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JJLehto View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 09:45
Originally posted by manofmystery manofmystery wrote:

How'd you fall back into a school of economic thought that's collapsing the western world around us?

Because: Keynes-lite is what we have, (and have had) and it is indeed wrong. (Part of their belief has been de regulating finance btw). 
If you want specifics, it's the Post-Keynesian school I'm into. They say things like: Too much private sector debt is bad, the Fed should not tinker with the economy and doing so can be dangerous, (and it should also be more transparent and limited in nature), our current attempts to "prime the pump" are ineffective and would be inflationary, that QE would be ineffective, we keep making bubbles and bubbles never last forever (and in fact predicted our recession as fr back as the early 2000s) crazy sh*t right?? Those b*****dsWink

I'm quite sure you (MoM) won't bother, maybe llama or others will, but here is a quick and dirty summation, and I'd like to see it proven wrong. The blue is private sector, red gov, green our trade balance. 
Gov deficits balance private sector surplus. The few times we've gotten gov surpluses it's been mirrored by the private sector running a deficit. Coincidence? Of course when this happens, it's bad...we can't run deficits and go bankrupt and all kinds of bad stuff. So do we really want the gov to try and have a balanced budget, or surpluses??
Is it even possible? We look at just the gov deficits, but don't take the whole economy into the picture! 






I gotta go for now, but basically: the 3 sectors of the economy balance, so trying to "balance" one impacts it all. Imagine if we tried to impose austerity during this time when we're heavily in debt and saving a lot. Raising taxes or cutting spending that benefits us? Europe should be proof of what imposing austerity does in a recessed economy.
BTW the post-keynesians also support generally low taxes, and have said a "true" stimulus would've been a full payroll tax holiday. Not that 2% for 2 years sh*t Obama tried, but a complete end of payroll taxes, for as long as needed. 

They also talk a lot about money, and how things simply work differently under a fiat money system, we all think with a gold standard mentality still but fiat just works differently. We can discuss that one later.  


Edited by JJLehto - March 19 2014 at 11:00
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 10:52
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

 

Coercion is force or the threat of force. The example you gave did not involve those. It involved private companies (and the individuals who run them) declining to engage in voluntary activity. How do you not see a difference?

Er, wait a sec, can you please explain how you jumped several steps ahead to the conclusion that the example I gave did not involve force when I specifically used words that convey the use of it?  Here is what I wrote again:

"dominant businesses go to the extent of extorting transporters not to supply raw material to competitors"

Er, meaning of extort as per Merriam-Webster: "to obtain from a person by force, intimidation, or undue or illegal power".

The plain meaning of the word extort already implies force, so to claim that extortion is not coercion and that the example I cited does not involve the use of force at all is stretching credibility to an extreme.  I hope you will agree that I cannot get the dictionary meanings of words changed to suit your argument.  Please don't waste my time this way, I am not interested in such pointless discussions.  Find some other pretext to soothe your ego, pretty please. 

And for the nth time, if for any reason, the meaning of what I said was not clear and you needed more details, you should have asked for those instead of being terribly eager to refute.


Edited by rogerthat - March 19 2014 at 10:53
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 10:58
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

I didn't know the western world was collapsing. 



Remember, QE is "printing money" so the evil Fed has created the death of the US dollar, and Obama is a socialist even though he extended the Bush tax cuts, (and made them permanent for 99% of people) and gov spending has been pretty lackluster. 

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:00
One serious flaw I have found is that coercion and force seems to mean for some exclusively the use of weapons or actual physical violence. As long as there is a contract or agreement there is supposed to be no coercion and thus no aggression and thus total freedom of choice. Sadly the world, time has told me again and again, is quite different. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:04
Just to clarify, I was actually talking about a situation where the threat of force,not directly on the business owners but through damage of their establishments, was used.   LOL  If people are naive enough to believe such things cannot happen ever, maybe they should give some credit to law enforcement in the USA, that's all I can say. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:12
Let's imagine there's a poor person with a family he has to take care of without a job with bills piling up including medical care. He's unemployed after being laid off due to no fault of his own. There's very few if any employment opportunities in his area. Only a major retail chain offer jobs with very low wages and benefits and times. It's one of the only alternatives for this guy, either he picks this or basically gets ruined forever. So he has to choose it. 

For some, there's absolute freedom and liberty in that interaction in both sides. Both employer and employee are in exactly the same playing field and with the same level of free will in choosing and "negotiating" the work conditions. There are no guns pointed nowhere, nobody forces this guy to choose that job or its conditions. 

I never fully agreed that this is a free contractual interaction between two free parts free of coercion and never will. But for some this is the free market being free and working for everybody. 

The world where there is the same liberty on both sides of that example is an alternate reality.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:15
And if anyone is seriously interested, (I always took the time to read what you posted MoM) here is a great paper:


Japan has already gone through our current situation of debt stagnation, and when they tried to balance the budget it not only killed growth, but caused gov deficits to rise. 
Also talks about the Great Depression, increased money supply and etc etc, amazing reasearch
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:17
Well said, Theo.  This is the dilemma that I also struggle with.  It's not all on merit, fate and circumstance can deal a raw hand too.  Such a system does not work, and not just for a few people but for lots of them.  And this is precisely why a leftist response emerged.  Now of course left ideologies are deeply flawed on their own but I think we are only going to keep swaying a little to the left and then right and vice versa and so on.  It will probably never again settle down squarely in one half because people have experienced the flaws of both sides deeply enough to distrust it when the pendulum swings too much one way.   Of course, the lefties will find conservatives wherever they look and the conservatives will find lefties everywhere in turn but that doesn't necessarily mean that's the case.

Edited by rogerthat - March 19 2014 at 11:18
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:22
Thanks for sharing, JJLehto, will check it out at leisure.  No time for economics reading in the weekdays, sadly. LOL
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:27
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Thanks for sharing, JJLehto, will check it out at leisure.  No time for economics reading in the weekdays, sadly. LOL

I hear you, lunch break for me is 5 minutes getting food, 5 minutes eating, remaining 50 a frantic dash to get all my internet tom foolery taken care of! Please do check it out man, it was one of those eye opening things for me, and I find it pretty much impossible to debate it's points. 
Though I'm sure llama will find a wayBig smile
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 11:30
Oh, I could make time for it if I put my mind to it.  But staring at numbers and lengthy submissions with sentences beginning with words like "Without prejudice to the above" all day drains me out.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 18:56
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:


Er, wait a sec, can you please explain how you jumped several steps ahead to the conclusion that the example I gave did not involve force when I specifically used words that convey the use of it?  Here is what I wrote again:

"dominant businesses go to the extent of extorting transporters not to supply raw material to competitors"

Er, meaning of extort as per Merriam-Webster: "to obtain from a person by force, intimidation, or undue or illegal power".

The plain meaning of the word extort already implies force, so to claim that extortion is not coercion and that the example I cited does not involve the use of force at all is stretching credibility to an extreme.  I hope you will agree that I cannot get the dictionary meanings of words changed to suit your argument.  Please don't waste my time this way, I am not interested in such pointless discussions.  Find some other pretext to soothe your ego, pretty please. 

And for the nth time, if for any reason, the meaning of what I said was not clear and you needed more details, you should have asked for those instead of being terribly eager to refute.


My apologies, I misunderstood you and thought you were using extort in a non-literal sense, as people use it to refer to blackmail, for examples.

You will have to provide examples of what you are talking about, but if it is true, then of course I condemn such actions. But I don't see how a corporation breaking the law and using ceorcion justifies the state using coercion.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 19:05
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

I'm quite sure you (MoM) won't bother, maybe llama or others will, but here is a quick and dirty summation, and I'd like to see it proven wrong. The blue is private sector, red gov, green our trade balance. 
Gov deficits balance private sector surplus. The few times we've gotten gov surpluses it's been mirrored by the private sector running a deficit. Coincidence? Of course when this happens, it's bad...we can't run deficits and go bankrupt and all kinds of bad stuff. So do we really want the gov to try and have a balanced budget, or surpluses??
Is it even possible? We look at just the gov deficits, but don't take the whole economy into the picture! 






I gotta go for now, but basically: the 3 sectors of the economy balance, so trying to "balance" one impacts it all. Imagine if we tried to impose austerity during this time when we're heavily in debt and saving a lot. Raising taxes or cutting spending that benefits us? Europe should be proof of what imposing austerity does in a recessed economy.
BTW the post-keynesians also support generally low taxes, and have said a "true" stimulus would've been a full payroll tax holiday. Not that 2% for 2 years sh*t Obama tried, but a complete end of payroll taxes, for as long as needed. 


Europe has never imposed austerity, so I think that's a straw man. Even at its most austere, European governments were massive compared to their GDP.

I quite agree that raising taxes doesn't benefit us, but disagree on the spending. I question your chatr, because it says that in 1952, Private Sector balances were about 2.5% of GDP and government deficits were about 2.5% of GDP. Where was the other 95%? It seems like a major piece of the puzzle is missing.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 19:09
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Let's imagine there's a poor person with a family he has to take care of without a job with bills piling up including medical care. He's unemployed after being laid off due to no fault of his own. There's very few if any employment opportunities in his area. Only a major retail chain offer jobs with very low wages and benefits and times. It's one of the only alternatives for this guy, either he picks this or basically gets ruined forever. So he has to choose it. 

For some, there's absolute freedom and liberty in that interaction in both sides. Both employer and employee are in exactly the same playing field and with the same level of free will in choosing and "negotiating" the work conditions. There are no guns pointed nowhere, nobody forces this guy to choose that job or its conditions. 

I never fully agreed that this is a free contractual interaction between two free parts free of coercion and never will. But for some this is the free market being free and working for everybody. 

The world where there is the same liberty on both sides of that example is an alternate reality.


This can happen, and the other side of the coin can happen too, where an employer has a similarly limited number of options. The balance of power is in the employer's favor because of government price controls that create a surplus of labor.

In any case, what is the alternative? The alternative to the situation you describe? A central authority directing who can be hired and fired and for what reason and for how much? I think that is worse, personally.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 19:13
Also, T, why does everyone always make the assumption that the only option is to work for a company or starve? What about self-employment? What about charity? A barely competent street performer can make a pretty decent income in major cities. Why is this never listed among possible options?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 19:46
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

 

You will have to provide examples of what you are talking about, but if it is true, then of course I condemn such actions. But I don't see how a corporation breaking the law and using ceorcion justifies the state using coercion.

OK, so that's cleared.  As for whether a corporation breaking the law, not saying that it does justify the state using coercion, just that non aggression doesn't really work in practice because those who are prepared to abide by it will only become victims of it at the hands of those who don't and are powerful enough to inflict damage.  Who will ensure the adherence to non aggression principle in a libertarian world, this is my question.  Maybe you have the answer to that, and if so, I would request you to clarify because my impression is that people are just expected to voluntarily subscribe to non aggression and I don't have enough faith in the human race to believe in that. LOL

As for the example, I can't name names because it wasn't reported but I know about it through interactions with company insiders.  Let's say there's this powerful company that operates massive refineries off the west coast of India and this is how they achieved domination in the textile sector in the 70s and 80s (i.e before they became the unfortunately influential company that they are today).  By simply threatening transporters with dire consequences to ensure they would not give to competitors what they were legitimately entitled to (for a price, of course).
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 19:52
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:



OK, so that's cleared.  As for whether a corporation breaking the law, not saying that it does justify the state using coercion, just that non aggression doesn't really work in practice because those who are prepared to abide by it will only become victims of it at the hands of those who don't and are powerful enough to inflict damage.  Who will ensure the adherence to non aggression principle in a libertarian world, this is my question.  Maybe you have the answer to that, and if so, I would request you to clarify because my impression is that people are just expected to voluntarily subscribe to non aggression and I don't have enough faith in the human race to believe in that. LOL


You seem to think I am advocating for no laws and no law enforcement. That is not the case. Who will stop people from breaking the law? The same people who do now. Police, courts, armies.

I don't understand your argument. People will try to break the law therefore libertarianism won't work. I don't see how one follows from the other.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 19 2014 at 21:36
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:



Originally posted by manofmystery manofmystery wrote:

How'd you fall back into a school of economic thought that's collapsing the western world around us?

Because: Keynes-lite is what we have, (and have had) and it is indeed wrong. (Part of their belief has been de regulating finance btw).
If you want specifics, it's the Post-Keynesian school I'm into. They say things like: Too much private sector debt is bad, the Fed should not tinker with the economy and doing so can be dangerous, (and it should also be more transparent and limited in nature), our current attempts to "prime the pump" are ineffective and would be inflationary, that QE would be ineffective, we keep making bubbles and bubbles never last forever (and in fact predicted our recession as fr back as the early 2000s) crazy sh*t right?? Those b*****dsWink
I'm quite sure you (MoM) won't bother, maybe llama or others will, but here is a quick and dirty summation, and I'd like to see it proven wrong. The blue is private sector, red gov, green our trade balance.
Gov deficits balance private sector surplus. The few times we've gotten gov surpluses it's been mirrored by the private sector running a deficit. Coincidence? Of course when this happens, it's bad...we can't run deficits and go bankrupt and all kinds of bad stuff. So do we really want the gov to try and have a balanced budget, or surpluses??
Is it even possible? We look at just the gov deficits, but don't take the whole economy into the picture!
I gotta go for now, but basically: the 3 sectors of the economy balance, so trying to "balance" one impacts it all. Imagine if we tried to impose austerity during this time when we're heavily in debt and saving a lot. Raising taxes or cutting spending that benefits us? Europe should be proof of what imposing austerity does in a recessed economy.
BTW the post-keynesians also support generally low taxes, and have said a "true" stimulus would've been a full payroll tax holiday. Not that 2% for 2 years sh*t Obama tried, but a complete end of payroll taxes, for as long as needed.
They also talk a lot about money, and how things simply work differently under a fiat money system, we all think with a gold standard mentality still but fiat just works differently. We can discuss that one later.



Thing is, about that: I don't want the government having surpluses either. It's not that I just don't want them spending, I don't want them collecting. You seem to have fallen into the school of thought that the economy can be managed centrally somehow (unless I've lazily misread something). When I see "tax holiday" and the addition of the qualifier "for as long as needed" attached to the end of a tax I really see pixie dust glimmering in a Krugman's eye. Bastiat it up man, come on, you're better than the pseudointellectual cult of academia.

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


And if anyone is seriously interested, (I always took the time to read what you posted MoM) here is a great paper:
[/DIV


That's not fair. I never asked you to read anything that long.


Time always wins.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 20 2014 at 09:16
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Let's imagine there's a poor person with a family he has to take care of without a job with bills piling up including medical care. He's unemployed after being laid off due to no fault of his own. There's very few if any employment opportunities in his area. Only a major retail chain offer jobs with very low wages and benefits and times. It's one of the only alternatives for this guy, either he picks this or basically gets ruined forever. So he has to choose it. 

For some, there's absolute freedom and liberty in that interaction in both sides. Both employer and employee are in exactly the same playing field and with the same level of free will in choosing and "negotiating" the work conditions. There are no guns pointed nowhere, nobody forces this guy to choose that job or its conditions. 

I never fully agreed that this is a free contractual interaction between two free parts free of coercion and never will. But for some this is the free market being free and working for everybody. 

The world where there is the same liberty on both sides of that example is an alternate reality.


This can happen, and the other side of the coin can happen too, where an employer has a similarly limited number of options. The balance of power is in the employer's favor because of government price controls that create a surplus of labor.

In any case, what is the alternative? The alternative to the situation you describe? A central authority directing who can be hired and fired and for what reason and for how much? I think that is worse, personally.

Not only can it happen, it happens every single day across the US Logan. The employer-lacking-options alternative you mention is the one that is almost purely theoretical. I'm not sure why government price controls create a surplus of labor though. 

The alternative is not the one you mention of course. None short of 20th Century Leninists will advocate that. More laws that protect the workers' and that somewhat balance the odds and the re-embracing of unions would help a bit. Also, not destroying the safety net that can be this person's last temporary hope wouldn't hurt. 

It's not that far-fetched anyway. It's done basically in many other developed (and even developing) countries. In few places is the balance of power so skewed in favor of the employer (namely: big corporations) as in the US (or communist China, curiously enough). It's a cultural shift that will not happen for quite a while until the newer generations take their place. 
 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: March 20 2014 at 09:24
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Also, T, why does everyone always make the assumption that the only option is to work for a company or starve? What about self-employment? What about charity? A barely competent street performer can make a pretty decent income in major cities. Why is this never listed among possible options?
Come on Logan, we are talking reality here. So accepting welfare is undignified but accepting charity isn't? So you really, really think charity is available for everybody who might needed in the magnitudes necessary to cover not just one random homeless person but sometimes families in trouble?  Self-employment? Yes, great. How do you do it? You have to have a skill or talent which need at least that you had that little bit of luck in your childhood not even to have been born in wealth or at least not in the gutter but with the education or the love or whatever surrounding you to gain that skill. So you are going to tell the worker who has been employed in a factory for 10 years "go, become self-employed." Really? 

And the street performing thing... please.... 

Anyway, it will be said that government and its actions are responsible for this. Ok, maybe so. Eliminating government altogether in today's real world would cause more havoc and misery and put more people in complete slavery situation against corporations. Oh, it might be said, the market will correct this. Ok. Let's just wait 10-20 years for the market to correct this. What's a couple decades really? Except all some people have? Except enough time to create a permanent class of misers? 

And guess what, then some new and maybe worse form of communism might crawl back from the grave when enough people have been made miserable by this experiment. 
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