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npjnpj View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 11:01
Oh I don’t know, the USA seems to be the mainly affected country while the rest of the world is rallying around
new economic and strategic alliances fast. Not on anyone’s wishlist, for sure, but adapting quite nicely.

The international community is reacting to the fact that the US has become an unreliable partner in any and all
matters military and non-military, and will become even less (or more?) so in the forseeable future, so
alternative alliances are being sought and confirmed at this very moment.

Add to that the fact that the USA are slowly imploding from within with tariffs and connected import- and export
problems, a semi-permanent government shutdown and a sensational national debt, it’s already half way to
being a global non-player.

In a way it’s a bit like looking at the collapse of the Soviet Union not very so long ago. Nobody really thought at
the time that that would happen either. Interesting.

Apart from the possible nuclear oopsie you mentioned, it doesn’t look like the rest of the world has a lot to
worry about. In fact I think it's a distinct possibility that if Trump should try a nuclear stunt, the other nations
with nuclear capabilities could unite and retaliate. The US is not a very popular nation any more.


Edited by npjnpj - January 06 2019 at 11:09
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TCat View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 11:24
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Oh I don’t know, the USA seems to be the mainly affected country while the rest of the world is rallying around
new economic and strategic alliances fast. Not on anyone’s wishlist, for sure, but adapting quite nicely.

The international community is reacting to the fact that the US has become an unreliable partner in any and all
matters military and non-military, and will become even less (or more?) so in the forseeable future, so
alternative alliances are being sought and confirmed at this very moment.

Add to that the fact that the USA are slowly imploding from within with tariffs and connected import- and export
problems, a semi-permanent government shutdown and a sensational national debt, it’s already half way to
being a global non-player.

In a way it’s a bit like looking at the collapse of the Soviet Union not very so long ago. Nobody really thought at
the time that that would happen either. Interesting.

Apart from the possible nuclear oopsie you mentioned, it doesn’t look like the rest of the world has a lot to
worry about. In fact I think it's a distinct possibility that if Trump should try a nuclear stunt, the other nations
with nuclear capabilities could unite and retaliate. The US is not a very popular nation any more.
 
A "nuclear oopsie" is something the world has to worry about in that it will effect everyone, especially if there is retaliation.  So is Trump's lackadaisical feelings of the environment.  So are the world-wide markets that will be affected by the crash when it all falls. 
 
I agree that the US is not a popular nation any more, most of that is because of Trumps version of MAGA which is also driving the implosion you mention.  Trump is destroying America and taking everything backwards, putting America way behind everyone else in policies and in alliances.  In the back of his mind, he thinks he is a dictator, but he has no idea what he is doing and doesn't consider the consequences for doing what he does. 
 
I agree with a lot of what you say, but I don't agree that the rest of the world won't feel the impact in one way or another.  Kudos to the rest of the world for not falling for his B.S., but there is also a rise in people interested in his rhetoric all over the world and people looking to bring in idiots to positions of power.  Just be careful, because America got comfortable and believed that Trump would never win.  But he did.  It can happen anywhere. 


Edited by TCat - January 06 2019 at 11:25

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 11:38
Oh yes, I agree that we all have to be very careful. But elections in Germany and France for instance have
shown that the far right, although on the rise, were pretty much knee-capped at the polls, showing that at
least for the moment they are nothing but a loud minority, with emphasis on the word 'minority'.

Countries like Hungary and Poland for instance are different, but they still have very a strong historical affinity
to the old Soviet Union, and are vulnarable to Russian influence. Extremely dangerous. But then again, they are
not democracies in the strictly historical and political sense.

But the USA is an example of what happens when elections go off the rails, and this acts as a pretty strong
deterrent to the 'regular' voter.


Edited by npjnpj - January 06 2019 at 11:40
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 11:45
Originally posted by TCat TCat wrote:


 
A "nuclear oopsie" is something the world has to worry about in that it will effect everyone, especially if there is retaliation.  So is Trump's lackadaisical feelings of the environment.  So are the world-wide markets that will be affected by the crash when it all falls. 
 
I agree that the US is not a popular nation any more, most of that is because of Trumps version of MAGA which is also driving the implosion you mention.  Trump is destroying America and taking everything backwards, putting America way behind everyone else in policies and in alliances.  In the back of his mind, he thinks he is a dictator, but he has no idea what he is doing and doesn't consider the consequences for doing what he does. 
 
I agree with a lot of what you say, but I don't agree that the rest of the world won't feel the impact in one way or another.  Kudos to the rest of the world for not falling for his B.S., but there is also a rise in people interested in his rhetoric all over the world and people looking to bring in idiots to positions of power.  Just be careful, because America got comfortable and believed that Trump would never win.  But he did.  It can happen anywhere. 

Being an American, it disturbs me terribly that such people feel that they can loudly proclaim their ignorance and hatred.  And 45's impulsiveness (not to mention repulsiveness) is a sobering thing, indeed.  I like to calm myself with the fact that he didn't win the popular vote and his popularity with all but his staunchest base keeps declining.  

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 12:04
I'm afraid that "such people feel that they can loudly proclaim their ignorance and hatred" are a product of their
upbringing, their environment, and an apparently woefully inadequate educational system. What's going on
there?

You need a certain level of education combined with an installed sense of morality and empathy to ensure that
people can vote responsibly. Without these factors it seems that democracy does not function as intended.

It's frightening that (almost) a whole nation seems incapable of using democracy as a sensible tool for
insuring a governemt that acts responsibly towards its voters.

Of course, I admit, Hillary Clinton as an alternative didn't help matters. Sigh. Talk about shooting yourself in
the foot!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 12:58
'Twas the electoral college that did it...
But I do agree in general that education is crucial.  
There has been a systematic dumbing down in our public schools system for decades, kind of going along with the decreasing amount of tax dollars coming from the upper class via loopholes for corporations etc 
And dumb and dumberer DeVoss being planted in her present spot, which hopefully will be reversed in the near future, will not help anything as far as furthering anyone's edumacation.
My family started schools and libraries in the early 1900's in Southern California, I'm sure they are rolling over in their graves at the state of our schools.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 13:39
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Oh I don’t know, the USA seems to be the mainly affected country while the rest of the world is rallying around
new economic and strategic alliances fast. Not on anyone’s wishlist, for sure, but adapting quite nicely.

The international community is reacting to the fact that the US has become an unreliable partner in any and all
matters military and non-military, and will become even less (or more?) so in the forseeable future, so
alternative alliances are being sought and confirmed at this very moment.

You'd be complaining about too much US military involvement if we'd elected someone who was an interventionist.   You've exposed yourself as a dishonest, angry hypocrite who has nothing productive to say and only hopes for the worst, and has the temerity to post about a subject he knows almost nothing about with useless provocations and childish rants.

It's sad.


"Too often we enjoy the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought."   -- John F. Kennedy
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 13:46
Ah, you know me too well.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 18:41
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Oh I don’t know, the USA seems to be the mainly affected country while the rest of the world is rallying around
new economic and strategic alliances fast. Not on anyone’s wishlist, for sure, but adapting quite nicely.
Can you be more specific about the 'new economic and strategic alliances' please? 

Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

The international community is reacting to the fact that the US has become an unreliable partner in any and all
matters military and non-military, and will become even less (or more?) so in the forseeable future, so
alternative alliances are being sought and confirmed at this very moment.
The post-WWII Europe practically relinquished its defense duty and delegated it to the US. What do you exactly mean by "unreliable partner" in military matters? And what do you mean by non-military ones?   

Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Add to that the fact that the USA are slowly imploding from within with tariffs and connected import- and export
problems, a semi-permanent government shutdown and a sensational national debt, it’s already half way to
being a global non-player.
What constitutes the tariffs/import/export implosion? Why the sensational national debt makes the US non-player? And who is the player then? What kind of debt is acceptable for the global play in your opinion?  

Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

In a way it’s a bit like looking at the collapse of the Soviet Union not very so long ago. Nobody really thought at
the time that that would happen either. Interesting.
Do you draw parallels with the USSR from the economy point of view?

Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Apart from the possible nuclear oopsie you mentioned, it doesn’t look like the rest of the world has a lot to
worry about. In fact I think it's a distinct possibility that if Trump should try a nuclear stunt, the other nations
with nuclear capabilities could unite and retaliate. The US is not a very popular nation any more.
Do you mean the nations like the UK, France, Russia, China, North Korea, Pakistan, India and Israel could unite to retaliate?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 18:46
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Countries like Hungary and Poland for instance are different, but they still have very a strong historical affinity
to the old Soviet Union, and are vulnarable to Russian influence. Extremely dangerous. But then again, they are
not democracies in the strictly historical and political sense.

But the USA is an example of what happens when elections go off the rails, and this acts as a pretty strong
deterrent to the 'regular' voter.
How is Poland vulnerable to Russian influence at the moment? And Hungary too for this matter? And how the US election go off the rails? Which one are you referring to?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 06 2019 at 18:58
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:



You need a certain level of education combined with an installed sense of morality and empathy to ensure that
people can vote responsibly. Without these factors it seems that democracy does not function as intended.


Are you saying that people without a certain level of education, whatever it means, and those other nice qualities you mentioned should not be allowed to vote? Isn't it the main principle of democracy to give the citizens the right to vote?  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 00:04
Fair questions all, and I didn't want your posts to go unanswered, but I'm very pressed for time at the moment.
I intend to go into details, but it might take a while to go back and dig up all the sources, sorry. I'll get back
to you sometime, hopefully in the next few days.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 00:40
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Oh I don’t know, the USA seems to be the mainly affected country while the rest of the world is rallying around
new economic and strategic alliances fast. Not on anyone’s wishlist, for sure, but adapting quite nicely.

The international community is reacting to the fact that the US has become an unreliable partner in any and all
matters military and non-military, and will become even less (or more?) so in the forseeable future, so
alternative alliances are being sought and confirmed at this very moment.

Add to that the fact that the USA are slowly imploding from within with tariffs and connected import- and export
problems, a semi-permanent government shutdown and a sensational national debt, it’s already half way to
being a global non-player.

In a way it’s a bit like looking at the collapse of the Soviet Union not very so long ago. Nobody really thought at
the time that that would happen either. Interesting.

Apart from the possible nuclear oopsie you mentioned, it doesn’t look like the rest of the world has a lot to
worry about. In fact I think it's a distinct possibility that if Trump should try a nuclear stunt, the other nations
with nuclear capabilities could unite and retaliate. The US is not a very popular nation any more.




USA is the largest economy by far, the strongest military power and almost all but a few embargoed nations trade with the US. Any move to a non US led hegemony is going to be messy. Doubly so if it involves a China led by Jinping. If you thought Trump was authoritarian, you ain't seen nothing yet. I am NOT American by the way. Heaven knows I have dissed America for the Iraq War a million times. But they are still the least worst superpower the world has had. A US collapse will be nothing like that of the Soviet.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 07:30
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

Fair questions all, and I didn't want your posts to go unanswered, but I'm very pressed for time at the moment.
I intend to go into details, but it might take a while to go back and dig up all the sources, sorry. I'll get back
to you sometime, hopefully in the next few days.
Take your time
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 10:11
A friend of mine was visiting New York for a week over new years and he was quite stunned at the consequences of the government shutdown. Trash piling up on the street, police everywhere, tense atmosphere; what else is going on because of this? (btw, in his own words, he is planning to never go to the US again after this holiday experience, make of that what you will)
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 11:58
Not taking any sides in the above ' macho showdown' , but Atavachron lists himself as a 'martial arts instructor', npj as IT occupation, and IVNORD doesn't list anything.....so I'm curious how  it is that any of them have more knowledge that  the other person regarding complex matters outside of their fields of 'expertise'.
Maybe they watch CNN and FOX.......
like the rest of us.

;)


Edited by dr wu23 - January 07 2019 at 12:00
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 13:16
Expertise?   I have very little when it comes to politics or political science (other than my tiny corner of expertise regarding the Kennedy assassination), but when did one need expertise to discuss politics?   I was reacting to the squalid and cantankerous posts of npjnpj whose goal it seems, far from politics, is to inject poison into almost any topic brought up.   And since he's not American I felt justified in pointing out his apparent total ignorance of how US politics works and how the government functions.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 13:51
@ dr wu23: A very interesting point.
If you demand professional expertise to express an opinion on a subject, that disqualifies almost everyone from discussing almost anything, wouldn't you say?
So which professions would you be prepared to accept as qualified to post in this thread?


Edited by npjnpj - January 07 2019 at 14:02
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 14:21
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

@ dr wu23: A very interesting point.
If you demand professional expertise to express an opinion on a subject, that disqualifies almost everyone from discussing almost anything, wouldn't you say?
So which professions would you be prepared to accept as qualified to post in this thread?

I wasn't picking on anyone...my point was that anyone's opinion is as good as anyone else unless one can show how they have 'expertise' in that area....Atavachron was saying your opinion didn't count and imho was rude about it yet his reply said nothing about his own credibility  either.
My point was unless one has special education or knowledge why is their comment worth more than anyone elses..?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: January 07 2019 at 15:41
maybe the following wise words will help "treat people how you want to be treated", 
sage advice coming from the man who also said:
"The concept of global warming was created by and for the Chinese in order to make U.S. manufacturing non-competitive."

maybe expertise is an outdated concept...certainly seems so in UK politics.

Proud to be an un-banned member since 2005
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