Could a Tunisia Type Event Happen In Your Country? |
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Blacksword
Prog Reviewer Joined: June 22 2004 Location: England Status: Offline Points: 16130 |
Posted: February 15 2011 at 04:43 |
A month or so. Tops. This isn't over. It's just the start of their problems. The army leadership first needs to pursuade everyone on strike to go back to work. Many have, but many key workers are still demanding more money. Then there's the issue of the police and its relationship with the people and the army. That needs to be 'meanded' and the culture of mistrust addressed. Egypt will get there eventually, but this re-birth will not be without significant pain. Subsequent uprisings across the ME and Arab world, may not be quite so well tolerated by the authorities, and the region may be become very unstable for long periods of time. This will impact on Egypts recovery, as fuel and food prices continue to soar. Iran is the one to watch. The west is counting on its efforts to 'encouarge' and fund activists and politcal opposition movements, to topple the Iranian leadership. This must now be high priority, as military strikes on Iran seem less likely (in my opinion) |
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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
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harmonium.ro
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator / Retired Admin Joined: August 18 2008 Location: Anna Calvi Status: Offline Points: 22989 |
Posted: February 15 2011 at 08:50 |
A good article: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/02/14/think_again_egypt
Think Again: EgyptFrom the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood to the Arab autocracy domino theory, five myths about Egypt's revolution. |
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harmonium.ro
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator / Retired Admin Joined: August 18 2008 Location: Anna Calvi Status: Offline Points: 22989 |
Posted: February 24 2011 at 08:08 |
clarke2001
Special Collaborator Honorary Collaborator Joined: June 14 2006 Location: Croatia Status: Offline Points: 4160 |
Posted: February 24 2011 at 10:08 |
Great article, worthy of reading! |
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