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npjnpj
Forum Senior Member
Joined: December 05 2007
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 2720
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 01:50 |
The UK strategy concerning the realtionship to the US must surely worry the British now.
On the one side we have the American juggernaut plowing relentlessly onward, on the other we have a small country with a non-elected prime minister who crawled out from nowhere, faced with managing BREXIT and desperately looking for trading partners.
So, who's the dog and who's the tail?
Edited by npjnpj - January 28 2017 at 01:56
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npjnpj
Forum Senior Member
Joined: December 05 2007
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 2720
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 02:12 |
At the moment I'm worried as hell.
A week ago the world was agog, wondering what Trump was actually going to do. And now we know: as insane as it seemed at the time, he's doing exactly as he said he'd do.
The steps now to come can no longer be a surprise; the man's written out the menu in advance for everyone to see.
So one of the next steps must be the eradication of ISIS, and the effective way to way to do that would be to blanket bomb the Middle East and Northern Africa, consequences be damned. You can't make an omelette without breaking some eggs. An alternative would be to say: for every single terrorist attack, we will eradicate one of your towns or cities. Judging by the past week, I honestly wouldn't put it past the man. On the other hand, that last possibility would just be pussyfooting around; not Trump's style.
But if so, the list of the seven target countries has just been released today in the form of the states from which the USA is no longer accepting refugees.
Halliburton must be going apesh*t in anticipation.
Edited by npjnpj - January 28 2017 at 02:42
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Gamemako
Forum Senior Member
Joined: March 31 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 1184
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 08:03 |
JJLehto wrote:
Best line "The fact that Obamacare itself relies on several specific Republican, market-based ideas, now vilified, makes politically acceptable alternatives that much harder to devise."
Like I said, a real "oh sh*t" moment that clearly neither movement was actually ready for. |
We managed to retain the individual mandate because John Roberts is an old-school Republican who didn't bite on the new kids' talking points. If it weren't for the earlier Republican support of the core policies that make up the ACA, I rather doubt it would have survived. Given the willing dishonesty of the past two decades, I believe they will ultimately make some extremely minor tweaks to the ACA, then take credit for its success. If they leave it alone, Dems will get credit for the success, and they get blamed for doing nothing. If they blow it up, they get blamed for the loss of insurance for many people. Instead, they'll just shift the tax burden off the rich a bit, maybe fix a few provisions like the prescription drug ones, then leave it and take credit for the provisions they called to repeal. They've been on this dishonesty train too long to get off now.
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Hail Eris!
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 09:00 |
npjnpj wrote:
At the moment I'm worried as hell.
A week ago the world was agog, wondering what Trump was actually going to do. And now we know: as insane as it seemed at the time, he's doing exactly as he said he'd do.
The steps now to come can no longer be a surprise; the man's written out the menu in advance for everyone to see.
So one of the next steps must be the eradication of ISIS, and the effective way to way to do that would be to blanket bomb the Middle East and Northern Africa, consequences be damned. You can't make an omelette without breaking some eggs. An alternative would be to say: for every single terrorist attack, we will eradicate one of your towns or cities. Judging by the past week, I honestly wouldn't put it past the man. On the other hand, that last possibility would just be pussyfooting around; not Trump's style.
But if so, the list of the seven target countries has just been released today in the form of the states from which the USA is no longer accepting refugees.
Halliburton must be going apesh*t in anticipation.
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Yeah, Trump is that rare populist leader who actually means/does what he says. Usually these populists just dangle carrots to get votes, do something else in office and lose the next elections. Not Trump. No TPP, signing off the great wall of Trump, immigration blockade, astounding how much he's got done in just the first week.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 19:46 |
Yes, the Muslim travel ban is not from all Muslim countries. http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/trump-travel-restrictions-leave-refugees-stranded-reports-n713591?cid=sm_fb_msnbc Countries exempted are ones where Trump has business dealings. Coincidence? LOL obviously not. To think, I know people who were sure Trump would change our relationship with Saudi Arabia. One even voted for him solely on that. Poor poor fools.
That said, this is having impact. Travelers are already getting stranded in airports, breaking up families, and reportedly green card/visa holders being denied.
Indeed Rogerthat. I feel relieved that it seems many of Trumps actions are more show than substance. Read that he can only deny some funding to "sanctuary cities" most $ comes from states (and most of these cities are in Democratic ones) and Dems have blocked attempts to deny federal funding, so that is hopeful.
Congress does need to actually build the wall, as well as figure out how the hell they will handle healthcare that said, he IS sending a clear message. Most of us, myself included, didn't take him seriously. Even when we started to, we didn't take him literally. Whether he means it or is just sticking to his pandering, all his actions have shown he fully intends to take us hard right, and wants to get much as he promised done.
Edited by JJLehto - January 28 2017 at 19:48
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 20:09 |
JJLehto wrote:
Most of us, myself included, didn't take him seriously. Even when we started to, we didn't take him literally.
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This was the exact distinction many self professed Trump supporters made when explaining their position to the media: that they took him seriously but not literally. Big mistake! I watched the video titled "This video will get Trump elected" (no kidding, that's what it's called!) around the time he won the race and realised some of his positions, especially on trade and immigration, have actually been unchanged for many, many years. He's probably more consistent than career politicians, lol. And that's the difference between him and a career politician turned right wing populist like Modi. Modi at least attempted clumsily to move to the center because he was already dreaming of getting re-elected. Trump has nothing to lose. That's what makes him dangerous.
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The Dark Elf
Forum Senior Member
VIP Member
Joined: February 01 2011
Location: Michigan
Status: Offline
Points: 13063
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Posted: January 28 2017 at 20:29 |
One of t he many issues I have with Trump's ban is the illogical manner in which it was enacted. For instance, we as a country destroyed Iraq (and whether you blame Bush and Cheney or Obama makes little difference to me) yet Iraqis are banned, but you allow Saudi Arabia full access. Need I remind you that 15 of 19 terrorists from 9/11 were Saudi citizens and Wahhabist Saudi Arabia is biggest exporter and funder of terrorism worldwide. Please remember which country Osama bin Laden came from.
I suppose from a cynical standpoint (and one cannot but see the cynical nature of this ban) all the Muslim states that were not part of the ban have Trump hotels or do business with Trump's organization.
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...a vigorous circular motion hitherto unknown to the people of this area, but destined to take the place of the mud shark in your mythology...
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 00:20 |
The Dark Elf wrote:
One of the many issues I have with Trump's ban is the illogical manner in which it was enacted. For instance, we as a country destroyed Iraq (and whether you blame Bush and Cheney or Obama makes little difference to me) yet Iraqis are banned, but you allow Saudi Arabia full access. Need I remind you that 15 of 19 terrorists from 9/11 were Saudi citizens and Wahhabist Saudi Arabia is biggest exporter and funder of terrorism worldwide. Please remember which country Osama bin Laden came from.
I suppose from a cynical standpoint (and one cannot but see the cynical nature of this ban) all the Muslim states that were not part of the ban have Trump hotels or do business with Trump's organization. |
Yup, it's no coincidence. Trump's priorities, (not that we needed reminding) are off in full force. Indeed, Saudi Arabia I've grown to see as potentially the biggest issue. You said it yourself. Yet the one nation we dare not touch. I get why politically it's pretty much a time bomb. I figured the only ok way out is too build up our renewable/green energy grid. It's good for the Earth, but also a way to naturally break from that relationship. Though one thing Trump has been clear on, the environment can go f**k itself so we'll see how well that whole greener economy goes
rogerthat wrote:
JJLehto wrote:
Most of us, myself included, didn't take him seriously. Even when we started to, we didn't take him literally.
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This was the exact distinction many self professed Trump supporters made when explaining their position to the media: that they took him seriously but not literally. Big mistake! I watched the video titled "This video will get Trump elected" (no kidding, that's what it's called!) around the time he won the race and realised some of his positions, especially on trade and immigration, have actually been unchanged for many, many years. He's probably more consistent than career politicians, lol. And that's the difference between him and a career politician turned right wing populist like Modi. Modi at least attempted clumsily to move to the center because he was already dreaming of getting re-elected. Trump has nothing to lose. That's what makes him dangerous. |
I did see quotes from the 80s, gotta love the internet, where Trump did claim trade is zero sum and we win they lose or vica versa etc etc so he does seem to have some consistency there. Though as someone who's personally profited from overseas labor, including enemy #1 China, I do question his dedication. And ya know....pulled TPP off the table, but it wasn't passed so all he did really was just that, take it off the table, and he's discussed renegotiating NAFTA but no talk on China. The country that has, by one analysis I saw, cost us more jobs than NAFTA and other trade bills combined. Guess he's scared to take on the big boy. Though he has no issue antagonizing them. What a confused man
There's also no talk of renegotiating CAFTA, or US-Korea or trade in general. EPI estimated trade with TPP countries cost us 2 million jobs, just on its own. So even with TPP dead, there's still a negative trade balance with the region Im sure he'll never bring this up.
As for most other issues, he's shown maddening inconsistency. As we know he was pro choice, gay marriage, universal healthcare, assault rifle ban, liberalizing the drug war and higher taxes on the wealthy but also the guy said "wages are too high" then "wages should be higher" the next damn day. "Use the military less" " I will totally eliminate Isis off the planet" in the same speech. That said, his actions so far HAVE indicted he seems dedicated to the hard right. Be it sincere or giving his base what they wanted.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 00:27 |
The first loss for Trump!
The courts have overtuned his muslim ban. Never thought I'd be so happy to say "The courts have acted as a restraint on the executive, yay the system " Let's hope this is the first of many defeats for Trump.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 05 2006
Location: Tallahassee, FL
Status: Offline
Points: 34550
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 00:35 |
Gamemako wrote:
JJLehto wrote:
Best line "The fact that Obamacare itself relies on several specific Republican, market-based ideas, now vilified, makes politically acceptable alternatives that much harder to devise."
Like I said, a real "oh sh*t" moment that clearly neither movement was actually ready for. |
We managed to retain the individual mandate because John Roberts is an old-school Republican who didn't bite on the new kids' talking points. If it weren't for the earlier Republican support of the core policies that make up the ACA, I rather doubt it would have survived.
Given the willing dishonesty of the past two decades, I believe they will ultimately make some extremely minor tweaks to the ACA, then take credit for its success. If they leave it alone, Dems will get credit for the success, and they get blamed for doing nothing. If they blow it up, they get blamed for the loss of insurance for many people. Instead, they'll just shift the tax burden off the rich a bit, maybe fix a few provisions like the prescription drug ones, then leave it and take credit for the provisions they called to repeal. They've been on this dishonesty train too long to get off now.
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Indeed. It was a sick plan they came up with: Oppose at all costs, if it gets through well it's secretly a bill we're pretty OK with. So then: Oppose it 24/7 for years! We'll never manage to get rid of it so woo: permanent opposition and it's not so bad.
I agree, ever since Trump won I figure that would be their plan: minor tweaks claim success. But "repeal but delay" never happened because (shocker) the markets freaked at the idea of not knowing what'll happen for possibly years. Crazy eh?! Now they have to find some replacement. I wonder how they will manage to get basically Obamacare past the people so soon. If they do try to shift the burden to the rest, the Dems will make sure that's known. I also cant imagine any way the GOP has a plan to contain costs, so each premium hike is now the Dems fodder to be used against the Reps. BUT I should stop overestimating Americans I'd not be shocked if they don't even notice...for a while. Maybe when cost spikes and etc keep happening and they pay more in taxes a Dem will be in power and they get the blame
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 00:49 |
In all seriousness, I do hope he doesn't take on China for real. Not that China is an angel. Many of the things he accuses them of have a kernel of truth to them. But by now, so many nations have deeply entrenched interests in China that going for a showdown with them will almost certainly lead to a major realignment of world powers...in a way that may isolate the USA. If forced to choose between NATO (a NATO that Trump threatens to dismantle) and China, EU may choose China. Why, even Theresa May would say definitely rather than maybe to China. And even if it is merely delaying the inevitable, I would like to see a new China-led world order delayed for as long as possible. But the fact that Trump is mum about China so far may not necessarily mean he is not going to take them on, just that he's going for the low hanging fruit first. And since scrapping TPP has likely strengthened China's position in Asia, the showdown may happen sooner or later if only to placate Trump's disgruntled supporters.
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npjnpj
Forum Senior Member
Joined: December 05 2007
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 2720
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 00:51 |
@JJLehto: I'd be very careful about rejoicing about that court ruling just yet.
From what we know about Trump, this is probably exactly what he's been waiting for. The man's just spoiling for a fight; he thrives on this sort of thing. He's probably wondering why it's taken this long. This is where the gloves come off.
Trump will go through the Senate and the House of Representative like a powerful laxitive, leaving big brown splodges on the portraits of the founding fathers.
The EU at least had the decency of declaring a number of war-torn, murderous countries as safe before sending a number of refugees back. I don't think Trump will bother with such cosmetic niceties.
On another note: I wonder how long it'll be before the area above Trump Towers is going to be declared a no-fly zone.
And another thought: I also wonder how long it's going to be before Trump's policies are going to lead to the first emergence of the white christian suicide bomber. I can see the anger building up.
I'm quite mad, you see. In my worm-infested mind I live in a world where Donald Trump is president, because the bull was voted into the china shop. Fairly and squarely. By a minority. I must be even more insane than I thought.
Edited by npjnpj - January 29 2017 at 01:56
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BaldJean
Prog Reviewer
Joined: May 28 2005
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 10387
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 03:01 |
I wouldn't put it beyond Trump to just ignore the court ruling. or rather call it "a conspiracy to bring down the USA" or something of that kind and then ignore it
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A shot of me as High Priestess of Gaia during our fall festival. Ceterum censeo principiis obsta
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Tillerman88
Forum Senior Member
Joined: October 31 2015
Location: Tomorrowland
Status: Offline
Points: 495
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 03:25 |
JJLehto wrote:
Indeed, Saudi Arabia I've grown to see as potentially the biggest issue. You said it yourself. Yet the one nation we dare not touch. I get why politically it's pretty much a time bomb. I figured the only ok way out is too build up our renewable/green energy grid. It's good for the Earth, but also a way to naturally break from that relationship. Though one thing Trump has been clear on, the environment can go f**k itself so we'll see how well that whole greener economy goes |
I figure out then what's the fundamental roll of companies like Exxon Mobil etc. on this big issue.
And I see China as the other one nation not to touch too. And if it keeps being the enemy#1 it sure will be another class of time bomb for all of us. . ..
Edited by Tillerman88 - January 29 2017 at 03:28
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lazland
Prog Reviewer
Joined: October 28 2008
Location: Wales
Status: Online
Points: 13634
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 03:28 |
Any chance of one of our cousins across the pond opening a new thread to reflect the fact that we are now virtually 1/12th of the way into 2017? How about Trumping our way into a new year as a thread title?
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Enhance your life. Get down to www.lazland.org
Now also broadcasting on www.progzilla.com Every Saturday, 4.00 p.m. UK time!
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npjnpj
Forum Senior Member
Joined: December 05 2007
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 2720
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 03:59 |
Nah, I think it's fine as it is. Just see it as an alternative fact.
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npjnpj
Forum Senior Member
Joined: December 05 2007
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 2720
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 06:06 |
According to some reports from international news agencies, some of the travelers (men and women) from the evil countries have been taken off planes in several US airports, put in handcuffs, and kept in custody for several hours. Mind that they are green card owners who have lived and worked in the USA for years. They've been let go now; just routine.
Did anyone say fascism? Surely not. A little heavy-handed, perhaps. Nothing like what was done to the Jews in Nazi Germany, beggar the thought.
Edited by npjnpj - January 29 2017 at 06:10
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BaldJean
Prog Reviewer
Joined: May 28 2005
Location: Germany
Status: Offline
Points: 10387
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 07:11 |
npjnpj wrote:
According to some reports from international news agencies, some of the travelers (men and women) from the evil countries have been taken off planes in several US airports, put in handcuffs, and kept in custody for several hours. Mind that they are green card owners who have lived and worked in the USA for years. They've been let go now; just routine.
Did anyone say fascism? Surely not. A little heavy-handed, perhaps. Nothing like what was done to the Jews in Nazi Germany, beggar the thought.
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the Nazis started small as well. that's why I repeat "principiis obsta"
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A shot of me as High Priestess of Gaia during our fall festival. Ceterum censeo principiis obsta
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lazland
Prog Reviewer
Joined: October 28 2008
Location: Wales
Status: Online
Points: 13634
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 07:38 |
BaldJean wrote:
npjnpj wrote:
According to some reports from international news agencies, some of the travelers (men and women) from the evil countries have been taken off planes in several US airports, put in handcuffs, and kept in custody for several hours. Mind that they are green card owners who have lived and worked in the USA for years. They've been let go now; just routine.
Did anyone say fascism? Surely not. A little heavy-handed, perhaps. Nothing like what was done to the Jews in Nazi Germany, beggar the thought.
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the Nazis started small as well. that's why I repeat "principiis obsta"
| I am sorry, Jean, but principiis obsta (nip it in the bud, or stop something at the beginning, for those unaware of the meaning) really doesn't apply here. Trump is many things, but he is not a fascist bully boy in charge of a bunch of thugs. He is a democratically elected head of a mature liberal democracy, with more than enough checks and balances to keep some of his wilder ideas at bay. Witness, in fact, a judge yesterday, suspending the deportation of certain arrivals. There is an absolute difference between a wish to provide protection against immigrants deigned to be a "threat", and the wish to obliterate from the face of the earth a race, or races, who are felt "not to belong". Any comparison between the two calls to mind, in my opinion, a distinct and continuing lack of understanding as to the forces which brought Trumpalot to power in the first place. Trump has expressed a wish to obliterate Isis from the face of the earth. Good. I hope he succeeds, although he should be careful as to what replaces it He has not, in any of his utterings, expressed a wish to obliterate entire people's, or religions, from the face of the earth, and any such suggestion, I am afraid, diminishes you and others, not him.
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Enhance your life. Get down to www.lazland.org
Now also broadcasting on www.progzilla.com Every Saturday, 4.00 p.m. UK time!
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lazland
Prog Reviewer
Joined: October 28 2008
Location: Wales
Status: Online
Points: 13634
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Posted: January 29 2017 at 07:43 |
npjnpj wrote:
The UK strategy concerning the realtionship to the US must surely worry the British now.
On the one side we have the American juggernaut plowing relentlessly onward, on the other we have a small country with a non-elected prime minister who crawled out from nowhere, faced with managing BREXIT and desperately looking for trading partners.
So, who's the dog and who's the tail?
| The U.K. has been the tail wagging the American dog for decades now. It has bugger all to do with Mrs May, who is merely following a long and very sad tradition of British Prime Ministers aching for a mention of the "Special Relationship" in the evening news, or following day's newspapers. Sad, but there it is. We are used to it. Oh, by the way. She is not "unelected". In Britain, we elect a Parliament consisting of constituency MPs, and the party with the largest number of MPs forms a government, at whose head is the elected party leader. Theresa May is an elected MP. Her predecessor as PM resigned after his calamitous cock up in the referendum. She was elected as leader, and became PM. This is not, by the way, anything like unprecedented in Britain. We do not elect Presidents here. We leave that sort of thing to the Yanks.
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Enhance your life. Get down to www.lazland.org
Now also broadcasting on www.progzilla.com Every Saturday, 4.00 p.m. UK time!
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