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The T View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 12:59
Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Some reinvestment. The money is being moved from one shark to another. But is still is withdrawn from public circulation. That's not  really reinvestment. Joe Average won't see a dollar of it.
 
You're missing the point here BaldFriede (and I'm with you...) Remember: if one person has 100 million dollars and the other one has 0, then economics tell us that each has 50 million! Voila! Everybody is happy! Wink
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 13:40
Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Some reinvestment. The money is being moved from one shark to another. But is still is withdrawn from public circulation. That's not  really reinvestment. Joe Average won't see a dollar of it.
When you deposit your money in a bank account, you are in charge of it only nominally. Your bank has a full discretion how to use it. It may use it for a mortgage loan, or a personal loan, or buy treasury paper, or mortgage backed securities. Unless you keep your cash at home, it's in public circulation.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 13:42
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Some reinvestment. The money is being moved from one shark to another. But is still is withdrawn from public circulation. That's not  really reinvestment. Joe Average won't see a dollar of it.
 
You're missing the point here BaldFriede (and I'm with you...) Remember: if one person has 100 million dollars and the other one has 0, then economics tell us that each has 50 million! Voila! Everybody is happy! Wink
Hey T, stop talking nonsense
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 13:45
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Some reinvestment. The money is being moved from one shark to another. But is still is withdrawn from public circulation. That's not  really reinvestment. Joe Average won't see a dollar of it.
 
You're missing the point here BaldFriede (and I'm with you...) Remember: if one person has 100 million dollars and the other one has 0, then economics tell us that each has 50 million! Voila! Everybody is happy! Wink


Can I have my 50 Million? Please.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 14:03
Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Originally posted by BroSpence BroSpence wrote:



I found this commentary quite interesting: Another different look on the situation.


Good article.  Still I can't help but wonder how many of those who got the crappy subprime loans might not have defaulted if they had been given decent fixed rate loans.
First give them loans. Then give them a decent rate. What's next? Start making mortgage payments for them. How special is it

Nope, you have defined where the line should be drawn.
The point is WHY some people should be GIVEN something?

When I needed a house I was given a loan.  I guess I was just more worthy than others of getting a nice affordable fixed rate. 

If you see a doctor needing help why should you be given care that helps you rather than harms you?Wink
Released date are often when it it impacted you but recorded dates are when it really happened...

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 14:10
Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by Slartibartfast Slartibartfast wrote:

Originally posted by BroSpence BroSpence wrote:



I found this commentary quite interesting: Another different look on the situation.


Good article.  Still I can't help but wonder how many of those who got the crappy subprime loans might not have defaulted if they had been given decent fixed rate loans.
First give them loans. Then give them a decent rate. What's next? Start making mortgage payments for them. How special is it

Nope, you have defined where the line should be drawn.
The point is WHY some people should be GIVEN something?

When I needed a house I was given a loan.  I guess I was just more worthy than others of getting a nice affordable fixed rate. 

If you see a doctor needing help why should you be given care that helps you rather than harms you?Wink
We are talking homeownership. THere must be strict standards in a loan approval process. Subprime mortgages were given to people who didn't qualify for a mortgage in the forst place. That's where the line should have been drawn.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 14:34
Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Some reinvestment. The money is being moved from one shark to another. But is still is withdrawn from public circulation. That's not  really reinvestment. Joe Average won't see a dollar of it.
When you deposit your money in a bank account, you are in charge of it only nominally. Your bank has a full discretion how to use it. It may use it for a mortgage loan, or a personal loan, or buy treasury paper, or mortgage backed securities. Unless you keep your cash at home, it's in public circulation.

That's my point. Wink You can hardly call it "public circulation" when the money is only being exchanged between banks and stockholders. That's not the public, that's an exclusive circle. We all can see where it leads to now. And the taxpayers are supposed to be putting an eiderdown beneath the banks so they fall softly when their speculations go wrong.
Try getting a loan as Joe Average for a change. The first question you'll be asked is: "Where are your securities"? But no-one ever asks for securities when banks are playing the "Stocks and Bonds" game.


BaldJean and I; I am the one in blue.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 17:52
Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Some reinvestment. The money is being moved from one shark to another. But is still is withdrawn from public circulation. That's not  really reinvestment. Joe Average won't see a dollar of it.
When you deposit your money in a bank account, you are in charge of it only nominally. Your bank has a full discretion how to use it. It may use it for a mortgage loan, or a personal loan, or buy treasury paper, or mortgage backed securities. Unless you keep your cash at home, it's in public circulation.

That's my point. Wink You can hardly call it "public circulation" when the money is only being exchanged between banks and stockholders. That's not the public, that's an exclusive circle. We all can see where it leads to now. And the taxpayers are supposed to be putting an eiderdown beneath the banks so they fall softly when their speculations go wrong.
Try getting a loan as Joe Average for a change. The first question you'll be asked is: "Where are your securities"? But no-one ever asks for securities when banks are playing the "Stocks and Bonds" game.
That's my point. Joe Subprime was getting all the loans he pleased until recently. Even when banks invest in treasuries, the government programs are funded, the $600B social security amongs them. Isn't it public circulation?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 18:13
I said it in the other thread (the poll) and I will repeat it here. the banks believe in capitalism and free market; it is the rules they like to play by when they win. they have ruined many people's business and fortune that way, cynically saying "well, that's capitalism". and they would strongly oppose any supportive action for other firms. so let them play by these rules when they lose too of course they will cry "this will ruin the economy", but that's a bunch of nonsense. as Friede already pointed out: the resources are all still there. if all the money in the world would suddenly disappear it would not change anything at all. all structures would still be there and functional. maybe some firms will become bankrupt; others will take over for them. now a natural catastrophe, that would be something else. but the economy always rises like Phoenix out of the ashes after a breakdown, and more alive than it was before, as history has shown


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 18:39
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

I said it in the other thread (the poll) and I will repeat it here. the banks believe in capitalism and free market; it is the rules they like to play by when they win. they have ruined many people's business and fortune that way, cynically saying "well, that's capitalism". and they would strongly oppose any supportive action for other firms. so let them play by these rules when they lose too of course they will cry "this will ruin the economy", but that's a bunch of nonsense. as Friede already pointed out: the resources are all still there. if all the money in the world would suddenly disappear it would not change anything at all. all structures would still be there and functional. maybe some firms will become bankrupt; others will take over for them. now a natural catastrophe, that would be something else. but the economy always rises like Phoenix out of the ashes after a breakdown, and more alive than it was before, as history has shown
The economy will rise this time too, bailout or not. Just what the cost of a "no bailout" would be? Would it be worth the suffering? For every WS job lost a few more are gone in other industries. This is an extreme simplification of the problem. I'm not going to address the "all the money in the world would suddenly disappear " thing since barter is not my forte
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 18:48
a bailout would be more costly. it won't stop at these $700 billion. once a precedence is set it would have to be done again and again. or what argument could a government come up with if it didn't? no, we should make it clear to the banks once and for all that they don't have a free ticket to do whatever they want with people's money. if they don't act responsibly then they have to carry the consequences.
also, do we believe in capitalism or do we not? if we do, a bailout is impossible. if we don't, we should better think up some other rules then, and quickly


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 18:53
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

a bailout would be more costly. it won't stop at these $700 billion. once a precedence is set it would have to be done again and again. or what argument could a government come up with if it didn't? no, we should make it clear to the banks once and for all that they don't have a free ticket to do whatever they want with people's money. if they don't act responsibly then they have to carry the consequences.
also, do we believe in capitalism or do we not? if we do, a bailout is impossible. if we don't, we should better think up some other rules then, and quickly
 
ClapClap
 
Haven't you figured out that we only believe in capitalism when it's the poor or middle class who are being screwed?  When the rich have problems, we believe in socialism.  Confused
I can understand your anger at me, but what did the horse I rode in on ever do to you?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 19:48
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

a bailout would be more costly. it won't stop at these $700 billion. once a precedence is set it would have to be done again and again. or what argument could a government come up with if it didn't? no, we should make it clear to the banks once and for all that they don't have a free ticket to do whatever they want with people's money. if they don't act responsibly then they have to carry the consequences.
also, do we believe in capitalism or do we not? if we do, a bailout is impossible. if we don't, we should better think up some other rules then, and quickly
Of course $700 won't be enough, but it's a matter of saving the entire system, in my view. The financial industry should be regulated heavily and, as a result of the current events, most likely will be. Unfortunately they have too much power to bend it their own way, so there's no guarantee it will stick. They may re-write the rules again, the way they did during the Clinton era.
 
As for capitalism, it is socialized in such a profound way that I don't know any longer what to believe in LOLLOL
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 19:56
well, if the whole system can only be saved that way then something is wrong with the system in the first place, so why should we save it then? better an end with terror than a terror without end.
and I totally agree that the financial industry should be regulated somehow. the games they have been playing lately are simply idiotic. stock purchase warrants, for example; a completely nutty idea. they should definitely be forbidden, in my opinion


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 20:11
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

well, if the whole system can only be saved that way then something is wrong with the system in the first place, so why should we save it then? better an end with terror than a terror without end.
The system is certainly flawed, but since we don't have a better one, living with no system at all may result in terror with no end in sight. And it stares us in the face already.
 
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:


and I totally agree that the financial industry should be regulated somehow. the games they have been playing lately are simply idiotic. stock purchase warrants, for example; a completely nutty idea. they should definitely be forbidden, in my opinion
Why did you single oout stock purchase warrants? It's a completely innocent idea (unless it's different in Germany; in the US, a stock warrant allows its holder to purchase a certain number of shares at a set price within a specified period of time).
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 20:24
Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

well, if the whole system can only be saved that way then something is wrong with the system in the first place, so why should we save it then? better an end with terror than a terror without end.
The system is certainly flawed, but since we don't have a better one, living with no system at all may result in terror with no end in sight. And it stares us in the face already.
 
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:


and I totally agree that the financial industry should be regulated somehow. the games they have been playing lately are simply idiotic. stock purchase warrants, for example; a completely nutty idea. they should definitely be forbidden, in my opinion
Why did you single oout stock purchase warrants? It's a completely innocent idea (unless it's different in Germany; in the US, a stock warrant allows its holder to purchase a certain number of shares at a set price within a specified period of time).

that's the point: at a set price. it is mere gambling, since you don't know the actual price of the stocks at the given date. it is not innocent at all. buy the stocks when the price is known. would you go into a shop and say "I want to buy a computer with these features", giving a list of them, "for $1500 in 2 months"? nonsense; you will go and look at the prices of computers in two months, when you actually want to buy it


Edited by BaldJean - October 01 2008 at 20:29


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 20:34
First the capitalists proclaim that the markets must be free from government intervention, that they will self-regulate. The government re-states this as an obvious truth.
Then capitalists exclaim that they need government intervention so as to avoid a  major financial cataclysm, that they were somehow unable to see coming, or understand why it happened. The government re-states the urgency of the need to "save" the financial industry as if the alternative was worse.
No delay can be considered to take time to review & analyze the situation, present possible options (including no government bailout or intervention) before going into action.
There will be a credit crunch no matter what. If the U.S. government borrows $700 billion (many are saying that will quickly balloon to over a trillion), that will in effect, take away from credit that might otherwise be available to the common man and the corporation. And claiming that you will sell zero value assets later at a profit is to base your plan on a dream that those who currently hold these investments clearly believe is not going to happen any time soon. Else, there would be someone looking to buy them. At some price, eh.
So bend over, and hope the next time the financial industry needs to be saved from itself, that this bill will have been paid. "Cause it is not certain that the U.S. has gotten over the S & L mess.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 22:06
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

Originally posted by IVNORD IVNORD wrote:

Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:

well, if the whole system can only be saved that way then something is wrong with the system in the first place, so why should we save it then? better an end with terror than a terror without end.
The system is certainly flawed, but since we don't have a better one, living with no system at all may result in terror with no end in sight. And it stares us in the face already.
 
Originally posted by BaldJean BaldJean wrote:


and I totally agree that the financial industry should be regulated somehow. the games they have been playing lately are simply idiotic. stock purchase warrants, for example; a completely nutty idea. they should definitely be forbidden, in my opinion
Why did you single oout stock purchase warrants? It's a completely innocent idea (unless it's different in Germany; in the US, a stock warrant allows its holder to purchase a certain number of shares at a set price within a specified period of time).

that's the point: at a set price. it is mere gambling, since you don't know the actual price of the stocks at the given date. it is not innocent at all. buy the stocks when the price is known. would you go into a shop and say "I want to buy a computer with these features", giving a list of them, "for $1500 in 2 months"? nonsense; you will go and look at the prices of computers in two months, when you actually want to buy it
THe warrant is not an obligation but an option to buy and you don't have to pay the exercise price upfront, a warrant usually costs relatively little. It's more like an insurance policy. The exercise price is usually, but not always, set below the current or projected market price. If the exercise price is higher than the market price at the warrant's expiration time you can forfeit it. You may not exercise it at all even if it's in-the-money. The warrant is of the same nature as stock options and futures contracts and can be used for hedging. There's plenty of abuse with warrants when the big guys short the stock to cover thru the exercise but it's a different story. Otherwise the idea isn't that bad at all. If you think that the computer with these features will cost $2000 in 2 months, you'd better buy yourself a warrant with a $1500 strike.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 22:11

US Senate approved the 'package'.... orders for the new Bugatti Veyron Pur Sang will increase tomorrow: Confused

 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: October 01 2008 at 22:18
Originally posted by debrewguy debrewguy wrote:

First the capitalists proclaim that the markets must be free from government intervention, that they will self-regulate. The government re-states this as an obvious truth.
Then capitalists exclaim that they need government intervention so as to avoid a  major financial cataclysm, that they were somehow unable to see coming, or understand why it happened. The government re-states the urgency of the need to "save" the financial industry as if the alternative was worse.
The capitalists are the government.
Originally posted by debrewguy debrewguy wrote:


No delay can be considered to take time to review & analyze the situation, present possible options (including no government bailout or intervention) before going into action.
There will be a credit crunch no matter what. If the U.S. government borrows $700 billion (many are saying that will quickly balloon to over a trillion), that will in effect, take away from credit that might otherwise be available to the common man and the corporation. And claiming that you will sell zero value assets later at a profit is to base your plan on a dream that those who currently hold these investments clearly believe is not going to happen any time soon. Else, there would be someone looking to buy them. At some price, eh.
So bend over, and hope the next time the financial industry needs to be saved from itself, that this bill will have been paid. "Cause it is not certain that the U.S. has gotten over the S & L mess.
They are not zero value assets. Those people who bought $30b worth of MBS from Merryl for 22 cents on the dollar will definitely get the full dollar and a bit more back. It'll take time though. Those assets are wrthless today because everybody needs to sell them to show cash on their books and potential buyers know that the urgency will dictate even lower prices. With the limitlessly deep pockets of the US government the fire sale can be "extinguished." If the deal is done properly we may even realise a profit here. THe way the S&L worked out, nearly break even
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