. be it politician..  rock star..  business mogul.  The common man has long faced a similar situation in which they pay and pay dearly fairly or unfairly and often have their lives destroyed in the attempt to control and correct  for the sins of the past of others.

A great example.. but my point is there are countless ones that don't make the news.. 

a guy I work with.  had 3 kids with his wife and after a particularly nasty divorce was ruined financially...

he showed me once... after the state took out his child support (along with the Feds taking out the student loans he had defaulted on due to lack of money to live)

his check.. 15 f**king dollars..  no sh*t.. no kidding. How is one supposed to live on that. Is that fair?

does the state or anyone care if the man had little chance of getting out of his hole short of outside help.. no.. .it's first and only care was making sure his children got that money. It has to when so many deadbeat fathers are out there trying to escape their obligations to their children. The law has to be firm and hard on everyone. Life is not fair but the victims have to be the first and primary concern in this.. and yes as it must be with the victims of sexual assault.

the point is... i suspect most of these allegations are f**king not made up. So no problem with them going down. Even those that bogus (has there been one shown to be bogus in this era of MeToo and public figures? not that I can recall) .. spurned lovers/girlfriends  (for we do know how batsh*t crazy women can get hahah)... again oh well.. join the club man.  You might get your good name trashed.. even your career... join the f**ked by life club.. it accepts the entitled and famous as well as the common man...no different than many faceless men who have a draconian system imposed on them for the sins of others.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 18:20
I do payroll for about 500 mostly laborers in a wholesale nursery (agriculture).  We have a fair amount of garnishments and child support amongst that number.  The garnishments are almost all at a 25% amount, meaning no more than 25% of an employee's "disposable," income can be taken per paycheck to repay said creditor.

Child support is different, and must be paid in full each time.  And yes, they don't care if you can live on what is left or not.  I have seen those $15 paychecks.  And of course, those children are deserving of being supported, but, as you said, what the heck is a person supposed to do to survive and keep supporting those children?

Being female, I am pretty sure that most of those sexual assault allegations aren't being made up, either.  Devilishly hard to prove after the fact and especially when many years have passed and the assault wasn't reported (often to anyone at all, even a friend) at the time.  

It's interesting to me how the narrative got turned around a bit into, gee, poor men, by some.  Anything can get twisted, apparently.




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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 18:29
in the name of politics.. anything can be twisted.  Even thinking about those Kavanaugh hearings these months later really.. really boils my blood.  It was sweet to see that turn so badly for them in terms of women voting so decisively against the party of old white men who made Kavanaugh somehow the victim in all that.

It was a political blunder that I think that party will come really regret. Easily made I suppose when your party has lost any touch with reality and thinking outside of old white southern men...
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 19:30
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

now is that right... or fair? Who knows...  all I know is the Mickprincipal.. life is a bitch.. and often not fair.

ask the millions of nameless faceless women that are sexually assaulted and the men who get away with it how fair life is..

if the cost of a heightened awareness and the movement for the victims to come out is a few innocents who get their lives trashed.. oh well..  being a public figure has it's upsides .. and downsides.

as I was telling Raff at lunch (we had a long passionate talk over this very subject) 

if you have any chance of having allegations like this come out.. then perhaps politics and entering the public life is not where you need to be.  



Oh I have absolutely no problem with throwing politicians under the bus since I think most of them worlwide are rotten anyway. But from the outside, I can't help but notice that it's only one party that's taking such a strident line on this. And I do wonder indeed if that is an overreaction to the HRC campaign. It's not necessary that voters would be equally as unforgiving of some other democratic candidate, especially a low profile dark horse like say Tulsi Gabbard. It's more like HRC was a candidate with tremendous baggage and those who didn't want to vote for her were looking for reasons why. It's admirable and all that to see the Democratic Party hold reps, senators to a high standard. Just make sure you don't run out of candidates. And yes morals are relative. But, again I am just using the Northam example to make a larger point about the party. The choice between someone wearing a blackface 30 years back (when if I recall there was a pop hit with a video that featured a blackface) and someone calling Mexicans rapists and terrorists on his campaign is or should be an easy one to make. Back in the day, nobody talked much about the times Gandhi's attempts to maintain celibacy went wrong (and the quibbling began post independence from right wingers who found non violence abhorrent) because it was important to remember not only what we were fighting for but what we were fighting against. Take a stand sure but beat the enemy first and foremost. And trump isn't just the enemy of the Democratic Party but enemy no. 1 of the USA.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 09 2019 at 22:13
In fact, the more I think about it, the more I feel Trump orchestrated the whole shutdown brouhaha to distract attention from the clear cut signals that he is winding down the Manifest Destiny army (which is well and good) but on terms that favour Russia unmistakably.  The relaunch of no holds barred aggression against Russia is also entirely to their favour; it's like how Pakistan said India's 1998 nuclear tests only gave them the freedom to do testing openly instead of cold tests. Yes, Putin has trained Trump well alright.  He is getting his agenda accomplished without a fuss and with alarming pace after the mid term polls. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 05:05
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:


Oh I have absolutely no problem with throwing politicians under the bus since I think most of them worlwide are rotten anyway. But from the outside, I can't help but notice that it's only one party that's taking such a strident line on this. And I do wonder indeed if that is an overreaction to the HRC campaign. It's not necessary that voters would be equally as unforgiving of some other democratic candidate, especially a low profile dark horse like say Tulsi Gabbard. It's more like HRC was a candidate with tremendous baggage and those who didn't want to vote for her were looking for reasons why. It's admirable and all that to see the Democratic Party hold reps, senators to a high standard. Just make sure you don't run out of candidates. And yes morals are relative. But, again I am just using the Northam example to make a larger point about the party. The choice between someone wearing a blackface 30 years back (when if I recall there was a pop hit with a video that featured a blackface) and someone calling Mexicans rapists and terrorists on his campaign is or should be an easy one to make. Back in the day, nobody talked much about the times Gandhi's attempts to maintain celibacy went wrong (and the quibbling began post independence from right wingers who found non violence abhorrent) because it was important to remember not only what we were fighting for but what we were fighting against. Take a stand sure but beat the enemy first and foremost. And trump isn't just the enemy of the Democratic Party but enemy no. 1 of the USA.

oh yeah man.. I have about zero nadda no sympathy for politicians being scraped off the pavement.  Part of the solution IMO to both the loathsome career politician and perhaps 'running out of candidates' for fear of being run flat in the current environment where every aspect of their past and private lives is fair game to partisan oppo hit squads is a simple one.  Term limits. Make the position what it was always supposed to be, public service and not what it has become ... a career where getting fat and raising money for the next campaign occupies much of their time and energy.  I'm not sure if that will ever happen, or could happen but again.. a girl can dream. It would do much to clean out the cesspool and swamp that is both Captial Hill.. and just as importantly... K Street.  

I admire your sentiments but I really can't say I agree completely with you on Public Enemy #1. Trump is only the symptom of a larger problem and a temporary one at that..... short of starting a war of political expediacy pretty much all of his messes can be dealt with relative ease. It is something the Democrats have some experience with hahah. However the real enemy are those that elected him who were around before Trump.. and will be after Trump and still the base of that party and waiting for the next collective bedsh*tting by the gen pop or Democratic Party to get the apathatic, the ignorant and the unthinking to elect another completely batsh*t crazy, unqualified and completely anathema to our nations values elected as President.  The war as it were and this nations perhaps but what should be considered public enemy #1 is what has become of the Republican Party. A party who has lost all its ideological moorings and has no notion of governing.. and no real policy ideas of anything other than spreading its legs for its wealthy donor class.. and of course pandering with social issues red meat to the morons that continue to vote for them through trying to remake the judiciary.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 06:41
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:


Oh I have absolutely no problem with throwing politicians under the bus since I think most of them worlwide are rotten anyway. But from the outside, I can't help but notice that it's only one party that's taking such a strident line on this. And I do wonder indeed if that is an overreaction to the HRC campaign. It's not necessary that voters would be equally as unforgiving of some other democratic candidate, especially a low profile dark horse like say Tulsi Gabbard. It's more like HRC was a candidate with tremendous baggage and those who didn't want to vote for her were looking for reasons why. It's admirable and all that to see the Democratic Party hold reps, senators to a high standard. Just make sure you don't run out of candidates. And yes morals are relative. But, again I am just using the Northam example to make a larger point about the party. The choice between someone wearing a blackface 30 years back (when if I recall there was a pop hit with a video that featured a blackface) and someone calling Mexicans rapists and terrorists on his campaign is or should be an easy one to make. Back in the day, nobody talked much about the times Gandhi's attempts to maintain celibacy went wrong (and the quibbling began post independence from right wingers who found non violence abhorrent) because it was important to remember not only what we were fighting for but what we were fighting against. Take a stand sure but beat the enemy first and foremost. And trump isn't just the enemy of the Democratic Party but enemy no. 1 of the USA.

oh yeah man.. I have about zero nadda no sympathy for politicians being scraped off the pavement.  Part of the solution IMO to both the loathsome career politician and perhaps 'running out of candidates' for fear of being run flat in the current environment where every aspect of their past and private lives is fair game to partisan oppo hit squads is a simple one.  Term limits. Make the position what it was always supposed to be, public service and not what it has become ... a career where getting fat and raising money for the next campaign occupies much of their time and energy.  I'm not sure if that will ever happen, or could happen but again.. a girl can dream. It would do much to clean out the cesspool and swamp that is both Captial Hill.. and just as importantly... K Street.  

I admire your sentiments but I really can't say I agree completely with you on Public Enemy #1. Trump is only the symptom of a larger problem and a temporary one at that..... short of starting a war of political expediacy pretty much all of his messes can be dealt with relative ease. It is something the Democrats have some experience with hahah. However the real enemy are those that elected him who were around before Trump.. and will be after Trump and still the base of that party and waiting for the next collective bedsh*tting by the gen pop or Democratic Party to get the apathatic, the ignorant and the unthinking to elect another completely batsh*t crazy, unqualified and completely anathema to our nations values elected as President.  The war as it were and this nations perhaps but what should be considered public enemy #1 is what has become of the Republican Party. A party who has lost all its ideological moorings and has no notion of governing.. and no real policy ideas of anything other than spreading its legs for its wealthy donor class.. and of course pandering with social issues red meat to the morons that continue to vote for them through trying to remake the judiciary.

Yeah, Republican Party.  But in your presidential system, that makes Trump the enemy, the target because the GOP won't do anything to make him step down.  And also agree that term limits would be a good solution.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 07:42
I probably don't have the same cynical view of public servants as I see expressed in this thread and elsewhere, and maybe thats because I know a fair share of them personally. Yes, the sleazy politician most certainly exists, our last presidential election is sad proof of that, but I wouldn't lump them all in that basket.

Here are some Memphis area public servants that are doing a great job:

Lee Harris - Shelby County mayor. One hard working guy and very concerned about the people he serves. I know him and taught his son piano for several years.

Steve Cohen - Our representative in DC. Don't know him personally but know plenty that do. He is held in high esteem by most.

Steve Mulroy - Former city council member and mayoral candidate and a very vocal proponent for all things good for the city. I know him personally and also taught his son piano.

Jim Strickland - the current mayor of Memphis. I do not know him personally but do know many who do. He has been working his butt off to fulfill his worthwhile campaign promises.

Then of course there is my wife who works with local politicians to go after those who break anti-animal cruelty laws.

Yes we have our share of sleaze bags too, but I will not list them right now except for Diane Black and Marsha Blackburn, their corporate hugging ways are bad for all of us.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 07:52
That is quite true...there are many public servants who do their jobs and do them well.  And an especial thanks to your wife...I volunteered dog-walking at a no-kill shelter for some years, and have friends active in the rescue community in the Nashville area.  I was very surprised to find that many counties in TN (and elsewhere) do not have any shelters at all and there are great people who organize and create them on behalf of the animals in many of those communities.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 08:00
^ If they are activists in the Nashville area, then my wife knows them. She has addressed the state legislature many times and can tell you who in Nashville is good and who is not. She knows them all.
I can't give out her name though as she is currently working under cover at a puppy mill in another part of the country. Those people probably have no idea who they have on their case right now, she is relentless, ha.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 08:26
The people I know are all Country K-9 people out of Lebanon.  They moved with us from CA when we moved the bus company there.  Good people.  Even more impressed with your wife, that is great work!  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 10 2019 at 10:18
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Yeah, Republican Party.  But in your presidential system, that makes Trump the enemy, the target because the GOP won't do anything to make him step down.  And also agree that term limits would be a good solution.

Trump is two years away from a jail cell most likely.. I'm not a betting man.. of all my vices past and present.. never got into that. However if I was.. I'd get better odds from anyone paying attention to what is going on that his odds of being in a jail cell come 2021 are much greater than those that he will still be in the White House. I wouldn't go all the way and say he has no chance to win...  however it would take not just repeating his lucky Straight Flush where everything broke perfectly for him in 2016 just to squeak into the White House.. he will need a Royal Flush in 2020 and would probably include starting an overseas war.

After he goes.. the bullseye ends up on the real dark power in D.C, the real enemy, who has done much more than even Trump to poison and kneecap our politics through playing hyperpartisanship, hardball no compromise politics, and squashing like a grape (hahah)  the 'evil' opposition.

Darth McConnell.  LOL




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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2019 at 13:48
^Yes....Mitch McConnell represents just about everything that's wrong with intransigent career American politics.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2019 at 15:26
^ the real problem is that he is applauded and lauded for it. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: February 11 2019 at 17:59
I am really sick with all that is going on US politics today.  I would like to put in a plug for those who are progressive and are around at 9 AM EST and like a little humor with their progressive politics and that is the Stephanie Miller Show.  Join us.  There is even a lively chat around if you aren't a troll...
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