Author |
Topic Search Topic Options
|
rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
|
Posted: March 06 2013 at 08:09 |
Easy Livin wrote:
But imagine the situation if they had not been bailed out. If a bank such as RBS/NATWest or HBOS/Lloyds/TSB had been allowed to fail, everyone in the country would have suffered. Bear in mind what happens when a company goes bust. Those with deposits in the bank could potentially have lost their money, those borrowing money would have found their loans and mortgages being called up. Wages could not be paid as the payment system could not operate properly. And it would not have been just the bank going bust that would have suffered. The whole banking system nationally and potentially internationally would have been at threat. It's a real house of cards situation.
Like them or loathe them (and who actually likes them!?) banks are a cornerstone of our society. What is needed is tighter regulation of speculative activities (including commodities trading) globally. |
I am aware of the potential consequences of not bailing them out. But that would have been a more just solution when what was happening was not just market failure but financial fraud. Weren't Enron, Arthur Andersen, Merck allowed to die? If the market was supposed to take care of itself, they should have had more faith in its ability to do so than press the panic button.
By the way, the meltdown happened because they let Lehmann Bros bankruptcy go through anyway which sent ripples through the global financial system. So they neither averted the crisis nor saved taxpayer money, made a fairly equal mess of both. Both consequences could have been avoided if only the Fed hadn't tightened so drastically. Cooling off a loose monetary policy has to be a calibrated process, or the consequences will tend to be drastic.
|
|
Dean
Special Collaborator
Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout
Joined: May 13 2007
Location: Europe
Status: Offline
Points: 37575
|
Posted: March 06 2013 at 03:20 |
^ to invest so much in a house of cards doesn't seem to be the wisest thing to do then. When a company goes bust the assets are sold off - loans and mortgages are assets and they would not be called-in, they would be sold (transfered) to another bank.
|
What?
|
|
Easy Livin
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator / Retired Admin
Joined: February 21 2004
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 15585
|
Posted: March 06 2013 at 02:52 |
But imagine the situation if they had not been bailed out. If a bank such as RBS/NATWest or HBOS/Lloyds/TSB had been allowed to fail, everyone in the country would have suffered. Bear in mind what happens when a company goes bust. Those with deposits in the bank could potentially have lost their money, those borrowing money would have found their loans and mortgages being called up. Wages could not be paid as the payment system could not operate properly. And it would not have been just the bank going bust that would have suffered. The whole banking system nationally and potentially internationally would have been at threat. It's a real house of cards situation.
Like them or loathe them (and who actually likes them!?) banks are a cornerstone of our society. What is needed is tighter regulation of speculative activities (including commodities trading) globally.
|
|
rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 19:43 |
thellama73 wrote:
What I do object to is banks getting bailed out by the government because they are "too big to fail". I imagine bonuses would go down a bit if bankers knew that they would have to suffer the consequences of their business decisions.
|
I completely agree, the too big to fail theory goes against their free market rhetoric. But then, they never really believed in free markets as an ideology, only in doing whatever was necessary to further their self interest.
|
|
thellama73
Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator
Joined: May 29 2006
Location: United States
Status: Offline
Points: 8368
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 19:23 |
I challenge the premise of the question.
It's not for me to decide how much bankers should make just like it's not for me to decide how much hot dog vendors or florists or manicurists make. They should make whatever people are willing to pay them.
What I do object to is banks getting bailed out by the government because they are "too big to fail". I imagine bonuses would go down a bit if bankers knew that they would have to suffer the consequences of their business decisions.
|
|
|
rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 18:53 |
Easy Livin wrote:
Sorry, I still think there is a lot of misinformation here. I think it's convenient to jump on a bandwagon to criticise the "system" without accepting responsibility for it. As I explained previously, bonuses are the "at risk" portion of a person's salary. If you simply paid them the higher salary without any incentive to earn it, would that really be better? A company may be making loses and still need to pay contractual bonuses (to current and former employees). The fact is that if they have met or exceeded the targets they were set to generate in terms of income for the company, they get the contractually agreed bonus. Those who failed and caused the loses don't. As I also explained, sometimes reducing losses is actually meeting an agreed target. That is the real world. |
Actually, the whole point of the credit boom was bankers, stock markets and rating agencies pretending and telling everyone in the world that the "fundamentals had never been so good". Do I not know it, listening to them regurgitate that nonsense almost everyday around 2005-06 - when some more farsighted people had already begun to warn of the coming crisis - and reflecting wryly on their empty words once the meltdown set in. So by building this bubble, they could make believe that bankers weren't really taking any risks at all and all their growth was risk free. That is the point, there was no counterweight for the cost of risks in their reward structure. They were rewarded for generating growth in the short term through risky strategies. As I already said before, this is not empty rhetoric if you'd like to believe that is the case; IMF published a paper to this effect, warning of the possible problems arising out of this skewed reward structure. A few lower level employees did pay the price after 2008 (and it is not at all clear that this was due to their involvement in this rather than simply being a 'rightsizing' activity) but the banks were handed out massive bailouts as America opened the ta(r)ps. Largely the only top level executives who have borne the brunt are the ones who got implicated in corruption investigations by govt depts. The banks themselves have not acted on it internally and nothing so far demonstrates that they won't return to their bad old ways given the chance (they probably have!) as they unrepentantly defend more and more de-regulation and decry govt 'interference'.
Easy Livin wrote:
Oh and as for blaming the government. Lets remember that the government is a reflection of the people. The party in power got the most votes and were democratically elected by you and me. The "I didn't vote for them" excuse doesn't wash as the problem emanate from all sides. If you didn't vote at all but could have, you are even more culpable. If you think you could do better, stand for election and persuade the electorate that your way is better. |
It remains to be seen who the American people will vote for to bring about change. They probably thought they were doing so by voting Obama who wrote a book about all these amazing changes as part of his presidential campaign and got the Nobel Prize for it. Except, they simply voted in one Wall Street Govt to replace the other. Reagan and Clinton both backed Greenspan and so did Bush. Bernanke was a Bush appointee and continues admirably with his task of note-printing well into Obama's second term. Are the American people then to blame for not somehow voting the Libertarian party to power, which has only a 1% share of vote today? It's been a long time since adult franchise truly reflected the will of the people. That system was corrupted long ago and bought over by the wealthy. Ultimately a system exists to further the power of the ruling class and increase their hold over the middle and working class. Democracy is a beautifully stable way to achieve it without incurring their wrath (perhaps, until now, when distrust of govts may just have hit an inexorable nadir). If the people are responsible for the govts they vote to power, why is the President or the Senate given sweeping executive powers? Shouldn't there be a public referendum for important decisions (like whether Citigroup deserves a bailout)? And surely that is not even as tough to administer as before with the advancements of the internet. This is a power struggle, that's what it is, and being the only sections that were really affected by the crisis, the middle and lower classes are rightly protesting it.
|
|
Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 15:40 |
Easy Livin wrote:
Sorry, I still think there is a lot of misinformation here. I think it's convenient to jump on a bandwagon to criticise the "system" without accepting responsibility for it. As I explained previously, bonuses are the "at risk" portion of a person's salary. If you simply paid them the higher salary without any incentive to earn it, would that really be better? A company may be making loses and still need to pay contractual bonuses (to current and former employees). The fact is that if they have met or exceeded the targets they were set to generate in terms of income for the company, they get the contractually agreed bonus. Those who failed and caused the loses don't. As I also explained, sometimes reducing losses is actually meeting an agreed target. That is the real world.Oh and as for blaming the government. Lets remember that the government is a reflection of the people. The party in power got the most votes and were democratically elected by you and me. The "I didn't vote for them" excuse doesn't wash as the problem emanate from all sides. If you didn't vote at all but could have, you are even more culpable. If you think you could do better, stand for election and persuade the electorate that your way is better. As I probably have already said too often, I don't seek to condone or justify the way things are, but I do get irritated by those who seek to blame others for the issues without accepting their own share of the responsibility. |
Probably worth remembering that all the main parties on the ballot paper are supporters of the system, so the electorate has little choice. They could of course form their own political parties and challenge the status quo. How successful do you think that would be?
|
Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
|
|
akamaisondufromage
Forum Senior Member
VIP Member
Joined: May 16 2009
Location: Blighty
Status: Offline
Points: 6797
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 14:50 |
Well apparently Bankers jobs are so dull that we have to pay them shed loads of cash and then pay them shed loads more just in case they go and work somewhere else. Why is this job so bad? Everybody else is content to live on a wage and they do their best without having a bonus. Bankers are not a limited commodity you can train up plenty of people to do this job. They are not like footballers, theres only one Maradona (luckily) or one Rooney or whatever you can't train people to do what they do (on the whole).
Having said that , the EUs answer of limiting Bonuses is not the answer as they will just up the wages which doesn't depend on performance at all. So it will be worse.
From a UK perspective it is really very sad that we have become so dependent on the banking sector. I blame it on that B*tch Thatcher who thought we could get everything from the service sector. Ans successive governments have carried on asi. We have been sold short.
Edited by akamaisondufromage - March 05 2013 at 14:51
|
Help me I'm falling!
|
|
Finnforest
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator
Joined: February 03 2007
Location: The Heartland
Status: Offline
Points: 16913
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 14:42 |
Well said, Bob
|
|
lazland
Prog Reviewer
Joined: October 28 2008
Location: Wales
Status: Offline
Points: 13627
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 13:55 |
Easy Livin wrote:
Sorry, I still think there is a lot of misinformation here. I think it's convenient to jump on a bandwagon to criticise the "system" without accepting responsibility for it. As I explained previously, bonuses are the "at risk" portion of a person's salary. If you simply paid them the higher salary without any incentive to earn it, would that really be better? A company may be making loses and still need to pay contractual bonuses (to current and former employees). The fact is that if they have met or exceeded the targets they were set to generate in terms of income for the company, they get the contractually agreed bonus. Those who failed and caused the loses don't. As I also explained, sometimes reducing losses is actually meeting an agreed target. That is the real world.
Oh and as for blaming the government. Lets remember that the government is a reflection of the people. The party in power got the most votes and were democratically elected by you and me. The "I didn't vote for them" excuse doesn't wash as the problem emanate from all sides. If you didn't vote at all but could have, you are even more culpable. If you think you could do better, stand for election and persuade the electorate that your way is better.
As I probably have already said too often, I don't seek to condone or justify the way things are, but I do get irritated by those who seek to blame others for the issues without accepting their own share of the responsibility. |
And I wholeheartedly agree with you. An important point - they had to have people to lend to in the first place. That was us, on a credit binge which would "never end".
Years of political activism taught me one thing above all others. You can fool most of the people most of the time.
God, I'm getting cynical in my approaching dotage
|
Enhance your life. Get down to www.lazland.org
Now also broadcasting on www.progzilla.com Every Saturday, 4.00 p.m. UK time!
|
|
Easy Livin
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator / Retired Admin
Joined: February 21 2004
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 15585
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 13:01 |
Sorry, I still think there is a lot of misinformation here. I think it's convenient to jump on a bandwagon to criticise the "system" without accepting responsibility for it. As I explained previously, bonuses are the "at risk" portion of a person's salary. If you simply paid them the higher salary without any incentive to earn it, would that really be better? A company may be making loses and still need to pay contractual bonuses (to current and former employees). The fact is that if they have met or exceeded the targets they were set to generate in terms of income for the company, they get the contractually agreed bonus. Those who failed and caused the loses don't. As I also explained, sometimes reducing losses is actually meeting an agreed target. That is the real world.
Oh and as for blaming the government. Lets remember that the government is a reflection of the people. The party in power got the most votes and were democratically elected by you and me. The "I didn't vote for them" excuse doesn't wash as the problem emanate from all sides. If you didn't vote at all but could have, you are even more culpable. If you think you could do better, stand for election and persuade the electorate that your way is better.
As I probably have already said too often, I don't seek to condone or justify the way things are, but I do get irritated by those who seek to blame others for the issues without accepting their own share of the responsibility.
|
|
Padraic
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator
Joined: February 16 2006
Location: Pennsylvania
Status: Offline
Points: 31169
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 12:31 |
King of Loss wrote:
hugely inflated stock market that's going to crash at any time
|
I still have a lot of cash on the sideline because I also think this is the case, but sometimes I think I'm wrong.
|
|
The Doctor
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator
Joined: June 23 2005
Location: The Tardis
Status: Offline
Points: 8543
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 10:26 |
I don't know about hung as I do not really believe in the death penalty, but they should be forced to work the rest of their lives digging ditches or flipping burgers for sub-minimum wage. I think $2.00/hour sounds about right. And obviously, they should be stripped of their wealth.
|
I can understand your anger at me, but what did the horse I rode in on ever do to you?
|
|
King of Loss
Prog Reviewer
Joined: April 21 2005
Location: Boston, MA
Status: Offline
Points: 16442
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 10:21 |
It's quite hilarious that Ben Bernanke is being promoted as a good central bankerI mean, it's because of his direct monetary policies we have close to double digit inflation and a hugely inflated stock market that's going to crash at any time when the bankers think they can profit off of the next crisis.
Edited by King of Loss - March 05 2013 at 10:22
|
|
rogerthat
Prog Reviewer
Joined: September 03 2006
Location: .
Status: Offline
Points: 9869
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 08:40 |
Easy Livin wrote:
There's a great lack of understanding or heads in the sand here about how things actually work. As I've said before, I don't seek to justify the way things are, but let's live in the real world. I notice too that no one has refuted the notion that it is our own greed that is at the root of the issue. |
I'd suggest you speak for yourself there. Do you know how conservative - and expensive - retail lending is in countries like India? I am a qualified accounting professional and work for a large company but when I approached the bank for a home loan, I was only eligible to a loan of about 60% of my take-home pay (though I sought less anyway) and a still smaller percentage of my gross. But what is the point of prudence, I wonder, if credit is built up like a pack of cards elsewhere in the world and upsets the best calculations. I'd also like to point out that credit growth was fuelled very largely by an errant Federal Reserve that drove interest rates down to an all time low and then quadrupled it in a matter of a few quarters. If that is not the perfect recipe for financial disaster, I wonder what is. As I said earlier, I'd not single out the bankers alone for blame because govts, rating agencies were all in it together. It's a gigantic scam and its perpetrators still live in furious denial of the truth.
Edited by rogerthat - March 05 2013 at 10:30
|
|
chopper
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator
Joined: July 13 2005
Location: Essex, UK
Status: Offline
Points: 20030
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 07:42 |
fusionfreak wrote:
rogerthat wrote:
Yeah, prices of everything has gone up at least by 100% if not more in just the last 5-6 years here. It's ok for the middle class but I really wonder how the poor can possibly cope with such monstrous inflation. | I can tell you it's not very easy all the time for the have nots,everything seems so expensive!But one can't forget that middle classes are also suffering a lot.Bonuses should be diminished and top bankers such as Jamie Dimon or Stephen Hester should be punished because they went dangerously wrong.Every government should separate deposit from trading in the banks.By the way Jolly Banker by Woody Guthrie is a very good song. |
To be fair most of RBS' problems pre-date Stephen Hester. Blame them all on Sir Fred Goodwin.
|
|
Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 06:57 |
With the greatest of respect to EL, this situation is actually fairly clear cut, and it is you who appears not to understand how things work.
Bonuses are often paid to traders even when their respective banks are showing losses, and in some cases ahave been bailed out and even put at least in part, in public ownership. It wouldn't be acceptable in any other private sector areas ( andcertainly not the public sector) to pay out millions in bonuses when the business is going down the swannie. It is morally repugnant to raid the public public purse to bail out private corporations only for those corporations to be - in some cases - exempt from corporation tax and to be awarding their crooked staff vast amounts of money for gambling.
Re; "What is the point of bank trader who can't trade? Who says they can't trade? The issue is what they are trading and the level of risk ascociated to the investment, not to mention the moral arguments of trading food stocks, among other commodities, as derivatives; deliberately and irresponsibily inflating huge debt bubbles to make a fast buck, knowing full well that bubbles burst and it is then the rest of us who pay the price. The banks have been able to do this with impunity because there has always been the promise of government bail outs. If this promise was removed the trading would not be so reckless. It may be less profitable in the short term, but it would likely be more stable in the long term. I fail to hear any coherant arguments as to why the fabric of our civilization should be in the hands of five or six mega banks. No one seems bothered by this. they either invest their energies in berating the poor for drawing benefits, or the middle class for having the audacity to own a house. People need to wake the f*** up!
Re; our own greed. Is this the greed that has been agressively encouraged by successive governments? It's easy to say people have minds of their own and should be capable of making the decision to avoid debt without help, but the problem is most don't and consequently can't. If you take a single parent on benefits, who can't afford to buy new clothes for their child, and you give them a credit card, what do you think they're going to do? Cut it up and throw it away? No, they're going to do what every good parent tries to do, and privide for their child. Over the last 20 years the benefit class has been able to borrow through banks and credit card companies. Government has not intervened to discourage or even educate about rhe conseqeunces of debt, because they know that living on the never never creates an illusion of wealth which can score electoral points for them. The psychology of debt is well understood by lenders and politicians alike and is exploited fully.
Edited by Blacksword - March 05 2013 at 07:00
|
Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
|
|
Dean
Special Collaborator
Retired Admin and Amateur Layabout
Joined: May 13 2007
Location: Europe
Status: Offline
Points: 37575
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 03:45 |
Easy Livin wrote:
The assumption that people get bonuses for not performing is quite laughable. These organisations may be ethically challenged, but they do not just give their money away out of charity. Bonuses are usually based on meeting and exceeding pre-set targets. In the case of a company that is on the ropes, the bonus might be payable if the incoming staff appointed to turn it around can initially get the losses down to a manageable level. There's no magic wand for turning the company around, so you have to offer incentives to get the people in who can do the job. |
Somehow when a bank gets a bail-out, posts losses for that year and still pays bonuses then that's not laughable, it's cryable. It's tantamount to being criminal.
The incentive to get people to do their jobs is called salary. If those people who can do the job were not paid bonuses where would they go? More to the point: what are those people actually for? If they are not "doing the job" and making money for their employers then what are they there for? Seriously, what is the point of an investment banker who cannot invest money? What is the point of a bank trader who cannot trade?
Easy Livin wrote:
There's a great lack of understanding or heads in the sand here about how things actually work. As I've said before, I don't seek to justify the way things are, but let's live in the real world. I notice too that no one has refuted the notion that it is our own greed that is at the root of the issue. |
What is there to refute? The purpose of investing in a bank is to get a return on your money, without that incentive you may just as well store your cash under the matress, if saving money with a return that barely keep track of inflation motivated by greed then so be it.
|
What?
|
|
Easy Livin
Special Collaborator
Honorary Collaborator / Retired Admin
Joined: February 21 2004
Location: Scotland
Status: Offline
Points: 15585
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 03:08 |
The assumption that people get bonuses for not performing is quite laughable. These organisations may be ethically challenged, but they do not just give their money away out of charity. Bonuses are usually based on meeting and exceeding pre-set targets. In the case of a company that is on the ropes, the bonus might be payable if the incoming staff appointed to turn it around can initially get the losses down to a manageable level. There's no magic wand for turning the company around, so you have to offer incentives to get the people in who can do the job.
There's a great lack of understanding or heads in the sand here about how things actually work. As I've said before, I don't seek to justify the way things are, but let's live in the real world. I notice too that no one has refuted the notion that it is our own greed that is at the root of the issue.
|
|
Blacksword
Prog Reviewer
Joined: June 22 2004
Location: England
Status: Offline
Points: 16130
|
Posted: March 05 2013 at 01:56 |
^^^ The middle class are feeling it too. You're right, and people often forget that the working class and middle class need each other in a functioning economy. Our last government re-branded the concept of being 'middle class' The labour party - historically the champions of the working class - claimed we were 'all middle class now' In fact all they meant is that we were all now allowed to accrue vast amounts of debt to pay for 'stuff' we wouldn't previously have been able to buy. It made many people feel and look richer, but those people are now discovering they were conned, and this current government is just rubbing their noses in it, and grinding them into the dirt.
|
Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!
|
|