American Politics the 2016 edition |
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 09:33 | |
I don't disagree in essence but was driving at a different point. Which is that in a scenario where computers and robots make technical skill-oriented work obsolete, the only thing that will remain is work that revolves around people skills. But even the demand for such workers, like project managers, will go down as the number of people requiring to be managed itself goes down. People have floated theories that maybe governments will apply pressure on corporations to bear a heavier tax burden to fund welfare payments for what will be a much larger proportion of the population. But this too can only happen if the government is actually able to collect higher tax. It is not at all clear that automation will boost profits to the level where tax accruing from the same can 'offset' the loss of employment (because lost jobs also effectively means lost consumers). It is possible - making an admittedly very optimistic conjecture here - that seeing the loss of demand, companies will agree to pay employees a little more than what it costs to run these bots and in the changed economic scenario, employees too will agree to settle for less rather than being unemployed. This is perhaps how emerging economies will cope with the situation. They (we) have way large numbers of employable youth to tell all of them to stay home and collect welfare cheques.
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 09:38 | |
I agree with the principle of the above but as far as what actually happened, it seems it was Hilary who was more interested in the Libya intervention. Which is why I am interested to see if that comes up at all in the debates and how she will deal with that. Yes, I do believe she would have dealt better with Russia. In essence, Obama was as confused about interventionism/non-intervention as Rumsfeld. Intervened where it wasn't required at all while simultaneously failing to protect a NATO ally. Whatever may be the merits or demerits of Putin's case for annexing Crimea, it dealt a serious blow to the stature of USA as the supreme superpower. The situation has continued in Syria too, where Russia have stood up to USA. Except in the case of Syria I find Russia's stance more sensible than USA's. Assad is not the priority, ISIS is.
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46838 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 09:44 | |
exactly! And I doubt the Libyian intervention will.. that has little traction here outside of the whole Bengazi thing which begins and ends what most American voters know.. or care... about that.
That topic is political roadkill.. just like her emails. Congress ran that topic flatter than that squirrel I got yesterday... opinions are already set on that. No one is ..at this point in the game.. undecided about what they know or think they know of what went on in Libya. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 09:47 | |
The Libyan affair is so strange. It is so significant in the context of what's going on now in Europe and yet seems to attract so little attention. Then again, Iraq only attracted attention because of the so called shock and awe tactics endorsed by Rumsfeld. Otherwise, the world at large does not notice much about US or Russia's proxy wars.
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46838 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 09:57 | |
therin is why Libya has little resonance here...outside of the deaths of a couple of Americans.. it relates much more to Europe than it does us. Especially Italy which was already struggling with its own homogenous nature with eastern European EU immigrants.
Very significant.. but to the American voter... WAY down the list of important things once the hope of the right of nailing Hillary on Bengazhi passed... right or wrong. It is what it is. many here couldn't be troubled to care about our own people.. does one expect to care about Libyian migrants.. or even Syrian. No.. we don't.. that is one thing my dear wife hates about this country and I don't blame her. The utter lack of compassion or empathy for others we seem to have culitvated here.. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 10:04 | |
It may sadly have an even larger impact than Iraq, depending on how things evolve in Europe. If America is seen as triggering problems in the Middle East but not being helpful when Europe has to deal with the backlash, it could lead to a serious geo-political realignment. But yeah, I get the gist as to why the voters wouldn't care. Again, I was only calling out the dishonesty of the media. We see that here too when for instance the media downplays excessive minority a**-licking by politicians if said politicians hail from a 'liberal' party. I am all for minority appeasement but don't take it so far that the majority itself starts feeling forsaken. Because that can and has often had bad consequences as they then turn to right wing forces who promise to help them assert their 'true' might.
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46838 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 10:13 | |
I wouldn't go that far.. without Iraq... you likely don't have Libya. Dominoes man...
Libya was a mistake... Iraq was a profoundly historical sh*t SANDWICH that even many knuckle draggers knew was a bad idea. Too bad the people half this country elected didn't have that level of intelligence. that is why Bush is already being tabbed by many historians as the 2nd worst President this country has ever elected..hell.. my money is him being bumped to the single worst by the time all is said and done... for his decision will resonate for years.. and years.. with no easy or even practical way to clean up. and his decision to invade Iraq? The single WORST decision any President has ever made. Made even worse not by the 20-20 vision of hindsight.. but basic logic at the time. They were not our enemy..had no basis for accepting democracy.. and there is the slight matter that we had NO reason TO invade them or topple Husain other than for oil.. or worse.. settling a family score. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 10:17 | |
Really...I don't think Libya and Iraq are connected. They are similar mistakes, that much I will grant. Pursuing a cruel dictator who did not directly pose a threat to USA and did not especially need to be overthrown. I do remember feeling surprised at all the sudden brouhaha about Gadaffi and what had happened that had made it so urgent to get him killed. I mean, hadn't we known about him already for a long time? So what had changed?
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46838 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 15:10 | |
well... I don't think there is any specific trigger for the Arab Spring of which Libya was only a part of.
One can make a logical leap of logical thought to Iraq. We are talking about a part of the world long dominated by corruption, consolidation of wealth by the ruling class, lack of democratic processes giving them hereditary rule or simply rule by thugs and stongmen. Something was the trigger... something lit a fire under the Arabs asses. My money is what happened in Iraq. I think they are connected, but NOT related. The people of Iraq did not rise up.. we took over their country!!!! Not even bothering with any pretext of humanitarian ends, WMD's baby!! , but with the goal of gaining access to cheap oil, enriching our war time industries of which which our then leadership was heavily invested financially with, practicing American Exceptionalism in thinking that within every downtrodden Arab is a democracy loving American.. and finally of course ... settling a family score and putting a rope around Hussains neck. Where did any of that play into Libya. Their people rose up.. and a long list of western states supported the Libyan insurgents. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 19:00 | |
Well to be fair, any country or region can have their own politics thread, makes sense to me. Each country is its own entity that can we can talk till the death about its politics, so dont blame us yanks that none of yall have started any for yourselves As for the rest...uh, well I agree Not much else to say. Been saying for months now, seems all of us are pretty much the same. You Europeans perhaps are more like America than ya wanted to admit, and America is not as unique as we want to admit (unfortunately it's in a bad way since we all are sharing this vaguely fascist, xenophobic, screw the world im shutting myself in political rise) The whole "tax is theft" thing has always seemed ludicrous to me, as is the general "f**k the common good! (always the key words to indicate your freedoms are gunna be trampled anyway) I just wanna keep all my money $" mindset. I always found it selfish and more so, not very understanding of society. Pretty much can't add to what you said...society is pro business (basically) it, with its laws and rules and general standards that we all abide by are there for stability, to ensure people can keep what they have and not be robbed, that we get paid for our labor, that we don't live in Hobbes-ian state of nature etc etc etc and a tax is part of that. This whole "No I dont wanna pay taxes, forget the society thing I can live on my own" fails to get this, and is also hypocritical since those who dont wanna pay tax benefit immensely from society. I was gunna say unless you go make your own hut in the woods with no contact but even then you use roads to get there Anyway, cool discussion, it seems pretty irrelevant to what I said(?) and I agree with all of it so not sure what else to say. It is sad that the issue of hunger is so ignored here in the US, and seems probably Europe as well, though Im not arguing for everyone to live on healthy, organic, green diets. Just that ya know....wish more would be done so teens don't have to have "transactional relationships" or steal or sell drugs to get $ for food. Sadly this is a crazy idea to some in the US, like I said above...many just wave it ALL off as "what the markets do" and since the markets are always right, sad as it is, no problem here. Mainly I was angry because I'm reading Robert Reich's latest book where he displayed the amount of stock buybacks many companies do, inflating stock prices (thus CEO pay) for no value or beneficial reason...and then saw this article pop up, and just said NO. No, this can't be sustained.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 19:07 | |
Actually, there was a trigger point to the Arab Spring. While much of the reason was obviously extreme angry over their corrupt governments, poor living conditions etc etc that was the kindling, but the actual ignition point came in Tunisia. One man, (blanking on the name) was a street vendor, and he (like many) would get robbed by local police. They would harass him, wanting a bribe to leave, or would rob him. One day, this guy didn't have the $ for a bribe, they robbed him and finally fed up with it...he set himself on fire in protest. No joke, that was the proverbial final straw. All the Arab Word lit up from that, that act was the catalyst. I know this because I was in college at the time Arab Spring broke out, and being in Poli Sci it was like the hot topic. But yeah, just wanted to answer your question that yes, there was a specific trigger and no, it really wasn't Iraq. The trigger was that event, which let out the anger of all the other things you mentioned. Oh and course I have long been a critic of US foreign policy, firm believer we perpetuate this catch 22 in the middle east, just wanted to say specifically I am not sure Iraq had much role in Arab Spring. Anti American/Imperalist sentiment was fueling a whole different problem
Edited by JJLehto - September 17 2016 at 19:13 |
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: September 17 2016 at 20:27 | |
As for Hillary, while it's true she was not the Prez and Obama ultimately must hold the responsibility for his actions, 1: as a team effort where all input she does also bare some responsibility 2: since she was for involvement with Libya even if the action can't be put on her, she did support it. Given she also supported involvement with Syria (Obama obviously didn't go with this) and her vote for the Iraq War, she deserves a share of the blame for our foreign policy debacle. Needless to say Wubya gets the lion share but hey....dude been gone 8 years now, and while we cant ever forget his f**kups...we also gotta start moving on man.
Meaning, always acknowledge past mistakes and learn from them, but can't keep throwing back to Bush constantly while turning an eye to possible Democratic negatives. We will never learn that way. Speaking of learning...Reagan was strike 1, now strike 2. Maybe we should finally reconsider the arming rebels thing http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/09/16/american-commandos-forced-to-run-away-from-us-backed-syrian-rebe/ |
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46838 |
Posted: September 18 2016 at 07:22 | |
well played Brian. Corrected and educated. Didn't make that connection as I sort of glossed over the whole Tunisian thing... like many I suppose I really didn't take notice that something was afoot until the sh*t hit the fan in Egypt. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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micky
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: October 02 2005 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 46838 |
Posted: September 18 2016 at 07:43 | |
mistakes are one thing. As you undoubtably know.. we have generations of mistakes and miscalculations in the middle east. Did we learn anything about how we bungled Nasser in the 50's. I honestly don't think we will ever learn...what we try to avoid are catastrophic and completely avoidable mistakes. And when much of what we face today is a result of dealing with those... it is natural and completely fair to toss the blame where it belongs. I understand what you are saying. We are moving on.. but in the context of a situation that has no easy answers. In an election year in which the mistakes of the past are attempted to be tied to those trying to clean it UP! Forget Hillaries vote on Iraq. Hindsight is 20-20 there. Yes some of us saw the folly and outright stupidity from the start but who would have thought a sitting US President would flat out lie and mislead, the public and Congress as they did. She like most took the President as his word. I can't and won't blame her .. or Trump.. for supporting it. So where does that leave us. Again with trying to clean up the mess Bush left. One could debate is there is an answer. So there will be mistakes. We have never learned from past mistakes. Why should Obama be different and what he faced is far more challenging than any President ever has. There is a very large difference between mistakes in which what we hoped didn't come to be... and differences born of arrogance and incompetence. Again... I do and suppose many give Obama a pass for mistakes made in that region. That region is such a cock up that I don't think anyone could. At this point the best I think we can hope for.. is ..well.. competence in handling it. While I disagree with some things he did, I don't find much fault in the logic behind what he has done. |
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: September 18 2016 at 09:24 | |
Indeed but should be acknowledged that mistakes have still been made under Obama. I love the guy and least he did back out of going to war with Syria despite pressure to do so (but it was weird...many Dems were supportive, while many Repubs had the audacity to say Obama shouldnt jump to war and he wants to intervene everywhere.......politics for ya)
Well not to sound condescending but if it does oh well...as a 15 year old or however old I was....I recall thinking "this doesnt really make sense" "What's Iraq got to do with it" "I dont believe the President" and since by then I was starting to research historical US foreign policy (thank you internet) I thought it may be a mistake. There were other congresspersons, thus with the same info as Clinton, who voted No. So while I credit Clinton for admitting it was a mistake, the votewill always stand. Just like Trump...sure he turned against it but he supported it, and no amount of distraction or yelling can change it And like I said Iraq is one thing, Libya is another and that Bush never really had much to do with. Syria is likely just collateral damage from Iraq, I mean dont get me wrong Iraq was the policy mistake of a generation, just saying we cant keep hand waving Dems and jumping always back to Bush. Especially since as Sect of State she was supportive of both interventions and I absolutely have heard she was on the more hawkish side... I also love Obama, I believe he's been the best PotUS we've had since pre Reagan (OK low bar) and I always granted it's hard to be the first to start to buck a trend, but hey accountability. We gotta be fair, his mistakes are his mistakes as are Hillary's and hopefully we learn from them. Personally, I believe the Cold Was has built into us the need, the obligation we feel, to police the world, install democracy etc etc my generation while growing up post Cold War, both right and left are still pretty interventionist. So even as we start to take power/become the majority not sure lessons will be learned, but it may be the start..we tend to be more non interventionist at least. Next gen after, hopefully we finally give up our foolish foreign policy
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LearsFool
Prog Reviewer Joined: November 09 2014 Location: New York Status: Offline Points: 8642 |
Posted: September 19 2016 at 14:11 | |
Papers have been turned in, and now sciencedebate.org has presented the candidates' answers to their twenty science questions.
Well, Johnson didn't turn his paper in, but we have the other three. Trump, naturally enough, bashed out short answers mostly devoid of substance and full of aggrandisement for his half baked at best plans. He completely dodged the question of ocean health, even! It should be noted that he gave D+/C- answers to questions where he's before scored Fs, but I don't trust him even as far as he could be thrown. Stein inevitably dropped the ball on nuclear energy, and sometimes turned in simplistic answers, but on quite a few answers she has shown lots of effort and knowledge. She also managed to avoid saying anything stupid about vaccines this time around. Hillary, though, A+. Very detailed and wise answers that deserve reading. I now have hope in her that I've never had before, got a big smile on my face.
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rushfan4
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: May 22 2007 Location: Michigan, U.S. Status: Offline Points: 66453 |
Posted: September 19 2016 at 15:21 | |
How has it become more possible that there is a serious chance that Donald Trump could actually be elected president? It feels like a practical joke gone very, very wrong. But in this day and age where trolls can unite enough to vote in every Kansas City Royal to the MLB all-star game and John Scott to the NHL all-star game, it is way too likely for my tastes that this could actually happen.
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The Dark Elf
Forum Senior Member VIP Member Joined: February 01 2011 Location: Michigan Status: Offline Points: 13110 |
Posted: September 19 2016 at 16:52 | |
Sadly, I agree. One only has to look at Angela Merkel in Germany losing political support daily due to her stubborn adherence to allowing over a million refugees into her country. She may have the moral high ground, but the anti-migrant dynamic is causing normally liberal and level-headed voters to turn against her. And honestly, I can't blame the voters. When you freely welcome refugees from war torn areas of the world and they won't adapt to the country's ethics and standards, and in many cases violently work against the country that allowed them in, then no amount of benevolence will overcome the fear of the destruction of one's way of life. The terrorist attacks in NY, New Jersey and Minnesota (Minnesota of all places!) are giving Trump undeserved points against Hillary, who seems quite oblivious to the nasty mood of this country. Given her dubious ethics, to compound it with the perception, whether real or imagined, that she is soft on terrorism by immigrants, is a toxic cocktail by which she might commit political suicide.
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...a vigorous circular motion hitherto unknown to the people of this area, but destined
to take the place of the mud shark in your mythology... |
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: September 20 2016 at 10:03 | |
This is something I struggle to understand too. The more the people clamour for a reset, the more the left-liberals seem to dig their heels in, even more intent on standing by their positions. Verily a suicide pill indeed. But worse than the consequences for their political careers will be the consequences for the world at large when they force people to turn to populists out of desperation. What after all is the use of intelligence if it is accompanied by pig-headedness? Here's a good article on not the refugee issue in particular but about Merkel and hyper globalisation in general: |
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HackettFan
Forum Senior Member Joined: June 20 2012 Location: Oklahoma Status: Offline Points: 7951 |
Posted: September 26 2016 at 22:40 | |
I just saw the debate with diet pop and popcorn in hand. I was not disappointed.
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A curse upon the heads of those who seek their fortunes in a lie. The truth is always waiting when there's nothing left to try. - Colin Henson, Jade Warrior (Now)
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