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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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It's called a roll cloud or arcus cloud and of course it is natural, rare, but natural. Ask any meteorologist or nephologist. I'll repeat my question - explain how such a cloud can be created by an aircraft.
There is no evidence that contrails form rain, in fact meteorically it is unlikely. Rain clouds are low altitude, contrails are high altitude. If the atmosphere is more humid (saturated) then there will be rain, not drought - that's pretty basic weather prediction and not related to contrail formation.
These two effects are unrelated so I fail to see why you group them together. I'll repeat what I have already said - if the sun is less yellow and more white it means that there is less scattering of the shorter blue wavelengths of light reaching our eyes from the sun - this means there is less atmospheric interference. Contrails and other disturbances in the atmosphere would make the sun more yellow.
The astronomers are not complaining about the change in colour of the sun (or the scintillation caused by atmosphere, which is a common effect when observing space from the earth ... hence the need for Hubble Space Telescope), but on the cloud cover in general.
In this picture white light (the sun) is shinning onto clear glass (the sky) - the blue light in the spectrum is scattered and makes the glass appear blue while the yellow/orange light passes through without scattering and looks yellow/orange in the shadow.
Black clouds are white - they appear black because they absorb all the light that is trying to shining through them - in other words the black is shadow - this is why Nimbostratus (rain clouds) are darker at the bottom - the sunlight does not reach the bottom of the cloud. Of course water droplets refract light - that is how rainbows are formed, but black clouds are not refracting light, they are absorbing it.
It is a specious correlation - the clear skies after 9/11 were not caused by banning air flight but by natural weather effects since the skies were clear of all clouds, not just contrails - we need much more data before we can jump to conclusions to cause and effect - hundreds of days without air traffic, not just a few.
Erm... the sun and any movement of surface water (waves, ripples, and rive flow) all produce water vapour in far larger quantities than any number of aircraft - trees also release far more water into the atmosphere than aircraft. For man-made objects I would cite power stations of all types since they all produce electricity from steam. A small cumulus cloud weighs as much as a 747 - and 747's are not made of water - a minute fraction of the weight of a 747 is water (and most of that is contained within the human passengers)
You really cannot make subjective statements like this - white skies mean less scattering of sunlight, this means there are less molecules in the air to scatter the light - contrails and aircraft created pollutants would make the sun more yellow and the sky more blue.
To make theses claims based upon photographic "evidence" you have to be more scientific - the photographs have to be taken at exactly the same time of day and pointing in exactly the same direction and with exactly the same exposure time and aperture. You would then have to repeat the experiment every day for months with air traffic and every day for months without air traffic.
A three hour time difference is significant, I'll repeat (with your verified time corrections¹): you would have gotten a similar effect if you had taken the photographs three hours apart on the same day, with or without air traffic. The sky in the second picture looks more white because the sun is lower in the sky and for no other reason.
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Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 16:33 |
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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"The astronomers are not complaining about the change in colour of the sun (or the scintillation caused by atmosphere, which is a common effect when observing space from the earth ... hence the need for Hubble Space Telescope), but on the cloud cover in general."
They complain about ARTIFICIAL CLOUDS (contrails)!!!!!! They don't complain about natural clouds, that would be stupid. |
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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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![]() Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 04:56 |
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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^ that report is 5 years old - our understanding of climate change has altered radically over the past few years..
This is current: http://www.guardian.co.uk/education/2011/jun/12/climate-change-curriculum-government-adviser
...and that is a damming blow that could seriously damage climate study for years to come. This is the visible effect of knee-jerk, unscientific claims of the effects of climate change affecting real science. People should stop making these unsubstantiated subjective observations and reactionary claims as they are detrimental to funding of real, scientific study of weather. We know man affects the environment, what we do not know is by how much - only real scientific study will reveal that - not just looking up at the sky and guessing. Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 05:39 |
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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A new study is released everyday, so within 2 years i'll tell you that your today scientific belief is wrong; A new study has been released these days by the OMM stating that soot (and planes released huge amounts of it, espcially when decelarating) and ozone are as much important than CO2.
Among transports, plane is the one which rejects the more CO2, it also releases a lof of steam water, which is the first greenhouse gas and a lot of soot as well as half-burned kerosen rain, as no combustion is perfect. I don't need to be scientist to notice that everyday the sky is ravaged by contrails, that the sun is agressive and blazing. |
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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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Studies of cirrus cloud has shown that they may contribute to global warming by trapping heat within the atmosphere, there is specualtion that dispersing contrails may form cirrus clouds. The studies by Burkhardt and Kärcher are computer models, not actual observation - they have not been proven true by real data. What no scientist or meteorologist can state is how much contrails constribute to cirrus cloud formation because the resulting cirrus clouds are indistinguishable from normal cirrus clouds - of all the cirrus clouds in the sky no one knows which ones are caused by contrails (if any) and which ones are natural - if you want to see natural cirrus clouds go to Bavaria in Germany - their regional flag is a representation of cirrus clouds that regularily form by air comming off the Alps - no one is saying let's knock down the Alps.
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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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From my long memory, summer's were much hotter when I was a child than they are now and the winter's were much colder - yet I know that is not factual - it is subjective, inaccurate and unscientific.
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Slartibartfast ![]() Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator / In Memoriam Joined: April 29 2006 Location: Atlantais Status: Offline Points: 29630 |
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Released date are often when it it impacted you but recorded dates are when it really happened...
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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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None of these are anything to do with contrails or air traffic:
(source: http://www.unep.org/Documents.Multilingual/Default.asp?DocumentID=2645&ArticleID=8780&l=en&t=long - ie the same source as your WMO (OMM) release.
Define "a lot of steam".
A 747 jet releases 1,500 ltrs of water in a 10 hour flight - this is 0.34% of the total weight of the 747.
A small cumulus (1 km in diameter 100m thick) contains 500,000 ltrs of water.
In other words it would take 333 jets flying for 10 hours to make one modest cumulus cloud (and that would not produce rain).
A tree transpires (releases) 413 ltrs of water in a day.
Therefore a 747 is the equivalent of 3.6 trees.
A typical forest has 750 trees per hectare, therefore 1 hectare of forest releases 310,000 ltrs of water per day.
Or to put it another way 1.6 hectares of forest creates a small 1km² cumulus cloud per day.
Or to put it another way 1 hectare of forest is the equivalent of 208 jumbo jets flying for 10 hours per day.
France has 16,900,000 hectares of tree coverage - that is 12675 million trees releasing 5 trillion ltrs of water into the atmosphere each day.
Paris CDG has 828 flights per day, if there was an average flight-time over France of 30 minutes then the total amount of water released into French atmosphere by aircraft flying to and from Paris CDG per day would be 61,875 ltrs or the equivalent of 0.2 hectares of forest or 150 trees.
Edited by Dean - June 14 2011 at 14:06 |
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Snow Dog ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 23 2005 Location: Caerdydd Status: Offline Points: 32995 |
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I have not seen that the sun is any more "aggressive and blazing" than it ever was. I absolutely dispute this point.
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Dean ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout Joined: May 13 2007 Location: Europe Status: Offline Points: 37575 |
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I was outside this afternoon looking at the sky - it was a deep blue with light cloud cover of mainly cumulus and cirrus:
![]() (view looking north - the date stamp on the picture is 14/06/11 17:11 GMT)
I took this photo because two aircraft had just crosssed the sky leaving short contrails behind them, unfortunately by the time I took the photo the contrails had dispersed (less than 1 minute). As you can see there are faint cirrus clouds in the higher atmosphere - these were unaffected by the contrails. Also notice how blue the sky is at the top of the image and how pale-blue it is at the horizon - this is because the light is shining through more air as we look towards the horizon - the people who live under that part of the sky will see the same blue as we see at the top of the photo here and they will see our sky paler when they look in our direction. I live in an area covered by flights from London Heathrow and Gatwick airports, as well as Southampton Airport and major Aircraft service centre 5 miles from this location - we see a lot of aircraft each day, yet the sky is deep blue.
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Mr ProgFreak ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: November 08 2008 Location: Sweden Status: Offline Points: 5195 |
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Some studies are more relevant than others - and also, more often than not, studies are misrepresented by the press and used as a basis for claims that aren't really supported by the study. The harmful effect of electric landlines is a good example (from the 1980s). That doesn't mean that we can't trust science because it changes "its" mind everyday - it means that we shouldn't trust the media to tell us accurately what the science is.
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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That's what you call deep blue...you forgot what deep blue is
"What size contrail can be seen in a satellite image? In order to be seen, a contrail must be wide enough (and long enough) to change the brightness of a satellite pixel. Each pixel covers a portion of the Earth. The size of that area is determined by the resolution of the satellite instrument. Typical weather satellites, such as you see on the news, have pixels that might be 8 km, 4 km, or 1 km on a side. To show up in such an image, a contrail must be nearly 1 km wide! For Earth science, the state of the art imager is the MODIS instrument, whose pixels are as small as 0.25 km on a side. Thus, MODIS can see contrails that are much thinner, around one quarter kilometer wide." |
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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That's what you call deep blue...you forgot what deep blue is
"What size contrail can be seen in a satellite image? In order to be seen, a contrail must be wide enough (and long enough) to change the brightness of a satellite pixel. Each pixel covers a portion of the Earth. The size of that area is determined by the resolution of the satellite instrument. Typical weather satellites, such as you see on the news, have pixels that might be 8 km, 4 km, or 1 km on a side. To show up in such an image, a contrail must be nearly 1 km wide! For Earth science, the state of the art imager is the MODIS instrument, whose pixels are as small as 0.25 km on a side. Thus, MODIS can see contrails that are much thinner, around one quarter kilometer wide." ![]() ![]() Edited by oliverstoned - June 15 2011 at 02:12 |
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KoS ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: May 17 2005 Location: Los Angeles Status: Offline Points: 16310 |
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Can this thread die already?
They are just f**king clouds!
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Henry Plainview ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: May 26 2008 Location: Declined Status: Offline Points: 16715 |
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Oliver, why do you keep saying the same things over and over again while ignoring what people are saying in response?
I don't know if the sun was more yellow 300 years ago than it is today, and I honestly don't care enough to whatever research would be possible on that topic. But it makes absolutely no sense whatsoever for the sun to be brighter because of more pollution. Pollution blocks light! Have you considered that maybe the sun seems brighter to you now because your eyes are weaker than they were 30 years ago? Edited by Henry Plainview - June 15 2011 at 02:29 |
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if you own a sodastream i hate you
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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And really, I've seen a lot here over my 5 years at this place and this is honestly one of the worst threads I've ever seen. |
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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The sun used to be yellow and now it's white.
Now there are huge refections everywhere, even on dark surfaces (and it's not a photographic artefact, you can see it naked eyes) : ![]() ![]() |
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oliverstoned ![]() Special Collaborator ![]() ![]() Honorary Collaborator Joined: March 26 2004 Location: France Status: Offline Points: 6308 |
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You have the worst signature i've ever seen. |
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