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rogerthat View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 04 2013 at 07:30
So am I.  I have given a real, live situation where not only is tax required but many libertarian values would not be workable.   We have enough anarchy in India without being an anarcho capitalist society, thank you.   I would appreciate if there was at least an attempt to understand this instead of arguing over hypothetical scenarios.  Because my only point in bringing up the need for tax in India is your theory is not absolute.  It is not universally applicable.  Like a lot of economics, it is applicable in specific situations under a given set of assumptions.   So keep an open mind instead of blatantly rejecting the wisdom of systems that are not libertarian.  Whether or not it fits your value set should have no bearing on your ability to respect a different position.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 04 2013 at 07:34
Have I shown any disrespect for your position?

I took umbrage with a part of your post about India that stuck out when I skimmed it. I told you the principle behind that. You said my assumption was unrealistic and refused to talk about the principle, which was the only thing I had any interest in discussing with you since I find your concept of morality unworkable and I would like to avoid such an axiomatic philosophical discussion.
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 04 2013 at 07:40
And I dislike that.   I built up a case also hinging on moral values as to why a tax was necessary and you are only interested in the part that you cannot agree with.   Sorry but that indeed doesn't contribute to productive discussion.   The only reason I had to go into detail on the caste system was to present the existence of a dilemma of which kind of values to uphold - liberty and choice or social responsibility.  To completely sidestep that aspect and focus on a solitary sentence just misses the point.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 04 2013 at 17:27
I didn't read all of it. You weren't talking to me. I caught a sentence that interested me as I was scrolling down. I'm only interested in the part I was interested in discussing. I apologize for being like every other person in that regard. 
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 04 2013 at 20:04
If you do not read and comprehend the full post (and it wasn't THAT long compared to some of the stuff posted here), you are going to understand what all I wanted to convey and only provoke a meaningless discussion, which is exactly what you did.  What I wrote was a whole, not a sum of parts that you could just cherry pick at according to your wishes.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2013 at 11:17
We all cherry pick man, either due to restraints or laziness (maybe a mental restraint? IDK) I try my best to read and digest all but I'd be lying if I said I always did, nor do I fully expect all yall to take in all of my rambling horrible posts!
 
The tax thing is a bit difficult. Technically and I stress that, technically, it's not theft because it is legal. Not a fun or popular answer, but by default it can't be theft.
Now Pat, and others I'm sure, take the argument it really is theft, since it's the forced taking of something you own, it's just legalized theft but that doesn't make it right.
Fair enough. And in all our hearts, we probably feel that way. Of course it is theft, but we all accept it. Most "normal" people don't go far enough to social contracts, and the common good and etc (though they get the ideas) but yeah I think really, most of us feel it is theft, but it's what state does and we generally accept it's necessity, to varying degrees. Also the alternative is just too out there, but just wanna point out that "tax is theft" as an ideal is something most would agree with.
 
 
That kinda sucks sure but it's that pesky realism! In the ideal world some here call for, we need a truly radical, unheard of really, change. Not just government but the entire legal system. A change of epic proportions and going against much of world history.
 
On that note. I've been reading more of the main post-keynesian/MMT (whatever) blog and there is certainly thought provoking stuff. Also I find it ironic the movement is a very small one, limited to the internet and one university, and has been ridiculed by mainstream econ. May disagree to death with Austrians but strange they are in the same boat. Also both schools appear to be the only ones with ANY economists that forsaw our recession!
They make interesting points about taxes, that having a fiat currency we are naturally in debt and taxes are an after result. AKA we "spend and tax" thus attempts to balance a budget may be near impossible. In US history we have only had one year with no debt ever, as well as a few periods of substantial reduction always followed by major recession.
 
It's really changed my belief...all my life I always believed in balanced budget. As a leftie I wanted 60-70% taxes for it, now I'd prefer less state spending but yeah now I'm not so sure. Seems very difficult to maintain and perhaps could come with negative consequences. As long as we have state, and fiat, it seems deficits are part of it. How much deficit and how actively it should be limited is a debate, the blog seems to not care a lick I wont go that far, but it is intriguing.
 


Edited by JJLehto - August 05 2013 at 11:30
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2013 at 11:38

tl;dr

Do government surpluses harm private wealth? As it spends less and less by default we must spend more. Some periods of government reduction were the 1830s, huge recession, the 1920s, huge recession, and the 1990s, small recession but fueled the bubble that led to our current one.
We took on huge private debt in those 3 periods, followed by 3 of the worst recessions in history.
 
It is a very interesting point I have to say. Not sure I fully buy it since the 2000s we had huge government deficits and private debt, the Fed clearly played a role in fueling the bubble, but still a point to ponder...
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2013 at 11:46
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As it spends less and less by default we must spend more.


Why? The common misconception is that the economy runs on consumption, but Austrians (including me!) believe that saving and investment is more important, and that rampant consumption without a high level of savings is not a good thing.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2013 at 12:36
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As it spends less and less by default we must spend more.


Why? The common misconception is that the economy runs on consumption, but Austrians (including me!) believe that saving and investment is more important, and that rampant consumption without a high level of savings is not a good thing.
And I do agree with that, I think we have a pretty weak economy if its built solely on our orgy of spending...and it sure seems that way now that we havn't been spending.
 
I don't think it's spending in quite that way they mean.
It seems more like if there isn't Social Security, health spending, basically welfare by government we'd all be paying more and more thus having less $ to save, and spend. Related to that, to run balance/surpluses will require more taxes, while deficits means we're free to use that $ not lost in taxes to save, or spend.
 
Honestly, it's just a blog and I'm not sure if they spared the details or havn't done so, but there's not much rationale behind these relationships. If I had time I'd like to ponder it.
I'm just stating there are interesting conclusions to be drawn, if you'd care to shed alternative views on this data I'd love it!
 
Check the middle picture: A perfect 0 sum between private spending, public spending and trade.
Another is that deficits may be a result of the cycle, so maybe it's unwise to try and "balance" it
Again, one can look to private debt in the 20s. Or is it the Fed creating their inflation bubble that gets us drunk?  Im not sure at the momentLOL maybe a little of both?


Edited by JJLehto - August 05 2013 at 12:39
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2013 at 12:51
Though as I said in another post, I wonder if things are just changing...if (sucky as it is) this is how things are as a service economy. Which I also think is the natural result of an open trade world.
If so, I just don't know. The totally free market/little to no welfare idea while in our current world just seems draconian. I won't even disagree with the markets working, just maybe it's a little too brutal.
 
Guess I've gone back to being a softieLOL I'd love to pick your econ brain some time when I'm not posting at work
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 05 2013 at 13:10
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

If you do not read and comprehend the full post (and it wasn't THAT long compared to some of the stuff posted here), you are going to understand what all I wanted to convey and only provoke a meaningless discussion, which is exactly what you did.  What I wrote was a whole, not a sum of parts that you could just cherry pick at according to your wishes.


I brought up an entirely separate issue which had nothing to do with your post. I don't see the problem with that.
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 08:03
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 08:26
^heh which is not really much of a surprise.
Really think Obamacare was just a VERY incremental way to eventually get to a universal healthcare. Because we can't handle it as a naiton to just do it, so it'll be a slow, probably painful, process. Where premiums for the "regular" folk will soar, businesses may be hurt until eventually (I hope) they will stop supplying healthcare and free themselves of that hefty obligation.
 
 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 08:58
Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As it spends less and less by default we must spend more.


Why? The common misconception is that the economy runs on consumption, but Austrians (including me!) believe that saving and investment is more important, and that rampant consumption without a high level of savings is not a good thing.

But without consumption there's no incentive to invest in higher capacity.  That is actually the problem today.  Everybody's a chicken that's scared the sky will fall on its head and so the chicken puts all its egg in the bank.   Meanwhile, the producers are waiting for more chickens to come and consume and that's not happening.   It's as if there is a LONG hangover after the years of giddy spending.  Not everybody is broke today but everybody is scared they will go broke and in this way we are all making it a self fulfilling prophecy.   
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 12:06
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 13:05
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As it spends less and less by default we must spend more.


Why? The common misconception is that the economy runs on consumption, but Austrians (including me!) believe that saving and investment is more important, and that rampant consumption without a high level of savings is not a good thing.

But without consumption there's no incentive to invest in higher capacity.  That is actually the problem today.  Everybody's a chicken that's scared the sky will fall on its head and so the chicken puts all its egg in the bank.   Meanwhile, the producers are waiting for more chickens to come and consume and that's not happening.   It's as if there is a LONG hangover after the years of giddy spending.  Not everybody is broke today but everybody is scared they will go broke and in this way we are all making it a self fulfilling prophecy.   
 
Yes, I think we are in a unique situation, not normal economic behavior.
Perhaps the ridiculous private debt we've accumulated, especially during the 2000s has put in our current spot?
It seems to make sense to me, we (as a nation) won't get back to spending (and of course the whole economy) until we start to fix our sh*t. Which, given the absurd levels of debt taken on, could make a very long, unstable and difficult recovery. Especially when the "depression" becomes a mental one for us all.
 
 
I've always wondered as well why the Great Depression is the one that "broke the rules"  I'd say many factors but also: Note the last huge spike in private debt (also fueled by a housing bubble).
The 20s and since late 80s have both had easy money rivers and tightly managed Feds. Intriguing to me.
I'm not totally sold on the theory and I reject a good bit of their conclusions but guess I can't give up on Austrian thought entirely. LOL


Edited by JJLehto - August 06 2013 at 13:53
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 13:07
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 22:02
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Originally posted by thellama73 thellama73 wrote:

Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:

As it spends less and less by default we must spend more.


Why? The common misconception is that the economy runs on consumption, but Austrians (including me!) believe that saving and investment is more important, and that rampant consumption without a high level of savings is not a good thing.

But without consumption there's no incentive to invest in higher capacity.  That is actually the problem today.  Everybody's a chicken that's scared the sky will fall on its head and so the chicken puts all its egg in the bank.   Meanwhile, the producers are waiting for more chickens to come and consume and that's not happening.   It's as if there is a LONG hangover after the years of giddy spending.  Not everybody is broke today but everybody is scared they will go broke and in this way we are all making it a self fulfilling prophecy.   
 
Yes, I think we are in a unique situation, not normal economic behavior.
Perhaps the ridiculous private debt we've accumulated, especially during the 2000s has put in our current spot?
It seems to make sense to me, we (as a nation) won't get back to spending (and of course the whole economy) until we start to fix our sh*t. Which, given the absurd levels of debt taken on, could make a very long, unstable and difficult recovery. Especially when the "depression" becomes a mental one for us all.
 
 
I've always wondered as well why the Great Depression is the one that "broke the rules"  I'd say many factors but also: Note the last huge spike in private debt (also fueled by a housing bubble).
The 20s and since late 80s have both had easy money rivers and tightly managed Feds. Intriguing to me.
I'm not totally sold on the theory and I reject a good bit of their conclusions but guess I can't give up on Austrian thought entirely. LOL

If I am not mistaken, the govt was not saddled with massive deficits at the time FDR took over so that granted him the leeway to pursue a New Deal.  To repeat the old economic maxim, run up surpluses during booms and deficits during recessions.  Instead, the deficit ballooned during Bush's term so the situation since 2008 is unique and may not be addressed by historical solutions.  Bernanke is trying something unorthodox, God knows whether it will work.  We hear news of a nascent recovery in the US economy, but what is the situation really like at the ground level?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 22:49
When FDR took office there was something like a 3 billion dollar deficit due to the Hoover administration.
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: August 06 2013 at 22:53
Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

When FDR took office there was something like a 3 billion dollar deficit due to the Hoover administration.

Hmm, and just to put that into perspective, what was the size of the economy then, what percentage of GDP did a 3 billion dollar deficit amount to then?  Today it would be peanuts but I am pretty sure it wouldn't have been that small back in the 20s/30s.
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