Possibly:
1. Israel took out a Gaza strip power transformer and several bridges, while Israeli troops have begun reoccupying the southern Gaza Strip (near Rafah), in response to thousands of Qassam attacks on border towns the kidnapping of an Israeli soldier within the 1967 lines. This kidnapping's responsibilty was partially claimed by Hamas's military wing. This is the largest military operation Israel has launched, since Operation Defensive Shield, when it re-occupied the West Bank, in 2002. Amir Peretz, the Israeli MoD (who looks like Stalin) just authorized the IDF to move into northern Gaza, near Gaza City.
2. Israel has made several "flyovers" of Bashar el Assad (Syria) compound, low enough to create sonic booms, to pressure him to release Khaled Meshaal, the "real" boss of Hamas.
3. Israel has all but declared war on the Palestinian Authority: saying that the Gaza strip is foreign soil ruled by a foreign government committed to its destruction which has made recent attacks againt Israel, climaxing in the kidnap of the soldier for ransom.
4. Jordan and Egypt have been working furiously to defuse the situation, since they would be caught in a precarious position should there be another Arab-Israeli war. Similarly, Mahmoud Abbas, the PA prez, is also workign frantically behind the scenes to have the hostage released, since he knows if he doesn't this is the end of his relevance.
5. Egypt has mobilised its troops along the Gaza border, to prevent refugees and the hostage from being transferred to Egypt.
6. The wildcards here are the US and EU, as of yet no reaction, though it's coming.
I think this will eventually cool off regarding other states in the ME, because this isn't the 60's and 70's, and they've learned to put self-interest over Ideology (for the most part), but this is wothout doubt the nadir of Israeli-Palestinian relations over the last 4 years. Nonetheless, I'm very worried.
So, MTS, Blacksword, AALFW, all the others, what are your predictions:
(note: this thread isn't about criticizing, both sides have their faults, it's about predicting what the situation will become
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Edited by NetsNJFan - June 28 2006 at 14:14