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Equality 7-2521 View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 03 2013 at 13:08
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

The argument is that this will necessarily lead to legislation increasing the UBI to maintain an equal level of purchasing power. Thus giving a wage hike. Thus bringing us to the beginning of the argument. Of course in reality there would be a limiting procedure, but as a rough theoretical musing, I don't think llama's statement was wrong.
(now I'm not *at work* and can devote more than 10% of my attention to it) ... It's still "No". There will be no wage hike because it is still not a closed-loop. Increasing the buying power of the poor does not result in a proportional linear increase in demand for low priced goods because they do not simply buy more of the same they buy more different things and those different things are not common to all. So the overal increase is proportional but the individual increases are minimal so do not affect demand. Rough musings are fine as long as they are not so simplified as to be unrepresentative.


The basic necessities for modern living are homogeneous so I really don't understand your objection. As I said, clearly we have an approximate geometric series idea here so that no one is saying the UBI will be raised to $1Trillion. Anyway, you can take this up with Logan since I'm weary of arguing a point that I don't agree with.
 
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

Well, no one here seems to be in favour of any proposal that increases the basic income therefore the conclusion is that the goal is to keep it down. Controlling any "vicious" cycle involves holding one of the elements in that cycle at a constant level - historically, wage-control (by whatever means, and not necessarily by direct regulation) appears to be the preferred method.


I would like to increase basic incomes.


Edited by Equality 7-2521 - June 03 2013 at 13:08
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 04 2013 at 08:47
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 04 2013 at 10:23
Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

Must Read: Assange's Statement regarding the Manning trial



Extremely well put


Time always wins.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 04 2013 at 22:43


Time always wins.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 09:06


24 years ago today. Never forget.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 10:04
Not been involved so far, as this thread looked to me mostly focused on American socio-politic-economics which I am not familiar with.

Just a couple of quick reflections: huge fortunes (and I mean, not just big money, but huge by any standards) are being made in many business areas. This alone should make it clear that we as consumers too often pay too much for what we consume. Scale economics do of course play a role (you may sell a product with very little unitary profit but if you can sell it to 1 billion customers you make a fortune anyway) but they do not always justify those huge fortune-makings. And while defending moderate liberalism, I think that there should be a limit to how much fortune one can accumulate (alternative read as = 'to how much power one can accumulate').

There was some previous talk about the power of big corporations. I tell you, it's true. Hyper-liberalism has had as one of its consequences that states do not have much anymore, everything is privatized, so the balance of power has shifted to the private sector. The private corporations have a lot of power on the political states. Many states operate their economics via public debt. Debt to whom? to 'the markets', 'the investors'. Who are 'the markets', 'the investors'? Big fortunes and corporations. So of course, when you owe money to somebody, you become submissive to them, you loose your power.

Something else: I work for a big multi-national and I can tell you, they have big departments and terribly expensive consultants just working to engineer maximizing of profits, minimizing tax-paying and steering the money flows however it is most convenient for maximum profit. If, say, a factory in Europe is profitable but producing the same in Bangla-Desh could be more profitable, it's very easy for them to turn the European factory into a loss-making site therefore justifying its closure and the production transfer to Bangla-Desh.

Do not underestimate the power of 'the markets', they decide when stocks go up and down, and with it our complete state of welfare or otherwise.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 11:32
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


If, say, a factory in Europe is profitable but producing the same in Bangla-Desh could be more profitable, it's very easy for them to turn the European factory into a loss-making site therefore justifying its closure and the production transfer to Bangla-Desh.




I have seen something similar happening in my city.  Since real estate is like gold in Mumbai, several majors have shut down pharma/chemical factories that were running profitably by citing increasing costs and are selling the land to make a killing.   But we should not underestimate the govt's role in helping these majors to sell out the city.  If they did not allow such ad hoc changes in land use, they would not be able to sell the land except to another manufacturer wanting to set up shop.   And in the meantime, the govt together with some free market evangelists keep drumming up the promise of 'moving on' to the service sector which is a cost trap that will make us uncompetitive in the long run. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 12:01
Oh yeah, the 'services sector', the holy grail we also heard about in western Europe when it was becoming clear that manufacturing competitiveness was lost. Bull*t, Services are just the same as any other economical activity, only those which can only be carried out locally (i.e. distribution logistics, retail sales) are bound to survive, the rest of services are being transferred to the lowest cost countries (call centers, data storage etc). No offence as I know you are Indian and you have my outmost respect, but the fashion trend by big companies in the last years to outsource IT services to Indian-based companies has, in many cases and in my personal viewpoint, caused them more damage than benefits. Low costs on paper but complete loss of their information management capabilities.

It's fine, developing countries have their right to live decently too of course, so if they can offer products and services to more developed countries at competitive costs, thumbs up to them, as long as that is not achieved via exploitation and sub-human working conditions. The Western world enjoyed big success by profiting from 'underdeveloped countries' but now it's hitting back, we deserve it.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 12:41
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:

Not been involved so far, as this thread looked to me mostly focused on American socio-politic-economics which I am not familiar with.

Just a couple of quick reflections: huge fortunes (and I mean, not just big money, but huge by any standards) are being made in many business areas. This alone should make it clear that we as consumers too often pay too much for what we consume. Scale economics do of course play a role (you may sell a product with very little unitary profit but if you can sell it to 1 billion customers you make a fortune anyway) but they do not always justify those huge fortune-makings. And while defending moderate liberalism, I think that there should be a limit to how much fortune one can accumulate (alternative read as = 'to how much power one can accumulate').


While I agree from a political position that some profits are very troubling, and from a personal perspective that far too many are, I don't quite see how the implication you put forth follows. Huge profits can just as easily signify great gains for a consumer.

Quote
There was some previous talk about the power of big corporations. I tell you, it's true. Hyper-liberalism has had as one of its consequences that states do not have much anymore, everything is privatized, so the balance of power has shifted to the private sector. The private corporations have a lot of power on the political states. Many states operate their economics via public debt. Debt to whom? to 'the markets', 'the investors'. Who are 'the markets', 'the investors'? Big fortunes and corporations. So of course, when you owe money to somebody, you become submissive to them, you loose your power.


If a State has a dearth of power, then the corporation's influence on the State cannot amount to any substantial gains. Your premise seems to defeat itself.

Quote
Something else: I work for a big multi-national and I can tell you, they have big departments and terribly expensive consultants just working to engineer maximizing of profits, minimizing tax-paying and steering the money flows however it is most convenient for maximum profit. If, say, a factory in Europe is profitable but producing the same in Bangla-Desh could be more profitable, it's very easy for them to turn the European factory into a loss-making site therefore justifying its closure and the production transfer to Bangla-Desh.


Why is this a bad thing?

Quote
Do not underestimate the power of 'the markets', they decide when stocks go up and down, and with it our complete state of welfare or otherwise.


If we underappreciated the power of the market, then we wouldn't be libertarians.
"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 13:01
Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:

Not been involved so far, as this thread looked to me mostly focused on American socio-politic-economics which I am not familiar with.

Just a couple of quick reflections: huge fortunes (and I mean, not just big money, but huge by any standards) are being made in many business areas. This alone should make it clear that we as consumers too often pay too much for what we consume. Scale economics do of course play a role (you may sell a product with very little unitary profit but if you can sell it to 1 billion customers you make a fortune anyway) but they do not always justify those huge fortune-makings. And while defending moderate liberalism, I think that there should be a limit to how much fortune one can accumulate (alternative read as = 'to how much power one can accumulate').


While I agree from a political position that some profits are very troubling, and from a personal perspective that far too many are, I don't quite see how the implication you put forth follows. Huge profits can just as easily signify great gains for a consumer.
If the product or service was sold at a lower price, still giving nice profit to its investor(s) but not such insanely huge profits, wouldn't it be an even better gain for the consumers?

Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

 
Quote
There was some previous talk about the power of big corporations. I tell you, it's true. Hyper-liberalism has had as one of its consequences that states do not have much anymore, everything is privatized, so the balance of power has shifted to the private sector. The private corporations have a lot of power on the political states. Many states operate their economics via public debt. Debt to whom? to 'the markets', 'the investors'. Who are 'the markets', 'the investors'? Big fortunes and corporations. So of course, when you owe money to somebody, you become submissive to them, you loose your power.


If a State has a dearth of power, then the corporation's influence on the State cannot amount to any substantial gains. Your premise seems to defeat itself.

You got it wrong, the State still has its 'power', it's just that that power is sold to the highest bidder. The State becomes the execution arm of the factual powers.

Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:


Quote
Something else: I work for a big multi-national and I can tell you, they have big departments and terribly expensive consultants just working to engineer maximizing of profits, minimizing tax-paying and steering the money flows however it is most convenient for maximum profit. If, say, a factory in Europe is profitable but producing the same in Bangla-Desh could be more profitable, it's very easy for them to turn the European factory into a loss-making site therefore justifying its closure and the production transfer to Bangla-Desh.


Why is this a bad thing?
It is not bad 'per se', it was just to illustrate that big corporations have a lot of power in defining the economies of countries. Sometimes we are fooled into believing that 'manufacturing here is not viable', when the truth is just 'manufacturing elsewhere is more profitable for the shareholders'.

Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:


Quote
Do not underestimate the power of 'the markets', they decide when stocks go up and down, and with it our complete state of welfare or otherwise.


If we underappreciated the power of the market, then we wouldn't be libertarians.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 05 2013 at 20:45
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:

Oh yeah, the 'services sector', the holy grail we also heard about in western Europe when it was becoming clear that manufacturing competitiveness was lost. Bull*t, Services are just the same as any other economical activity, only those which can only be carried out locally (i.e. distribution logistics, retail sales) are bound to survive, the rest of services are being transferred to the lowest cost countries (call centers, data storage etc). No offence as I know you are Indian and you have my outmost respect, but the fashion trend by big companies in the last years to outsource IT services to Indian-based companies has, in many cases and in my personal viewpoint, caused them more damage than benefits. Low costs on paper but complete loss of their information management capabilities.

It's fine, developing countries have their right to live decently too of course, so if they can offer products and services to more developed countries at competitive costs, thumbs up to them, as long as that is not achieved via exploitation and sub-human working conditions. The Western world enjoyed big success by profiting from 'underdeveloped countries' but now it's hitting back, we deserve it.


And it doesn't really help us either.  I don't think conditions in call centers are sub human at all but it is not work that a college graduate should be doing unless that's all he's really good for.  But the pay tempted many people to get into outsourcing and give up the prospect of a more stimulating career.  It may have created lots of jobs in the short term but India is heavily dependent on a labour arbitrage that will eventually be lost.  It would have been better for homegrown IT companies to struggle and develop their own solutions instead of chasing easy money.  There are lots of India-specific software requirements that only one or two of the majors are interested in tapping.   Why, because margins.   It might make perfect sense economically, but it really doesn't add much value at all - it doesn't actualize the potential of the human capital it engages and it doesn't add to productivity.   I don't think it is very healthy for businesses to operate for the sake of profit maximisation....there has to be a desire to do things better than yesterday, to innovate...rather than endlessly shutting and selling factories to re-open them elsewhere.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 06:31
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

I don't think conditions in call centers are sub human at all but it is not work that a college graduate should be doing unless that's all he's really good for.  
Perhaps not for call centers in India, but you surely heard of the recent disasters at Bangladesh textile factories. Oh yes, the clothes at C&A are so cheap, great for us customers!

Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

I don't think it is very healthy for businesses to operate for the sake of profit maximisation....there has to be a desire to do things better than yesterday, to innovate...rather than endlessly shutting and selling factories to re-open them elsewhere.
Unfortunately it's the investors who decide which companies they lend money to, and while some of them surely invest according to long-term sustainable values, there are many (I would say an increasing number of) who just target quick and fatty profits. Which leads to another problem, companies being increasingly tempted to publish excessively optimistic forecasts, when not deliberately manipulating their figures to avoid investors selling their shares or getting new ones buying shares based on deceptive reports.
In Spain where crisis is enduring for a few years, the number of big companies which are being discovered as having faked information in the last years is becoming alarmingly high (they were hiding the problems they were going through to avoid fear on their shareholders). 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 08:07
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


If the product or service was sold at a lower price, still giving nice profit to its investor(s) but not such insanely huge profits, wouldn't it be an even better gain for the consumers?


Yeah. And if it were free it would be a better gain for the consumers. What does this have to do with anything?

Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


You got it wrong, the State still has its 'power', it's just that that power is sold to the highest bidder. The State becomes the execution arm of the factual powers.


"You got it wrong, the State still has its 'power', it's just that that power is sold to the highest bidder. The State becomes the execution arm of the factual powers. "

You're contradicting yourself. You said "the states do not have much anymore" where I'm assuming the missing object is power. If the States do not have much power, then businesses can not gain much by having the state in their pocket.

Quote
It is not bad 'per se', it was just to illustrate that big corporations have a lot of power in defining the economies of countries. Sometimes we are fooled into believing that 'manufacturing here is not viable', when the truth is just 'manufacturing elsewhere is more profitable for the shareholders'.


And more profitable for consumers. Thus making it not viable.



Edited by Equality 7-2521 - June 06 2013 at 08:09
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 08:46
Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

 
"You got it wrong, the State still has its 'power', it's just that that power is sold to the highest bidder. The State becomes the execution arm of the factual powers. "

You're contradicting yourself. You said "the states do not have much anymore" where I'm assuming the missing object is power. If the States do not have much power, then businesses can not gain much by having the state in their pocket.
The States have execution power, but little decision power, is that so difficult to understand?

Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:

 
It is not bad 'per se', it was just to illustrate that big corporations have a lot of power in defining the economies of countries. Sometimes we are fooled into believing that 'manufacturing here is not viable', when the truth is just 'manufacturing elsewhere is more profitable for the shareholders'.


And more profitable for consumers. Thus making it not viable.

Really? Is it being offered products as cheap as possible the only thing that matters to you?


Edited by Gerinski - June 06 2013 at 08:47
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 09:19
Economy in itself is not so dependent on politics as some people believe. Economy is a self-adjusting dynamical system, it will find its equilibrium point by its own rules of offer and demand. What politicians can do is limited to certain steering movements now and then, but a government can not 'create' economy by pumping money in, that's a short-term patch which only creates a fake illusion.

Currently extreme left politics are basically over in the developed world (for good), so we are left with a band from hard liberalism to social-democracy. Both have shown to be economically viable systems, the US is an archetypal example of liberal 'success', and many countries such as North-European / Scandinavian countries with traditionally more social-oriented policies have shown that that's a viable system too, they are successful countries and have built a quite good welfare state. The point is that the population must work hard and produce. Regardless of the economic politics followed, hard producing countries succeed and 'lazy' countries fail.

After that, the difference lies in which type of society each strategy generates in the mid-long term.

Hard liberalism tends to create a society where everything is ruled by money. The Far West, the Law Of The Jungle. What sells well is produced, what does not sell well is abandoned. So things like culture which do not sell well are neglected, we all know that during Irak's war a big percentage of US citizens could no tell where Irak lied in a map, while film blockbusters from Stallone drive millionaire business. If you take the challenge you can become rich, if you don't, sorry, rot in the streets.

Social-Democrat governments need to collect more taxes and they interfere with the free market by using those taxes to steer the socio-economics of the country, and thanks to that they may stimulate activities which while not selling too well, are considered important to maintain a healthy society, such as culture, public health care, public education and public transport which may not be profitable per se. They also help those who for whatever reason did not take the challenge, and this may feel unfair to those whose taxes are used for that help.

An in-depth discussion would take many pages, so I'l leave it here for the moment: No system is objectively better than the other, it's just up to the population to choose which kind of society they want to build towards the future. 



Edited by Gerinski - June 07 2013 at 04:23
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 09:20
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


Perhaps not for call centers in India, but you surely heard of the recent disasters at Bangladesh textile factories. Oh yes, the clothes at C&A are so cheap, great for us customers!


Yes, that was a terrible disaster.  But while there definitely are terribly unsafe factories in India too, not all of them are. The media, including our own, only highlights the ones that are.  I have been to a pharma plant and also to an automobile plant and both units were/are quite well maintained and at least appeared to strictly adhere to safety norms.  Workers of Hero Motocorp, one of the largest motorcycle manufacturer in the world by no. of units,  demanded a monthly remuneration of $2000 in negotiations recently...and that's more than what I am paid as a finance professional!  
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:

Unfortunately it's the investors who decide which companies they lend money to, and while some of them surely invest according to long-term sustainable values, there are many (I would say an increasing number of) who just target quick and fatty profits. Which leads to another problem, companies being increasingly tempted to publish excessively optimistic forecasts, when not deliberately manipulating their figures to avoid investors selling their shares or getting new ones buying shares based on deceptive reports.
In Spain where crisis is enduring for a few years, the number of big companies which are being discovered as having faked information in the last years is becoming alarmingly high (they were hiding the problems they were going through to avoid fear on their shareholders). 


I understand this problem but surely large conglomerates are beyond the point where they are at the mercy of a handful of investors.  Perhaps, investors may not 'mind' it, but they have not expressly asked Google to go for a Double Irish Dutch Sandwich scheme, as it is called.  What we are seeing now is just a never ending hunt for arbitrage gains and I am not sure how that adds value except in the short run. 


Edited by rogerthat - June 06 2013 at 09:23
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 11:41
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


The States have execution power, but little decision power, is that so difficult to understand?


The fact that you didn't say that could be the main cause of misunderstanding. Great. So let's take away its execution power so that we don't have to worry about its corruptibility.

Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


Really? Is it being offered products as cheap as possible the only thing that matters to you?


No. But that has nothing to do with profit. Thus me saying profitable.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 13:06
Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


The States have execution power, but little decision power, is that so difficult to understand?


The fact that you didn't say that could be the main cause of misunderstanding. Great. So let's take away its execution power so that we don't have to worry about its corruptibility. 
Do you really think that those taking up the power would not be corruptible?
At any rate, the corruptibility of governments is a bit more under control than the corruptibility of private entities.


Edited by Gerinski - June 06 2013 at 13:10
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 14:34
Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:

Originally posted by Equality 7-2521 Equality 7-2521 wrote:

Originally posted by Gerinski Gerinski wrote:


The States have execution power, but little decision power, is that so difficult to understand?


The fact that you didn't say that could be the main cause of misunderstanding. Great. So let's take away its execution power so that we don't have to worry about its corruptibility. 
Do you really think that those taking up the power would not be corruptible?
At any rate, the corruptibility of governments is a bit more under control than the corruptibility of private entities.


I'm suggesting that the power not be taken up. Government has powers that we've largely given it. It's not that some abstract powers exist that someone must claim.

How so? I hear that said a lot, but I never hear it supported.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 06 2013 at 18:43
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