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Dean View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 04:34
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:

“If the cloud was formed by aircraft movement from the "very busy airline" then there would be hundreds of those clouds criss-crossing the sky, not just one, unless all the very busy aircraft follow exactly the same route without disturbing the contrail of the previous arcraft. Contrails are unstable and disperse very quickly, too quickly to "seed" larger copies of themselves - roll-clouds are formed by two pressure systems sliding over each other, just like the tobacco in a hand-rolled cigarette. If you can describe a mechanism where an arcus/roll-cloud can be formed by an aircraft I would love to hear it.”

So how do you name this cloud? Is it natural, according to you?
It's called a roll cloud or arcus cloud and of course it is natural, rare, but natural. Ask any meteorologist or nephologist. I'll repeat my question - explain how such a cloud can be created by an aircraft.
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:



“Where is this other layer of atmosphere that is affected by all the other meteorological phenomenon that release water vapour into the air if not between us and the sun??”

I don’t understand your point, what I said is that air traffic releases its exhausts in high altitude between the sun and us, and since there are too much planes, its exhausts don’t have time to dissipate , that’s why
We’re seing a lot more contrails than before and even artificial clouds below overbusy airlines. Sometimes we can read a definition of contrails saying that when we see contrails, it means that it’s about to rain (because it forms
In humid air). It was true ten years ago, it’s not anymore. We had two months of drought here, and we’ve seen contrails almost everyday since the beginning of that drought period and you know why? Because as we’re beyond the threshold of saturation and the huge amount of steam water (& soot) rejected by planes cannot dissipate properly and that’s why the old contrail definition is not valid anymore. We’re disturbing water and light cycles.
There is no evidence that contrails form rain, in fact meteorically it is unlikely. Rain clouds are low altitude, contrails are high altitude. If the atmosphere is more humid (saturated) then there will be rain, not drought - that's pretty basic weather prediction and not related to contrail formation.
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:



“The sun is white and the sky is black. The sun appears yellow (and the sky appears blue) to us because of Rayleigh scattering of the light from the sun by particles in the atmosphere - the more particles (or the thicker the atmosphere) the more yellow the sun and the less blue the sky. This is why the sky is deeper blue overhead and less blue towards the horizon. (read the linked page)”

Indeed the sunlight from space is white but the atmosphere composition made the light yellow since the dawn of times and until very recently. Children use to take a yellow pencil to color the sun, now they don’t need
any pencil, just to draw a circle. The layer of pollution from airtraffic also prevents from bright stars, astronomers also complain:

https://darkskydiary.wordpress.com/tag/contrails/
These two effects are unrelated so I fail to see why you group them together. I'll repeat what I have already said - if the sun is less yellow and more white it means that there is less scattering of the shorter blue wavelengths of light reaching our eyes from the sun - this means there is less atmospheric interference. Contrails and other disturbances in the atmosphere would make the sun more yellow.
 
The astronomers are not complaining about the change in colour of the sun (or the scintillation caused by atmosphere, which is a common effect when observing space from the earth ... hence the need for Hubble Space Telescope), but on the cloud cover in general.
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:


“If you believe that the sun is less yellow than it was then that is because there is less vapour & less pollutants in the atmosphere that there were, not more - ie more of the sun's spectrum is reaching our eyes. “

Ho wcan you be so sure? I explained my theory that the black clouds modify not only color of light but also affect the parallelism of lights wich are scattered by the steam water/soot layer.
In this picture white light (the sun) is shinning onto clear glass (the sky) - the blue light in the spectrum is scattered and makes the glass appear blue while the yellow/orange light passes through without scattering and looks yellow/orange in the shadow.
 
Black clouds are white - they appear black because they absorb all the light that is trying to shining through them - in other words the black is shadow - this is why Nimbostratus (rain clouds) are darker at the bottom - the sunlight does not reach the bottom of the cloud. Of course water droplets refract light - that is how rainbows are formed, but black clouds are not refracting light, they are absorbing it.
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:


“In our lifetime we have seen the effects of Mount St Helen's on sunsets, so the increased "blue" skies following Eyjafjallajökull shouldn't surprise anyone and really cannot be attributed to stopping air traffic for a couple of days.”

Please be more explicit, I don’t understand. Americans report the same after the 11th Spetember 2001. I can tell you the sun was less blazing during the ban flight, one can look at it much longer than in normal times
when it’s very blazing.
It is a specious correlation - the clear skies after 9/11 were not caused by banning air flight but by natural weather effects since the skies were clear of all clouds, not just contrails - we need much more data  before we can jump to conclusions to cause and effect - hundreds of days without air traffic, not just a few.

Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:


Every body of water on the planet releases "steam" into the atmosphere on a scale vastly greater than anything created by aircraft - every single cloud in the sky is "steam" released from the earth - from seas, rivers, lakes and from the normal "breathing" of plants. The atmosphere on a cloudless day is full of water - it's called humidity. Most of the water in contrails does not come out of the aircraft or its exhaust gasses, most of it was already in the atmosphere before the aircraft took off, the passage of aircraft causes the water vapour in the atmosphere to condense into water droplets, which we see as contrails - this is done by two well documented processes - the first is by reducing the air pressure in the wake of the aircraft which means that the air can no longer "hold" the vapour it contains, and the second is by the relatively small volume of water in the exhaust gasses causing the humidity in the air to exceed its saturation point and so it condenses as a cloud of ice crystals

Please quote a bigger producer of steam water than a jet plane: there’s not. Boats reject a lot, but you don’t have 100 boats that go the same way in one hour, there are too slow.
Erm... the sun and any movement of surface water (waves, ripples, and rive flow) all produce water vapour in far larger quantities than any number of aircraft - trees also release far more water into the atmosphere than aircraft. For man-made objects I would cite power stations of all types since they all produce electricity from steam. A small cumulus cloud weighs as much as a 747 - and 747's are not made of water - a minute fraction of the weight of a 747 is water (and most of that is contained within the human passengers)
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:



“Not 24 hours. I'm not that blind - the shadows and relative position of the sun is totally different - my guess is there is between 4 and maybe 6 hours difference in the time of day those photographs were taken. In the first photograph the sun is behind the camera, and in the second photograph the sun is much lower in the sky and in front of the camera, which results in the apparent brightness seen by the auto-exposure of the camera. Looking at the palm leaves I don't think these are 5 hours apart on the same day so this means the second photograph is 29 or 53 hours later, but not 24 hours - however, you would have gotten a similar effect if the photographs were taken 5 hours apart on the same day, with or without airtraffic. “

Well seen, it’s three hour. One day the sky is deep blue, the day after it’s white Unfortunatly the two pictures were no taken at exactlt the sam ehour but we’d have seen what billions of people noticed
In the USA in 2001 and in Europe 10 years later. One day it’s deep blue, the day after it’s white.
You really cannot make subjective statements like this - white skies mean less scattering of sunlight, this means there are less molecules in the air to scatter the light - contrails and aircraft created pollutants would make the sun more yellow and the sky more blue.
 
To make theses claims based upon photographic "evidence" you have to be more scientific - the photographs have to be taken at exactly the same time of day and pointing in exactly the same direction and with exactly the same exposure time and aperture. You would then have to repeat the experiment every day for months with air traffic and every day for months without air traffic. 
 
A three hour time difference is significant, I'll repeat (with your verified time corrections¹): you would have gotten a similar effect if you had taken the photographs three hours apart on the same day, with or without air traffic. The sky in the second picture looks more white because the sun is lower in the sky and for no other reason.
 
 
 
 
 
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Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 16:33
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 04:51
"The astronomers are not complaining about the change in colour of the sun (or the scintillation caused by atmosphere, which is a common effect when observing space from the earth ... hence the need for Hubble Space Telescope), but on the cloud cover in general."

They complain about ARTIFICIAL CLOUDS (contrails)!!!!!!

They don't complain about natural clouds, that would be stupid.




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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 04:56
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:

"The astronomers are not complaining about the change in colour of the sun (or the scintillation caused by atmosphere, which is a common effect when observing space from the earth ... hence the need for Hubble Space Telescope), but on the cloud cover in general."

They complain about ARTIFICIAL CLOUDS (contrails)!!!!!!

They don't complain about natural clouds, that would be stupid.
LOL Astronomers complain about natural clouds all the time. As an occasional amateur astronomer myself I know the number of nights I've not been able to use my telescope because of natural cloud cover - however, light pollution is a far greater problem for amateur and professional astronomers.


Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 04:56
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 05:21
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 05:37
^ that report is 5 years old - our understanding of climate change has altered radically over the past few years..
 
 
...and that is a damming blow that could seriously damage climate study for years to come. This is the visible effect of knee-jerk, unscientific claims of the effects of climate change affecting real science. People should stop making these unsubstantiated subjective observations and reactionary claims as they are detrimental to funding of real, scientific study of weather. We know man affects the environment, what we do not know is by how much - only real scientific study will reveal that - not just looking up at the sky and guessing.


Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 05:39
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 05:54
A new study is released everyday, so within 2 years i'll tell you that your today scientific belief is wrong; A new study has been released these days by the OMM stating that soot (and planes released huge amounts of it, espcially when decelarating) and ozone are as much important than CO2.

Among transports, plane is the one which rejects the more CO2, it also releases a lof of steam water, which is the first greenhouse gas and a lot of soot as well as half-burned kerosen rain, as no combustion is perfect.

I don't need to be scientist to notice that everyday the sky is ravaged by contrails, that the sun is agressive and blazing.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 06:00
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/4755996.stm
Studies of cirrus cloud has shown that they may contribute to global warming by trapping heat within the atmosphere, there is specualtion that dispersing contrails may form cirrus clouds. The studies by Burkhardt and Kärcher are computer models, not actual observation - they have not been proven true by real data. What no scientist or meteorologist can state is how much contrails constribute to cirrus cloud formation because the resulting cirrus clouds are indistinguishable from normal cirrus clouds - of all the cirrus clouds in the sky no one knows which ones are caused by contrails (if any) and which ones are natural - if you want to see natural cirrus clouds go to Bavaria in Germany - their regional flag is a representation of cirrus clouds that regularily form by air comming off the Alps - no one is saying let's knock down the Alps.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 06:04
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:



I don't need to be scientist to notice that everyday the sky is ravaged by contrails, that the sun is agressive and blazing.

You need to be a scientist to state why you think that and you need accurate measurement and observation to prove it - looking at the sky and guessing is not good enough.
 
From my long memory, summer's were much hotter when I was a child than they are now and the winter's were much colder - yet I know that is not factual - it is subjective, inaccurate and unscientific.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 07:05
http://memedepot.com/uploads/1000/1432_old_man_yells_at_cloud.jpg
Released date are often when it it impacted you but recorded dates are when it really happened...

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 13:23
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:

A new study is released everyday, so within 2 years i'll tell you that your today scientific belief is wrong; A new study has been released these days by the OMM stating that soot (and planes released huge amounts of it, espcially when decelarating) and ozone are as much important than CO2.
None of these are anything to do with contrails or air traffic:
 "Black carbon is a major component of soot and is formed from the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels, wood and biomass. Key sources include emissions from cars and trucks; cookstoves; forest fires and some industrial facilities."
 
"Tropospheric ozone is formed from other gases including methane. itself a potent greenhouse gas emitted from sources such as waste tips, livestock and the oil and gas industry. "

Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:


Among transports, plane is the one which rejects the more CO2, it also releases a lof of steam water, which is the first greenhouse gas and a lot of soot as well as half-burned kerosen rain, as no combustion is perfect.
Define "a lot of steam".
 
A 747 jet releases 1,500 ltrs of water in a 10 hour flight - this is 0.34% of the total weight of the 747.
A small cumulus (1 km in diameter 100m thick) contains 500,000 ltrs of water.
In other words it would take 333 jets flying for 10 hours to make one modest cumulus cloud (and that would not produce rain).
 
A tree transpires (releases) 413 ltrs of water in a day.
Therefore a 747 is the equivalent of 3.6 trees.
A typical forest has 750 trees per hectare, therefore 1 hectare of forest releases 310,000 ltrs of water per day.
Or to put it another way 1.6 hectares of forest creates a small 1km² cumulus cloud per day.
Or to put it another way 1 hectare of forest is the equivalent of 208 jumbo jets flying for 10 hours per day.
 
France has 16,900,000 hectares of tree coverage - that is 12675 million trees releasing 5 trillion ltrs of water into the atmosphere each day.
 
Paris CDG has 828 flights per day, if there was an average flight-time over France of 30 minutes then the total amount of water released into French atmosphere by aircraft flying to and from Paris CDG per day would be 61,875 ltrs or the equivalent of 0.2 hectares of forest or 150 trees.
 
 


Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 14:06
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 13:33
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:



I don't need to be scientist to notice that everyday the sky is ravaged by contrails, that the sun is agressive and blazing.

You need to be a scientist to state why you think that and you need accurate measurement and observation to prove it - looking at the sky and guessing is not good enough.
 
From my long memory, summer's were much hotter when I was a child than they are now and the winter's were much colder - yet I know that is not factual - it is subjective, inaccurate and unscientific.

I have not seen that the sun is any more "aggressive and blazing" than it ever was. I absolutely dispute this point.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 14 2011 at 14:01
Originally posted by Snow Dog Snow Dog wrote:

Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:



I don't need to be scientist to notice that everyday the sky is ravaged by contrails, that the sun is agressive and blazing.

You need to be a scientist to state why you think that and you need accurate measurement and observation to prove it - looking at the sky and guessing is not good enough.
 
From my long memory, summer's were much hotter when I was a child than they are now and the winter's were much colder - yet I know that is not factual - it is subjective, inaccurate and unscientific.

I have not seen that the sun is any more "aggressive and blazing" than it ever was. I absolutely dispute this point.
So do I.
 
I was outside this afternoon looking at the sky - it was a deep blue with light cloud cover of mainly cumulus and cirrus:
(view looking north - the date stamp on the picture is 14/06/11 17:11 GMT)
 
I took this photo because two aircraft had just crosssed the sky leaving short contrails behind them, unfortunately by the time I took the photo the contrails had dispersed (less than 1 minute). As you can see there are faint cirrus clouds in the higher atmosphere - these were unaffected by the contrails. Also notice how blue the sky is at the top of the image and how pale-blue it is at the horizon - this is because the light is shining through more air as we look towards the horizon - the people who live under that part of the sky will see the same blue as we see at the top of the photo here and they will see our sky paler when they look in our direction. I live in an area covered by flights from London Heathrow and Gatwick airports, as well as Southampton Airport and major Aircraft service centre 5 miles from this location - we see a lot of aircraft each day, yet the sky is deep blue.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 01:26
Originally posted by oliverstoned oliverstoned wrote:

A new study is released everyday, so within 2 years i'll tell you that your today scientific belief is wrong; A new study has been released these days by the OMM stating that soot (and planes released huge amounts of it, espcially when decelarating) and ozone are as much important than CO2.

Among transports, plane is the one which rejects the more CO2, it also releases a lof of steam water, which is the first greenhouse gas and a lot of soot as well as half-burned kerosen rain, as no combustion is perfect.

I don't need to be scientist to notice that everyday the sky is ravaged by contrails, that the sun is agressive and blazing.


Some studies are more relevant than others - and also, more often than not, studies are misrepresented by the press and used as a basis for claims that aren't really supported by the study. The harmful effect of electric landlines is a good example (from the 1980s). That doesn't mean that we can't trust science because it changes "its" mind everyday - it means that we shouldn't trust the media to tell us accurately what the science is.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 02:09
That's what you call deep blue...you forgot what deep blue is

"What size contrail can be seen in a satellite image?
In order to be seen, a contrail must be wide enough (and long enough) to change the brightness of a satellite pixel. Each pixel covers a portion of the Earth. The size of that area is determined by the resolution of the satellite instrument. Typical weather satellites, such as you see on the news, have pixels that might be 8 km, 4 km, or 1 km on a side. To show up in such an image, a contrail must be nearly 1 km wide! For Earth science, the state of the art imager is the MODIS instrument, whose pixels are as small as 0.25 km on a side. Thus, MODIS can see contrails that are much thinner, around one quarter kilometer wide."


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 02:10
That's what you call deep blue...you forgot what deep blue is

"What size contrail can be seen in a satellite image?
In order to be seen, a contrail must be wide enough (and long enough) to change the brightness of a satellite pixel. Each pixel covers a portion of the Earth. The size of that area is determined by the resolution of the satellite instrument. Typical weather satellites, such as you see on the news, have pixels that might be 8 km, 4 km, or 1 km on a side. To show up in such an image, a contrail must be nearly 1 km wide! For Earth science, the state of the art imager is the MODIS instrument, whose pixels are as small as 0.25 km on a side. Thus, MODIS can see contrails that are much thinner, around one quarter kilometer wide."











Edited by oliverstoned - June 15 2011 at 02:12
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 02:18
Can this thread die already?
They are just f**king clouds!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 02:21
Oliver, why do you keep saying the same things over and over again while ignoring what people are saying in response?

I don't know if the sun was more yellow 300 years ago than it is today, and I honestly don't care enough to whatever research would be possible on that topic. But it makes absolutely no sense whatsoever for the sun to be brighter because of more pollution. Pollution blocks light! Have you considered that maybe the sun seems brighter to you now because your eyes are weaker than they were 30 years ago?


Edited by Henry Plainview - June 15 2011 at 02:29
if you own a sodastream i hate you
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 03:06
Originally posted by Henry Plainview Henry Plainview wrote:

Oliver, why do you keep saying the same things over and over again while ignoring what people are saying in response?




And really, I've seen a lot here over my 5 years at this place and this is honestly one of the worst threads I've ever seen.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 03:09
The sun used to be yellow and now it's white.

Now there are huge refections everywhere, even on dark surfaces (and it's not a photographic artefact, you can see it naked eyes) :





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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 15 2011 at 03:10
Originally posted by JJLehto JJLehto wrote:


Originally posted by Henry Plainview Henry Plainview wrote:



Oliver, why do you keep saying the same things over and over again while ignoring what people are saying in response?


And really, I've seen a lot here over my 5 years at this place and this is honestly one of the worst threads I've ever seen.


You have the worst signature i've ever seen.
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