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Ricochet 
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Joined: February 27 2005
Location: Nauru
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 Posted: April 04 2009 at 13:29 |
 Epignosis wrote:
Ricochet wrote:
Epignosis wrote:
I believe that if we have a son, we will name him Ephraim (meaning doubly blessed- appropriate since he will be our second child); if we have a girl, we are considering Abigail (meaning "father's hole in his pocket joy") 
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I had a high-school colleague called Abigail, who's now my best friend's girlfriend.
(Hey, if we add this info to the general statistics, chances of you having a girl could increase!).
I don't like Ephraim as a name very much.  (Payback for Victoria. )
Oh, btw, I never thought of this until now. Do you know for sure that it's gonna be just one? What if you're in for Epignosis Jr. #2 & #3?
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*Falls out of chair and clutches chest*
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Padraic
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Joined: February 16 2006
Location: Pennsylvania
Status: Offline
Points: 31169
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 15:28 |
You'll have a boy, because you secretly want to be like me. 
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Queen By-Tor
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Joined: September 13 2006
Location: Xanadu
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Points: 16111
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 15:40 |
Pat, your Last.fm reminds me that it's been to long since I listened to Acquiring the Taste [edit] - oh balls, this isn't the Shred Whatever, I vote girl then, out of spite.
Edited by King By-Tor - April 04 2009 at 15:41
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rushfan4
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Joined: May 22 2007
Location: Michigan, U.S.
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Points: 66256
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 15:46 |
Maybe he will have a Gentle Giant and then the previous post would be appropriate. 
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Epignosis
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Joined: December 30 2007
Location: Raeford, NC
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 15:55 |
rushfan4 wrote:
Maybe he will have a Gentle Giant and then the previous post would be appropriate. |
I'm 5'4'' and the wife is 5'1''- ain't happening.
Plus, she's downright mean sometimes, so unless he/she gets my personality, our kid won't be much in the way of gentle either.
Instead of a Gentle Giant, we'll probably have a Bitchy Hobbit. 
Edited by Epignosis - April 04 2009 at 15:55
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rushfan4
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Joined: May 22 2007
Location: Michigan, U.S.
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 15:58 |
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TheCaptain
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 04 2009
Location: Ohio, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 1335
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 16:14 |
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Curse your sudden but inevitable betrayal.
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Epignosis
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Joined: December 30 2007
Location: Raeford, NC
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 16:19 |
TheCaptain wrote:
Epignosis wrote:
rushfan4 wrote:
Maybe he will have a Gentle Giant and then the previous post would be appropriate. |
I'm 5'4'' and the wife is 5'1''- ain't happening.
Plus, she's downright mean sometimes, so unless he/she gets my personality, our kid won't be much in the way of gentle either.
Instead of a Gentle Giant, we'll probably have a Bitchy Hobbit.
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On the bright side, you're setting the bar very low so you won't be disappointed.
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Nah, we're just sending the gene pool to hell. 
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Gustavo Froes
Forum Senior Member
Joined: October 06 2008
Location: Rio,Brazil
Status: Offline
Points: 385
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 19:15 |
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stonebeard
Forum Senior Member
Joined: May 27 2005
Location: NE Indiana
Status: Offline
Points: 28057
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Posted: April 04 2009 at 22:33 |
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A Girl Named Sandoz
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Slartibartfast
Collaborator
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Joined: April 29 2006
Location: Atlantais
Status: Offline
Points: 29630
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 03:57 |
By the way, if it's a boy and y'all intend to keep trying until you have a girl, I would advise you take a close look at the sitcom Malcolm In The Middle.
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Released date are often when it it impacted you but recorded dates are when it really happened... 
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Atavachron
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Joined: September 30 2006
Location: Pearland
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Points: 65248
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 04:04 |
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girl
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someone_else
Forum Senior Member
VIP Member
Joined: May 02 2008
Location: Going Bananas
Status: Offline
Points: 24294
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 06:25 |
Let's analyze the parameters you give us for a guess:
1, 3. I have three brothers and no sisters. I have one daughter myself. Because of my own family configuration, I think the majority of a gender switches to and fro every generation. This, and the fact that you already have a son, may indicate that the child will be a girl.
2. The gender of a child is determined by the fathers input. For this reason, I cannot value this. I'm not a superstitious person.
4. The most important of these parameters. I just viewed your "Beer!"-poll once again, and it seems to me that you don't drink only lager. My dad liked beer, but only lager. I have hardly seen him drinking any other kind of beer, maybe once or twice. I think that the probability of having only boys can be calculated this way:
The percentage of the lager you drink of all beers to the power of three, divided by a million.
These things make me vote for a girl.
Congratulations anyway...
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The Doctor
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Joined: June 23 2005
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 08:00 |
Equality 7-2521 wrote:
Well since the immutable laws of probability state the chance of having a girl is 1/2 and you have one boy already, your second child will have to be a girl to keep probability true.
An alternative proof goes like this 2 children * 1/2 = 1 girl.
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You forgot about standard deviation. The smaller the pool, the less likely the results will approximate the law of averages. Therefore, if Epi were to have 1,000,000 children, there would be a greater likelihood that he would have 50% boys and 50% girls. You'd better get busy Epi.  However, seeing as how the pool will only consist of 2 samples, there is at this point almost as much likelihood that he will have a boy as a girl (i.e. the standard deviation is extremely high). 
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I can understand your anger at me, but what did the horse I rode in on ever do to you?
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Equality 7-2521
Forum Senior Member
Joined: August 11 2005
Location: Philly
Status: Offline
Points: 15784
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 11:21 |
The Doctor wrote:
Equality 7-2521 wrote:
Well since the immutable laws of probability state the chance of having a girl is 1/2 and you have one boy already, your second child will have to be a girl to keep probability true.
An alternative proof goes like this 2 children * 1/2 = 1 girl.
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You forgot about standard deviation. The smaller the pool, the less likely the results will approximate the law of averages. Therefore, if Epi were to have 1,000,000 children, there would be a greater likelihood that he would have 50% boys and 50% girls. You'd better get busy Epi. However, seeing as how the pool will only consist of 2 samples, there is at this point almost as much likelihood that he will have a boy as a girl (i.e. the standard deviation is extremely high). |
I was mocking people who use probability to claim things when they no nothing about probability and poking fun at the poll itself. Thus me citing the gambler's fallacy and the expected value = actual value fallacy. I'm quite aware of what probability does and does not do.
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"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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Epignosis
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Joined: December 30 2007
Location: Raeford, NC
Status: Offline
Points: 32524
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 13:19 |
Based on the current results, I'm definitely having a tree-climbing, tobacco chewing, Monster-truck driving tomboy.
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rushfan4
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Joined: May 22 2007
Location: Michigan, U.S.
Status: Offline
Points: 66256
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 13:31 |
On the bright side, if this is true you might not have to worry about beating off all the men that'd be chasing her otherwise.
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Epignosis
Special Collaborator
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Joined: December 30 2007
Location: Raeford, NC
Status: Offline
Points: 32524
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 13:37 |
rushfan4 wrote:
On the bright side, if this is true you might not have to worry about beating off all the men that'd be chasing her otherwise. |
I don't know...a woman who can fix damn near anything that breaks isn't such a bad person to have around the house!
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manofmystery
Forum Senior Member
Joined: January 26 2008
Location: PA, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 4335
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 21:14 |
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Owl
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 Time always wins.
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topofsm
Forum Senior Member
Joined: August 17 2008
Location: Arizona, USA
Status: Offline
Points: 1698
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Posted: April 05 2009 at 21:49 |
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I voted boy to change the odds towards 50/50.
Edited by topofsm - April 05 2009 at 22:20
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Guess the Gender
