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Equality 7-2521 ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: August 11 2005 Location: Philly Status: Offline Points: 15784 |
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I think you can still live a meaningful life under the constraints of only being able to buy two six packs at one time.
Better chains than bombs. |
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"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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manofmystery ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: January 26 2008 Location: PA, USA Status: Offline Points: 4335 |
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Utopian, me? Feh *spits*
This world is a sh*thole that we all eventually leave, with nothing to look forward but eternal darkness. I shouldn't let the chains make me so angry, I guess, should learn to be a good little drone till the end. Would be happier, maybe. |
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![]() Time always wins. |
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Equality 7-2521 ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: August 11 2005 Location: Philly Status: Offline Points: 15784 |
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Frustrating at the moment because I have good partial results in a bunch of different problems that I'm looking at, but I haven't really completed any of these open problems. |
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"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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rogerthat ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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And even the timing is so eerily familiar: the second decade of a new century. To quote from the famous Blue Oyster Cult, "History shows again and again how nature points out the folly of man."
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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As I figured Pat. How's it coming along?
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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A neo nazi (or at least fascist) party has gained a few seats in Greece! And indeed I think the more nationalist and xenophobic sentiments growing in wake of the Euro crisis is disturbing in its own right but that's true, the very system could be threatened if the anti integration sentiment grows. It very well may! You mentioned humans tending to repeat history....I can't believe we're talking about very right wing/nationalist/anti european feelings arising in Europe, due to economic hardships and the people feeling govs have let them down. This does sound a little familiar... You hit it on the head, a poor design and inflexibility has created a bit of a sh*tstorm. Also the misery caused, besides my feelings that austerity doesn't work (Greece's debt to GDP ratio increased anyway) but even if it does, there are other alternatives...ones that don't require 30% unemployment, mass poverty and a whole new generation of youths starting the in the dumps. Our favorite snarky b*****d William K Black likened austerity to bloodletting, drain em and if they dont die "recovery" comes from the weakness the process caused!
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Equality 7-2521 ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: August 11 2005 Location: Philly Status: Offline Points: 15784 |
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Usually don't. Research has been too intense for me to do much of anything. |
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"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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rogerthat ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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It has taken a non mainstream Greek party to call the bluff on the austerity hawks. Which may mean more fringe and anti integration parties start winning elections in Europe. That will work fine as long as it is restricted to the weaker nations like Greece. What happens when an anti integration party comes to power in Germany? Could be a very volatile situation. Europe have inflicted some avoidable problems on themselves through their inflexibility.
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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I don't think the intent was bad at all, I just don't think it was ever gunna spur on growth like some made it out to be. Absolutely, even Bernanke said himself the Fed can only do so much and, basically, Congress is being an ass by dragging their feet.
I agree fully, the "recovery" has been pathetic, thanks to the gov's inaction. It's better than austerity though. I saw last month US inflation dipped negative, this is astounding. Despite all the Fed's might and unemployment a good bit below 6% we're barely fighting off deflation. Ah I see, well that is fair. I do think the multi national linking does make it all a bit sticky. Yeah recession is when trouble really arises, and if the intention was well off countries would just help out the others, that deff is a poorly thought out plan. Esp since, one could argue, it basically is turning Greece into a debt slave to Germany! Yeah no doubt about that. Zimbabwe did have a lot of things wrong, but I agree overall. It may sound nutty, I still think I'm fairly moderate. As discussed before it would be more efficient, maybe even cheaper, and more beneficial for sure to directly employ people, and spend on infrastructure, R&D and etc than more and more welfare. Scaling down the massive military budget wouldn't be a bad idea for sure. |
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rogerthat ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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I don't think the intent of QE is bad. Banks were undercapitalised in 2008 and the Fed needed to resuscitate them to stop the failures. This could have ended there had US govt backed them up with the appropriate increase in public spending. When this didn't happen, the Fed was forced to keep up QE. Even now the rate of inflation is too low in US, which suggests that the recovery is not as strong as it might have been with govt pulling its weight. The battle between maintaining the welfare state or the military empire has cost a lot of time.
As for Eurozone, I agree with your arguments but it would appear that no adjustment happened in the domestic balance sheets of these countries to account for the inflexibility of a single currency. Instead they believed better off nations would help the ones in trouble to preserve the europroject. My argument is that in a situation where a country's currency is linked to gold, the govt would not keep up fiscal looseness for too long even in boom times. Given a recession though, I do think the flexibility of fiat money unbound from gold can aid quicker recovery. What Zimbabwe is going through now, Germany went through after WWI. Mankind has shown a capacity to repeat mistakes duly recorded in history. I think more than the developed nations, the emerging economies with higher inflation must be cautious not to get addicted to devaluation to solve their problems. Edited by rogerthat - March 04 2015 at 21:39 |
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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Yup! Zimbabwe's only solution to their unholy hyperinflation was to simply abandon their currency and use others! I don't think it's in our future or any western country (or most for that matter) unless they implement a horrible land reform policy, get involved with a war, and run the printing press irresponsibly. A collapse of supply PLUS too much money! Also their lack of many institutions and horrible corruption. Despite what some here may think, I do feel printing money can be a problem of course, just there is some misunderstanding about QE vs tossing buckets out there ![]() ![]() Well the Eurozone isn't libertarian of course, as you say they have large welfare states, but feel free to correct me: Isn't the Euro kind of like a gold standard? I'm talking just monetary here and forgetting welfare. All the countries that adopted the Euro are no longer issuers, but users (like US states, companies, households) and thus become bound by the "rules"? Like they have to watch spending, can't use QE (though I am very neutral on that policy) it basically ties your hands, as a gold standard is intended to do. It's weird since it's multi country, and thus causes even bigger problems like having to "deal with" Greece to keep yourself stable, or Greece being forced to accept austerity measures from Germany. Seems to me like tying all our arms together then when slips and falls we all thrash around to stand up awkwardly ![]() Anywho, I thought that was the difference between an issuer and user of currency, policy space. The US or Japan can run bigger deficits and do more in general, our limitation being only inflation/resources. Also there's been no speculative attacks on the US or Japan, interest rates fell and have stayed record low despite theory saying they'd skyrocket. And isn't all this giving up control of your currency, more or less a gold standard? Or pegging to another, it all kind of is the same? You are right, Central Banks are political despite some, like the Fed, being designed to keep em independent. I also think Friedman was kind of wrong in his views on monetary policy. To be fair I think so are Keynesians who believed in QE or those that think tinkering will work, or there should be a "dual mandate" which the ECB doesn't have. I'd say the Fed should be concerned with: Regulating, as well as maintaining an elastic currency and price stability....zero concern should be had for employment. That can be left to the gov, which is more effective imo. But not more welfare and "leaky bucket" stimuli but smart spending. Edited by JJLehto - March 04 2015 at 15:51 |
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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Also I have question to ask...seriously: MoM have you ever worked in a private company?
I have, all my life. As has both my parents, brother and many friends mind you. So having spent my working career in the private sector....I can say they produce a lot of waste, inefficiency, are often VERY slow to respond/change and make mind boggling decisions. Not to mention they are far from meritocracy: Jobs go to "who you know" right? Often I've seen promotion based on ass kissing, friendship and favors and not merit. We also know private companies can be corrupt. All this can 100% absolutely be said of the gov, that's may point. Who's the utopian here? Who thinks that in a certain specific hard to obtain environment, human beings will suddenly not act like human beings? Not I.
Edited by JJLehto - March 04 2015 at 15:51 |
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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Thank you Pat. Quick note on Utopia: You are 100% correct, there is no utopia. Maybe one day you, MoM, will stop arguing/waiting for one. Anyway, Pat beat me to it (didn't think he even poked around here anymore!) but yeah, sorry this just doesn't make much sense man. You seem to mock my "based on reality" statement but...what do you want then? A world devoid of looking at results? Or if I misunderstood you need to elaborate. I'm not sure where inequality came in, but ANY system is gunna have imbalance and inequality, I am not sure how you can say otherwise. I don't disagree gov creates problem, mainly that they socialize the losses of certain segments, as well as allowing sectors like healthcare and education to run wild, and seems to be allowing a rigid society to form. Not to sound like a conservative here ![]() As Hayek pointed out in his famous book, Fascism WAS an offshoot of socialism...adverse to free market capitalism as well as communism. So I know you won't accept this, but it's telling to me much of the world abandoned the laissez faire ideals for a mixed economy, and accepted you need some "buffer" from the "excesses" of capitalism to allow it to thrive. Otherwise, it does break. If you let it break bad enough people will turn to socialism or communism or fascism...I'd prefer a mixed economy, a capitalist one with some degree of collectivism over those alternatives. Edited by JJLehto - March 04 2015 at 15:27 |
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Equality 7-2521 ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: August 11 2005 Location: Philly Status: Offline Points: 15784 |
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You can't honestly expect anyone to take this argument seriously. Can you? We need some reasonable way to know that these things you say are true. Even if the market is naturally occurring, nothing else you say follows. Potatoes are natural. Potatoes were also poisonous before the Andean people artificially selected them for lower alkaloid levels. The reason we don't have answers to this and that we don't have 'the' theory of economics is because economics is complicated and hard to measure and hard to model and hard to even understand basic causal forces. I don't think free market theory does itself any good by trying to market itself as a simple modus ponens from some mysterious set of axioms. |
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"One had to be a Newton to notice that the moon is falling, when everyone sees that it doesn't fall. "
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rogerthat ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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Yeah, I don't think the Eurozone is an example of libertarianism though it may tick some boxes like having a currency movement and (relatively) free movement of labour. Most countries in Eurozone also have a large welfare state, I suppose, which requires significant govt intervention. What I will say is you cannot follow piecemeal libertarian policies if you are going to have a large welfare establishment. To that extent, I'd agree that massive public spending was a better solution than austerity to the 2008 crisis. In the long run, though, not having only fiat money would be a much better solution. The problem is not necessarily that central banks are as dumb as Friedman insinuated. It is that ultimately they are political too. Greenspan kept easy money going too long as a populist measure.
I learnt the other day that Zimbabwe actually accepts a few foreign currencies as local legal tender, including the Indian Rupee!
![]() Edited by rogerthat - March 04 2015 at 08:57 |
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manofmystery ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: January 26 2008 Location: PA, USA Status: Offline Points: 4335 |
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Wait, you're kidding right? If not, thanks for the laugh anyway. Keep observing real life instances of things that don't exist though, buddy. Personally I blame ghosts and the Loch Ness monster for all economic ills.
The market is a naturally occurring thing. That's it, that's all, that simple. It doesn't break, it doesn't need fixed, any and all government intervention in the naturally occurring free market corrupts it by creating an imbalance. When government force is introduced it invariably creates inequality. This is almost always done in the name of equality, oddly enough, because for some reason people believe that's an achievable result of force. There is no utopia so stop poking here and fiddling there and expecting things to balance out for everyone because it doesn't work that way. Nothing will ever be perfect, there is no such thing. Also, we all die. |
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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Anywho MoM I find it harder and harder to believe there is much right about libertarian econ. I mean I'm not using models or math here, I just observed real life.
We've had 30+ years now of testing and it seems to all point to: incorrect. In my book. Taxes on the top have been coming down down down, especially on capital, more deregulation, more slashing of services and I'm sorry but I don't see how things have been better, seem worse. Brownback even had his "experiment" in Kansas which led to: no growth spurt, just a massive deficit that got his states credit downgraded and he's had to cut $50 mill to education to pay for it now. This whole euro crisis is in a way an indictment of libertarian econ. This common currency behaves like the gold standard, it removes the authority of a gov to "do much" and restrains what can be spent. Well that seems to be falling over like a house of cards...The strength of Germany seems to be holding it together, which only comes from their export power thanks to forcing exports on the EU ![]() Japan slight growth spurt was flipped back to recession after their sales tax hike (aka austerity) Sorry but I just couldn't believe in it anymore. Reality has proven it incorrect and in fact shown the true results: Allowing those with money and power to just grab more of it, using the power structure to entrench themselves and create social strife. All the non elites of society seem ready to kill each other, some scary forces are slowly creeping up in Europe, the middle classes of some countries like Ireland and Greece are simply moving away...the people, those with money, that libertarianism/right wing want to cater to are simply jumping ship. As always I'll be open minded, I've changed twice, but I'd really like to hear how libertarians are right on economics. If you want to stick to "we need a true free market" mantra, well best of luck...I think you are waiting for something nonexistent.
Edited by JJLehto - March 03 2015 at 17:15 |
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JJLehto ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: April 05 2006 Location: Tallahassee, FL Status: Offline Points: 34550 |
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I am thoroughly confused about this statement. I have heard many of the libertarian ilk, in fact it was summed up in the rap battle videos, say that the other side makes it too simple: static models and formulas, circular flow models and equations and aggregation that fail to grasp the amazing complexity of the economy and boil it down to overly simplistic and unrealistic models. I guess you don't adhere to this, which is fine just want to point out I'm confused the same camp now says economics is both more and less complex than the mainstream makes it out to be ![]() Anyway, I disagree with that because I don't need the advanced calculus and all types of crazy stuff top tier programs do. I don't even need charts or simple models, I have explained many things to people using just words, people with little idea of econ and they all get it quite fine. I myself became interested in the study from blogs, that spelled it out so laymen like myself can grasp. So I don't think I make any more or less complex than needed, just try to fully understand! I think you guys make it too simple I mean the word "socialism" and "socialized" is thrown around like it's nothing, no explanation ever and if so, it's shockingly straw man, for example. It's not only wrong, sorry the US is still not socialist and bamacare is not socialized, but misinformed. So too simple isn't always a good thing, especially when it keeps people dumb, like railing against the bad liberal socialism and no one bats an eye at the socialized losses of capital we've absorbed in recent years.... TOO simple aint always a good thing, especially since it tends to be used to misinform or cover.
Edited by JJLehto - March 03 2015 at 16:48 |
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Toaster Mantis ![]() Forum Senior Member ![]() ![]() Joined: April 12 2008 Location: Denmark Status: Offline Points: 5898 |
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Ann Sterzinger, a horror novelist of a vaguely libertarian political bent though she prefers to identify her political views as "alternative right-wing" as they're rather hard to categorize, is currently working out a plan to escape Obamacare tax penalties.
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"The past is not some static being, it is not a previous present, nor a present that has passed away; the past has its own dynamic being which is constantly renewed and renewing." - Claire Colebrook
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rogerthat ![]() Prog Reviewer ![]() Joined: September 03 2006 Location: . Status: Offline Points: 9869 |
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For a change, throwing out something from a more leftist point of view (it is not necessarily apparent on a plain reading of the article but I base this statement on having read the writer's earlier articles). I don't necessarily agree with everything he says here but all the same, it's a brilliantly written piece.
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