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The Dark Elf View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 13:54
Originally posted by BaldFriede BaldFriede wrote:

Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

The immigrant issue may be rightly considered racist; however, from commentary I've seen from Great Britain (and not the Farage camp), there is a genuine concern about flooding the country with Muslims, in part because of Germany's inane willingness to transport whole Islamic countries to Europe.

An excerpt from the German constitution (article 16a):Article 16a

[Right of asylum]

This is already a watered-down version of the original article; many people (including me) would have preferred to stick to the original article. Due to historic reasons Germany has a special responsibility for all kinds of fugitives.

Very noble, Friede. Without a shred of common sense, given the current circumstances, but noble nonetheless.


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 13:18
Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

The immigrant issue may be rightly considered racist; however, from commentary I've seen from Great Britain (and not the Farage camp), there is a genuine concern about flooding the country with Muslims, in part because of Germany's inane willingness to transport whole Islamic countries to Europe.

An excerpt from the German constitution (article 16a):Article 16a

[Right of asylum]

(1) Persons persecuted on political grounds shall have the right of asylum.

(2) Paragraph (1) of this Article may not be invoked by a person who enters the federal territory from a member state of the European Communities or from another third state in which application of the Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees and of the Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms is assured. The states outside the European Communities to which the criteria of the first sentence of this paragraph apply shall be specified by a law requiring the consent of the Bundesrat. In the cases specified in the first sentence of this paragraph, measures to terminate an applicant’s stay may be implemented without regard to any legal challenge that may have been instituted against them.

(3) By a law requiring the consent of the Bundesrat, states may be specified in which, on the basis of their laws, enforcement practices and general political conditions, it can be safely concluded that neither political persecution nor inhuman or degrading punishment or treatment exists. It shall be presumed that a foreigner from such a state is not persecuted, unless he presents evidence justifying the conclusion that, contrary to this presumption, he is persecuted on political grounds.

(4) In the cases specified by paragraph (3) of this Article and in other cases that are plainly unfounded or considered to be plainly unfounded, the implementation of measures to terminate an applicant’s stay may be suspended by a court only if serious doubts exist as to their legality; the scope of review may be limited, and tardy objections may be disregarded. Details shall be determined by a law.

(5) Paragraphs (1) to (4) of this Article shall not preclude the conclusion of international agreements of member states of the European Communities with each other or with those third states which, with due regard for the obligations arising from the Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees and the Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms, whose enforcement must be assured in the contracting states, adopt rules conferring jurisdiction to decide on applications for asylum, including the reciprocal recognition of asylum decisions.

This is already a watered-down version of the original article; many people (including me) would have preferred to stick to the original article. Due to historic reasons Germany has a special responsibility for all kinds of fugitives.



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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 13:07
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Since it's not a choice of persons (politicians) where a simple majority is needed but instead a choice of government policy then a qualified majority should be needed IMO. At least 60% of the voters witha turnout of 70% minimum, maybe more.

Sort of what I proposed too in the other thread on whether democracy works. Simple majority is not adequate to represent what the people at large want in this case. 

Yeah, it does feel kinda weird that an action of this gravity, with such potential implications, can be decided by 52% of the population. 
I get that's democracy but yeah does seem like maybe something this massive should be more than a simple majority vote. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 12:55
@ Dark Elf: I'm sorry to say that I also find Erdogan and Turkey very amusing.

It's hilarious the way Erdogan is violating democratic and western principles, while at the same time pressing for membership in the EU. Personally I hope he stays in power for a long time, because the EU needs a bit of comic relief in the form of its own little North Korea.


Edited by npjnpj - June 25 2016 at 13:00
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 12:53
Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

I think the 'leave' vote was compelling based on the demographics: in Britain proper (I will try not to figure out what the hell Scotland wants, because it voted to stay in Great Britain, but also wants to remain part of EU), only a majority of voters in London, the super seaport and home to G.B.'s commerce voted to 'remain'. There's a lot of regular, non-degreed working folk in the rest of the country who obviously believed this whole effort to globalize is not helping them but making things worse. The same can be said in the U.S. regarding NAFTA and other trade deals that are globalist in conception. Good paying manufacturing jobs have been fleeing these shores just so Third World workers (or the Chinese) can be less underpaid than they were previously, but gutting the American working middle-class in the process. I assume the process was the same in Britain and Wales (pardon me if my assumption is incorrect).

A BBC analyst (I was watching the returns on the Beeb Thursday night) made a perceptive point when he said that voters were rejecting the "experts" who wanted the 'remain' vote, because these were the same experts that screwed working folk over in the 2008 Depression and who wanted the EU thing in the first place. In Britain, like in the U.S., the experts escaped losing pensions, retirement plans and their life savings in 2008. The experts got bailed-out or were never in real danger of descending into paupery, but everyone else got robbed. So I can sympathize.

The immigrant issue may be rightly considered racist; however, from commentary I've seen from Great Britain (and not the Farage camp), there is a genuine concern about flooding the country with Muslims, in part because of Germany's inane willingness to transport whole Islamic countries to Europe. 

Given the inability of European governments to adequately ferret out the alleged "bad" Muslims from the supposed "good" Muslims, and the obvious issues of what occurs in areas that become Muslim majorities (and is there really any Islamic country one would want live in if you're Christian, atheist, gay, liberal, Buddhist, Hindu, Rastafarian, secularist or a woman?), the British populace seems to see the EU stance on immigration and free borders as an issue (free movement, once a nice idea, but now in practice unworkable thanks to Islam), and this caused enormous voter disaffection. 

Whether that is right or wrong or racist doesn't really matter, because it is a fear born out of simply watching horrific events unfold on the news every day, and it perhaps has not been discussed by politicians in a meaningful manner, and simply foisted on people who feel they have no say-so in the matter. Evidently, the Brexit vote was the only way for voters to voice this displeasure.



I heard, any of our UK friends can confirm or deny, lots of "white working class people many of which have probably not seen a migrant worker" voted for leave, and seems there was both conservative and labor support. 
Interesting, really does sound like Trump honestly. All the same things: loss of good paying working class jobs, anger at government ineptitude, anger at immigrants especially muslims, anger at "elites" who as you say get bailed out and coddled while telling everyone else what to do...often which means accepting austerity and etc

Anyway, seems you are right, if this is accurate..."leavers" may already be backtracking a bit. http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/25/leave-campaign-rows-back-key-pledges-immigration-nhs-spending I've read about the spike in google searches about what the brexit may mean for their country and even what the EU is. Hate to say...it does seem that many people may have voted exit simply out of frustration/protest fueled by politicians using it for their gain. Until the unexpected happened: they actually voted exit, now a collective "oh sh*t" is happening.

No doubt many do sincerely believe it's been a bad deal and poorly done and they just want out. I do sincerely understand, it reminds me a lot of Sanders here, but IDK...ultimately you have to reform, can't take a sledgehammer to it all, a la Trump or the "brexit" 


Edited by JJLehto - June 25 2016 at 12:55
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 12:46
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

(and is there really any Islamic country one would want live in if you're Christian, atheist, gay, liberal, Buddhist, Hindu, Rastafarian, secularist or a woman? 


Bangladesh used not to be so bad for Hindus but lately it seems to be turning towards a fundamentalist direction.  And let's not forget Bangladesh is being made over as an Islamic nation.  It used to be just one half of Bengal and is therefore very much a part of the Indian sub continental culture.  I have friends living in Malaysia and they seem to be ok. But these are the most moderate examples.  There are also Indians (Hindu Indians to be specific) living in the Middle East who do so by giving up a good part of their way of life to adapt to the ME culture.  If they wanted to be able to wear their Hinduism on their sleeve, that would be problematic, yes (probably also the case in Malaysia, come to think of it).


That is exactly my point, RT. In an Islamic state you run the risk of insulting, provoking, offending or infuriating Muslims with even the most simplest things we take for granted in secular societies.

Take for instance how the Germans have had to brown-nose Erdogan while stepping all over German citizens' right to free speech (I guess free speech is not covered under EU bylaws). Yes, Erdogan, a portrait of a supposed "moderate" Muslim politician. That is, until he starts acting like Muhammad himself, proclaiming political fatwas against anyone printing a cartoon documenting his Turkish buffoonery.

Radical Islamists in Turkey attacked a Radiohead party at a local record store and beat the sh*t out of people with pipes and bottles for simply wanting to hear the new album. No one was arrested. But when people protested the unwarranted violence in this alleged democratic country, they were met by police with water cannons.

Erdogan's comments were telling in regards to the attack: "Using brute force to interfere is as wrong as organising an event spilling onto the street during Ramadan."

Because, of course, it's more important that we don't offend the Muslim majority than it is assuring secularists have the freedom to live their lives without Islam. Or drink a beer on a holiday for a religion that is not your own.

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 12:39
Originally posted by npjnpj npjnpj wrote:

You may laugh at the balanced budget plans, but once Greece comes out of the other side of this, it'll be clean as a whistle. Just a shame that most Greeks will have committed suicide by then.

Does anyone have any recent suicide rate figures for Greece? Probably not. No budget for statistics, I fear.

Except 1: I don't think Greece is coming out of this, 2: There is no realistic way they are gunna achieve a balanced budget 3: the process of austerity/trying to achieve a balance the way the EU wants will quite literally ensure the county never escapes their hell (I am not sure if this is on purpose or simply they don't know better) 4: it's very hard to maintain such a thing, which is why it rarely happens and only for brief periods. Heck, I believe Spain was the only EZ country that actually consistently met the target deficit/debt goals. Germany now is managing but they have the advantage of basically using the EU as their personal trade bloc to export their way to growth. 5: Nah you really dont want balanced budgets, except if things are operating at peak capacity. 

I apologize for getting off topic (really this referendum opens up a lot of issues to discuss but still sorry for derailing) so we can discuss in another post why balanced budget ideas and etc are unrealistic and dangerous. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 11:01
Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

(and is there really any Islamic country one would want live in if you're Christian, atheist, gay, liberal, Buddhist, Hindu, Rastafarian, secularist or a woman? 


Bangladesh used not to be so bad for Hindus but lately it seems to be turning towards a fundamentalist direction.  And let's not forget Bangladesh is being made over as an Islamic nation.  It used to be just one half of Bengal and is therefore very much a part of the Indian sub continental culture.  I have friends living in Malaysia and they seem to be ok. But these are the most moderate examples.  There are also Indians (Hindu Indians to be specific) living in the Middle East who do so by giving up a good part of their way of life to adapt to the ME culture.  If they wanted to be able to wear their Hinduism on their sleeve, that would be problematic, yes (probably also the case in Malaysia, come to think of it).

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 10:53
Originally posted by Sean Trane Sean Trane wrote:

Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Originally posted by Sean Trane Sean Trane wrote:

This Brexit (if it does ever happen) will only be effective in two years' time, so there is plenty of time for England (not the UK) to wake up and realize that its low class should simply not be allowed to have a matter in politics (check the link below for the stats by regions & by income)




I understand where you're coming from, but isn't this the same as saying democracy doesn't work? (I'm not saying it does, I'm just asking). Also, isn't this saying only the privileged ones should have a say? 


The thing is that a good deal of those "leavers" (Leave voters) are generally dole-recipients that haven't worked for decades (and looking quite like the husband in that "Keeping Appearances" sitcom), not knowing a thing about the EU and its benefit... So this was mostly because of the fear of them losing the job they haven't got (and will never have, since they're totally un-employable anymore) to Eastern european, when the immigration that forbade them to find a job was comming from the Commonwealth for decades before that... In other words, many of these "leavers are parasite and leaches.

But them idiots are tooooo stoooopid to realize that, too busy sipping in Farrage's barrage of insults and hatred served in a beer can, while liking Boris' dick.


Sooo you really think low-lifes like those deserve a full vote, like the people contributing actively to society??Confused
Personally, I'm not so sure...





If this is meant to be a joke........If not

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 10:49
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

That is the pretty much the numbers used on the petition for a 2nd Referendum that currently has 1,753,217 signatures:

"We the undersigned call upon HM Government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60% based a turnout less than 75% there should be another referendum."

...Looks like everyone has signed the wrong petition to me as this cannot be applied retroactively. For this to be of any use they should have created and signed it 6 months ago. Some people simply haven't got a clue.

Oh I agree completely.  This would be a case of locking the stable door after the horse has been bolted.  Besides which may possibly fuel more resentment of London.  "Didn't turn up to vote and now they want to disobey the referendum".  I don't know for what reason exactly but it looks like people underestimated the possibility of a leave vote.  They didn't, as I pointed out earlier, factor in how voter turnout works - the side that wants out will be more particular about voting than the one that only wants status quo.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 10:40
Originally posted by Sean Trane Sean Trane wrote:

Despite owing quite a bit to London and Winston, That's what De Gaulle did in 63 and 67 (tha latter is less well-known) ... so they had to wait until he died to get in... Soooooo, more than WC, CDG is turning over in his grave to tell us "I told you so".
Meh, Winston Spencer Churchill and Charles de Gaulle are both dead. We buried them and they should remain dead and buried.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 10:37
Originally posted by rogerthat rogerthat wrote:

Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Since it's not a choice of persons (politicians) where a simple majority is needed but instead a choice of government policy then a qualified majority should be needed IMO. At least 60% of the voters witha turnout of 70% minimum, maybe more.

Sort of what I proposed too in the other thread on whether democracy works. Simple majority is not adequate to represent what the people at large want in this case. 
That is the pretty much the numbers used on the petition for a 2nd Referendum that currently has 1,753,217 signatures:

"We the undersigned call upon HM Government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60% based a turnout less than 75% there should be another referendum."

...Looks like everyone has signed the wrong petition to me as this cannot be applied retroactively. For this to be of any use they should have created and signed it 6 months ago. Some people simply haven't got a clue.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 10:22
Originally posted by Atkingani Atkingani wrote:

Since it's not a choice of persons (politicians) where a simple majority is needed but instead a choice of government policy then a qualified majority should be needed IMO. At least 60% of the voters witha turnout of 70% minimum, maybe more.

Sort of what I proposed too in the other thread on whether democracy works. Simple majority is not adequate to represent what the people at large want in this case. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 10:21
Since it's not a choice of persons (politicians) where a simple majority is needed but instead a choice of government policy then a qualified majority should be needed IMO. At least 60% of the voters with a turnout of 70% minimum, maybe more.

Edited by Atkingani - June 25 2016 at 10:58
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 09:56
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Originally posted by Sean Trane Sean Trane wrote:

This Brexit (if it does ever happen) will only be effective in two years' time, so there is plenty of time for England (not the UK) to wake up and realize that its low class should simply not be allowed to have a matter in politics (check the link below for the stats by regions & by income)


I understand where you're coming from, but isn't this the same as saying democracy doesn't work? (I'm not saying it does, I'm just asking). Also, isn't this saying only the privileged ones should have a say? 


The thing is that a good deal of those "leavers" (Leave voters) are generally dole-recipients that haven't worked for decades (and looking quite like the husband in that "Keeping Appearances" sitcom), not knowing a thing about the EU and its benefit... So this was mostly because of the fear of them losing the job they haven't got (and will never have, since they're totally un-employable anymore) to Eastern european, when the immigration that forbade them to find a job was comming from the Commonwealth for decades before that... In other words, many of these "leavers are parasite and leaches.

But them idiots are tooooo stoooopid to realize that, too busy sipping in Farrage's barrage of insults and hatred served in a beer can, while liking Boris' dick.


Sooo you really think low-lifes like those deserve a full vote, like the people contributing actively to society??Confused
Personally, I'm not so sure...


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 09:46
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

Originally posted by Atavachron Atavachron wrote:

Poor Winston must be rolling over.

Laughing probably. [Churchill was the right person to be in charge during wartime but not the right person to have in charge in peacetime.]




Despite owing quite a bit to London and Winston, That's what De Gaulle did in 63 and 67 (tha latter is less well-known) ... so they had to wait until he died to get in... Soooooo, more than WC, CDG is turning over in his grave to tell us "I told you so".



BTW, as an aside, the anarchistic Charlie Hebdo is name after CDG... Before that, they were called Kara Kiri - le Journal Bête et Méchant and was written by some witers who did the barricades in May 68. But once De Gaulle died in 70, they literally applauded and censorsip closed the, dow... They came as Charlie
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 09:13
I think the 'leave' vote was compelling based on the demographics: in Britain proper (I will try not to figure out what the hell Scotland wants, because it voted to stay in Great Britain, but also wants to remain part of EU), only a majority of voters in London, the super seaport and home to G.B.'s commerce voted to 'remain'. There's a lot of regular, non-degreed working folk in the rest of the country who obviously believed this whole effort to globalize is not helping them but making things worse. The same can be said in the U.S. regarding NAFTA and other trade deals that are globalist in conception. Good paying manufacturing jobs have been fleeing these shores just so Third World workers (or the Chinese) can be less underpaid than they were previously, but gutting the American working middle-class in the process. I assume the process was the same in Britain and Wales (pardon me if my assumption is incorrect).

A BBC analyst (I was watching the returns on the Beeb Thursday night) made a perceptive point when he said that voters were rejecting the "experts" who wanted the 'remain' vote, because these were the same experts that screwed working folk over in the 2008 Depression and who wanted the EU thing in the first place. In Britain, like in the U.S., the experts escaped losing pensions, retirement plans and their life savings in 2008. The experts got bailed-out or were never in real danger of descending into paupery, but everyone else got robbed. So I can sympathize.

The immigrant issue may be rightly considered racist; however, from commentary I've seen from Great Britain (and not the Farage camp), there is a genuine concern about flooding the country with Muslims, in part because of Germany's inane willingness to transport whole Islamic countries to Europe. 

Given the inability of European governments to adequately ferret out the alleged "bad" Muslims from the supposed "good" Muslims, and the obvious issues of what occurs in areas that become Muslim majorities (and is there really any Islamic country one would want live in if you're Christian, atheist, gay, liberal, Buddhist, Hindu, Rastafarian, secularist or a woman?), the British populace seems to see the EU stance on immigration and free borders as an issue (free movement, once a nice idea, but now in practice unworkable thanks to Islam), and this caused enormous voter disaffection. 

Whether that is right or wrong or racist doesn't really matter, because it is a fear born out of simply watching horrific events unfold on the news every day, and it perhaps has not been discussed by politicians in a meaningful manner, and simply foisted on people who feel they have no say-so in the matter. Evidently, the Brexit vote was the only way for voters to voice this displeasure.


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 07:56
Most people had no idea what they were voting for. The leaders of the main parties who were in the remain camp got it badly wrong and didn't get the right message across. Cameron's advisors messed it big time by pushing the "fear" angle. Corbyn was a dithering buffoon. An uncertain future awaits

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 07:50
Originally posted by lazland lazland wrote:


As ever, a thoughtful and thought provoking post, Dean.

Firstly, I am more than happy to confirm it was merely a majority, not a "clear" one. A poor choice of words on my part.
I originally wrote my post as reply quoting your post directly then realised that what I wanted to say had little to do with the rest of what you had said so removed your quote. I should have changed that paragraph to a more-general comment but hey-ho, water - bridge...

Originally posted by lazland lazland wrote:

My interest in all of this is, actually, very much as a political anorak, in that, sadly, I find all of this rather fascinating. In terms of the result itself, I am rather ambivalent. Although I voted out, for reasons which do not bear repeating here, I also am of the opinion that we get screwed by whomever is in power in Westminster, this borne from too many years of working for them

A last thought from me before taking my son down the local for some brunch. There is a possible scenario that has not been mentioned yet, but one which I think is, actually, a possibility once all the fuss has died down.

It is, I believe, a distinct possibility that a "new" government (with, or without, a general election) will enter into serious negotiations with a chastened European bureaucracy which results in a distinct trading arrangement, or more like the EEC we originally joined, but with a clear cut off from the political and legal aspects of the EU, which none of us voted for.
That option wasn't on the ballot paper and if it had been the vote would have been different. However, that said the British Government were very active in the formulation and wording of  Masstricht Treaty that created the EU and fiercely negotiated two opt-outs at the time (Single Currency and the Social Chapter). [A lot of the European resentment of the UK stems from this]. Claiming we didn't vote for the EU is like claiming we didn't vote for a 60mph national speed limit or any bill passed by a democratically elected government. 

Now whether we should have had a referendum on Maastricht is another question altogether, but again that wasn't the question on this ballot paper.
Originally posted by lazland lazland wrote:


This would depend very much on the attitudes of other European people's. I think it is at least a possibility that the UK referendum has stirred up enough people and politicians on the continent to realise that the shift to a political union is dead in the water, and there might then be a move to save a Pan European project based on economic and cultural cooperation, rather than a "superstate".

That contains too many ifs and dependencies. No one can speculate on what might happen.
Originally posted by lazland lazland wrote:

The political establishment, in Europe, UK, USA, ignore at their peril the very real disenchantment, disconnection, and anger which has resulted from the shift to economic globalisation and centralisation, which basically benefits the super rich behind their corporations.
That is an assumption that the 52% voted for that reason. While we've tip-toed around the immigration issue here, like it or not, for a lot of people that was the only reason they voted to leave. That, and bent bananas and frosted light-bulbs. (Yeah, flippancy rules but I cannot credit every one of the 52% with making a libertarian protest vote).
Originally posted by lazland lazland wrote:


It may well be that the vote on Thursday might, just might, have a beneficial outcome in the longer term, and I hope you and I could agree on that.
Unfortunately I draw no comfort from "just might". We will salvage something from this, what that is I cannot speculate, I suspect that we will never actually know whether it is beneficial or not. 
Originally posted by lazland lazland wrote:

What I will make clear to others reading and contributing to this thread (this is not directed at Dean, or other thoughtful contributors) is that this post is NOT an argument in favour of far right demagogues and fascists, who I have spent a lifetime fighting. What it is is discussing a possible outcome I could certainly live with, and, I believe, a majority of people in Britain and Europe could happily live with.

Politics and politicians need to connect again, and understand, and fight for, ordinary working people such as us. Let us hope that this is the outcome.
It will have an outcome but not necessarily one the majority will like. I hope for lots of things but that doesn't mean those hopes will come true. The problem is neither "side" has representation anywhere, and the rift that has been created will leave a considerable demographic even more disenfranchised than ever before. Unfortunately, as I intimated in my post, that portion of the population are the skilled and professional people who get shat on by the so-called wealth-creators (who cannot function without us) and the workers who benefit from our knowledge and skills (and who also cannot function without us). [yeah, still piss-anointed and frustrated - ask me again in five days, or five years].

Whatever happens, we still need to address all the issues that this has raised and not just the ones that suit our particular political agendas. 

I would love us to contain the far right and
 that includes ensuring that Farage and UKIP do not benefit from this vote. The UK is now Independent, their work here is now done so they can f- right off.


Edited by Dean - June 25 2016 at 07:52
What?
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: June 25 2016 at 07:23
Ah, I didn't know that. Perfect. Hopefully it'll work this time.
That might even be the reason why Cameron is holding on.


Edited by npjnpj - June 25 2016 at 07:24
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