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micky View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 17:48
and just called... thus completes the blueification of northern virginia... I'll drink to that...Beer
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 18:00
and eyes here now turn more to the south

A race of particular interest to many inside the Beltway is Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, where Democrat Abigail Spanberger is mounting a serious challenge to incumbent Dave Brat. You may recall that Brat defeated then-House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in a 2014 primary upset. I would argue that Cantor’s loss put the entire party on edge and was the proverbial “canary in the coal mine” that suggested the base of the party was hungry for candidates further to the right, more hawkish on immigration — in a way, the opening chapter in the story of the Trump era. So a loss by Brat tonight would be an interesting bookend.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 18:03
and Donnelly closing the gap in IN. Not familiar with Indiana as I am with Va in which you can watch over the course of the night a contest in which the whole state is red.. go to a blue win by 100's of k's in votes. Not sure how much he has left in the urban, suburban centers but looks like most all the rural vote is in.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 18:19
lol at Florida...  good thing I don't live there.  I'd be hungover the day after every election.

11k difference.. 7 million counted so far


Edited by micky - November 06 2018 at 18:20
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 18:54
Originally posted by SteveG SteveG wrote:

Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

I hate Trump as much as the next guy, more so if he is a Trump supporter, but is Trump definitely a racist? He panders to racists/ white supremacists, which seems opportunistic to me, but I don't know his ideological views when it comes to race issues.
Have people become so immune to Trump's antics that his racism is now questioned? Greg, Trump has no spoken ideology other then calling himself a nationalist, which in itself has racist overtones. But this is simple logic: If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck then it's a duck. But to illustrate, here's the latest Trump racist rant and backlash as told by the NY Times: ...

Media Giants Recoil From Caravan Ad Called Racist.


Sorry snipping out the article, but its full of code. I have now watched the ad itself.

I've heard it as "then it probably is a duck."

It provides evidence but not certainty.

The duck test is a sort of proof by association (proof in the logic sense). If any assumptions are off or if the observer is in error then the argument fails. It could be that you mistook a duck for a goose (though they are in the same waterfowl family and a goose can be called a duck), or it's a robot cleverly designed to act and look like a duck, or it's a human who is a very good duck impersonator, maybe its some new breed of species with duck-like qualities without being of the anatidae (my nickname for my wife incidentally) family. Maybe it's an alien species with amazing mimicry skills. Knowledge which is reliable should be confirmed in various ways to make as certain as one can of the veracity (one cannot be absolutely sure of anything including that one can cannot be certain of anything, but the more evidence one has and the more approaches to discerning a thing, the more probably an assertion).

While I suspect that Trump has racist tendencies and he appeals to racists, that ad does not prove that he is racist. I would even question that the ad is surely racist. I still think that he's an immoral opportunist with sociopathic traits who is fine with appealing to racists and culturalists and may be racist himself.

The caravan ad is meant to appeal to people's fears, it appeals to xenophobes, and appeals to people's cultural and ethnic biases, and no doubt appeals to genuine racists (in the sense of those who consider a particular race or races inherently superior to another), but it does not prove Trump to be inherently racist.   I'm not sure if Hispanic even is a race (many reject the concept of race altogether) as Hispanics are of mixed "races" (diverse genetics). It's closer to ethnicity. But yes, I'm sure many people think, oh no, the brown hordes are coming and they're bringing crime and Trump knows that and appeals to that sentiment. While guilt by association is considered to be an ad hominem fallacy, who he is associating with and trying to appeal to does say much about his character.

And being nationalistic does have racist overtones, and racial nationalism has more than overtones, but one can be nationalistic while not being at all racist. Racism need not be a motivating factor in the nationalism, though historically, and now, it has tended to be a factor. Trump clearly appeals to White Nationalists and he has low to no moral character. As for me, I prefer internationalism. Like most people, I have cultural and sub-cultural biases but I don[t see my race as superior in any way.

I like the thought that as more people get their DNA tested, people will care less about racial purity and even concepts of race. I'm blonde haired and blue eyed, but I had mine done and I'm like 20 percent Ashkenazi Jew, which I didn't know, and have Malay blood (which I did know). We're all originally African according to what is thought to be true.

I think that if Trump felt that he would benefit from showing, say, migrants, in a positive light, then that's what he would do as I think that he's an immoral, narcissistic, selfish opportunist and bullsh*t artist who only really cares about himself (and that which effects himself).
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 20:16
Drew Edmonson lost the race for Governor of my state, Oklahoma. I'm very sad. He had a chance and made a good run.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 20:17
Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

I hate Trump as much as the next guy, more so if he is a Trump supporter, but is Trump definitely a racist? He panders to racists/ white supremacists, which seems opportunistic to me, but I don't know his ideological views when it comes to race issues.
 

From a practical standpoint, what's the difference? If you are a racist or just pander/empower/support/etc racist the end results, the real world results, are the same. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 20:19
Polls in TN were off pretty bad. The Blackburn vs Bredesen race was supposed to be close, but she beat him 55 to 43.
They are both conservative with the difference being Blackburn is an idiot trump lackey and Bredesen is much smarter than that, hate to see him lose.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 20:19
No surprise the Rs hold the senate, hopefully the house can follow through with the polls this time and turn blue. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 20:45
Originally posted by Man With Hat Man With Hat wrote:

Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

I hate Trump as much as the next guy, more so if he is a Trump supporter, but is Trump definitely a racist? He panders to racists/ white supremacists, which seems opportunistic to me, but I don't know his ideological views when it comes to race issues.
 

From a practical standpoint, what's the difference? If you are a racist or just pander/empower/support/etc racist the end results, the real world results, are the same. 


If one is only interested in the utilitarian standpoint, then okay, but from a non-teleological philosophical and psychological standpoint, and the lexicological angle, the difference can be of interest.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 21:50
That 'other party' has taken the house and the US returns to a two party checks and balances system as opposed to a one party monarchy.   

Edited by Easy Money - November 06 2018 at 23:20
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 06 2018 at 23:14
^ yeah.. too damn funny. Just got back in after an emergency call.  Tree fell and took out a service and a whole condo building.. yet all anyone wanted to talk about was the election and what happens next.

god living in the DC area rules...
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 06:32
Originally posted by SteveG SteveG wrote:

 
(clipped from NYT article)
Divisive, over-the-top political ads are the hallmark of this year's age-of-rage midterm battle, as candidates across the country accused their opponents of being terrorists, criminals, and in one case, deserving of a golf spike to the face.
 

Yeah, that "golf spike to the face" is from Pennsylvania's version of Trump, Scott "Trashman" Wagner. Wow, what an a****le! I'm so happy he lost in a landslide (57.6 to 40.8) to one of the better governors Pennsylvania has seen in awhile, Tom Wolf. 

We also had a court-mandated redistricting due to Republican gerrymandering and it resulted in more Democratic representation for our state, which is finally starting to lineup with our population which leans more blue than red. I hope they're making progress in other states that have been gerrymandered to extremes. 

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 07:20
Dems got the house back. Hopefully this is step towards restoring some balance to the universe.

Edited by Argo2112 - November 07 2018 at 07:21
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 07:40
Somewhat relieved.  I had heard the Senate was a long shot but it would have been swell to have the Dems completely handcuff Trump for the remainder of his term.  Now he's got leverage and also a handle to blame Dems with (the really bad Dems won't let me do business in Congress).
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 07:52
Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

Originally posted by Man With Hat Man With Hat wrote:

Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

I hate Trump as much as the next guy, more so if he is a Trump supporter, but is Trump definitely a racist? He panders to racists/ white supremacists, which seems opportunistic to me, but I don't know his ideological views when it comes to race issues.
 

From a practical standpoint, what's the difference? If you are a racist or just pander/empower/support/etc racist the end results, the real world results, are the same. 


If one is only interested in the utilitarian standpoint, then okay, but from a non-teleological philosophical and psychological standpoint, and the lexicological angle, the difference can be of interest.


The psychological standpoint is only as good as the "utilitarian" standpoint, unless one just sticks it in an unexaminable black box. Since you hadn't done that with your other diagnoses (narcissism, etc.), I don't understand the your distinction. One can only ever infer cognitive states from outward behavior. I concede that it is true that asserting things about other people's psychological states is rude, especially so in some other cultures and even the case in our culture as well. However, that is also largely a byproduct of separating the notion of racism from behavior and ethical conduct.


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 08:58
Originally posted by HackettFan HackettFan wrote:

Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

Originally posted by Man With Hat Man With Hat wrote:

Originally posted by Logan Logan wrote:

I hate Trump as much as the next guy, more so if he is a Trump supporter, but is Trump definitely a racist? He panders to racists/ white supremacists, which seems opportunistic to me, but I don't know his ideological views when it comes to race issues.
 

From a practical standpoint, what's the difference? If you are a racist or just pander/empower/support/etc racist the end results, the real world results, are the same. 


If one is only interested in the utilitarian standpoint, then okay, but from a non-teleological philosophical and psychological standpoint, and the lexicological angle, the difference can be of interest.


The psychological standpoint is only as good as the "utilitarian" standpoint, unless one just sticks it in an unexaminable black box. Since you hadn't done that with your other diagnoses (narcissism, etc.), I don't understand the your distinction. One can only ever infer cognitive states from outward behavior. I concede that it is true that asserting things about other people's psychological states is rude, especially so in some other cultures and even the case in our culture as well. However, that is also largely a byproduct of separating the notion of racism from behavior and ethical conduct.


That's a very interesting post, and I am very interested in theory of mind. I was being a bit glib and did not phrase things well by putting forward such apparent separation (the framing is off and I actually think quite holistically). I wasn't disagreeing with Phil, as I think he made an interesting point and it is one that I have thought about too. I am interested in both the utilitarian perspective and other aspects that relate to ethics (deontology for instance). I infer that Trump is likely to be narcissistic due to his behavior (the consequences are important to me) and I don't mind someone inferring that he probably is racist due to his behavior -- I'm quite agnostic on that matter, but then I like to be ultimately agnostic on all things. Basically I think all I was badly trying to say is that while I have an interest in the consequences of whatever his mindset is, my interest goes beyond that. I'm interested in the pursuit of truth and accuracy. I know that I could have answered much better and if I could be assed, I would heavily edit my long post to provide more nuance, clarification, and to change some words (I did read the article). I happen to suspect that Trump is racist (at least in some senses of the word) and I infer that by his actions.

Rushing a bit, and if this discussion continues, I might have a more cogent response later.

EDIT: just to add, I am very interested in Trump's motivations, including whether he is motivated by a sense of personal racism or whether he is not racist himself but exploits racist tendencies in elements of his base. And of course his bases motivations are very interesting. At the least he does empower racists and in one way it doesn't really matter that much if he himself is inherently racist and is merely an opportunist. Trump is such a boor and I'm not more above being insulting towards him than he is to others.

Edited by Logan - November 07 2018 at 10:26
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 12:17
Trump certainly is alienated by and paranoid about non-white people, and is a xenophobe by nature.   However what I suspect is that ultimately it's a matter of politics rather than race or culture for Trump.   If you're with him and for his policies I don't think he cares what or who you are, he will embrace any black, hispanic, asian or Native if they are on his side.   He is a Selective Ignorant, a sociopolitical pragmatist.


"Too often we enjoy the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought."   -- John F. Kennedy
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 13:03
Yeah, that makes perfect sense to me.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: November 07 2018 at 13:08
Originally posted by HackettFan HackettFan wrote:



The psychological standpoint is only as good as the "utilitarian" standpoint, unless one just sticks it in an unexaminable black box. Since you hadn't done that with your other diagnoses (narcissism, etc.), I don't understand the your distinction. One can only ever infer cognitive states from outward behavior. I concede that it is true that asserting things about other people's psychological states is rude, especially so in some other cultures and even the case in our culture as well. However, that is also largely a byproduct of separating the notion of racism from behavior and ethical conduct.


[/QUOTE] 





Outstanding points HackettFan! I agree.  Are you speaking of "Act Utilitarianism" as to whether the capacity of an actor to act in a given environment should conform to rules that maximize utility?  In Trumps case, who defines "maximum utility"?   Voters?  Media? Individuals?  

  I infer the majority of PA body politic agrees with the MSM's depiction of Trump.  Since 92% of media coverage involving Trump is negative, I suggest the MSM is heavily biased against Trump.  Furthermore, I suggest anti-biased Trump coverage revolves around the truth that Trump policies do not align with MSM political goals. 

 What hard facts has MSM provided, proving Trump is racist?  Not opinions.  Facts that cannot be explained away by logical alternative explanations.     I suggest the majority of conclusions, based on Trump, have been heavily influenced by "confirmation bias".   Confirmation bias on Left and Right .  It's as if Left and Right are watching two totally different movies.  

  Personally, I could care less about Trump.  I only care about Trump's policies. 




Edited by omphaloskepsis - November 07 2018 at 13:40
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