"Freedom" thread or something |
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:21 | ||||
Yes, it's very very frustrating. And great proof why logic needs to prevail, I admire Geoff's passion but his bias/anger really just makes him near impossible to talk with. Even yest, we only started to become "reasonable" in his eyes and he was repsectful of us when we started taking positions closer to his Thought you were calming down yesterday but back to the same today....
You're just really dogmatic Geoff, and quite stubborn with a "me or f**k you" mentality. Like if we don't bash markets he doesn't seem to "get" what we say. Many times points have been made not even supporting or against anything, just an observation and "yeah well markets are evil"
You may hate libertarians but ironically you behave like many do
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:27 | ||||
Markets are a necessary evil. I cannot ever uphold a completely free market without any govt regulation but not having a market driven economy at all is not a good way to grow. Most of the countries that achieved growth with heavy state intervention also impinged heavily on personal liberties. E.g China. I cannot see that approach as palatable for American citizens at all. Communism is bad, it's basically "set sail for fail". The then most industrialised state of India, West Bengal, voted in a leftie govt for reasons best known to themselves and they ruined it so badly that it will be a long time before businesses venture to set up shop there again. The only ones who still do business there are retailers for the size of its market and those who are basically stuck there with nowhere to go. Never ever make that mistake again. Pulling a little bit to the center is fine but swing to the extreme left and you will get into trouble. This is not ideological dislike but personal experience. My family was stuck initially in the capital city of West Bengal and we were fortunate to be able to leave there before it was too late.
Edited by rogerthat - August 23 2013 at 08:30 |
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:34 | ||||
Hmmm depends, what exactly do you mean by agree?
I'm quite supportive of having markets free as possible/removing much gov support as possible but without going as far as many here, and obviously I don't tread the private fire/police/military/courts route.
I say this because just looking at history, seems evident market capitalism is the best (albeit there are negatives) system there is, and other things like the freedom it grants.
But much of it is realism, it may not seem so to Geoff but I really dont hate government in itself, and I dont disagree it CAN be used to achieve great ends. I just don't see it happening, it never has really and if you put way ideology and just think about what gov is/how it works...I dont see how we can ever get a "good" one in. Businesses will always do what they do etc etc So I'm just a negative nelly
That's pretty much my view on markets, as ya may know I actually could support a "job guarantee" as stated, a true safety net. Catch the people dropped from the market, as ya said all attempts by gov to creat private sector jobs is pretty bust. Call me a realist but I'll take a direct, here's a job if you want it, program over the mess of welfare we have and various attempts to boost markets (which I think can be inflationary and generally dont work). Tinkering with markets seems like it results poorly, so I say leave em be, work the best they will and we "catch" the rest.
Without going on for another 9001 pages that's my basic take on markets and all, hope it shed some light (doubt it!)
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:41 | ||||
Yes, that is what I am talking about. I am not interested in the specifics - those are nuances that we might have different takes on. More that neither you nor I support anarchism. I also agree that a market driven set up is more likely to uphold individual liberties than others, with due respect to exceptions. I know some European countries have a welfare state hand in hand with social freedoms but they are not necessarily non-market, just maybe more statist than America. I would imagine that even in the Nordic countries, people can easily set up a business in a variety of fields without the govt operating a tight gate pass.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:46 | ||||
Yes, pretty much agreed. It's just observation, negatives are involved, naturally, but market capitalism is just the most productive and creates the most success for the most people. Even societies with very modified/planned capitalism like China have done amazingly well once they liberalized. There is of course the freedom aspect.
The wannabe economist in me I just try my best to look at what is, observe, think rationally and seek to find the best possible answer to the overall populace. Leave ideology out of it much as possible. Which may be why Im hard to pin down....often making statements no libertarian would dream of but then generally bash gov. Im just like that, if I could find a term for what I am I'd let ya know but I got no clue
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:53 | ||||
I am not yet too sure how liberal is China indeed. It is still very tough for their citizens, their media to speak out against the govt. And as for growth, there is a lot of easy money going around in China. They have done some pretty brilliant economic jugglery to keep it going. It has to be admired for its sheer unorthodoxy but they still need to get to the money moment. The moment when they accept adult franchise and forego the Communist Party's preordained right to run the country. Without a democratic govt, it is difficult to sustain a market economy for very long. The presence of a totalitarian state imposing its will on all implies that you have to be in their good books all the time to do as you please. That's not a free market at all. I hope it doesn't end the way it did for Japan. There's a lot more riding on China and any hard landing there would crush the slim recovery we are seeing in the world economy.
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dtguitarfan
Forum Senior Member Joined: June 24 2011 Location: Chattanooga, TN Status: Offline Points: 1708 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 08:59 | ||||
I think one of the main reasons I think rabid free-marketers and I don't get along is their insistence that taxes are evil. So I've done some thinking about it, and analyzed why I think taxes are actually a good idea, and what it boils down to is this: taxes allow us to buy a hamburger, whereas otherwise we'd be buying a la carte. Without taxes, we'd be buying a single bun from one place, a single slice of cheese from another, a hamburger patty from another, a slice of tomato from another...you get the picture. And in the end you have a $30 burger. Whereas taxes allow us to get the whole package in one deal, and get it for much cheaper. But then you get Libertarians who come along and say "well, I don't want the slice of tomato - I found a better tomato at the farmer's market down the street. So I shouldn't have to pay for the tomato. Oh, and I don't like lettuce, so I shouldn't have to pay for that either." Well, you are welcome to tell the server at the restaurant that you don't want the slice of tomato or the piece of lettuce, but good luck getting them to lower the price.
So then Libertarians rant and rave about how unjust it is that we're actually REQUIRED to pay taxes. They go on and on about how unjust it is to be imprisoned, etc. etc. Which they may have a point, but I am not interested in going to an a la carte scenario - that would suck, I believe. Once again, I have to question "where are we now, what's the end goal, and how do we take little steps to get there without making our situation too much worse in the meantime?" So what I'm interested in is getting to a place where we've packaged up the best hamburger in all of history, and it's going for a steal of a deal, and it's such a great deal and such a perfect hamburger that you'd be absolutely MAD to even consider NOT paying for that hamburger. I think all this talk of the injustice of being required to buy the hamburger and pointing out how there are better quality tomatoes out there is just a distraction from the real issue, and I want to get past all that stupidity that would lead us into a la carte territory. |
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 09:00 | ||||
Well if you want the overall yeah, we seem to be pretty much in agreement that generally market economies work best but it's not wise to go total no government, and that gov should be more to help then try and tinker with markets. And that, regardless of ideology, gov is power so it can be very esaily corrupted.
Yes, the Nordic Countries are actually VERY free market. Since I used to support the Nordic Model I've read a good bit, and they are quite free, easy to "do business in" and with pretty free labor markets as well, oh and very supportive of free trade. They just seek to make things more equitable, and I was a bit surprised how collectivist it can be. We hear about the 60+% tax rates in Sweden and I always figured well that's the highest, on the wealthy. The brackets kick in much lower there...I read the average paid worker in Sweden pays a total of 60% in taxes, and for the top its like 73 or something. Its less "rich to poor" and more "everyone to the state and redistribute"
Of course because their public sectors are so large it became self supporting.
Diff is culture: How do those countries have large but effective, pretty corruption free governments that simply do their job? Beats the hell out of me! The nords are just awesome people I think.
Sadly this seems an exception, I believe things are less rosy on continental europe and obviously screwd up bad in America, we simply can't move to that large a government without some massive, impossible, shift in cultural thinking. Nor do I want things that collectivist, I just feel gov should do what it must to help those left out/hurt by the market. I used to be all for "tinkering" but I see that as potentially destructive now, which is why Im quite free market but then support a Job Guarantee, catch not tinker. I know I ramble and am difficult, hope this sheds light on my whack views.
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 09:08 | ||||
Yes, culture is very, very important. I think it's not the first time I have said that on this thread. We can go on and on about economic systems but they can only facilitate at best. It's like, you can pave the SW19 lawns as well as every year for the finals, but if it's Lleyton Hewitt v/s David Nalbandian, it's not going to please the crowds no matter what. If the people are prepared to keep national interest in mind and work together for progress, most impediments can turn relatively minor. But if they are perpetually interested in double crossing each other, it can fuel more and more cynicism and economic failure becomes a self fulfilling prophecy. Speaking of which, I think it's completely counter productive to ask what is so important about national interest. It may not figure in John Lennon's universe but as long as we are born in and live in nation states, it is important. In a roundabout way, the nation's betterment benefits us but we are usually too myopic to see this. It starts with politicians seeking to use their position as a vehicle for upward mobility and the cynicism finally percolates down to the lowest level.
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 09:26 | ||||
Supremely well said Roger.
Geoff: I have no problem with taxes, just I don't want them to be used in a purely redistributory manner.
As I've said before, the real "enemies" and super ass rich will find a way to get out of it anyway, unless we can get an entirely global agreement.
Taxes, hm.....not expert enough to come up with a grand plan but I like a progressive, but lower tax system, ideally one with no loopholes and deductions. I think investment/dividend/cap gain income should be put under "income" which it currently is not. This is simpler and of course means the investors/business high ups cant get lower rates like now. I think it sucks someone who built up a business and makes a $million a year would be paying more than someone on Wall St who just moves $$ around making the same. Or that they sit on a board...
Glad I got the good out of the way, this will ruffle your feathers Why not put the corporate tax at 0? Let me stress this is not some rager I have for corporations, just the reality: They already find ways to pay super low amounts and it makes a very small % of taxes paid to the US so its very ineffective. Again, being a realist. If we want to create more jobs why not just end corp taxes and end employer healthcare. It may help a bit to keep companies in the US. Also 0 corporate tax would be a help to smaller businesses.
I dont really know enough about sales/property tax to have an opinion on effectiveness, fairness, impacts etc etc
Edited by JJLehto - August 23 2013 at 10:02 |
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timothy leary
Forum Senior Member Joined: December 29 2005 Location: Lilliwaup, Wa. Status: Offline Points: 5319 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 09:32 | ||||
Yes, lets first spray millions of gallons of a substance on the planet and then afterwards figure out if it is safe or not.
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dtguitarfan
Forum Senior Member Joined: June 24 2011 Location: Chattanooga, TN Status: Offline Points: 1708 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 10:15 | ||||
I actually like your idea of "work welfare" quite a bit, by the way. Because I think it's pretty cold hearted to just axe welfare, as obviously there are unfortunate souls out there who have been dealt a bad hand through no fault of their own and quite simply can't seem to catch a break. And we don't want these poor souls to give up and become ghosts haunting our society. But simply giving them money is distasteful to quite a few people...so you want to create a situation where they can have a liveable wage but aren't encouraged to just be baby factories. So why not have government jobs that provide training and education and don't require a lot of skills, and the whole scenario is designed to get them back into the workforce as productive individuals?
I don't think it would be a good idea to go to a completely tax-free-for-corporations situation. Rather, I think we should make our corporation taxes much smarter. One of the basic ideas of taxes are that you don't tax things that are good for the nation, and you DO tax things that are harmful. So you have what you call a "sin tax". Right now we're not doing a good job of that. One of the obvious problems with "sin taxes" are the simple question of: it's a sin for whom? And you see the problem of answering this question with things like alcohol - the reason it's so dang expensive to buy beer in America, but wine is cheaper than water in France is that someone in America decided that alcohol is a sin, and should be taxed. So you definitely have to be careful about defining what sins to tax. Now that's a bit of a rabbit trail, and most likely will just give fuel to people who hate all forms of taxes, haha! But moving on - the idea is that we want to give special breaks to companies that have good practices and create a lot of jobs and pay their workers fairly, etc. etc. And we want to have "sin taxes" for companies that produce a lot of pollution and don't pay their workers fairly (I'm looking at you, Wal Mart), etc. Edited by dtguitarfan - August 23 2013 at 10:30 |
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 10:25 | ||||
I too would support rates of tax on income - including corporate tax - to be as low as possible. When the tax cost on the balance sheet is low, people are more likely to just comply and get done with it than to hire an army of lawyers and accountants to get out of complying. I would instead support sales tax on luxury items, on purchase of property above a certain value threshold. I would also support high rates of short term capital gains tax to discourage speculative activity in the stock and commodity trading markets. This would ensure that a heavy burden of tax is not imposed on those who cannot afford it and also serve to direct economic activities in a direction that is arguably healthier in the long run. If a country has a large population, it is better off creating lots of relatively low paying jobs for many rather than only a few high paying jobs. It is better for people to at least be engaged in the workforce and crib about their pay than to have them unemployed. I can reasonably guess that the US tax system - like the Indian one - also has lots of breaks, deductions, etc. I think these serve to complicate the system too much (which is where mr. accountant, a la yours truly, gets his pay ) and there should be low rates of tax instead, without breaks or credits except where unavoidable. Tax rules should be simple to understand and comply with.
Edited by rogerthat - August 23 2013 at 10:26 |
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 11:23 | ||||
Yes, the US tax code is a nightmare filled with all kinds of deductions and loopholes. I see no point to this, why not lower the thing and remove all such breaks?
All "real" taxes paid are lower than their official brackets, so yeah why all the mess? Actually the reason is, I assume, because a large segment of people make a living off that nightmare of a tax code. Well...call me a harsh free marketeer but they'll "adjust". It'd be more efficient for the overall to do as we said, why go against that just to prop up one sector of work?
Wow, you're an accountant who supports the same notion? That is putting the overall before yourself good sir!
I was thinking more of a "everyone will pay the same" route but you make another good point against lower taxes for investing, speculation etc it can clearly create a bad situation, and I believe (dont quote me though) under Wubya not only were cap gain/investment taxes lowered but they were even lower still for short term than long! This must've played at least a small role in the bubble. Those wall streeters are nuts already, just giving them incentive to sell sell as quickly as possible is crazy.
Understood Geoff, it's out there...I dont believe most people would go with 0% either but I just figure well, we want jobs, let's do any possible thing to try and keep them here. And also for small businesses, who would of course also pay 0.
Sin taxes are a sticky wicket, and generally I support taxes just to fund, not to alter behaviors. That said:
I've heard about "green taxes" and some countries are supposedly moving that way. Reducing normal taxes and replacing with some measurement of how much they pollute. So clean companies would pay little, dirty ones more...either they accept that or move to becoming clean.
It's really not a bad idea in theory. Even when I went true libertarian a year or 2 ago, I felt environment is an area government must intervene. I do have a few issues: It could be regressive, small companies could be burdened more then large ones. A company could of course choose to just pay the tax and not actually clean themselves up. Or more likely, a company could just move entirely. I'm sure progressives would say it's the environment, its what matters most, and progress is progress, and Im all for that, very noble cause but if we need to keep the people living we need jobs. Intriguing idea, depending on how exactly it's implemented it could be a very good idea.
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rogerthat
Prog Reviewer Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 11:38 | ||||
Well, we are not paid just how to teach businessmen how to save a penny here or there through loopholes. I would rather accountants were involved in making informed judgments on disclosures and capital/revenue expenditure debates. People will still come to accountants for their tax returns because it would give them that bit of comfort that they are complying properly with the rules. But having litigation on tax only because the law is too complicated and vague is a waste of resources.
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Dean
Special Collaborator Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 11:58 | ||||
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JJLehto
Prog Reviewer Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 12:13 | ||||
Dean the sage voice of reason
Nah was just making a funny, (not a good one) of course there'd be plenty of need for accountants.
Another good post from the progressive economists at NEP, glad some people out there do put realism before ideology. Mainstream economics supported "maestros" and the Fed trying to be the Superman of the economy, finally some people (and lefties not those Austrians everyone hates) that say yeah, the Fed shouldn't, and even can't, do all this stuff we want them to and these maestros just "guide" the economy to a crash, the party cant last forever and we cant keep drinking to keep the hangover away. Make the new Fed a boring regulator who just regulates...
The Fed may have the actual power to get any hold on the banks, the gov cant really be trusted, the massive Obama "wall street reform" bill was a lot of bunk, gutted/challenged by lobbyists...surprise Edited by JJLehto - August 23 2013 at 12:34 |
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Dean
Special Collaborator Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 13:58 | ||||
I like profit, profit is a good motivator and a great incentive, without profit we would not have progress, without profit we would not have investment, we would not have research and we would not have growth. If all the producers in the world just broke even there would be no need to start a new business or begin a new venture - we'd all be happy working for the lord of the manor or the tribal chief. What many people find to be distasteful is too much profit. Someone has to pay for the scientific study - they cost money and the resale value in what they produce is minimal (sure some unscrupulous "researchers" profit from their dubious research and we must be vigilant in spotting them) - through regulation we "insist" that safety trials are run on any product that has the potential to cause harm - whether that is a new drug, pesticide or child's teddy bear - the onus is on the manufacturer to conduct these trials (a government does not fund, conduct, supervise or analyse these trials - the costs of any one of those for the total number of products seeking approval each year is simply prohibitive - we cannot afford to do that even if we wanted to) - what is needed are methods to ensure that the trials they conduct will reveal the truth rather than a sanitised version of the truth and methods of publishing the data from the trials for independant assessment.
Don't be fooled into thinking that studies to show a product is unsafe are underfunded or run by hippies living in self-built homesteads in the back of beyond, the "organic" food industry and the infrastructure that supports it is big business, it is a multi-billion dollar industry that profits enormously from proving that chemical pesticides are harmful. The organic food industry is the Toyota Prius of food production. There is no excuse for second-rate hack-jobs and Chicken Licken scaremongering.
There is no evidence to suggest that cancer rates are rising - cancer occurs more in older people - that is a statistical conseqence of being a biological lifeform - the longer you live the higher the risk of a naturally occuring cell mutation going cancerous, it is a fact of life - a very simple fact of life. We are curing more and more life-threatening diseases so more people are living longer so the number of deaths by cancer will naturally go up, however, when we age-adjust the figures there has been a decrease in cancer death rates over the past twenty years.
You can chose to believe or disbelieve those statistics as you wish, that's your choice but if you are going to claim that cancer rates are rising because of x,y or z then you really need to produce some data that supports it.
Bad science is not a product of underfunding - bad science is the product of an agenda. Proving Monsanto's products are bad is very profitable. Tayloring a study to show that they are bad is as wrong as tayloring one to show they are good - both are bad science and both are inexcusable.
Galileo faced religious predjudice, not bad science. I would need to know your stance on climate change to comment on that - at the moment the "bad science" seems to have swung towards the anti-climate change brigade but again, both sides have been accused of some pretty dubious assessments of the data.
There is no reason to trust intuition and gut feelings because they are suseptible to confirmation bias, and that is universally accepted to be a bad thing. I haven't itemised the failings in either Séralini's research or Huber's leaked letter to the US Secretary of Agriculture because hatchet-jobs on them are unnecessary here. I'm not a supporter of GMO for profit though I do beleive there are significant scientific benefits in the research itself, so I read those with an open mind. If they proved Roundup to be a bad thing then I really want to know about it. I didn't need a sixth-sense to become suspicious of their findings - their conclusions were shakey enough without that and it took a few minutes to find serious independant criticism of both of them on the web and no support from the scientific community (which isn't entirely in the trall of Monsanto) what so ever.
We must never, ever be as gulible as to swallow the conclusions of any report without a firm understanding of the goals of that report, the study that produced it and any hidden agenda behind it, and we should never, ever, ever listen to second-rate hack-jobs no matter how supportive they are to our personal point of view.
On that I agree, but not for the reasons you give.
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timothy leary
Forum Senior Member Joined: December 29 2005 Location: Lilliwaup, Wa. Status: Offline Points: 5319 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 16:24 | ||||
http://www.criigen.org/SiteEn/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=379&Itemid=32
Yes duped is close enough |
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Dean
Special Collaborator Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
Posted: August 23 2013 at 19:09 | ||||
I don't know how much that research study cost to conduct, but details of POE-15 used in Roundup have been known for sometime and can even be found on Wikipedia (it took me five minutes, seriously), once there details of the known toxicity of Polyethoxylated tallow amine (to give it its formal name) can be read and fairly easily understood by practically anyone. The toxicity of Polyethoxylated tallow amine as used in Roundup has been public knowledge since 1985 (at least), it has never been consider non-toxic in the way that some ethoxylated adjuvants are. Here a study from 2004 that mentions the toxicity of POE-15 and states:
"Experimental studies suggest that the toxicity of the surfactant, polyoxyethyleneamine (POEA), is greater than the toxicity of glyphosate alone "
However.mention of the word "toxicity" is not a reason to run around like a headless chicken - everything is toxic, it just depends on the lethal dose (LD50) for example the LD50 of water is 90g/kg. A paper from 1997 gives the LD50 of POEA as 1.2g/kg, which is about the same as paracetamol (glyphosate has a LD50 similar to domestic table salt).
Toxicity of herbicides should not come as any great revelation anyway - of course it's toxic - it kills bloody dandelions for crying out loud and those damn things are tough enough to grow through 2 inches of sodding concrete, (even dandelions are toxic). Edited by Dean - August 23 2013 at 19:13 |
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