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MikeEnRegalia
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Joined: April 22 2005
Location: Sweden
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Points: 21169
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 07:49 |
Sofagrisen wrote:
MikeEnRegalia wrote:
Do you keep daily snapshots of the chart? I don't and I don't think many other people do, so I guess you're alone on this one. What saddens me though is that you continue to say things that aren't true, or at least aren't based on facts - but you make it look like they are. |
No, sorry, I don't keep snapshots. I have followed the development in the ratings of Fear of a Blank Planet fairly closely though, which makes it possible for me to tell you the development in its score, only from memory though. :( (I have been thinking about studying ratings development more closely though.) The thing is you can see it on all albums. As they get more votes, their score become lower. The more votes they get, the less significant the effect becomes though. When Riverside releases their new album we will see an excellent example of it. If it is a very good album, as I hope, one might see a development in average score like this:
1 vote: 5
10 votes: 4,85
50 votes: 4,55
100 votes: 4,40
200 votes: 4,30
Basically you can see the same development in all albums. To me it’s not about quality (ratings) vs. popularity. It is about predicting quality, rather. If it was true ratings were stable and that when an album received more votes its ratings would basically be the same, then yes, the number of ratings should be taken out of the equation. But because basically all albums get lower ratings with more votes, the main concern of an algorithm should be take this fairly into account.
This is by the way the kind of things one should have studied before one makes an algorithm, the way ratings usually behave. I am sorry if you people haven’t seen this effect, but it is very much real, and you will see it soon enough in the next new high scoring album with many votes. |
Long post, short answer: Of course the problem you describe is not related to the ranking algorithm at all. It's simply because the higher a prog metal album (or modern prog rock album) climbs in the top 100, the more negative "hateboy" reviews/ratings it receives. That's because initially those who don't like prog metal or modern prog aren't aware of them album, but the more prominently it is featured in charts, the more attention is drawn towards it, and the more the prog "hardliners" try to push these albums down the chart.
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micky
Special Collaborator
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Joined: October 02 2005
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Points: 46833
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 07:59 |
wow.... and I only read a couple of pages back... .
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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip
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progismylife
Forum Senior Member
Joined: October 19 2006
Location: ibreathehelium
Status: Offline
Points: 15535
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 08:04 |
^ I just finished reading all of it...let's see how buried this post is when I get home
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Sofagrisen
Forum Groupie
Joined: January 18 2007
Location: Norway
Status: Offline
Points: 45
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 08:18 |
MikeEnRegalia wrote:
Long post, short answer: Of course the problem you describe is not related to the ranking algorithm at all. It's simply because the higher a prog metal album (or modern prog rock album) climbs in the top 100, the more negative "hateboy" reviews/ratings it receives. That's because initially those who don't like prog metal or modern prog aren't aware of them album, but the more prominently it is featured in charts, the more attention is drawn towards it, and the more the prog "hardliners" try to push these albums down the chart. |
The point is that you can see this effect in all albums. Even the top albums like Thick as a Brick, Wish You Were Here, Selling England by the Pound, In The Court Of The Crimson King have slowly decreasing ratings. When they had few votes, their ratings were much faster decreasing though. The reason all albums have decreasing ratings are that new voters always tend to be less enthusiastic about the album. They tend to care less. While those who voted first cared more (fans tend to be early voters, for example). On average. People care more usually because they like it better. By the way, this effect may not only be seen on Prog Archives, but also a comparable site like Rate Your Music.
Edited by Sofagrisen - July 13 2007 at 08:19
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MikeEnRegalia
Special Collaborator
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Joined: April 22 2005
Location: Sweden
Status: Online
Points: 21169
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 08:49 |
^ true. What irritated me about your previous posts was that you seemed to blame the algorithm ... it's obvious that the biggest problem for the accuracy of charts is not the algorithm, but abusive ratings.
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Sofagrisen
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Joined: January 18 2007
Location: Norway
Status: Offline
Points: 45
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:07 |
MikeEnRegalia wrote:
^ true. What irritated me about your previous posts was that you seemed to blame the algorithm ... it's obvious that the biggest problem for the accuracy of charts is not the algorithm, but abusive ratings.
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Well, I think it's something the algorithm should address, because we see the same tendencies, the same pattern, and then it should simply be adjusted for. I think the earlier algorithm did it better than the one we see now. I don’t know if it was intended, but it simply did.
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philippe
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Joined: March 14 2004
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:10 |
This top 100 is impressively laughable! certainely due to "abusive ratings"
Edited by philippe - July 13 2007 at 09:10
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StyLaZyn
Forum Senior Member
Joined: November 22 2005
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 4079
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:10 |
Sofagrisen wrote:
MikeEnRegalia wrote:
^ true. What irritated me about your previous posts was that you seemed to blame the algorithm ... it's obvious that the biggest problem for the accuracy of charts is not the algorithm, but abusive ratings.
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Well, I think it's something the algorithm should address, because we see the same tendencies, the same pattern, and then it should simply be adjusted for. I think the earlier algorithm did it better than the one we see now. I don’t know if it was intended, but it simply did. |
Since Rush doesn't occupy solely the top three spots shows this poll is in error.
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1800iareyay
Prog Reviewer
Joined: November 18 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 2492
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:17 |
Just keep working them angels Rich, you'll get there.
How much more weighted are the collab reviews? I agree there should be a difference between reviews and just ratings but if there must be a gap between collab and non, it should be very small.
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andu
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Joined: September 27 2006
Location: Romania
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Points: 3089
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:27 |
Sofagrisen wrote:
Albums like The Sky Moves Sideways, Blackwater Park, Remedy Lane vs albums like The Silent Corner And The Empty Stage, Elegant Gypsy, Cantofabule (Cantafabule), Be Live, Essere O Non Essere?... |
I happen to like the latter albums a lot more, and to find them more significant to prog-rock, despite being a lot less known, thus the new algorithm making some justice (btw I like the new algorithm). If there are others who think like this - and I have reasons to believe so, then I think you should reconsider your stand.
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Sofagrisen
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Joined: January 18 2007
Location: Norway
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:41 |
andu wrote:
Sofagrisen wrote:
Albums like The Sky Moves Sideways, Blackwater Park, Remedy Lane vs albums like The Silent Corner And The Empty Stage, Elegant Gypsy, Cantofabule (Cantafabule), Be Live, Essere O Non Essere?... | I happen to like the latter albums a lot more, and to find them more significant to prog-rock, despite being a lot less known, thus the new algorithm making some justice (btw I like the new algorithm). If there are others who think like this - and I have reasons to believe so, then I think you should reconsider your stand. |
It's not about what one personally like more, it is about numbers.
Let's say album A has 50 votes and a rating of 4,5 and that album B have 150 votes and a rating of 4,4. Which should be higher listed? The way I think when approaching this, is that I ask: If they had equally many votes, which album would have the better rating? In this case, if album A had 150 votes, its rating would probably be lower than the rating of album B, therefore album B should be higher listed. I must base this conclusion upon earlier albums in the same range. What is the average 150 votes rating of an album which had a rating of 4,5 at 50 votes? My guess is something like 4,3, which is based upon casual observation.
Edited by Sofagrisen - July 13 2007 at 09:46
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laplace
Prog Reviewer
Joined: October 06 2005
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Points: 7606
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 09:52 |
I agree with Sofagrisen; I would also like the top 100 chart to represent possible rating outcomes in parallel dimensions.
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Sofagrisen
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Joined: January 18 2007
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 10:24 |
laplace wrote:
I agree with Sofagrisen; I would also like the top 100 chart to represent possible rating outcomes in parallel dimensions.
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You show such incredible understanding of my argument, that was exactly what I meant. Also we should take into account what possible alien civilisations will probably like. This might be done by observing which music is being preferred by aliens in science-fiction movies. Star Wars or Star Trek would be good places to start collecting empirical evidence.
Edited by Sofagrisen - July 13 2007 at 10:30
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andu
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Joined: September 27 2006
Location: Romania
Status: Offline
Points: 3089
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 10:35 |
Sofagrisen wrote:
Let's say album A has 50 votes and a rating of 4,5 and that album B have 150 votes and a rating of 4,4. Which should be higher listed? The way I think when approaching this, is that I ask: If they had equally many votes, which album would have the better rating? In this case, if album A had 150 votes, its rating would probably be lower than the rating of album B, therefore album B should be higher listed. I must base this conclusion upon earlier albums in the same range. What is the average 150 votes rating of an album which had a rating of 4,5 at 50 votes? My guess is something like 4,3, which is based upon casual observation. |
I agree with you but I find this a matter of nuance, so to respond to your question, I find nothing wrong in the algorithm which favors the A album (for the reasons I mentiooned in my previous post). The point is that by bringing the A album to attention, it will get more ratings, and unless everybody rates it *****, it will decrease in general rating (just like you explain it) and will sink to the place it (supposedly) deserves. By this we all gain - both you who think the B album should get a top spot and I who want to promote the A album as worthy. Of course this does not work if we're all biased&frustrated over top positions. I think this is the point of the new algorithm and that you should not be worried, as it has included it's own correction mechanism.
Edited by andu - July 13 2007 at 10:41
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Sofagrisen
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Joined: January 18 2007
Location: Norway
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 10:57 |
andu wrote:
I agree with you but I find this a matter of nuance, so to respond to your question, I find nothing wrong in the algorithm which favors the A album (for the reasons I mentiooned in my previous post). The point is that by bringing the A album to attention, it will get more ratings, and unless everybody rates it *****, it will decrease in general rating (just like you explain it) and will sink to the place it (supposedly) deserves. By this we all gain - both you who think the B album should get a top spot and I who want to promote the A album as worthy. Of course this does not work if we're all biased&frustrated over top positions. I think this is the point of the new algorithm and that you should not be worried, as it has included it's own correction mechanism. |
I am sorry, but that correction mechanism will only work to a very moderate degree.
We have an album A and B, again. :P Both albums have 500 votes. You know two facts about the score of them. The rating of album A is 4,5. In the case of album B you only know its rating was 4,5 when it had 50 votes. What do you guess the rating of album B is now? My guess would be about 4,15.
The point is, this show how important the amount of votes is for the rating of an album, and that it must be taken very much into consideration. There is simply a vast difference between a 4,5 album and a 4,15 album, and there is absolutely no doubt which album should be ranked higher…
I don’t think you would be in doubt either. But the argument has nothing to do with popularity. It has all to do with the average behaviour of ratings. If I had everything my way I would like to see a unique regression analysis on every album, actually, but I realize that is a bit too much to ask. :P
Edited by Sofagrisen - July 13 2007 at 11:11
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greenback
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Joined: August 14 2004
Location: Canada
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 12:10 |
MikeEnRegalia wrote:
greenback wrote:
total_score = log(f)*g^3 = log(number_of_ratings+1)*weighted_avg_rating^3
the last thing would simply consist in making a top 100 only according to this "total_score" value.
i'm curious how the output (top 100) would look like!
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That would be ... my algorithm, which had been in place right until the recent changes!
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didn't you only used a non-weighted avg rating?
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[HEADPINS - LINE OF FIRE: THE RECORD HAVING THE MOST POWERFUL GUITAR SOUND IN THE WHOLE HISTORY OF MUSIC!>
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Sofagrisen
Forum Groupie
Joined: January 18 2007
Location: Norway
Status: Offline
Points: 45
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 12:20 |
greenback wrote:
there are many possible algorithms that would give good results.
coming from my imagination:
taking in consideration:
partial_album_score1 = f(number_of_ratings) where f could be a cubic root curve or a log function
partial_album_score2 = g(avg_rating_of_album) where g could be the famous weighted average discussed in this thread.
Thus, the total score of an album could be expressed as:
total_score = log(f)*g^3 = log(number_of_ratings+1)*weighted_avg_rating^3
the last thing would simply consist in making a top 100 only according to this "total_score" value.
i'm curious how the output (top 100) would look like!
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It looks like a very good algorithm to me, far better than the one we have now. I have tested it some. Was this the old one? :P
Edited by Sofagrisen - July 13 2007 at 12:21
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bluetailfly
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Joined: January 28 2005
Location: United States
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Points: 1383
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 13:04 |
For me the big mystery is, why is ELP rated so low? Especially on a prog rock website!
I think it's because Jethro Tull, Genesis, Yes, Pink Floyd, and King Crimson have maintained their fanbase (and picked up new fans). It's laughable that ELP is so far down on the list. There is no doubt that their music is seminal prog. It defined prog, it developed it further, and basically was fantastic prog music. But given their 80's and 90's output, they've effectively destroyed any momentum they had, and they allowed no entré for new fans. No one is promoting their work, not even themselves. But, their albums should still be rated higher; I'm not sure why they are not. I still listen to ELP often and am amazed at how fresh and exciting it sounds. Especially their first lp and Tarkus, which I rate higher than Brain Salad Surgery.
What really puzzles me is the Tull piece. I think what basically happened is that the warring Yes and Genesis and Floyd and Crimson factions have blasted at each other so much in the reviews (as well as neo-prog revolutionaries), that Tull, in a hapless sort of way, is determined the winner by default. I can't imagine a prog fan heading out to his deserted island with only "Thick as a Brick" in tow. Sounds like one of Dante's higher rings of hell
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"The red polygon's only desire / is to get to the blue triangle."
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greenback
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Joined: August 14 2004
Location: Canada
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 13:05 |
Sofagrisen wrote:
greenback wrote:
there are many possible algorithms that would give good results.
coming from my imagination:
taking in consideration:
partial_album_score1 = f(number_of_ratings) where f could be a cubic root curve or a log function
partial_album_score2 = g(avg_rating_of_album) where g could be the famous weighted average discussed in this thread.
Thus, the total score of an album could be expressed as:
total_score = log(f)*g^3 = log(number_of_ratings+1)*weighted_avg_rating^3
the last thing would simply consist in making a top 100 only according to this "total_score" value.
i'm curious how the output (top 100) would look like!
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It looks like a very good algorithm to me, far better than the one we have now. I have tested it some. Was this the old one? :P |
well, I would have to verify the topology using a 3-D plotter software.
the 3-D curve should not have irregularities, unexpected slopes
it should just slightly looks like this one:
you assume the origin (Ts = 0,Tb = 0) is where the Ts and Tb axis meet at the lower 340.
you assume Ts is the number of ratings and Tb the weighted average rating, mV is the total score of the album, which is directly a measure of the top100 ranking.
you assume Tb stops at 5; you can clearly see the logarithmic tendency along the Ts axis in the background, and an exponential tendancy along the Tb axis.
obviously, the mV value along the Ts axis in the foreground is too high: it rather should be a flat horizontal line, even becoming negative as you travel to the left, since an album with tons of ratings with a nearly 0 avg rating should stand on the bottom of every possible ranking list.
Edited by greenback - July 13 2007 at 13:15
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[HEADPINS - LINE OF FIRE: THE RECORD HAVING THE MOST POWERFUL GUITAR SOUND IN THE WHOLE HISTORY OF MUSIC!>
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progismylife
Forum Senior Member
Joined: October 19 2006
Location: ibreathehelium
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Points: 15535
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Posted: July 13 2007 at 13:16 |
bluetailfly wrote:
For me the big mystery is, why is ELP rated so low? Especially on a prog rock website!
I think it's because Jethro Tull, Genesis, Yes, Pink Floyd, and King Crimson have maintained their fanbase (and picked up new fans). It's laughable that ELP is so far down on the list. There is no doubt that their music is seminal prog. It defined prog, it developed it further, and basically was fantastic prog music. But given their 80's and 90's output, they've effectively destroyed any momentum they had, and they allowed no entré for new fans. No one is promoting their work, not even themselves. But, their albums should still be rated higher; I'm not sure why they are not. I still listen to ELP often and am amazed at how fresh and exciting it sounds. Especially their first lp and Tarkus, which I rate higher than Brain Salad Surgery.
What really puzzles me is the Tull piece. I think what basically happened is that the warring Yes and Genesis and Floyd and Crimson factions have blasted at each other so much in the reviews (as well as neo-prog revolutionaries), that Tull, in a hapless sort of way, is determined the winner by default. I can't imagine a prog fan heading out to his deserted island with only "Thick as a Brick" in tow. Sounds like one of Dante's higher rings of hell |
But this is your opinion and not the opinion of the majority of Progarchives (as the list indicates) It is not a fact that ELP albums are music better than others and deserve to be higher than others. Reviewing is subjective...you cannot tell people what to think and therefore you shouldn't complain about how your favorite group/album is low on the top 100 because some people don't share your opinion. DO as Zappa88 has been saying...if you're not happy with the position of the album in question...review it to tell your opinion! And frankly I wouldn't be concerned about the Top 100. It becomes more of a reference to what the majority of ProgArchives thinks about albums...and is more of a guide of what prog is popular if you are new to the genre. In fact I still need to check out most of the bands on that list and will start with ELP since you mentioned it. Who knows maybe I'll share your opinion in a few months.
Edited by progismylife - July 13 2007 at 13:19
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