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Based on gut feeling...

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Topic: Based on gut feeling...
Posted By: Blacksword
Subject: Based on gut feeling...
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 03:33
With Sanders out of the running and Trump accepted as the reps candidate..This is not about who YOU are going to vote for, but who you honestly think will win the election.

I don't have a horse in the race being a 'limey' but for what it's worth I think Hillary will get it by a painfully close margin.

No need for a mass debate on the matter, just a show of hands really. What do you think??

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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!



Replies:
Posted By: Icarium
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 03:41
Trump is an okey entertainer, but i deem a catastrophe in the duty that is politics, he will be the Caligula of the American Republic


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Posted By: Vompatti
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 03:46
Clinton. Not because she'll get more votes, but because it has already been decided. Why else would they have rigged the primaries for someone whom the majority seems to hate?


Posted By: Icarium
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 03:48
becouse the media is owned by a clan of Baboons


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Posted By: chopper
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 03:49
We only hear the bad things about Trump but even so it's hard to imagine that someone with no political experience can become President of the USA.


Posted By: Blacksword
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 04:22
Originally posted by chopper chopper wrote:

We only hear the bad things about Trump but even so it's hard to imagine that someone with no political experience can become President of the USA.


I think's part of his appeal, at least to the simple minded.

The perception is that he is 'anti-establishment' but I don't believe anyone that rich can truly be anti-establishment.

I agree though, we don't really know that much about Trump. We know that he is an ill researched bigot with a shopping list of policies which, the moral bankruptcy aside, he would not be able to implement anyway. It's telling that so many people think he could, but to be fair to Trump he is the only candidate from either party who has pledged to patch up relations with Russia instead of pushing the war agenda even harder. Putin likes him apparently...no that that's a great a character reference of course, but relative harmony with Moscow is always a good thing in principle.

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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!


Posted By: The Dark Elf
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 04:33
^ I think Putin likes Trump for obviously cynical reasons. Because with Trump as president, Putin suddenly seems like a swell guy. Hey, it worked for Stalin.

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...a vigorous circular motion hitherto unknown to the people of this area, but destined
to take the place of the mud shark in your mythology...


Posted By: Blacksword
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 04:40
Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

^ I think Putin likes Trump for obviously cynical reasons. Because with Trump as president, Putin suddenly seems like a swell guy. Hey, it worked for Stalin.


True, but also Trump is a businessman and hasn't quite got his head round this 'geo-politics' thing. If he does get into power, he'll be educated pretty quickly on how things really work, and his adoring followers will find themselves very disappointed.

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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!


Posted By: someone_else
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 06:01
It is bad news or bad news, but I think that Hellary will pull it off.

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Posted By: zappaholic
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 06:25
Trump wins in a walk.  Yes, I believe most of my fellow Americans really are that dumb.




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"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." -- H.L. Mencken


Posted By: siLLy puPPy
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 07:44
Originally posted by Vompatti Vompatti wrote:

Clinton. Not because she'll get more votes, but because it has already been decided. Why else would they have rigged the primaries for someone whom the majority seems to hate?

Unfortunately i so agree with this. Presidents are selected not elected and Wall Street bankers pull the puppet strings. I have been predicting her as the winner before this whole idiot pageant began. I was cautiously hoping Sanders would win but it became clear that he would never be allowed to get near any true position to implement his ideas and he was flawed from the beginning as well


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 08:09
Trump. Because you asked for gut feeling, and my gut tells me so. I'm terrified. 


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Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 08:10
Originally posted by The Dark Elf The Dark Elf wrote:

^ I think Putin likes Trump for obviously cynical reasons. Because with Trump as president, Putin suddenly seems like a swell guy. Hey, it worked for Stalin.
If he actually starts ignoring NATO and leaves Russia room to do as it pleases, it's a connection well beyond that.

Trump is Putin's and ISIS' best hope. 


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Posted By: Ozark Soundscape
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 11:09
I wouldn't vote even if I could. I don't see the point.


Posted By: Atavachron
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 12:11
Gut feeling?   Trump.   Reality?   Hillary... I hope.



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"Too often we enjoy the comfort of opinion without the discomfort of thought."   -- John F. Kennedy


Posted By: Catcher10
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 13:14
Trump......because I have no desire to explain to my kids and grand kids that a criminal was voted into the highest office in the US. Please don't tell me she and Billyboy are not criminals either.....We all know OJ did it, but for some reason he is free too.

It nauseates me to think she has a chance to be the first women president.....I would pull that chapter out of my grand kids history books.

I think Vompatti has a good point too....


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Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 13:16
Originally posted by Atavachron Atavachron wrote:

Gut feeling?   Trump.   Reality?   Hillary... I hope.

We share then the idea that our bowels, our intestines, our stomachs, and all waste-producing organs tend to think about Trump first. 

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Posted By: dr wu23
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 13:28
Hillary.....by a slim margin....if Sanders manages to rally his troops for her.

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One does nothing yet nothing is left undone.
Haquin


Posted By: manofmystery
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 14:57
Hildawg will win but, either way, we all lose.


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Time always wins.


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 15:19
Originally posted by manofmystery manofmystery wrote:

Hildawg will win but, either way, we all lose.
I'm not sure there is any event short of a mankind-extinction supervolcano eruption that would make you say that someone wins. TongueWink

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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 21:05
numbers don't lie...the electoral math favors the Democratic Party. The more so since Virginia went red to blue, and it isn't the only one that will be flipping in the years to come. Demographic change will be a bitch for the Republican party unless they jetison their racist, bigot, holy roller core of supporters.

Hillary wins...  Trump has to win Democrats  to win the election. Not counting the bubba vote. They haven't been voting Democrat in years. Did they vote for Obama LOL

He has to win over real democrats.  He isn't likely to do that. sh*t....He is having trouble winning over Republicans.


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: Catcher10
Date Posted: July 27 2016 at 22:20
Numbers only matter on election day......Hillary the Criminal is also having trouble winning over her party.
The Clinton plan to roll over anyone who stands in their way will probably work.
Complete and total scumbags since the Arkansas days...

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Posted By: Dean
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 00:30
It boils down to "Do I think America is stupid?" and the answer to that is "No."

...of course the fly in the ointment there is some smart people who think they are smarter than everyone else could put Trump in the White House by not voting for Clinton.


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What?


Posted By: Blacksword
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 03:48
Numbers are misleading. You'll find multiple polls putting one ahead of the other. A CNN poll last week put Trump quite significantly ahead, but the election is not until November..anything could turn around. Both parties will be digging in the dirt to find the ultimate piece of buried cat turd that will de-rail the others chances. Trump has allegedly been seeking the assistance of Putin and others to publish sh*t on Hillary. It's a filthy game all round..

Polls in the UK put Remain out in front - albeit slightly - ahead of the recent referendum, and we ended up voting Brexit on the day. Even Nigel Farage thought the Remainers would win. Polls mean jack sh*t, and I suspect are usually slanted in favour of the political compass of the organisation running the poll. The CNN poll favoured Trumps chances, but that may have been in order to rally the troops around Clinton. Does anyone actually verify these poll results and if so, how?



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Ultimately bored by endless ecstasy!


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 07:36
In the end I hope Hillary The Criminal (as some very intelligent prog fans here call her) pulls up the win thanks to the (admittedly absurd) electoral college system here. I hope the stupid state where I live (FL) doesn't go all insane (more than it already is) and puts Hillary over the top. 

But again, gut feeling tells me Trump The Honest One (as some people here would call him, his "University" frauds, use of irregular immigrant labor, bankruptcies, etc etc etc notwithstanding) may become the next president. 


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Posted By: siLLy puPPy
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 08:30
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

It boils down to "Do I think America is stupid?" and the answer to that is "No."

Have you ever been here? If so has it been outside of the cities like NY, SF, LA? Have you ever dared drive through the vast swaths of wastelands called The South, The Midwest? Unfortunately there is plenty of ignorance and miseducation going on here and it's really several countries stitched together by force. It's always a battle of the stupid vs the enlightened here and it's never a clear case of which side will win. I'm still convinced politics is rigged because the financial system would never allow true democracy to grow too large so they let it grow like that volunteering weed in the garden and then prune it when it becomes too large



Posted By: zappaholic
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 08:56
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Hillary The Criminal (as some very intelligent prog fans here call her)


The correct, GOP-approved appellation is CrookedHillary™ (expanded by some to ExtremelyCarelessCrookedHillary™).  And I understand they've also approved CorruptKaine™ for her running mate.




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"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." -- H.L. Mencken


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 09:02
^I'm sure Trump will actually opt for BoringKaine instead... 

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Posted By: manofmystery
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 09:46
I'm just over here like I hope Gary Johnson somehow gets into the debates


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Time always wins.


Posted By: Catcher10
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 10:21
Ha!! Love the Hillary names....all fit like a glove! Her and OJ share the same glove LOL.
Am I an intelligent prog fan?? Yes I am..thanks! LOL

I have an uncle who is retired from the World Bank and IMF, he truly is the smartest person I know. He has always worked with developing countries to help them create a system to better their lives, economy and infrastructure, he is an economist. Has lived in Brazil, Nepal, Peru and still logs probably 200K air miles every year still doing consulting work all over the world.
He has political ties everywhere, based on the kind of work he does........I will not bore you with the details he gave me last week as I visited him in DC, but essentially the feeling in DC on Hillary is of shock that the US public is actually voting for her, based on everything she has done (and of course not done in any office she has held), that the public is completely ignoring the fact that she has done criminal acts and been associated with, the media has not followed thru on that as much as they should, never will. His opinion of her is she has little to no qualifications to hold this position, neither candidate has really, he said of Trump that he knows he will surround himself with intelligent people if he wins, he will not do much decision making on his own....duh! Big smile

If she wins she needs to buy everyone at CNN a $100 steak dinner.....the general public has no clue, what a shame.


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Posted By: Dean
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 11:24
Originally posted by siLLy puPPy siLLy puPPy wrote:

Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

It boils down to "Do I think America is stupid?" and the answer to that is "No."

Have you ever been here? If so has it been outside of the cities like NY, SF, LA? Have you ever dared drive through the vast swaths of wastelands called The South, The Midwest? Unfortunately there is plenty of ignorance and miseducation going on here and it's really several countries stitched together by force. It's always a battle of the stupid vs the enlightened here and it's never a clear case of which side will win. I'm still convinced politics is rigged because the financial system would never allow true democracy to grow too large so they let it grow like that volunteering weed in the garden and then prune it when it becomes too large


I've worked in Texas and/but I've spent a fair bit of time in SF and LA, so I am fully aware of what you are referring to. 


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What?


Posted By: Dean
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 11:32
Originally posted by Catcher10 Catcher10 wrote:

Ha!! Love the Hillary names....all fit like a glove! Her and OJ share the same glove LOL.

I dislike all forms of childish name-calling (unless I thought of it first). However, it characterises the school-playground bullying nature of American politics rather well.


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What?


Posted By: Dean
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 11:35
Originally posted by manofmystery manofmystery wrote:

I'm just over here like I hope Gary Johnson somehow gets into the debates
Every non-liberal and/or "republican" who votes for Johnson is a vote that Trump doesn't get, so that's okay.


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What?


Posted By: dr wu23
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 15:01
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

.....
But again, gut feeling tells me Trump The Honest One (as some people here would call him, his "University" frauds, use of irregular immigrant labor, bankruptcies, etc etc etc notwithstanding) may become the next president. 

Not to mention his ties to the Mob and Union corruption in New York which surprisingly no one has mentioned in the press so far.....and yes there are articles about this online in the past...but like many rich folks he has managed to escape the mud from this just like Hillary has escaped the e-mail fiasco.
Confused


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One does nothing yet nothing is left undone.
Haquin


Posted By: SteveG
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 15:06
Originally posted by Dean Dean wrote:

It boils down to "Do I think America is stupid?" and the answer to that is "No."

...of course the fly in the ointment there is some smart people who think they are smarter than everyone else could put Trump in the White House by not voting for Clinton.
Ermm Sounds like stupid people to me.


Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 15:16
Originally posted by Catcher10 Catcher10 wrote:

Numbers only matter on election day......Hillary the Criminal is also having trouble winning over her party.
blah blah blah


^
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_information_voter" rel="nofollow - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_information_voter

numbers matter for if you knew a thing about politics you'd know that over HALF of U.S counties... give over 60% of their votes to one party or another.

the point..numbers matter.  Fully 85% of the electoral results  are known already.. and the the Democratic Party hold a large lead. That is not gloating.. just fact.. a notion you all have problems with.  The point being... Trump has to win democratic leaning states and Democrats to win thus the very constituancies he does worst to win.  He can...sure he can.. anything is possible. The question is who is going to win, not who you want to win. 

He is down 10 points in PA in the latest polls.. pre convention bounce btw. Likely to be down 15 to 20 after a very successful and well watched convention. 

He loses PA.. he has literally NO plausible path to 270.


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: SteveG
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 15:22
^Ah, numbers only count in horseshoes and elections! Btw, I think Hillary looks good in teal.


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Posted By: Logan
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 15:36
Originally posted by Micky Micky wrote:

He is down 10 points in PA in the latest polls.. pre convention bounce btw. Likely to be down 15 to 20 after a very successful and well watched convention.

He loses PA.. he has literally NO plausible path to 270.


Latest PA poll figures give Clinton a very significant lead: Clinton/Kaine has 9 votes and Trump/Pence has two votes which puts him tied with Johnson/Weld. I'll be keeping my eye on the PA results: http://www.progarchives.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=107409" rel="nofollow - http://www.progarchives.com/forum/forum_posts.asp?TID=107409

Or did you mean Pennsylvania instead of Prog Archives?;)

Silliness aside, my feeling is that Hillary Clinton will win.

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https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLXcp9fYc6K4IKuxIZkenfvukL_Y8VBqzK" rel="nofollow - Duos for fave acts


Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 15:40
lmao.. you need a break from the site Greg..

Pennsylvania my friend..LOL


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: Dayvenkirq
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 18:34
Answer: Trump.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Addendum: Geez, I hate them all, but Trump especially. And if Hillary can't protect her emails, then she sure as s$%t can't protect a country. 

With that said, I'd vote for Clinton with bitterness, but I'm afraid that with his resolve to kill the families of terrorists, Trump will win this election. 




Posted By: Catcher10
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 20:21
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

Originally posted by Catcher10 Catcher10 wrote:

Numbers only matter on election day......Hillary the Criminal is also having trouble winning over her party.
blah blah blah


^
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_information_voter" rel="nofollow - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_information_voter

numbers matter for if you knew a thing about politics you'd know that over HALF of U.S counties... give over 60% of their votes to one party or another.

the point..numbers matter.  Fully 85% of the electoral results  are known already.. and the the Democratic Party hold a large lead. That is not gloating.. just fact.. a notion you all have problems with.  The point being... Trump has to win democratic leaning states and Democrats to win thus the very constituancies he does worst to win.  He can...sure he can.. anything is possible. The question is who is going to win, not who you want to win. 

He is down 10 points in PA in the latest polls.. pre convention bounce btw. Likely to be down 15 to 20 after a very successful and well watched convention. 

He loses PA.. he has literally NO plausible path to 270.



Wow..did not know you were the political know it all, I missed that memo....My bad, I bow to your political analytical greatness.

I now know one thing about politics.

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Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 21:03
Good. One > Zero

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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 28 2016 at 22:10
oh fun Evil Smile

hey another thing you might learn...  though not at Foxnews or whereever you get your education

http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/presumption_of_innocence" rel="nofollow - http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/presumption_of_innocence

another part of cheerished American values you all want to trash just so you can win an election.. guess so..

big difference between making a mistake, and criminal activity/intent.  Remember man.. the one who decided not to charge her.. is a red blooded Republican.. not some Clinton henchman. Give him props for recognizing the difference between real criminal activity.. and a poitical witchhunt...





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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: CPicard
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 07:20
Being a pessimist and having less and less hope and faith in mankind, I think that Trump might win, just like French voters could vote for a "Republicain" president and a lot of "Front National" deputees, just like Russians endorse Putin, just like Hungarians and Polish enjoy their own leaders, just like Indians vote for the BJP, etc...

Or maybe I just should go and see my psychiatrist to give some treatment against depression and bad mood. Ermm


Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 09:32
I have no use for the Electoral College and especially in "winner take all" states.
I have always thought that an election should be determined by popular vote. You have two candidates, registered voters go to their polling places and vote for one or the other. When the polls close the votes are counted and the candidate with the most votes wins.
What is so hard about that?

If "popular vote" was the only method used then the political establishment would no longer be able to tip the scales or try to control the outcome. You know that's never going to happen.


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 09:35
I would like the electoral college system to be done away with, but with a big other change too:

Make election day a national holiday








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Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 09:57
I have no problem making it a holiday (if you were being serious) because another issue I have is the time difference between the east coast and the west coast. 
It is not uncommon for Californians to come home from work, turn on the news to see who's winning and then decide if they are going to vote or not.
Voter turnout has always been poor at best. In the last eight cycles the turnout has been between the low fifty per cent to the mid sixty per cent.
That is unacceptable. Why give people one more reason to stay at home and not vote.
But none of that matters as long as we have the electoral college because we may as well stay home since someone else is voting for us anyway. 


Posted By: Catcher10
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 09:59
Originally posted by CPicard CPicard wrote:

Being a pessimist and having less and less hope and faith in mankind, I think that Trump might win, just like French voters could vote for a "Republicain" president and a lot of "Front National" deputees, just like Russians endorse Putin, just like Hungarians and Polish enjoy their own leaders, just like Indians vote for the BJP, etc...

Or maybe I just should go and see my psychiatrist to give some treatment against depression and bad mood. Ermm

I don't think he will win, do I want him to win?? Look it's the lesser of two evils and really who do I dislike more, the other will get my vote. Clearly neither is qualified to sit in the WH, what will get Hillary there is this plan has been in the works for years. Trump and anyone else who thought about running, had no plan in place to make this happen like she did.
If Trump campaign makes no effort to sway the Bern voters, millennials, he will have little to zero chance.....The history is set that the voter will always choose a professional politician if given a choice, its the easy way out. The only chance Trump has is that even the Dems don't like Hillary, so many people dislike her for many reasons, if she falls on her face in some way again with the email thing or something else, that is the only way Trump can get her votes, but all have excused her and I doubt anything will happen.

So many are sick and tired of the same ole same ole with these politicians, but the majority is too scared to vote any other way, and really the media is so powerful in these cases to make people feel "wrong" for not voting for a politician, I don't think it will ever happen.

Everyone should be prepared for another 4 yrs of the same ole same ole......


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Posted By: Barbu
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 10:54
C'mon, this clown have zero chance.

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Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 12:05
Trump was never my choice from the beginning. He just happened to be the one that tapped into the growing movement of citizens who have had enough of business as usual insider politics. 
Millions of Americans are fed up with the way the country is being run and the direction it is going in. They want to change this direction before it reaches the point of no return and the damage being done can no longer be corrected.
They want security because after all the number one job of the government and the president is to protect this country and it's citizens. Everything else comes second.
Instead we have a president who refuses to acknowledge the enemy that has sworn to kill us all. When you see large protests in the Middle East they are not burning Mexican flags or chanting "death to Canadians".
What we get is Obama telling us (for the 100th time) that Islam is a religion of peace and that painting all Muslims with a terrorist brush is not what we are as Americans.
Well, no sh*t. I'm really glad that he cleared that up.
Has there been a pattern of mosque bombings or a spike in anti Muslim hate crimes here in the US?
Obama is going out of his way to prevent a situation that doesn't exist in the first place.
ISIS is a cancer and you can't negotiate with or live with a growing cancer. It has to be completely cut out and then monitored regularly to see that it doesn't grow back. Video game type drone strikes won't cut it.
What we will get with Clinton is more of the same. She has made it clear from the beginning that she has no problems with Obama's policies and plans on continuing along the same lines.
She has a good chance of winning in November and then the whole country will lose.
Trump will be gone but the movement that he did not start will not go away. They will be back every election cycle so get used to them.





Posted By: A Person
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 12:07
ISIS isn't anywhere near the biggest threat the US faces, though.


Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 12:30
Anywhere near? Where do you place ISIS on the list of threats that America faces?


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 12:39
Interrupting, about # 10 

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Posted By: timothy leary
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 12:47
# 1.......Hillary Clinton
# 2.......Donald Trump
# 3........The environment
# 4........civil war
# 5........oxycontin


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 12:55
Actually I don't think can face a "threat" as the fear mongers sell (and man does it sell well). Unless it's from an external enemy like another invading nation, which threatens the actual political existence of a country and or nation-state, a country cannot face a "threat". Its citizens can. And a country may have a myriad of problems and things to be fixed. But a threat? That's wording used by merchants of fear who know that fear, just like sex, sells really well. 

Having said that, since Trump winning could possibly cause the collapse of the United States of America as a geo-political entity, I'd say he IS actually a "threat". 

Now, being more generous with the term, ok, "threats" of more real danger than ISIS are climate change (which threatens our way of life and even the state I live in), income inequality, which also threatens to disrupt the entire capitalist system, and a few more. ISIS as a single group is not a big threat. Religious Fundamentalism is a threat, that one I can agree with. Not just Muslim, but Christian too. 


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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 14:13
hey.. I want to play!!

agreed... Isis is a danger.. we face FAR worse..

the top 5 dangers facing the United States according to the Big Mick

1) bigots, racists, nativists and christian fundemantism. More of danger to America and what it stands for than any f**king Terrorist can manage.
2) an ignorant apathetic electorate who don't bother to educate themselves before sticking their feet in the ballot box!
3) civil war.. oh make no mistake we are in one... just fought for now in the political arena.. biut already some (on both sides) are taking it the next level. Outright violence.  It the vacating of the middle, decades ago by the right, and VERy soon to come for HIllary will be the last of the centrist Democratics.. the Democrtic Party. Moving both parties.. and their supporters even farther from finding any common ground.
4) IPA beers
5) prog rock...


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: Rivertree
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 14:43
I'm quite sure the Clintons will make ist.
However, a choice between millionaires/billionaires is not a real choice actually ...



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https://awesomeprog.com/users/Rivertree" rel="nofollow">



Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 14:46
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:


5) prog rock...
I agree. Too much Jon Anderson can drive a person crazy Tongue

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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 14:49
I blame Raff for that.. Heart  oh wait...  no.. too much Ian Anderson. LOLWink


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 14:54
LOL

Actually the last Dream Theater album is more of a threat to humanity than any Yes or Tull... Coming from me you know it's the truth... believe me Wink Tongue

(it's a disaster of Trumpian proportions) 


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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 14:58
that bad.. hey perhaps there is a D.T album I want to listen to! LOL


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 15:03
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

hey.. I want to play!!

agreed... Isis is a danger.. we face FAR worse..

the top 5 dangers facing the United States according to the Big Mick

1) bigots, racists, nativists and christian fundemantism. More of danger to America and what it stands for than any f**king Terrorist can manage.
2) an ignorant apathetic electorate who don't bother to educate themselves before sticking their feet in the ballot box!
3) civil war.. oh make no mistake we are in one... just fought for now in the political arena.. biut already some (on both sides) are taking it the next level. Outright violence.  It the vacating of the middle, decades ago by the right, and VERy soon to come for HIllary will be the last of the centrist Democratics.. the Democrtic Party. Moving both parties.. and their supporters even farther from finding any common ground.
4) IPA beers
5) prog rock...

1 and 2 have been around for a long time and I don't see them going away.
3 is a very real possibility because both sides are getting farther apart and neither side will give an inch.
You're on your own with 4 & 5.

1 and 2 have become tolerated and generally accepted as being a part of life in America and, like I said, have been around for a long time.
ISIS has not been around that long and their influence is growing. I do not want to see them become tolerated and generally accepted. 
Personally, I don't think anything can be done about 1 and 2 and they probably will eventually cause 3.
But something can still be done to stop ISIS and putting these seemingly unsolvable problems ahead of terrorism is a mistake.
But hey, we're America. Making mistakes is what we do.


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 15:05
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

that bad.. hey perhaps there is a D.T album I want to listen to! LOL
I wouldn't recommend it. It's all you and Raff have never liked about them multiplied by 20 Trump Hairpieces. 

Believe me, it's yuge, yuge bad. 


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Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 15:07
^^ISIS will flame out and eventually another group will take over, and so ad nauseaum until one day several things happens that have more to do with actual structural changes and even with the US foreign policy itself (and the whole Middle East zone). 

There was Al-Qaeda (well, it still exists), there was Zarqawi, now there's ISIS.  


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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 15:16
Originally posted by The T The T wrote:

Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

that bad.. hey perhaps there is a D.T album I want to listen to! LOL
I wouldn't recommend it. It's all you and Raff have never liked about them multiplied by 20 Trump Hairpieces. 

Believe me, it's yuge, yuge bad. 


sold LOL  If I can.. I listen to it tonight to ease my convention speech withdraw...


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 15:19
LOL

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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 15:54
Cool perhaps an off the cuff review might be needed.. but only if you say it is as bad as you say. I am sort of scared though..  what if I like it Teo. I don't think I'd be able to show my face on this forum again...

for the record... jokes aside..

4) lightning strikes
5) Isis..

you do know lighning kills 15 times more people in the US than islamic terrorits...

it isn't the danger isn't real.. the governement and all those agencies are doing what they need to do .. all that can be done to keep us safe. Terrorism is a danger as much a part of our day to day life as drunk drivers..crazy sex crazed red headed women ...right wing loonies with guns.. or very angry people of color striking out against a century and half of racism.. for it is still alive today. Look no further than the GOP.

It is a dangerous world out there.. ISIS.. one of many...there was Al-Queda before it.. there will be another one after ISIS is stomped out.. that is a fact of life now and has been for years now... but so many others are self inficted and brought upon ourselves.  We are doing good enough of a job of killing ourselves.



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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: The T
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 16:01
Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

Cool perhaps an off the cuff review might be needed.. but only if you say it is as bad as you say. I am sort of scared though..  what if I like it Teo. I don't think I'd be able to show my face on this forum again...

This album made me dust off my http://www.progarchives.com/Review.asp?id=1522649" rel="nofollow - reviewing skills, so bad it is.  Tongue

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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 16:02
*spits this double bock all over my monitor*




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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: A Person
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 16:53
Originally posted by TeleStrat TeleStrat wrote:

Anywhere near? Where do you place ISIS on the list of threats that America faces?

Pretty low, deaths caused by cops and right wing terrorists within the US number much higher than those caused by ISIS. The environment of course being the highest on the list.


Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 17:49
sorry! Missed your post earliers... I saw nothing but red when Teo mentioned DT LOL

Originally posted by TeleStrat TeleStrat wrote:

Originally posted by micky micky wrote:

hey.. I want to play!!

agreed... Isis is a danger.. we face FAR worse..

the top 5 dangers facing the United States according to the Big Mick

1) bigots, racists, nativists and christian fundemantism. More of danger to America and what it stands for than any f**king Terrorist can manage.
2) an ignorant apathetic electorate who don't bother to educate themselves before sticking their feet in the ballot box!
3) civil war.. oh make no mistake we are in one... just fought for now in the political arena.. biut already some (on both sides) are taking it the next level. Outright violence.  It the vacating of the middle, decades ago by the right, and VERy soon to come for HIllary will be the last of the centrist Democratics.. the Democrtic Party. Moving both parties.. and their supporters even farther from finding any common ground.
4) IPA beers
5) prog rock...

1 and 2 have been around for a long time and I don't see them going away.
3 is a very real possibility because both sides are getting farther apart and neither side will give an inch.
You're on your own with 4 & 5.

1 and 2 have become tolerated and generally accepted as being a part of life in America and, like I said, have been around for a long time.
ISIS has not been around that long and their influence is growing. I do not want to see them become tolerated and generally accepted. 
Personally, I don't think anything can be done about 1 and 2 and they probably will eventually cause 3.
But something can still be done to stop ISIS and putting these seemingly unsolvable problems ahead of terrorism is a mistake.
But hey, we're America. Making mistakes is what we do.


1and 2 have been around a long time. What is different, and why I feel it is so much more dangerous is...

unlike Terrorism those forces, which of course have now taken over a major political party, can do what no terrorist group can do though they dream of it. Use fear to have a society fall upon itself. In short... to make American less by changing who we are as a nation, as a society. We are a nation of immigrants, where no religion is put above others, and none are restricted. Diversity is the key to our nations success, we are one horribly mistake of an election to doing everything Al-Queda or Isis could have dreamed of..... taking down America from its perch as leaders of the free world. A place where others can point to and look to for inspiration.  To be honest, and perhaps this is my wife talking LOL, the fact we may have already passed that point thanks to our continued history and legacy of racism and bigotry.... but it can get worse.

another reason why 1 and 2 are so high...  they are of course why #3 could happen..

as far as 4 and 5...  proudly on my own there. LOLThumbs Up


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 29 2016 at 20:32
Mick, I know that sometimes you lean slightly toward liberalism. Hell, sometimes you make Whoopi Goldberg look like a moderate.  Smile
The threats that some of you have brought up are very serious and it is not my intent to shadow them with the immediate threat of ISIS. They really should be two separate discussions because the threats you bring up are internal threats that need to be dealt with right here in this country. 
ISIS is an external threat that can be and should be dealt with by our military and they should be dealt with quickly. They are not going to fade away because they are getting stronger. They went from 4,000 fighters to 30,000 fighters in about a year and now their numbers are estimated to be 80,000 - 100,000.
So, like I said, these should be two different discussions (but not here, this is the Trump / Clinton thread) Wink


Posted By: Barbu
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 02:15
okay, okay...



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Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 06:30
Originally posted by TeleStrat TeleStrat wrote:

Mick, I know that sometimes you lean slightly toward liberalism. Hell, sometimes you make Whoopi Goldberg look like a moderate.  Smile
The threats that some of you have brought up are very serious and it is not my intent to shadow them with the immediate threat of ISIS. They really should be two separate discussions because the threats you bring up are internal threats that need to be dealt with right here in this country. 
ISIS is an external threat that can be and should be dealt with by our military and they should be dealt with quickly. They are not going to fade away because they are getting stronger. They went from 4,000 fighters to 30,000 fighters in about a year and now their numbers are estimated to be 80,000 - 100,000.
So, like I said, these should be two different discussions (but not here, this is the Trump / Clinton thread) Wink


LOL I think my views on guns are enough to keep me out of Goldberg territory.. but I appreciate the complement. Embarrassed Almost as much as the woman yesterday that 'snagged' me yesterday belting out a Dionne Warwick song while working and told me I have a beautiful singing voice.

Point taken..  it is a a great intellectual conversion to be had personally.. and a mandatory one this nation needs to have.. as we are nearing a real fracture point....but this isn't the place for it.

As far as the personal side... your ass is retired.  Why don't you get yourself out to Progday next year.. dig some great live prog not from stale nostalgia acts/retro prog but progressive fresh new and unknown groups, awesome BBQ, drink good strong Mick-beer by the gallon while dying in the heat LOL .. and talk a bit deeper about some of these things. You'd love it there.




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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 07:47
political divisions at home aside..  back to Isis.

I have to admit, I told Raff the night of the Paris attacks that hopefully we would see France (which I have always seen as more akin to America than England ever has been regardless of our 'special relationship') do what we would have done. Hunt those motherf**kers to the ends of the earth and exterminate them. Of course they will be replaced with some other group for the roots causes of radical militant Islam are not of our doings, thus not in our control to fully eradicate, it is a internal issue in the Islamic/Middle East world and only they can back their faith (which I have studied in college to some not so small degree due to my personal experiences) and found to be a beautiful religion.

Anyhow.. I'm rambling..  I thought or perhaps more hoped France would do what we have not, politically unable  perhaps thanks to the lingering legacy of Bush Light folliesmisguided and massively costly in human and financial terms). They did not.  Another point in which I diverge from traditional 'liberal' thought is I am very much a hawk, in obviously measured and well considered and practial terms. THe military is not a a welfare state for southern dead-enders with no other recourse, nor a state subsidized outlet for defense industries. It is a tool. It can be used and should be used when needed.

I do think Hillary and Obama differed in their approach to handling Isis.  Obama's policy is killing Isis.. at glacial movement but is without having our troops die... HIllaries more likely approach would be to directly stamp them out.  Hard to say which would have better in hindsight.. for it is debatable that if ISIS had been taken out forcefully and directly that the attacks that plagued Europe just in the last year would not have happened.  It is the age of the unsophisticated/lone wolf terrorism cell. The days of elaborate and well financed 9-11 style attacks have likely been stamped out. All it takes now is the internet, hate, and a weapon to make a terrorist.

It is a fight that has to be waged. To eliminate Isis.. as it will to eradicate the one that pops up to replace it... but IMO there is no question that it will not stop terrorism. It is a part of our lives now, has been here for over.. sh*t..  we are getting old... 15 years.  Europe now is facing the reality we have had ...  you don't live in fear of course.. I'm more scared of drunk or texting drivers than some radicalized killer with a gun.. but you have to learn to live that you live a world where it can happen..and happen at any time. Especially those of us who live in obvious 'target areas'.  It just becomes a part of day to day living.. you do learn to take greater note of your surrounding and what is going on around you.

my thoughts fwiw...


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 07:51
^^ Ah yes, Dionne. What a classy lady. Back in the day she had a very impressive string of hits. I'm going to guess that you were singing Do You Know The Way To San Jose because it's got that catchy little tune that sticks in your head. But you probably weren't even born when that song was a hit.  Smile

I look at ISIS from a military point of view (it's a throwback to my days in uniform). You identify your enemy, you engage your enemy, you defeat your enemy. 
Unfortunately, the problems that you and others brought up are not so simple. 
It bothers me a lot that racism is still such a problem in this country. When you consider the fact that the civil rights movement goes back about 56 years you would expect a lot more progress than we have had.
I'm an ornery old conservative who will never change but I had many black and Hispanic friends in the Army and during my thirty years in construction. I was married to a Mexican woman for twenty six years so I just don't see why people can't get beyond the race thing.

I don't get out much anymore but I'm sure we would have a great time listening to prog and tossing back some Coronas. We could sit around and discuss many topics and try to out BS each other.

And don't give a thought to that liberal comment. Hell, I have friends who like liberals.  Smile Wink



Posted By: TeleStrat
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 10:08
It is a fact that if ISIS is destroyed another group will pop up and take their place. Of course that means that the new group must be destroyed, and then the one after that, etc. I know that a lot of people do not like this but can someone come up with another way?
Containment? Both the Taliban and Al Qaeda were contained but not destroyed and they are still around. The last I heard was that Al Qaeda is gaining strength again.
Negotiate? Does anyone actually think that ISIS will ever sit across the table from John Kerry and work things out?
Islamic jihad has been around forever and it will continue to be around long after everyone on this forum are long gone.
To compound the problem, ISIS is not just an extension of the Taliban or Al Qaeda. 
They are well funded, partly because they have been selling captured oil on the black market and partly because there never seems to be a shortage of groups (and governments) that secretly channel funds to support terrorism.
They have been able to grow their ranks very quickly by using the internet and by using female operatives to entice young men into the cause.
They also use the internet to recruit lone wolf terrorists. There message is basically, "Come here and join our fight. If you cannot come here then fight where you are".
They are also much more brutal than the previous terror groups. Sawing off heads, putting people in cages and setting them on fire and dropping gay men headfirst off rooftops and then posting videos of their brutality on the internet for the whole world to see.
How could anyone not want to wipe these people off the face of the earth?




Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 12:14
point 1) nope... again.. from what I see.. and I do believe I am reading it correctly. Radical Islam is tied to conditions inherent to the Middle East. It will up to them to finally eradicate it, be it of love of their faith which is being hijacked or pure self interest. Perhaps that is the one thing we can do... really..really pressure the Middle eastern kingdoms to address the problems in their own houses.. giving those who pervert Islam more than enough new dead-ender recruits to replace those killed off.

point2) containment does not work.. no more practical than destroying them. To do either.. you have to address the root causes of radical Islam. That is not within our power to do IMO. That has to come from within.. perhaps some day it will happen.  Perhaps when Oil finally is displaced, either as replaceable to clean/green energy sources or the bottom of the oil market falls through the floor.

Negotiate?  No.. we are not the Democratic Party of the 80's.  The egg heads are gone... the doves not yet in acendancy... two basic political maxims I believe in

you can not legislate morality
you can not negotiate or reason with lunatics. 

note the obvious parallel with our current political situation LOL

point 4)  those that hope that someone else will do it .. that someone being us.  We have shown no problem in killing not only those that needed to be put down but looking the other way to massive collateral civilian damage inherent in combating such a non-defined shadowy enemy .


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip


Posted By: micky
Date Posted: July 30 2016 at 12:36
oh .. and it was I was Say a LIttle Prayer for you. It was not the first time my singing abiities have been singled out.. I've been recruited for church choirs.. while sh*t faced in bars.. and won standing ovations in bars during karokee night ...while completely sh*t faced and falling over the speakers...

Definitely a bit before my time (47 now)  I just had the good luck to have very musical parents very much into her and so that music was as much a part of my childhood and playing with my penis and sucking on my thumb..


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The Pedro and Micky Experience - When one no longer requires psychotropics to trip



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