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Chris S
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Joined: June 09 2004
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 19:27 |
Teaflax wrote:
Dean wrote:
Teaflax wrote:
Chris S wrote:
the artist suffers..... |
Again, studies show they don't.
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Those studies did not show whether the artist suffers or not. |
Taken as a whole (especially the latter-day ones from Holland, Denmark and Norway), they do show that overall revenue from all music-related activities have not shrunk by any significant numbers and that smaller artists reap the benefits as the majors lose ground. And even so, at the very least all of them prove that "The sky is falling! There will never be any more good music made!" rhetoric is completely baseless.
Okay, so 10,000 through label < 2,000 direct to fans, then. And that still assumes that people shold cling to making CDs, rather than using on-demand delivery systems that require minimal overhead. The point is that either way, a straighter line between fans and the artists benefits creative artists over bean counters. Any artist with, say, 5,000 fans should easily be able to leverage that to a reasonable living, and if you can't make that many fans using the global reach of the internet with a few billion eyeballs and ears out there...well, maybe you need to think about doing something else.
Unless of course, you're doing it for the love of music .
Either way, the odds of making any money at all have gotten better than they ever were before (providing, as noted, that you know how to adapt to the times) as the income curve flattens.
Also, not everyone who's been playing in bands has ever thought they were going to be huge or even dreamed of that - in fact, every musician I know personally, including everyone in my band, has never played with that goal in mind, and our guitarist is a full-time musician/sound engineer, so it's not just hobbyists we're talking about. One of my closest friends is a full-time musician and producer who has had many offers to work with big names and do high-profile work, but has turned them down because it would have meant compromising what he does. Admittedly, he's had a bit of economic padding when he won a law suit against an American rock star for intellectual property infringement, but still...
If file sharing really eats into sales, please explain how The Arctic Monkeys managed to have the fastest selling debut in UK history a few years ago. Please explain how NIN:s album was the best-selling one on Amazon last year.
But all that is really moot. The reality is that, unless corporatist forces manage to get governments to effectively shut down the internet, this state of affairs isn't going away. Better then to harness its many undeniable benefits than to decry its pretty unstoppable drawbacks. The comparison made before to a certain knight of sad visage is all too apt. People on here may not be the chief windmill tilters, but are looking pretty Sancho Panza-like from here.
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Quite a lot of words and some valid but give me a simple PT riff anyday, I'll pay for it too. I thought Bob The Builder was the fastest selling debut a few years back in the UK, or was it Spice Girls?
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<font color=Brown>Music - The Sound Librarian
...As I venture through the slipstream, between the viaducts in your dreams...[/COLOR]
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Chris S
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Joined: June 09 2004
Location: Front Range
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Points: 7028
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 19:23 |
debrewguy wrote:
Chris S wrote:
It's become a throw away society....excluding people who still invest in these items. Even kids are trained in Vodafone/AT&T to sell upgrades after 6 months. Attention span on music is the same. Most people lose interest quickley.
example: Viva La Vida - IMO it had the attention demand of a flying gnat. So it can work both ways especially with NEW material. the artist needs to ' drag' you in.
Illegal downloads? they are illegal....the artist suffers.....you know the guys who actually deliver the art |
is it possible they face competition from entertainment outside of music ? i.e same pie, less for each /// as for the guys who actually deliver the art ... artists have suffered before ... not always deserveingly ... at the hands of scum bag promoters, thug managers, record label creative accounting departments .... and for some of those who feel a sense of entitlement - the music listener who does not buy their music ... Attention span ... is usually based on the length of time that keeps a person's attention. If you have a million songs to listen to, is it unusual that you don't want to bother with the merely O.K. ? If you know there's a thousand great songs, is it unusual that you want to listen to as many as you can, which may mean that you don't keep playing the same song over & over again ?
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Good points.......but give me 1 x Hergest Ridge ( Whichever part x 1000 listens) to 1000 " Great " songs anyday that form part of the mainstream, not meaning they are not great of course. I was merely saying the artist needs to catapult you into the slipstream not the mainstream Why becuase the slipstream is special
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<font color=Brown>Music - The Sound Librarian
...As I venture through the slipstream, between the viaducts in your dreams...[/COLOR]
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Teaflax
Forum Senior Member
Joined: June 26 2005
Status: Offline
Points: 1225
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 18:42 |
Dean wrote:
Teaflax wrote:
Chris S wrote:
the artist suffers..... |
Again, studies show they don't.
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Those studies did not show whether the artist suffers or not. |
Taken as a whole (especially the latter-day ones from Holland, Denmark and Norway), they do show that overall revenue from all music-related activities have not shrunk by any significant numbers and that smaller artists reap the benefits as the majors lose ground. And even so, at the very least all of them prove that "The sky is falling! There will never be any more good music made!" rhetoric is completely baseless. Okay, so 10,000 through label < 2,000 direct to fans, then. And that still assumes that people shold cling to making CDs, rather than using on-demand delivery systems that require minimal overhead. The point is that either way, a straighter line between fans and the artists benefits creative artists over bean counters. Any artist with, say, 5,000 fans should easily be able to leverage that to a reasonable living, and if you can't make that many fans using the global reach of the internet with a few billion eyeballs and ears out there...well, maybe you need to think about doing something else. Unless of course, you're doing it for the love of music . Either way, the odds of making any money at all have gotten better than they ever were before (providing, as noted, that you know how to adapt to the times) as the income curve flattens. Also, not everyone who's been playing in bands has ever thought they were going to be huge or even dreamed of that - in fact, every musician I know personally, including everyone in my band, has never played with that goal in mind, and our guitarist is a full-time musician/sound engineer, so it's not just hobbyists we're talking about. One of my closest friends is a full-time musician and producer who has had many offers to work with big names and do high-profile work, but has turned them down because it would have meant compromising what he does. Admittedly, he's had a bit of economic padding when he won a law suit against an American rock star for intellectual property infringement, but still... If file sharing really eats into sales, please explain how The Arctic Monkeys managed to have the fastest selling debut in UK history a few years ago. Please explain how NIN:s album was the best-selling one on Amazon last year. But all that is really moot. The reality is that, unless corporatist forces manage to get governments to effectively shut down the internet, this state of affairs isn't going away. Better then to harness its many undeniable benefits than to decry its pretty unstoppable drawbacks. The comparison made before to a certain knight of sad visage is all too apt. People on here may not be the chief windmill tilters, but are looking pretty Sancho Panza-like from here.
Edited by Teaflax - October 02 2009 at 19:11
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Dean
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Joined: May 13 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 17:34 |
debrewguy wrote:
o.k. , if I may reserve the following questions to those who I seem to be in disagreement with (meaning if you've been on my side, please refrain from answering these posts)
1) are illegal downloads the one and only , i.e. the sole reason for the decline in CD sales ? yes or no
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No.
But where you are leading is irrelevant, (or a smoke screen), that declining sales are also caused buy sales of X-Boxes and Probiotic Yogurt and Sun-spots does not make the effect of P2P any different or any less - just because I side against one cause does not mean that I am ignoring (or blind to) the other causes.
Edited by Dean - October 02 2009 at 17:35
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What?
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Dean
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Joined: May 13 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 17:28 |
Teaflax wrote:
Chris S wrote:
the artist suffers..... |
Again, studies show they don't.
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Those studies did not show whether the artist suffers or not.
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What?
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Dean
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Joined: May 13 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 17:18 |
Teaflax wrote:
Dean wrote:
The bottom line is that a lot of artists in our niche market do not earn a penny from CD sales. |
Oh, I'm sure they can make it up with the revenue from their sales of 8-tracks and 78s.
"Small band through record label sells 10 000 CDs"< "small band sells 1 000 copies directly to fans".
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Your maths is wrong.
- Using my previous example, the royalty revenue from 10,000 CDs would be $14,000;
- Divide that revenue by the 1,000 direct sales requires a $14/CD profit for your equation to balance;
- The manufacturing costs for low production runs of CDs is more expensive than for high-volume runs, so the manufacturing costs are slightly higher than my previous example, bit to make this a little "fairer" to your argument, I'll assume the same price, i.e. $2/CD
- Add to that the cost of postage, lets say $1 and the selling price would have to be $17 per CD.
- you have used "<", which means you think the retail prce of direct sales should be >$17 per CD.
- The average selling price of direct to fan CDs is between $7 and $10
- At $7/CD the band needs to sell 3,500 CDs to equate to 10,000 record label sells;
- That's a ratio of 3 to 1, not 10 to 1.
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What?
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debrewguy
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Joined: April 30 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 16:12 |
Chris S wrote:
It's become a throw away society....excluding people who still invest in these items. Even kids are trained in Vodafone/AT&T to sell upgrades after 6 months. Attention span on music is the same. Most people lose interest quickley.
example: Viva La Vida - IMO it had the attention demand of a flying gnat. So it can work both ways especially with NEW material. the artist needs to ' drag' you in.
Illegal downloads? they are illegal....the artist suffers.....you know the guys who actually deliver the art |
is it possible they face competition from entertainment outside of music ? i.e same pie, less for each /// as for the guys who actually deliver the art ... artists have suffered before ... not always deserveingly ... at the hands of scum bag promoters, thug managers, record label creative accounting departments .... and for some of those who feel a sense of entitlement - the music listener who does not buy their music ... Attention span ... is usually based on the length of time that keeps a person's attention. If you have a million songs to listen to, is it unusual that you don't want to bother with the merely O.K. ? If you know there's a thousand great songs, is it unusual that you want to listen to as many as you can, which may mean that you don't keep playing the same song over & over again ?
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"Here I am talking to some of the smartest people in the world and I didn't even notice,” Lieutenant Columbo, episode The Bye-Bye Sky-High I.Q. Murder Case.
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Teaflax
Forum Senior Member
Joined: June 26 2005
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Points: 1225
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 15:41 |
Chris S wrote:
the artist suffers..... |
Again, studies show they don't.
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rushfan4
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 15:29 |
It is probably still lucrative to be a session player, especially if you have the name recognition.
But reality is with our genre is that you have to be like Jem Godfrey from Frost, where you make your living producing/writing/playing popular music in order to make enough money, that you can afford to make the albums that you really want to make for artistic purposes that aren't going to make you the money but that scratch that creative itch.
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Chris S
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Joined: June 09 2004
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Points: 7028
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 15:25 |
It's become a throw away society....excluding people who still invest in these items. Even kids are trained in Vodafone/AT&T to sell upgrades after 6 months. Attention span on music is the same. Most people lose interest quickley.
example: Viva La Vida - IMO it had the attention demand of a flying gnat. So it can work both ways especially with NEW material. the artist needs to ' drag' you in.
Illegal downloads? they are illegal....the artist suffers.....you know the guys who actually deliver the art
Edited by Chris S - October 02 2009 at 15:27
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<font color=Brown>Music - The Sound Librarian
...As I venture through the slipstream, between the viaducts in your dreams...[/COLOR]
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rushfan4
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Joined: May 22 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 15:10 |
No.
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debrewguy
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 15:09 |
o.k. , if I may reserve the following questions to those who I seem to be in disagreement with (meaning if you've been on my side, please refrain from answering these posts)
1) are illegal downloads the one and only , i.e. the sole reason for the decline in CD sales ? yes or no
Edited by debrewguy - October 02 2009 at 15:10
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"Here I am talking to some of the smartest people in the world and I didn't even notice,” Lieutenant Columbo, episode The Bye-Bye Sky-High I.Q. Murder Case.
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Teaflax
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Joined: June 26 2005
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Points: 1225
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 14:39 |
Dean wrote:
The bottom line is that a lot of artists in our niche market do not earn a penny from CD sales.
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Oh, I'm sure they can make it up with the revenue from their sales of 8-tracks and 78s. "Small band through record label sells 10 000 CDs"< "small band sells 1 000 copies directly to fans".
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rushfan4
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 13:52 |
In conclusion, the music business is a very tough business to be in. And depending on who you ask it is made even tougher as a result of illegal downloading, but also the thousands of other entertainment options available to the consumer; not to mention the millions of people living paycheck to paycheck or without a paycheck who can't afford to spend money on anything but the necessities of life.
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Dean
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Joined: May 13 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 13:43 |
debrewguy wrote:
Most business account for a certain percentage of theft or wastage (lost, not presumed stolen, spoiled, etc.) in their operating budget. |
The way ALL businesses account for petty theft and wastage is by factoring in those loses into the final retail price - in otherwords the illegal downloads would be funded by the people who purchase the legal download/CD sale - assuming there are enough sales to cover costs.
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What?
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Dean
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Joined: May 13 2007
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 13:38 |
debrewguy wrote:
Dean wrote:
BigBoss wrote:
the label does the grunt work of selling an album, they make money, the artist makes money, if the album is downloaded instead of stolen, then the label goes out of business (SPV) and the artists retire (Martin). simple economics, no grey areas. |
It is the simple economics that people are perhaps unaware of, or maybe just ignoring.
The financial models for small labels are different to those of the large labels. When sales decrease income decreases, the larger labels can affect profit by adjusting their overheads, cutting staff, promoting their big sellers and cutting losses on the less popular artists, reducing their roster, not signing risk acts and limiting their exposure.
Smaller labels cannot do this - a proportional decrease in their income affects them disproportionately, they do not have any leeway in reducing costs, a slump in sales affects not just their profit, but their ability to pay royalties and creditors, it also reduces their ability to in investing in new releases.
So while music fans gripe and complain about "the majors" it is "the minors" who are suffering more, and in our narrow (niche) genre, most of our artists are with the smaller labels. |
So commercial enterprises that put out music should be subsidized ? Can we include DIminished 5th Records then (http://www.diminishedfifthrecords.com/main.htm#) ? The minor labels also compete with video games, PCs, laptop, cell phones, home theater and other entertainment options available now that weren't really around or as prominent 10 years ago. Add to that the many vanity releases, andagain the local acts that now can self-release their product. |
No one said anything about subsidising commercial enterprise - the only mention I made about subsidisation was the band themselves using their own money to pay for self-releases - that's not the same thing by any stretch of the imagination. In another post you already said Iron Giant self-finance their albums - that suggests that all D5D are doing is marketting, production and managing the distribution (via Relapse I see) - that's the same business model of thousands of bands.
It's got absolutely nothing to do with competing with other luxury/entertainment items - the subject is simply illegal downloads vs. the small labels (including D5D, self-releases and vanity releases) - as my post implies we can even go as far as ignoring the big guys in this because they can do something about reducing costs, the smaller labels cannot - they are already running at minimum margins.
debrewguy wrote:
::snip::
Now, I'm considered a music freak among my friends. If I'm the average, are you wondering why most aren't able to buy everything they want to ? Maybe because they have so many more choices than they used to 10-20 years ago ? And if they do, should they feel guilty that bands they would love to support, like IQ or Pendragon , just happen to have a lower priority than other purchases ...?
It's not our fault that you can't make a living at it. Too bad. But some people are. Which is great if you like the Drive By truckers or Los Lobos.
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It's not about the band making you feel guilty for not buying their album beacuse you wanted the Drive-By Truckers CD instead, it's about the people who want Drive-By Truckers and IQ and Pendragon and will take them all without paying.
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What?
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Dean
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 13:15 |
debrewguy wrote:
Wilcey wrote:
Dean wrote:
Typical royalties are 10-20% ... that is of the net revenue, not the gross - so we are talking $1.20 per CD - which is then split between composer and the band, and the band share is then further split to the individual band members... let's assume a 4-piece band with equal composer/performer royalties - 40¢/member/CD... the average earnings in the USA is £20,000/anum - total number of album sales required to earn a living for each band member - 50,000...
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And that is required each year for a living, most bands are unable to release a yearly album if they do all their own admin, production etc etc..........
It's not much of a money spinner is it?
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Wilcey, if I own a corner store that does not make enough money for me to support my family, is it shameful that I need to think about finding another job ? Am I the only one who sees that like most everyone else on this planet, you don't have the final word on what you might have to do to earn a living ? If you choose an occupation, including the arts, no one owes you a living. There is no entitlement to success, no matter what level was enjoyed in the past. And too often, this is what seems to be the impression - Poor Nick / Martin - they want to make music but they can't make money at it. Like f**k people, how many bands do you know that would like to be able to make music their full time career but can't ? Should they feel entitled to this too ? Or are there criteria that are to be met ? There are bands that started at the same time as IQ & Pendragon that are still out there and making a living despite the killer illegal downloads. Why them & not IQ or Pendragon ? And there are bands that never even came close to enjoying anything close to the success that either band enjoyed or enjoys. Should they feel cheated ?
SO next time someone shows you a chart of P2P vs CD sales decreases, ask them to show you the dollars spent on other entertainment options. Tell them to compare how much was spent on Video games in 1996 to what was spent in 2006 ? How many Rockbands, Guitar Heros, even Pro Tools / Cubasis et al that were sold back then vs today ? Are the LPs, EPs, CDs manufactured by little indie labels or vanity labels all accounted for ? Iron Giant manages to self finance each of their releases. They still have full time day jobs. Their sales, mostly regional , have not suffered from P2P. Drive By Truckers have managed to ESTABLISH a viable career during the exact same time period when P2P exploded. Phish achieved its' biggest successes during the time of Kazaa's peak. Bands like Pearl Jam that can no longer rely on radio to play new stuff (and PJ haven't needed that for years) have just managed to sell close to 200 000 copies of their latest album in its' first week out. And they can still tour to great crowds. Are many selling fewer albums ? Heck, most are. But again, is it just P2P or is it that the pie is getting shared by many more musical acts, and surprise surprise, people are also spending it elsewhere .
To summarize - the bands that can make a living (see above), do. Those that can't, make excuses.
How many units are the Arctic Monkeys moving lately ? What about the Kings of Leon ? Why couln't Saga sell out a 400 seat venue in its' home country, in the prog capital of Canada ?
Or is the truth too hard to swallow ? You can talk about morality all you want. But not being able to do what you got use to, or not being able to do the same as others seem to be able to do despite facing the same obstacles you do really doesn't do much to support your excuses. i.e. if they can, why can't you ?
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Once again I fail to see where this line of argument is either coming from or heading to. Everyone entering in to the music business expects to make a living at it - few of them ever do - they all dream of fast women and loose cars - the grim realitites occur very quickly and bring those dreams down to earth with an almighty thump. Any band that has been in "the business" of 10, 20, 30 years knows this - you're citing bands in the top 10-15% of their chosen genre who "made it" and are implying that those goals are open to all bands who put the effort in and quit complaining - it isn't like that - it's a lottery of luck breaks and right connections and of hitting the trend-wave at the right moment with the right product (ie just like Kings of Leon and Artic Monkeys).
Pearl Jam can shift units because they are Pearl Jam, because they marketted the album well, were clever about distribution and because the album got damn good reviews.
How do you know that Iron Giant's sales haven't suffered from P2P? - Canada has the highest percentage of P2P in the world and the band still has day-jobs, how do you know that they have recouped every penny invested in those self-released albums?
Kazaa was established in 2001 - slap bang in the middle of Phish's "extended time-out" time-out" from 2000-2002 - "Phish began headlining major amphitheaters in the summer of 1993. That year, the group released Rift packaged as a concept album and with heavy promotion from Elektra"
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What?
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debrewguy
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 13:01 |
y'all (or most of y'all) don't get it. The issue is not illegal downloads. The issue is not theft. The issue is no longer what should or really , could be done to stop it. It's been ten years now. It hasn't worked. In the meanwhile there are musical acts out there that are making a go of it. But they're working on getting their music out there & getting fans - ones who will pay for the band's music and merchandise & gigs. So why not check out what they're doing, why not see if you can come up with a way or ways to attract fans like that. Unless you have reason to believe that writing endless posts in internet forums or in other media will increase your fanbase "yeah man, you just gotta listen to this album by YZX, man. I read the dude tear a new one on the illegal downloaders and I just had to buy their album and see their gig, man."
It may get you pity, it won't get people buying CDs or tickets.
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"Here I am talking to some of the smartest people in the world and I didn't even notice,” Lieutenant Columbo, episode The Bye-Bye Sky-High I.Q. Murder Case.
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debrewguy
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 12:55 |
Wilcey wrote:
Dean wrote:
Typical royalties are 10-20% ... that is of the net revenue, not the gross - so we are talking $1.20 per CD - which is then split between composer and the band, and the band share is then further split to the individual band members... let's assume a 4-piece band with equal composer/performer royalties - 40¢/member/CD... the average earnings in the USA is £20,000/anum - total number of album sales required to earn a living for each band member - 50,000...
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And that is required each year for a living, most bands are unable to release a yearly album if they do all their own admin, production etc etc..........
It's not much of a money spinner is it?
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I used to have a job that paid me just enough to pay an apartment, own a 15 year old car, which I had to cancel the insurance on in the winter, car pool to work, and barely afford a girlfriend. I no longer work there. Your point ??? Oh, and most working people are unable to go to Florida once a year, they cook their own meals, cut their own lawns, get their own transportation to their workplace, buy their own clothing for work, youknow, basically not being able to do just what they want ... Your point ? oh, some bands are able to make a career in music nowadays. Even while doing their own admin, production etc... but then it's always been like that. Unless I missed an era when every band or even the majority of musical acts out there was able to live solely on their music. Was it the 60s ? 70s ? 90s ? the glory days of the 90s ? Please give some references where someone was practically guaranteed a livelyhood by playing music ...
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"Here I am talking to some of the smartest people in the world and I didn't even notice,” Lieutenant Columbo, episode The Bye-Bye Sky-High I.Q. Murder Case.
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debrewguy
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Posted: October 02 2009 at 12:50 |
Wilcey wrote:
Firstly Pendragon are doing ok, (you might have noticed!)
Secondly I used to run a corner store actually, a successful one, it didn't mean I turned a blind eye to shop lifters though! Musicians have a right to PROTECT their earnings and income surely?
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Most business account for a certain percentage of theft or wastage (lost, not presumed stolen, spoiled, etc.) in their operating budget. If the business you're running cannot provide you with a living wage, you find something else. My friend could not support his family working in the woods seasonally. SO he looked for & got another job. Being a woodsman was a tradition in his family which he would have loved to keep doing. Musicians have a right to protect their earnings and income. They also have to earn them. Those that can do. Those that can end up finding excuses. Illegal downloads do not account for a major part of the decrease in CD sales. Or to put it another way, how many Wiis were sold in 1985 when Pendragon put out their debut, and IQ released The Wake ? How were Cell phone sales that year ? Was it a good year to buy a laptop ? Can you tell me what your average consumer was spending on a home theater ? Which game was the year's best seller - Guitar Hero or Rock Band ? How many local indie acts managed to put out an LP compared to this year ? How many bands were out there with product to sell to the music fan , again compared with today ? Could 1985 have served as a basis for predicting future sales & rentals of DVDs ? How many shows did the average music fan attend back then ? Has any media succeeded MTV (insert your national video channel), mainstream radio or TV in providing a platform for advertising acts ? Speaking of TV - how much market share did the major networks (we'll keep to the U.S. market) have in 1985 vs the cable or specialty channels like HBO , SHowcase and such ? Oops, most specialty channels did not exist back then ... Is it possible that the biggest factors in declining CD sales are not illegal downloads, but the additional competition from other sources ? After all, if less people are watching NBC, ABC, or CBS and are tuning into HBO, it's not because most are downloading grainy bulky copies of TV episodes to watch on their computer, eh .. just maybe ... You hold the moral ground , you own the legal ground. You don''t own reality. And reality is that music acts still have to earn their fans' devotion. Not based on their successes 20 years ago. Not because some believe a recent release is great, but because someone out there, with their own money, of their own free will, chooses to spend it on the artist's music. Which still happens. Surprisingly, eh.
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"Here I am talking to some of the smartest people in the world and I didn't even notice,” Lieutenant Columbo, episode The Bye-Bye Sky-High I.Q. Murder Case.
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